纽约联储主席：加息将达4.5%左右，但步伐和峰值取决于美国经济

华尔街见闻2022-10-08

尽管市场有种种期待，但美联储激进加息的基调似乎并没有什么变化。 10月7日周五，美国纽约联储主席John Williams称，随着时间的推移，联邦基金利率需要升至4.5%左右，但加息的步伐和最终高峰将取决于美国的经济表现：加息将取决于数据，现在的重点是让通胀回落到2%。我们需要进一步提高利率，基本上让利率高于通胀水平。这将有助于限制需求和供应，并以迅速降低通胀。按照Williams的说法，...

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BigKKK
2022-10-08
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href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671862><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>尽管市场有种种期待，但美联储激进加息的基调似乎并没有什么变化。\n10月7日周五，美国纽约联储主席John Williams称，随着时间的推移，联邦基金利率需要升至4.5%左右，但加息的步伐和最终高峰将取决于美国的经济表现：\n\n加息将取决于数据，现在的重点是让通胀回落到2%。我们需要进一步提高利率，基本上让利率高于通胀水平。这将有助于限制需求和供应，并以迅速降低通胀。\n\n按照Williams的说法，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671862\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"SSO","symbol_name":"两倍做多标普500ETF","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671862","article_id":"2273395189","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/e3a9d678-77e8-4d96-84fb-d6f7ab01288f.jpg?imageView2/1/w/340/h/340"],"rights":{"source":"wallstreetcn_api","url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671862","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273395189","pubTimestamp":1665162421,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"wallstreetcn_api","name":"华尔街见闻"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"美国纽约联储主席John 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Williams称，随着时间的推移，联邦基金利率需要升至4.5%左右，但加息的步伐和最终高峰将取决于美国的经济表现：\n\n加息将取决于数据，现在的重点是让通胀回落到2%。我们需要进一步提高利率，基本上让利率高于通胀水平。这将有助于限制需求和供应，并以迅速降低通胀。\n\n按照Williams的说法，这意味着美联储还将加息150个基点才能达到本轮加息的峰值。\n周五公布的非农就业数据大幅超出市场预期，这令市场预测，美联储将在11月初继续加息75个基点，令联邦基金利率上升至3.75%至4%。\n\n美联储官员的预测中值显示，他们预计到今年年底利率将升至4.4%，到2023年升至4.6%。美联储希望通过提高借贷成本来减少支出并减少对工人的需求，从而减缓经济增长，压低通胀压力。\n自从今年3月以来，美联储已经累计加息300个基点，令全球金融市场出现大幅波动，并导致美元飙升。Williams承认美联储的行动具有国际影响，并表示他正在与外国央行的同行保持联系，尤其是那些面临高通胀的经济体。但他强调，美联储的重点是恢复美国国内的物价稳定：\n\n我们都在努力做出让经济恢复平衡的决定。\n\n作为11月美联储会议前公布的最后一份非农就业报告，本周五公布的报告显示，9月新增非农就业人数高于预期，失业率低于预期。有“新美联储通讯社”之称的资深联储相关报道记者Nick Timiraos此后发文，开篇就点明：\n\n9月稳健的就业报告将让美联储保持在下个月会议上批准再一次大幅加息的正轨，因为（联储）官员寻求将借款成本提升到足够高的水平，让劳动力市场疲软，并放缓通胀压力。\n\n虽然没有说明11月美联储具体会加息多大幅度，但Timiraos指出，9月的上次会议上，美联储官员已经在考虑，今年剩余的时间要合计再加息125个基点，要达到这个幅度，可能11月就得加息75个基点，然后12月加50个基点。风险提示及免责条款\n\n            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