Trump Imposes Tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China, Risking Trade War

Reuters02-02 08:58
  • Canada and Mexico slapped with 25% duties; China gets 10% above current tariffs

  • Trump wants action on staunching flow of fentanyl and migrants to the US

  • Canadian oil will be taxed at 10%, more oil and gas tariffs expected in mid-February

  • Retaliation expected from top three US trading partners

U.S. President Donald Trump on Saturday ordered 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports and 10% on goods from China starting on Tuesday and declared that they would remain in place until a national emergency over the drug fentanyl and illegal immigration to the U.S. ends.

Energy products from Canada will have only a 10% duty, but Mexican energy imports will be charged the full 25%, officials told reporters.

A White House fact sheet on the duties said they would remain in place "until the crisis alleviated," but it did not provide details on what actions the three countries would need to take to win a reprieve.

The moves follow through on a repeated threat Trump has made since shortly after winning last year's presidential election, and they likely will trigger retaliation and risk igniting a trade war that could cause broad economic disruption for all countries involved.

The three countries are the top U.S. trade partners, sparking fears that the duties will lead to higher prices.

Provincial officials and business executives in Canada reacted with outrage, calling for forceful tariffs on imports from the U.S. A senior Mexican official said Mexico would respond with retaliatory tariffs.

Tariff collections are set to begin at 12:01 a.m. EST (0501 GMT) on Tuesday, according to Trump's written order. But imports that were loaded onto a vessel or onto their final mode of transit before entering the U.S. prior to 12:01 a.m. Saturday would be exempt from the duties.

Trump has declared the national emergency under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and the National Emergencies Act to back the tariffs, which allow the president sweeping powers to impose sanctions to address crises.

However, they are untested for broad tariffs, according to trade lawyers.

White House officials said there would be no exclusions from the tariffs and if Canada, Mexico or China retaliated against American exports, Trump would likely increase the U.S. duties.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford said in an X social media post that Canada "now has no choice but to hit back and hit back hard."

"As Premier of Ontario, the federal government has my full support for a strong and forceful response that matches U.S. tariffs dollar for dollar," Ford said.

Nova Scotia's Premier Tim Houston said he directed that all alcohol imported from the U.S. be removed from the province's store shelves.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who has previously threatened strong retaliation if Trump imposed tariffs, was expected to speak later on Saturday.

Mexico's Economy Ministry said it did not have an immediate comment. But a senior Mexican official told Reuters that Mexico would respond with retaliatory tariffs later on Saturday.

The White House officials said that Canada specifically, would no longer be allowed the "de minimis" U.S. duty exemption for small shipments under $800. The officials said Canada, along with Mexico, has become a conduit for shipments of fentanyl and its precursor chemicals, into the U.S., via small packages that are not often inspected by customs agents.

TWO-WEEK TARIFFS

Trump, who golfed at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida on Saturday before signing the order, was not scheduled to speak to reporters about the tariffs.

Trump threatened the tariffs to press for strong action to halt the flow of the opiate fentanyl and precursor chemicals into the U.S. from China via Mexico and Canada, as well as to stop illegal immigrants crossing U.S. borders.

Less than two weeks into his second term, Trump is upending the norms of how the United States is governed and interacts with its neighbors and wider world.

On Friday, he pledged to proceed with the levies despite acknowledging they could cause disruption and hardship for American households.

A model gauging the economic impact of Trump's tariff plan from EY Chief Economist Greg Daco suggests it would reduce U.S. growth by 1.5 percentage points this year, throw Canada and Mexico into recession and usher in "stagflation" at home.

"We have stressed that steep tariff increases against U.S. trading partners could create a stagflationary shock - a negative economic hit combined with an inflationary impulse - while also triggering financial market volatility," Daco wrote on Saturday.

That volatility was evident on Friday, when the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar both slumped after Trump vowed to fulfill his threats. U.S. stock prices also fell and Treasury bond yields rose.


Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Loyster
    06:59
    Loyster
    They should hit back hard. Target Tesla, aaple and Boeing. Hit it with the most impact.
  • neo26000
    02-02 16:33
    neo26000
    The stock market is expected to experience short-term volatility in response to the imposition of tariffs and the ensuing retaliatory actions. However, I do not anticipate any significant long-term negative impact on market performance. A comparable scenario unfolded in 2018 when the Trump administration introduced tariffs—initial market declines were observed, but the market ultimately recovered and resumed its upward trajectory. The duration of any potential downturn this time remains uncertain, and it will be important to observe how the situation evolves. This pattern suggests that while temporary disruptions are likely, the market has historically shown resilience and tends to recover as broader economic conditions stabilize.
  • ZhongRenChun
    02-02 10:21
    ZhongRenChun
    25% tariff on American goods and services. Especially CNN, American cable and satellite TV, Hollywood movies, apple, Intel, cars, oil, alcohol, tobacco,  firearms, etc.
    • ZhongRenChun
      yes and 25% tariff on Intel, AMD, Nvidia, apple, and Qualcomm chips made outside China.
    • MO75
      yes China should impose a 50% tariff on US Netflix , Google, Amazon sale into China.
    • ZhongRenChun
      USA attack tech all the time. TikTok, Huawei, DJI, wechat, SMIC all banned. why shouldn't we ban USA tech?
    • Lio23
      How they should but it would be foolish to attack tech.
    • Lio23
      Seems like semiconductor tech been spared
  • setia100
    02-02 09:06
    setia100
    The tariffs are still low and won't bring manufacturing back to America to meet MAGA goals.  😂
Leave a comment
4
2