These 20 stocks in the now-cheap tech sector are positioned for the fastest growth through 2028

Dow Jones04-14 21:55

MW These 20 stocks in the now-cheap tech sector are positioned for the fastest growth through 2028

By Philip van Doorn

The S&P 500 information-technology sector's forward P/E ratio is lowest relative to five-year averages among all sectors in the index

These are three of the largest tech companies for which the stocks' forward price/earnings valuations have declined significantly in 2026.

The S&P 500 has been getting cheaper on a forward price/earnings basis, and enthusiasm has been building among money managers and analysts.

Here is recent coverage of bullish calls in MarketWatch's Need to Know column, which you can have waiting in your inbox each morning if you sign up for it here.

-- Why two Wall Street titans just turned bullish on U.S. stocks

-- Why 'Rule of 10' stocks like Nvidia and Meta are now poised for a comeback, according to Goldman Sachs

-- An earnings boom is around the corner, and it could blindside stock-market bears

A stock's forward price/earnings ratio is its price divided by the consensus 12-month earnings-per-share estimate among analysts working for brokerage and research firms. These estimates are weighted by companies' market capitalization for the S&P 500 SPX and the index's 11 sectors.

The S&P 500's forward P/E ratio has declined to 19.4 from 22.5 at the end of 2025, according to LSEG. But the index has increased 0.6% this year through Monday, excluding dividends. This means the decline in the forward P/E has been driven by increases in rolling 12-month EPS estimates.

Here is a roundup of the 11 sectors of the S&P 500, sorted by their current forward P/E valuations relative to their Dec. 31 valuations, with the full index at the bottom of the list:

   Sector or index           Current forward P/E to that at Dec. 31  Forward P/E  5-year avg. forward P/E  10-year avg. forward P/E  2026 price change 
   Information technology                                       75%         20.0                     25.6                      22.6              -1.4% 
   Consumer discretionary                                       84%         25.1                     26.3                      24.6              -3.8% 
   Financial services                                           85%         14.1                     14.5                      13.8              -5.7% 
   Communication services                                       88%         19.6                     18.5                      17.2               0.5% 
   Healthcare                                                   92%         17.0                     17.2                      16.4              -4.4% 
   Materials                                                    97%         18.7                     17.8                      17.7              14.7% 
   Industrials                                                  99%         24.0                     20.7                      19.3              11.4% 
   Real estate                                                  99%         34.9                     38.9                      40.4               7.4% 
   Utilities                                                   104%         18.6                     18.1                      18.0               8.7% 
   Consumer staples                                            104%         21.8                     20.6                      20.0               6.5% 
   Energy                                                      121%         18.9                     12.7                      22.2              27.5% 
   S&P 500                                                      86%         19.4                     20.0                      19.0               0.6% 
                                                                                                                                          Source: LSEG 

Forward P/E ratios have declined for all but three of the sectors this year. The information technology sector is trading at only 75% of its Dec. 31 forward P/E valuation, even though the sector has declined by only 1.4% this year. The IT sector's forward P/E is also well below its five-year and 10-year average forward P/E valuations.

While the IT sector as a whole has held up this year, there are plenty of stocks within it that have fallen hard. For example, Oracle's $(ORCL)$ P/E has declined to 19.6 from 25.2 at the end of 2025. Its share price is down 20% this year, while its rolling 12-month consensus EPS estimate has increased 3%.

On the other hand, Nvidia's (NVDA) P/E forward P/E has declined to 20.8 from 24.5, while its share price has risen 1.5% and its rolling 12-month consensus EPS estimate has increased by 19.5%.

Looking further ahead - screening the IT sector

With the IT sector's valuation falling so much this year, you might be interested in a broad play, such as the State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF XLK, which tracks the S&P 500's IT sector by holding all 73 of its stocks.

Keep in mind that even a broad investment in the full S&P 500 is tech-heavy. The portfolio of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY, which tracks the S&P 500 by holding all of its stocks weighted by market capitalization, has a 19% concentration to three tech-sector companies: Nvidia, Apple $(AAPL)$ and Microsoft $(MSFT)$.

To screen individual stocks within the S&P 500 IT sector, we will look at projected compound revenue growth rates (CAGR) from 2026 through 2028. Consensus sales estimates are available through 2028 for 69 companies in the sector. These are mean estimates among analysts polled by LSEG, adjusted by the data provided to match calendar years for companies, such as Nvidia, whose fiscal reporting periods don't match the calendar.

We are also comparing the companies' forward P/E ratios to those as of Dec. 31 and showing year-to-date changes in the P and the E.

Among the 69 companies, these 20 have the highest projected sales CAGR from calendar 2026 through calendar 2028:

   Company                         Two-year est. sales CAGR through 2028  Forward P/E  Forward P/E as of Dec. 31  2026 price change  Increase in rolling 12-month EPS estimate  5-year avg. forward P/E 
   Palantir Technologies                                           42.4%         87.1                      173.1             -25.5%                                      48.0%                     97.3 
   Oracle                                                          42.1%         19.6                       25.2             -20.2%                                       2.7%                     19.7 
   Broadcom                                                        35.5%         25.7                       31.9               9.7%                                      36.0%                     22.9 
   Advanced Micro Devices                                          34.8%         29.5                       33.1              15.3%                                      29.2%                     32.5 
   AppLovin                                                        27.0%         23.6                       45.5             -38.0%                                      19.5%                     50.5 
   Nvidia                                                          25.4%         20.8                       24.5               1.5%                                      19.5%                     37.2 
   Arista Networks                                                 22.1%         39.7                       38.6              16.0%                                      12.8%                     33.5 
   CrowdStrike Holdings                                            21.7%         77.4                       99.1             -14.2%                                       9.8%                    204.8 
   Seagate Technology Holdings                                     20.5%         26.5                       20.5              86.4%                                      44.0%                     38.9 
   Western Digital                                                 20.5%         26.1                       19.6             103.3%                                      52.3%                     17.1 
   Datadog                                                         19.4%         46.4                       56.9             -19.1%                                      -0.7%                    195.0 
   ServiceNow                                                      18.6%         19.8                       37.1             -41.9%                                       8.9%                     57.6 
   Teradyne                                                        18.2%         53.3                       36.7              91.2%                                      31.8%                     32.5 
   Ciena                                                           17.6%         66.6                       41.7             105.2%                                      28.4%                     29.7 
   Monolithic Power Systems                                        16.7%         59.2                       43.8              51.4%                                      12.0%                     48.0 
   Microsoft                                                       16.6%         20.6                       27.4             -20.5%                                       6.1%                     30.6 
   Microchip Technology                                            15.8%         26.7                       28.8              15.4%                                      24.6%                     24.3 
   Palo Alto Networks                                              14.3%         41.7                       45.3             -11.8%                                      -4.4%                     57.3 
   Lam Research                                                    14.2%         38.3                       32.1              56.2%                                      30.8%                     25.8 
   Fair Isaac                                                      13.1%         20.3                       38.9             -40.8%                                      13.4%                     41.2 

(MORE TO FOLLOW) Dow Jones Newswires

April 14, 2026 09:55 ET (13:55 GMT)

Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

At the request of the copyright holder, you need to log in to view this content

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment