neo26000
01-16

CPI (Dec) was 0.4% (forecast 0.3%)

CPI year over year 2.9% (forecast 2.9%)

 Core CPI (Dec) was 0.2% (forecast 0.3%)

Core CPI year over year 3.2% (forecast 3.3%)

The Core CPI has traditionally been viewed as a more important indicator than the headline CPI, primarily due to its exclusion of volatile food and energy prices, which can distort underlying inflation trends. Additionally, monthly data tends to carry more weight than annual figures, as the latter are already largely known, with 11 months of data already in hand. However, the market seemed to overlook the 0.4% CPI increase in December, possibly driven by short covering. In my view, this suggests that the U.S. economy is not yet fully out of the woods. It's premature to assume a clear path forward just because one optimistic outlier has emerged on the horizon.

That said, I’m not particularly dissatisfied with the outcome, as my portfolio saw gains overnight, regardless of whether the focus was on the Core CPI or not.

MSFT & META Earnings Divergence: Any Post Earnings Plan?
Meta Platforms reported strong fourth quarter earnings. EPS up annually by 50% to $8.02, compared to Wall Street's consensus estimate of $6.76. However, revenue outlook missed estimates. Microsoft reported slower-than-expected growth in its crucial Azure cloud business on Wednesday despite beating estimates for overall quarterly revenue, sending its shares down 5% in extended trading. -------- Is Microsoft a buy after the earnings dip? How do you view their capex? Is Meta's guidance miss a warning sign?
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