TSLA remains in a Bullish trend, but a correction phase has begun

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

• TSLA has been in a Bullish trend zone for 3 days.

• The cumulative return since entering the Bullish zone is +9.4%.

• Buy-Sell intensity has shifted sharply toward selling, signaling potential further declines.

Long-Term Investment Strategy

• Current Trend Zone: Bullish

• Recommended Position: Buy and Hold (Long-Term)

TSLA remains in a Bullish trend, which historically supports strong buying pressure and a sustained uptrend. However, selling pressure has increased, signaling the start of a correction trend.

📌 Bullish Trend Duration: 3 days
📌 Cumulative Return Since Entry: +9.4%
📌 Buy Price: $248.7 (March 21, 2025) → Current Price: $272.1 (+$23.4)

Key Observations & Strategy

🔹 Bullish Trend Weakening

• Trend level% remains high at 87%, but expected to decline to 33% over the next 10 days.

• The probability of a trend reversal occurring in 1 day is increasing.

🔹 Strategic Actions
1️⃣ Hold Long-Term Positions: Despite the correction, the long-term Bullish trend remains intact.
2️⃣ Monitor the Trend Reversal Signal: If Bearish momentum strengthens, consider partial profit-taking.

Short-Term Trading Strategy

• Current Trend Zone: Bullish (Correction Trend Beginning)

• Recommended Position: Sell (Bearish Outlook for Short-Term)

TSLA is showing signs of a correction trend, with increased selling pressure and weakening upward momentum.

Key Short-Term Trend Insights

✔️ The ratio of downward to upward movement is now 7:3, meaning a stronger downward trend is expected.
✔️ Downward intensity is stronger than upward intensity, indicating continued declines.
✔️ The trend reversal probability is increasing, suggesting potential weakening of the Bullish zone.

📊 Expected Trend Movement (Next 10 Days)

• Price expected to range between $246.4 and $285.7.

• Median Expected Price: $266.0 (-2.2%)

Actionable Trade Plan

🔹 Short-term Selling Opportunity

• Target Sell Date: March 28 – March 31

• Recommended Sell Price: $270.2

🔹 Short-term Buying Opportunity

• Target Buy Date: April 3 – April 4

• Recommended Buy Price: $241.9

Market Correlation & Risk Factors

TSLA has a 72% correlation with the US Stock Market Average Index, meaning it tends to follow the overall market trend but has a 28% chance of moving independently.

🔸 Market Sensitivity: A shift in the broader market may impact TSLA's movement, but the stock also has independent volatility.
🔸 Volatility Risk: Sudden changes in Buy-Sell intensity make short-term predictions highly volatile.

Key Statistical Insights

📊 Projected Price Range (Next 10 Days)

• Upper Bound: $285.7 (+5.0%)

• Lower Bound: $246.4 (-9.4%)

• Median Expected Price: $266.0 (-2.2%)

📌 Bullish Trend Zone Analysis

• Past 30 Days Average Trend Level: -67% (Bearish)

• Current Trend Level: +87% (Strong Bullish but weakening)

• Expected Trend Level (Next 10 Days): +33% (Bullish but declining)

📌 Intensity of Movements

• Upward Strength Potential: 36% (Moderate)

• Downward Strength Potential: -51% (Stronger)

Strategic Takeaways

🔹 Long-Term Investors

• Hold TSLA, as the long-term Bullish trend is still active.

• Be cautious of increased selling pressure and monitor the trend reversal probability.

🔹 Short-Term Traders

• Consider selling around $270.2 between March 28 – March 31.

• Look for a buying opportunity around $241.9 between April 3 – April 4.

Final Verdict: Bullish Trend Weakening, Short-Term Downtrend Expected

TSLA remains in a Bullish trend, but a correction phase has begun, with increased selling pressure. Short-term traders should consider selling near $270.2 and buying back at $241.9, while long-term investors should monitor the potential trend reversal.