Cathie Wood’s Latest Nvidia Buy: Time to Jump In or Hold Back?

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04-14

$NVIDIA Corp ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ )$ $ARK Innovation ETF ( $ARK INNOVATION UCITS ETF(ARKK.UK)$ )$

On Monday, April 7, 2025, Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) scooped up roughly $14.8 million worth of Nvidia shares, snapping up 151,979 shares at that day’s closing price. With Nvidia’s stock taking a beating this year and markets wobbling, her move has investors buzzing: should you follow her lead and load up on Nvidia, or keep your cash close? As of April 13, 2025, let’s break it down with fresh data, weigh the risks and rewards, and figure out what’s next for your portfolio.

Nvidia in 2025: A Tech Giant Stumbles

Nvidia’s been a powerhouse, riding the AI wave with its cutting-edge chips. After soaring 171% in 2024, though, 2025 has been a reality check. The stock’s down 28.3% year-to-date as of April 8, with a nasty 14% drop in the week before Wood’s buy. What’s behind the slide? A shaky Q4 2024 earnings report, tariff threats from the Trump administration (despite a semiconductor exemption), and competition heating up—think China’s DeepSeek AI model shaking the market.

Here’s how Nvidia’s stock has trended this year:

Table: Nvidia Stock Price Snapshot (2025)

Note: Prices are illustrative based on reported trends.

At $105, Nvidia’s trading at a forward P/E of 25x—down from 40x last year. Is this a dip worth buying, or a sign of more trouble ahead?

Cathie Wood’s Play: Visionary or Risky?

Cathie Wood’s no stranger to bold calls. Her ARK Innovation ETF thrives on disruptive tech bets, and this Nvidia purchase screams confidence. ARKK’s down 29.7% YTD—worse than the S&P 500’s 15.3% loss—but Wood’s doubling down anyway. Why?

  • AI’s Future: Nvidia’s GPUs are still the gold standard for AI, and long-term demand looks solid.

  • Bargain Hunting: A 28% drop might signal value to a contrarian like Wood.

  • Tariff Break: The White House sparing semiconductors from tariffs eases supply chain woes.

But ARKK’s struggles can’t be ignored. The fund’s seen $2.33 billion in outflows over the past year, and its 10-year track record shows $7 billion in shareholder losses. Wood’s last big Nvidia move was in 2022—since then, she’s trimmed holdings until this pivot. Is she early to a rebound, or late to a sinking ship?

Why You Might Accumulate Nvidia

Tempted to follow Wood? Here’s the bull case:

  • AI Boom: Nvidia’s tech underpins everything from ChatGPT to autonomous driving. Analysts at Bank of America still call it a “top pick” for AI exposure.

  • Discount Pricing: At $105, the stock’s cheaper than it’s been in years. If macro fears ease, it could bounce.

  • Wood’s Signal: Her buy might mean she’s sniffed out a turning point—her gut’s been right before.

Why You Might Stay in Cash

Not so fast—here’s why caution could pay off:

  • Market Chaos: The S&P 500’s 10% April drop shows volatility’s king. Tariffs, even if dodged, keep sentiment shaky.

  • Nvidia Risks: HSBC’s “hold” rating and $120 target suggest limited upside. Another earnings miss could tank it further.

  • ARKK Red Flags: With $33 million fleeing ARKK in the week before the buy, Wood’s losing fans—and maybe momentum.

Graphing the Trend

Nvidia's stock price from January to April 2025

Run this, and you’ll see the downward spiral—and Wood’s entry at $105.

Your Options: Buy, Wait, or Mix It Up?

So, what’s the move? It depends on your style:

  • Buy Now: If you’re a long-term bull on AI and think $105 is a steal, grab a starter position. Scale in if it hits $100.

  • Hold Cash: If you’re spooked by volatility or waiting for Q1 earnings (May 15), sit tight. More clarity’s coming.

  • Split the Difference: Hedge your bets—put 30-50% into Nvidia now, keep the rest liquid for dips or diversification.

My Two Cents: I’d dip a toe in at $105 but keep cash handy. Nvidia’s got legs, but this market’s a minefield.

Over to You

Cathie Wood’s Nvidia grab is a gutsy call—but is it your call? Are you riding the AI wave with her, or watching from the sidelines? Share your take below—let’s hash out the smart play together!

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