$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ I’m calling it-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$

I’m calling it bearish near term. Here’s why:

• That $1B share offering? Classic dilution play. How many times can you keep milking shareholders before trust runs out?

• Deliveries in Q2 hit 72k (+25% YoY), but revenue only rose 9%. Growth is already lagging behind the hype.

• Gross margin at 10% is embarrassing compared to Tesla (18%) and BYD (20%+). Vehicle margin even declined vs last year — proof the EV price war is crushing them.

• Net loss was still ~US$700M in Q2. With losses like that, “profitability” sounds like a fairytale.

• Sure, they’ve got US$3.8B in cash, but at this burn rate they’ll be back for more handouts soon.

The stock keeps choking in the $6–7 range, and unless bulls pull off a miracle, I see $5.50–6 support breaking down next.

Yes, NIO talks big about battery swap and new brands (Onvo, Firefly), but right now it’s all smoke without fire. Until they show real profits, this feels like a sell the rip trap for bagholders.

My verdict: it’s better to sell now while the floor is still holding.

Auto stocks rose, led by Nio rising more than 8%

Hong Kong auto stocks rose, Nio rose by more than 8%, and Geely Automobile and Li Auto rose by more than 2%. The plan proposes to strive to achieve automobile sales of about 32.3 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 3%, of which the sales target of new energy vehicles is about 15.5 million units, a year-on-year increase of about 20%. According to Nio's official WeChat account, NIO Day 2025 Nio Day will be officially held, and the new ES8 will be officially launched. Geely Automobile plans to privatize Jikrypton and has obtained formal approval from Jikrypton shareholders.

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Comments

fibance
09-17
fibance
Did you cover your short already @ $6.83?

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The plan proposes to strive to achieve automobile sales of about 32.3 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 3%, of which the sales target of new energy vehicles is about 15.5 million units, a year-on-year increase of about 20%. According to Nio's official WeChat account, NIO Day 2025 Nio Day will be officially held, and the new ES8 will be officially launched. Geely Automobile plans to privatize Jikrypton and has obtained formal approval from Jikrypton shareholders.","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/364602775ac36938ac3a05d77d02a381"}],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;\n<p></p>\n<p>I’m calling it bearish near term. Here’s why:</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>• That $1B share offering? Classic dilution play. How many times can you keep milking shareholders before trust runs out?</p>\n<p>• Deliveries in Q2 hit 72k (+25% YoY), but revenue only rose 9%. 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Until they show real profits, this feels like a sell the rip trap for bagholders.</p>\n<p>My verdict: it’s better to sell now while the floor is still holding.&nbsp;</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;\n<p></p>\n<p>I’m calling it bearish near term. Here’s why:</p>\n<p></p>\n<p>• That $1B share offering? Classic dilution play. How many times can you keep milking shareholders before trust runs out?</p>\n<p>• Deliveries in Q2 hit 72k (+25% YoY), but revenue only rose 9%. Growth is already lagging behind the hype.</p>\n<p>• Gross margin at 10% is embarrassing compared to Tesla (18%) and BYD (20%+). Vehicle margin even declined vs last year — proof the EV price war is crushing them.</p>\n<p>• Net loss was still ~US$700M in Q2. 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Vehicle margin even declined vs last year — proof the EV price war is crushing them. • Net loss was still ~US$700M in Q2. With losses like that, “profitability” sounds like a fairytale. • Sure, they’ve got US$3.8B in cash, but at this burn rate they’ll be back for more handouts soon. The stock keeps choking in the $6–7 range, and unless bulls pull off a miracle, I see $5.50–6 support breaking down next. Yes, NIO talks big about battery swap and new brands (Onvo, Firefly), but right now it’s all smoke without fire. Until they show real profits, this feels like a sell the rip trap for bagholders. 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