<Part 3 of 5> Market outlook for S&P 500 (22Sep25)

KYHBKO
09-21

Market Outlook of S&P500 (22Sep25)

Technical observations:

  • MACD analysis indicates a bullish uptrend. However, it is important to note that a continuation of the prior downtrend remains a possibility, and this signal should be confirmed with other indicators.

  • The Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) are aligned in an uptrend, which supports a bullish outlook.

  • Both the 50-period and 200-period Moving Averages (MA) are showing an uptrend, suggesting a bullish market sentiment in both the short and long term.

  • The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is positive at 0.30, which confirms that there has been an influx of buying volume over the last 20 periods.

The technical analysis has a “Strong Buy” recommendation for the S&P500. 21 indicators recommend a “Buy” rating, and there are none with a “Sell” rating.

Outlook and Implications for the Coming Week

  • Short-Term Outlook: The S&P 500 is likely to trend bearish into the week if selling pressure continues. A neutral scenario could emerge if the price stabilised with a bullish pattern (e.g., Morning Star) and volume indicating a bottom.

  • Actionable Insight: Maintain a bearish bias. A break below with high volume; a bounce with a bullish candle and rising volume could signal a reversal.

The candlestick patterns suggest a bearish short-term outlook with a bearish long-term trend, indicating continued correction unless a bullish reversal forms at key support levels.

@TigerStars

$S&P 500(.SPX)$

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

H2 Outlook: How Do You Position for the Second Part?
As the second half (H2) of the year officially kicks off, how do you see the outlook shaping up? After all the market gains in H1, are you positioning differently moving forward? What’s your game plan for H2 — staying with the winners, rotating into laggards, or playing it safe with defensives? Let us know your take — bullish, cautious, or somewhere in between?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment