Apply "Core + growth" Barbell Strategy By Holding AVGO and ARM. Look Forward To Déjà vu Like AMD!

nerdbull1669
2025-10-14

Investors might hold both $Broadcom(AVGO)$ and $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ due to their complementary, rather than competing, positions in the semiconductor industry.

Broadcom is an established chip developer and producer, while Arm designs and licenses the underlying architecture that Broadcom and others use to build their chips. This provides a diversified approach to investing in the high-growth artificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductor markets. 

In this article, I would like to share how and why I own both Broadcom and ARM by effectively applying the "Core + growth" Barbell Strategy.

1. Complementary Roles in the AI Value Chain

Broadcom and Arm occupy different — but highly synergistic — parts of the semiconductor stack:

Why Investors Might Hold Both

Holding both AVGO and ARM provides a balanced exposure to the AI chip theme across layers of the supply chain:

  • Arm → upstream architecture exposure: captures growth from every company building AI-capable CPUs or edge processors using Arm IP.

  • Broadcom → downstream infrastructure exposure: benefits from demand for AI accelerators, networking bandwidth, and hyperscaler custom silicon.

Together, they offer diversification within AI semiconductors — Arm benefits from the proliferation of AI chips; Broadcom benefits from the deployment and scaling of AI compute infrastructure.

The OpenAI Connection

Both companies are reportedly collaborating with OpenAI:

  • Broadcom: developing custom AI chips for OpenAI (a move to reduce dependency on Nvidia).

  • Arm: its architecture is being explored for AI-optimized CPUs and custom accelerators in data centers and inference workloads.

Impact: This broadens the competitive field. If OpenAI successfully diversifies its chip supply chain:

  • Broadcom becomes a strategic fabricator and infrastructure enabler (like Nvidia’s key rival on the hardware side).

  • Arm’s IP could power the CPU layer of AI systems (especially in inference and low-power edge AI).

This does not replace $NVIDIA(NVDA)$, but it reshapes the ecosystem — shifting more value toward custom chipmakers (Broadcom, AMD, Marvell) and architectural licensors (Arm).

Will This Change the AI Chip Race?

We believe that this will change the AI Chip race, in three ways:

  1. More vertical integration: Companies like OpenAI, Amazon, and Google will increasingly design their own chips (with Broadcom as partner).

  2. CPU diversification: Arm-based architectures will compete more directly with x86 and even complement GPU workloads.

  3. Broader investor opportunity: The AI “arms race” becomes less about a single chip (Nvidia GPU) and more about entire system design — where Broadcom and Arm both win.

Outlook

  • Broadcom: steady earnings growth from AI networking + custom chip revenue (AI ASICs). Margin-rich and defensive.

  • Arm: higher volatility but strong long-term growth as AI adoption expands into mobile, automotive, and edge.

👉 Owning both = a core + growth barbell strategy — Broadcom for stable AI infrastructure cash flow, Arm for scalable architectural upside.

In this section, since I already own Broadcom (AVGO) and Arm Holdings (ARM), I would think that this is effectively applying a “core + growth” barbell strategy in the semiconductor space.

So we will be unpacking exactly how that works, what advantages it gives us, and how to think about balancing risk and reward between the two.

1. What Is the “Core + Growth Barbell Strategy”?

A barbell strategy balances stability on one side (core holdings) with high-growth potential on the other — creating a portfolio that can:

  • Participate in upside from innovation,

  • Maintain resilience during downturns.

In your case:

  • Broadcom (AVGO) = the core, representing income, cash flow stability, and infrastructure exposure.

  • Arm Holdings (ARM) = the growth, representing future upside from architectural leadership and AI proliferation.

2. Core Component — Broadcom (AVGO)

Investment Role:

  • Acts as the defensive anchor of your semiconductor exposure.

  • Provides steady earnings, strong free cash flow, and a dividend yield (~1.5–2%).

  • Has broad diversification across networking, wireless, broadband, and data center segments.

AI-Specific Strength:

  • Custom AI chips for hyperscalers ( $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Google, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$, OpenAI).

  • AI networking (Ethernet, PCIe, switching fabrics) critical for data center scaling.

  • Recent VMware acquisition deepens software and infrastructure integration — reducing cyclicality.

Financial Profile (as of 2025):

Why it fits the “core” bucket:

  • High margins, recurring enterprise contracts, disciplined capital return, and diversified AI exposure.

3. Growth Component — Arm Holdings (ARM)

Investment Role:

  • Provides high-growth leverage to AI adoption across devices and data centers.

  • Licensing model offers scalability — each AI chip designed on Arm architecture creates recurring royalties.

  • Positioned for AI edge computing, IoT, and mobile inference.

AI-Specific Strength:

  • Arm’s low-power RISC architecture becoming the CPU of choice for AI inference workloads (Amazon Graviton, Nvidia Grace, Apple M-series).

  • Potential future adoption in OpenAI’s AI inference CPUs.

  • Expanding into AI SoC design kits for edge applications (phones, cars, robots).

Financial Profile (as of 2025):

Why it fits the “growth” bucket:

  • High volatility but massive total addressable market (AI inference + mobile AI + IoT).

  • Leverage to industry-wide AI adoption regardless of which chipmaker wins.

Portfolio Synergy: Broadcom + Arm

Together, they hedge each other: When cyclical demand slows, Broadcom’s dividends and enterprise revenues stabilize returns; when AI adoption accelerates, Arm’s royalty model amplifies upside.

Strategic Takeaways for You as a Holder

  1. Stay patient on Arm — its valuation is lofty but supported by strong IP leverage. Expect volatility; view dips as reinvestment points if growth trajectory stays intact.

  2. Broadcom offers ballast — use it to compound dividends and offset ARM’s swings.

  3. Rebalance periodically — if ARM outperforms dramatically (e.g., >2× weight vs AVGO), consider trimming to maintain barbell symmetry.

  4. Watch AI architectural shifts — if more data centers move to Arm-based CPUs, your “growth” side will compound faster than expected.

  5. Macro hedge — AVGO is more resilient to interest rate or market stress; ARM is more sensitive to tech sentiment.

Forward-Looking Scenario (12–24 months)

Summary

Owning Broadcom + Arm is a textbook core + growth barbell:

  • Broadcom: “AI infrastructure cash flow” — the stable compounding core.

  • Arm: “AI architecture leverage” — the exponential growth engine.

Together, they form a balanced AI semiconductor exposure, reducing idiosyncratic risk while keeping upside from structural AI adoption.

Investors may hold both Broadcom and Arm due to their complementary, rather than competing, business models within the semiconductor industry. Arm designs and licenses its chip architecture, which Broadcom and many other chipmakers use in their products. Broadcom, in turn, is a key developer of custom chips and networking equipment that are vital for AI data centers and other applications. By holding both stocks, investors can benefit from Arm's royalty and licensing revenue across a wide range of devices, while also capturing Broadcom's growth in high-demand, high-margin areas like custom AI hardware and networking. 

A partnership with OpenAI could lead to stronger performance for both companies and significantly impact the AI chip race. 

  • Broadcom: OpenAI has partnered with Broadcom to co-develop custom AI accelerators and networking gear for its data centers. This multibillion-dollar deal provides Broadcom with a massive and stable source of demand, positioning it as a key alternative to Nvidia and intensifying competition.

  • Arm: Sources indicate OpenAI is also working with Arm to develop CPUs that complement the AI chips being developed with Broadcom. This further validates Arm's critical role and could lead to increased licensing revenue, particularly for its designs optimized for AI workloads.

  • Race for AI chips: These partnerships signal a major shift where large AI companies like OpenAI are diversifying their supply chain away from relying solely on one provider like Nvidia. This creates more opportunities for other players like Broadcom and Arm, accelerating the pace of development and intensifying competition as each company vies for a larger share of the burgeoning AI infrastructure market.

Appreciate if you could share your thoughts in the comment section whether you think “core + growth” barbell strategy would be effective to invest and hold onto Broadcom and ARM.

@TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @Tiger_Earnings @TigerWire @MillionaireTiger appreciate if you could feature this article so that fellow tiger would benefit from my investing and trading thoughts.

Disclaimer: The analysis and result presented does not recommend or suggest any investing in the said stock. This is purely for Analysis.

OpenAI Family Expanding: Is It A Blessing or A Curse?
OpenAI has been insanely busy lately — one moment it’s doing e-commerce, the next it’s getting into social, and now it’s even launching a browser. It announced plans to deploy 6GW of AMD Instinct GPUs. OpenAI went a step further and partnered with Broadcom to develop custom ASIC chips. Microsoft mainly provides OpenAI’s training compute, while Oracle handles inference workloads. Meanwhile, PayPal officially announced a partnership with OpenAI yesterday — its stock spiked but later gave back most of the gains by the close.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • mars_venus
    2025-10-20
    mars_venus
    Great article, would you like to share it?
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