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12-14 22:51

🚀 SpaceX at $1.5 Trillion: Is This the "Tesla Moment" We’ve Been Waiting For?

The rumors are loud, and the numbers are staggering. Reports are circulating that SpaceX is advancing plans for a massive tender offer and a potential 2026 IPO, eyeing a valuation of $1.5 TRILLION.

To put that in perspective: That is bigger than the GDP of most countries. It’s bigger than Meta. It is essentially creating a new asset class overnight.

The market immediately reacted: Destiny Tech100 ($DXYZ) jumped 10%, and legacy players like EchoStar ($SATS) rallied 6%+.

But before you blindly FOMO into anything with "Space" in the name, let’s break down what this actually means for your portfolio. Are we looking at the next Tesla-style rally, or a massive bull trap?

Here is the deep dive. 👇

1️⃣ The "Proxy Trade" Madness ($DXYZ)

Whenever SpaceX makes headlines, $DXYZ moves. Why? Because right now, it’s one of the only ways retail traders can get indirect exposure to private SpaceX shares.

 * The Insight: When a scarcity asset (SpaceX stock) is in high demand, the proxy ($DXYZ) often trades at a massive premium to its Net Asset Value (NAV).

 * The Warning: You aren't just buying the stock; you are paying a "hype tax" for access. If you trade DXYZ, you are trading volatility and sentiment, not just fundamentals. Be nimble here.

2️⃣ Rocket Lab ($RKLB): The "Android" to SpaceX's "iPhone"

While everyone looks at Elon, Rocket Lab is quietly putting on a masterclass.

The screenshot rightly calls them the "second-best space company," but that undersells it. They are the only other viable launch provider with a consistent track record right now.

 * Why it matters: Institutional money cannot buy SpaceX yet. As the "Space Supercycle" narrative heats up in 2025, fund managers looking for sector exposure have to buy Rocket Lab.

 * The Setup: If SpaceX is the "Tesla of 2019" (dominating headlines), Rocket Lab is the emerging competitor that captures the rest of the market. The volume and price action suggest smart money is accumulating here for the long haul.

3️⃣ The Dangerous "Sympathy Play"

A rising tide lifts all boats, but it also lifts the junk.

Seeing EchoStar ($SATS) pop on SpaceX news is a classic retail trap.

 * The Reality: Starlink (owned by SpaceX) is actively disrupting and destroying the business models of legacy satellite internet providers.

 * The Lesson: Don’t buy the companies getting disrupted just because the disruptor is in the news. Stick to the innovators, not the dinosaurs.

4️⃣ Is Space the "Next Tesla of 2019"?

In 2019, Tesla sentiment shifted from "risky auto company" to "tech platform dominating the world." The stock went parabolic.

Space stocks are up over 100% YTD, signaling we are in that exact transition phase. We are moving from "Science Fiction" to "Industrialization."

 * The Catalyst: A 2026 IPO target for SpaceX gives us a 12-month runway of speculation. This trend isn't going away next week.

💡 The Bottom Line

The "SpaceX Halo Effect" is real. A $1.5T valuation validates the entire industry.

 * For the Gamblers: $Destiny Tech100 Inc(DXYZ)$   (High risk, high volatility).

 * For the Investors: $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$   (Solid execution, actual revenue growth).

 * For the Dreamers: $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$   (High reward if their tech connects, zero if it fails).

The space race is no longer just about rockets; it’s about liquidity flowing into the next big macro theme. Don’t be late to the launchpad.

🗣️ Discussion Time:

 * If SpaceX goes public at $1.5T, are you buying Day 1, or is that too expensive?

 * Who wins the race for "Best of the Rest"—Rocket Lab ($RKLB) or AST SpaceMobile ($ASTS)?

 * Are you holding space stocks through 2025, or taking profits on this pop?

Drop your thoughts below! 👇

@TigerWire  @TigerEvents  @Daily_Discussion  @Tiger_comments  @TigerStars  

Is SpaceX the Next Tesla? What Space Stock is Your Pick?
DXYZ jumped 10%, and EchoStar gained over 6% after reports that SpaceX is advancing plans for a 2026 IPO with a fundraising target far exceeding $30 billion — potentially the largest IPO in history. SpaceX is aiming for a valuation of around $1.5 trillion. Rocket Lab, the second-best space company after SpaceX in 2025, delivered what analysts call a “masterclass in execution.” Space stocks have surged over 100% year-to-date. Have you boarded the space-stock rally? Is space the “next Tesla of 2019”? If SpaceX goes public, would you join the IPO?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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