Subramanyan
12-17 14:46

BoJ's recent and near future policy tightening, like interest rate hikes, can be expected to increase market volatility and could also lead to further falls in certain risk assets & cryptocurrencies in the near term. The potential for a significant market fall, however, is perhaps overplayed- it could be an episodic volatility rather than a systemic meltdown. 

Much of the immediate impact of a potential Dec rate hike is already factored into current market prices, which could mitigate a sharp, immediate shock. What would be more important is the forward guidance and the pace of future hikes in 2026. Lastly, divergence between the BoJ's tightening policy and other central banks like the Fed, which might be cutting rates in 2026 is a key driver of current market dynamics.

Record Options Expiry Meets BoJ: Can S&P 500 Close Higher Tonight?
Wall Street faces an unprecedented “quadruple witching” this Friday, with record options expirations tied to roughly $5 trillion in S&P 500 exposure and another $880 billion linked to single stocks. The Bank of Japan raised its benchmark interest rate from 0.5% to 0.75%, in line with market expectations. This move lifted rates to their highest level in 30 years and marked the BOJ’s first rate hike in 11 months, since January 2025. ----------------- Will the bull hold 6800? How much effect would BOJ rate hike lay on US stock? Can Santa rally be assured tonight?
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