LanlanCC
01-13 20:59

Oracle’s CDS has surged sharply since mid-2025, driven by aggressive AI/cloud capex, rising debt, and execution concerns, with spreads near post-2009 highs and elevated trading volumes.


Google’s CDS has modestly widened in 2025 (led by AI capex concerns) but stayed well contained versus peers, reflecting its strong balance sheet, robust FCF, and top-tier credit profile.


Relative Context

Google CDS remains among the lowest for large tech, reflecting its:

- Net cash position (vs net debt at peers)

- Diversified revenue streams

- Strong free cash flow generation

- Conservative leverage metrics



goog are brilliant

The market is not confident to Oracle. Is it risky? 

Alphabet Hits $4T: Is $400 Possible in 2026?
Alphabet closed with a market cap above $4 trillion for the first time, cementing its position as a leading AI winner. The move comes as reports suggest Apple may adopt Gemini as the foundation model for its AI-powered Siri. If confirmed, the partnership would mark a major shift in Apple’s AI strategy and further validate Alphabet’s large-model leadership. With Alphabet above $4T, is the market still underpricing its AI monetization potential? If Apple leans on Gemini, does this strengthen or weaken Apple’s long-term AI narrative?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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