daz999999999
02-08
$Strategy(MSTR)$  


Trading Highlights

Based on the comprehensive data analysis, the following key trend correlations are identified:

Strong bearish technical confirmation

MACD histogram has consistently deteriorated (-8.6908 by 2026-02-05), RSI(6) entered oversold territory (11.8871), and KDJ shows sustained downward momentum (K=12.35, D=16.10).

High correlation with weakening price momentum.

Elevated put option hedging activity

Significant block trades in deep OTM puts (e.g., $400 strike PUTs with $188M notional value) and skewed IV/HV ratios (e.g., 2.02 for $113 CALL) indicate institutional downside protection.

Medium-high correlation with bearish sentiment.

Contradictory capital flow signals

Net outflows dominated 3 of 5 days (-$60.4M peak outflow), but recent inflows ($24.1M and $9.7M) suggest volatile positioning.

Low-medium correlation with directional conviction due to inconsistency.



AppLovin Beats But Dips: Is Clawdbot the New SaaS Valuation Killer?
Cloudflare reported Q4 revenue of $614.5M (+33.6% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS of $0.28, sending shares +17% after hours. Non-GAAP net income jumped to $106.8M, while free cash flow nearly doubled to $99.4M (16.2% margin). Cisco raised its full-year revenue guidance, but projected weaker Q3 gross margins, down to as low as 65.5%. Shares fell more than 7% after hours. AppLovin reported Q4 revenue of $1.658 billion, up 66% YoY, with net income rising 84% to $1.102 billion. Adjusted EBITDA increased 82% year over year.
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