Clawdbot Bang: Are AI Agents Replacing Apps? SaaS a Golden Dip or Value Trap?

Tiger_comments
02-11 23:49
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One of the hottest topics in the AI world lately is the sudden emergence of Clawdbot (OpenClaw).

In the past, our workflows required humans to switch between different SaaS tools. Clawdbot is changing the game: it can directly take over tasks via APIs or automation scripts. When AI can deliver results directly — without you even opening a UI — will traditional SaaS software gradually be reduced to little more than backend databases?

The deeper concern lies in business models. The core SaaS logic of seat-based pricing is facing potential disruption. If one AI agent can do the work of ten employees, will companies still pay for ten software licenses? Last week’s broad pullback in SaaS stocks may have been an early market reaction to this kind of “dimensionality reduction” threat.

Earnings Divergence: Who’s Thriving, Who’s Falling?

This week showed sharp divergence within the SaaS sector:

  • $Shopify(SHOP)$ rose over 6% after beating profit expectations and announcing a $2B share buyback plan.

  • $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ delivered strong 34% revenue growth, supported by resilient cybersecurity demand, reinforcing the idea that companies with strong moats remain safe havens for capital.

  • $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ , backed by high expectations for its AXON AI marketing platform, also highlights the resilience of AI infrastructure-type companies.

On the flip side, some companies faced harsh valuation resets:

  • $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ plunged more than 26% after weak guidance. As AI lowers development barriers, SaaS firms that cannot demonstrate clear AI monetization are seeing their valuation premiums squeezed.

Should we watch for “AI Efficiency Uplift”?

The key is finding companies that use AI to increase ARPU (average revenue per user) rather than simply replacing human seats. For example, AppLovin leverages AI to boost ad conversion rates — an outcome-based pricing model that may prove more durable in the AI era.

Questions

  • Do you think AI assistants like Clawdbot will eventually make apps on our phones and computers disappear?

  • When a company like Unity drops 25% in a single day, is it a bargain opportunity — or a falling knife?

Leave your comments to win tiger coins!

AppLovin Beats But Dips: Is Clawdbot the New SaaS Valuation Killer?
Cloudflare reported Q4 revenue of $614.5M (+33.6% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS of $0.28, sending shares +17% after hours. Non-GAAP net income jumped to $106.8M, while free cash flow nearly doubled to $99.4M (16.2% margin). Cisco raised its full-year revenue guidance, but projected weaker Q3 gross margins, down to as low as 65.5%. Shares fell more than 7% after hours. AppLovin reported Q4 revenue of $1.658 billion, up 66% YoY, with net income rising 84% to $1.102 billion. Adjusted EBITDA increased 82% year over year.
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Comments

  • 北极篂
    00:22
    北极篂
    但分化也很明显。Shopify能涨,是因为它绑定的是GMV增长和生态粘性,还有$20亿回购托底;Cloudflare 34%增长说明网络与安全是刚需型基础设施;AppLovin用AI提升广告转化率,本质是帮客户赚钱,ARPU自然能提升。
  • 這是甚麼東西
    14:10
    這是甚麼東西
    AI assistants are evolving into orchestrators, turning apps into background tools rather than manual destinations. Regarding Unity, its 25% drop stems from weak guidance and AI competition; while its positive cash flow suggests a bargain, its high volatility and structural threats make it a classic falling knife.
  • koolgal
    06:13
    koolgal
    🌟🌟🌟Shopify $Shopify(SHOP)$ is one of the rare SaaS winners because it sits at the intersection of discipline , infrastructure and real economic activity.

    Shopify is one of the largest commerce platforms in the world.  It powers millions of businesses across 175 countries and is the default choice for entrepreneurs, Direct to Consumers brands and fast growing online stores.

    While Amazon is the biggest market place, Shopify is the biggest merchant owned commerce platform.

    Shopify is an SaaS winner because it is disciplined by cutting costs, streamlined its operations, has a laser focus on core commerce and  rebuilt their margin profile.

    The result : Profit beats , expanding operating leverage and a business that scales well.

    Shopify isn't just a platform. It is the infrastructure layer for millions of merchants worldwide.  Once merchants plug in, they rarely leave.

    Shopify's revenue is tied to actual commerce.  That is why it is a SaaS winner.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars

  • Chrishust
    04:11
    Chrishust
    1. Ai assistants like clawdbot will compete strongly in the application market for phones, however these will add to the existing application ecosystem rather than replace existing applications. There will be a decline in new applications however existing applications would not be impacted.
    2. $Uniti Group Inc(UNIT)$ $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ is a short or sale. While the impact of artificial intelligence has been overstated, the value of this highly priced software company is likely to fall further & decrease in value due to loss of market share competing with artificial intelligence
  • 北极篂
    00:23
    北极篂
    至于App会不会消失?我觉得不会消失,但会“隐形化”。前端入口可能变成一个超级Agent,背后仍是大量SaaS模块协同。
  • 北极篂
    00:22
    北极篂
    这类公司是“AI增效受益者”。反观Unity,问题不是AI威胁,而是自身增长与盈利路径不清晰,当预期过高,指引稍弱就被重锤。25%暴跌未必是便宜,更多是估值回归。
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