This is no longer a cash-burn story. Grab has crossed into structural profitability.
The superapp model is now generating real earnings and free cash flow, with operating leverage kicking in across mobility, deliveries, ads, and lending.
📈 Inflection status: CONFIRMED POSITIVE
Revenue, margins, and cash flow have all turned sustainably positive.
Atomic evidence:
• FY25 net profit $200M vs $158M loss (FY24)
• Q4’25 GMV $6.1B, +21% YoY
• FY25 adj. FCF $290M
• Adj. EBITDA +60% YoY to $500M
• Loan book doubled to $1.18B
⚠️ Bottleneck:
Financial Services segment breakeven targeted for 2H26.
💰 Price-conditioned valuation:
At **US$4.23 (11 Feb 2026)**, the market discounts 2028 EBITDA/FCF targets despite confirmed net profit and buybacks.
🧠 Verdict: Buy. The profitability inflection is real; valuation hasn’t caught up.
🤖 AI-assisted analysis
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