Shyon
02-13
From my perspective, this swing from “AI-phoria” to “AI-phobia” feels more like a valuation reset than the end of the bull market. AI isn’t going away, but timelines are being repriced. The rotation into names like $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ & $Coca-Cola(KO)$ tells me the market is favoring certainty and cash flow over big narratives for now.

That doesn’t mean tech is finished. What’s breaking is the belief that mega-cap tech can rise endlessly without scrutiny. Stocks like Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta now need to prove AI spending can translate into profits. I’ve trimmed some stretched positions, but I’m holding quality platforms rather than exiting tech entirely.

On the macro side, strong jobs data keeps the Federal Reserve cautious, despite rate-cut hopes and noise from Donald Trump. My strategy remains a barbell: core tech for the long term, defensives to manage volatility. To me, this isn’t switching direction—it’s slowing down at a sharp bend.

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub

80% Rate Cut By June: Will S&P 500 Extend Gains?
US January CPI surprised to the downside, with headline inflation rising just 0.2% MoM (vs. 0.3% expected) and 2.4% YoY, the lowest since last May. Core inflation also came in softer than forecast, pushing market pricing for a Fed rate cut before June to 80%. Treasury yields slipped as traders pulled forward easing bets, while equities initially cheered the cooling inflation print. Does softer CPI reflect higher possibility of rate cuts? Will the S&P 500 extend gains on rate-cut optimism?
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