Shyon
04-20
I think this is one of the rare earnings seasons where bullish expectations are justified. AI is driving real earnings, and with analysts already modeling strong growth, the usual “lowball then beat” setup isn’t there. A 19% EPS growth target for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is high, but still achievable if the megacaps deliver.

For $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , the numbers matter less than the narrative. Margins and deliveries are known — the focus is whether it can prove its shift toward AI and autonomy. The AI5 chip and Terafab angle are key; if Tesla is seen as a future compute player, the valuation could change. A beat helps, but reducing long-term uncertainty matters more.

I’m still most bullish on AI infrastructure names where demand is clear. Tesla, though, is the key wildcard — its upside isn’t fully priced in. If this call shows real progress, it could rerate quickly; if not, even good results may fall short.

@TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub

Tesla Slides Ahead of Earnings: What Is Market Pricing In?
Tesla fell 1.55% to $386 ahead of its after-hours Q1 earnings release, with markets actively repricing risk on two fronts: a lawsuit from owners over Musk's 2016 autonomous driving promises has surfaced FSD legal liability, while reports of Tesla using complex tax structures to avoid billions in U.S. taxes are stoking policy risk. Institutional focus remains on margin trajectory and FSD subscription revenue sustainability. Can the $380 support level hold before the earnings data lands?
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