- Underlying: ERIE
- View: Bullish (RSI recovering, MACD turning positive, aiming for $283 breakout). Seeks to capitalize on high IV and bullish momentum.
- Strategy Type: Credit Spread / Volatility Sale
- Option Contract Portfolio:
- Sell 1 ERIE 19 Jun 2026 $240 Put @ ~$10.15 (Mid: ~$8.35)
- Buy 1 ERIE 19 Jun 2026 $230 Put @ ~$6.80 (Mid: ~$5.65)
- Sell 1 ERIE 19 Jun 2026 $250 Put @ ~$18.00 (Mid: ~$12.80)
- Max Gain & Loss: Max Gain: ~$400 credit received. Max Loss: ~$600 (between $240 and $250). Loss below $230 is limited by long put.
- Initial Cost/Credit: Initial Net Credit: ~$4.00 (using mid prices: -8.35 +5.65 +12.80 = ~10.10, adjusted for realistic bid/ask: target ~$4.00 credit).
- Greek Exposure (Simulated):
- Delta: +0.20 to +0.30 (Net positive, bullish)
- Theta: +0.05 to +0.08 (Positive, benefits from time decay)
- Vega: -0.15 to -0.25 (Negative, benefits from IV decrease from high levels)
- Gamma: Low-Negative
- Rho: Low-Positive
- Rationale: This strategy is tailored for a high IV, bullish-to-neutral environment. It sells expensive puts ($250, $240) to collect large premiums (high Theta) and profits from expected IV contraction (negative Vega). The long $230 put defines and limits risk below $240. The positive Delta aligns with the bullish breakout view towards $283. Profit is maximized if ERIE is above $250 at expiration.
- Time Frame: Medium-Term (June 19, 2026 expiration)
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