Praveenh
04-23 19:11

JPMorgan (JPM) is a completely different animal from the three we just discussed — this is an actual profitable business, not a bet on future technology.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

JPMorgan is the most straightforward story of everything we’ve discussed. Q1 2026: net income up 13% to $16.5B, revenue up 10% to $50.5B, record trading revenue — all beats.  This is a machine that actually works.

The real risks worth knowing: Basel III regulatory changes would uniquely raise JPMorgan’s capital requirements compared to peers, which management flagged as a competitive disadvantage.  And Dimon is openly warning about weakening credit standards, stress in leveraged borrowers, and a potential tougher credit cycle ahead  — which is notable because he’s rarely alarmist without reason. Expenses also rose 14% year-on-year , outpacing revenue growth, which is a trend worth watching.

Recommendation: JPM is one of the few large-cap stocks you can actually justify owning on fundamentals alone — 23% return on tangible equity, $16.5B net income in a single quarter, trading at ~$312 . It’s not a high-growth story, but it’s a high-quality one. If you don’t own it, a pullback toward $280–290 would be a cleaner entry. If you do own it, hold — but take Dimon’s credit cycle warning seriously. If a recession materializes, banks get hit hard and fast regardless of how well-run they are.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Oracle Drops 6%: Supermicro Narrative Shift?
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