In many cases, these super lar-To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

In many cases, these super large IPOs happen just around market highs.

However, Fundstrat argues that this is not a "top signal," but rather a real stock supply shock from large IPOs—when the lock period expires (usually six months later), a large number of tradable shares flooded into the market. SpaceX lockup period is expected to expire between December 15 and 27.

At a size of 2.7% of the market value of SpaceX, this supply pressure will be unprecedented. With Anthropic and OpenAI also preparing for IPOs, the concentrated burst of IPO supplies could become a structural force that neutralizes market valuations in the second half of the year.

Wait until the end of lock up period

SpaceX IPO Countdown Hammers Space Stocks — Long or Short?

Space-proxy equities slid as SpaceX's IPO approaches: Rocket Lab tumbled 6.99% Wednesday, while ASTS, SPCE, and RDW extended losses overnight. Noted short-seller Steve Eisman called SpaceX's valuation "absurd" relative to Nvidia's, and Jefferies has begun facilitating bearish positioning across the space sector. With an epic IPO narrative on one side and prominent contrarian voices on the other, would you use RKLB or ASTS to front-run the listing — or side with the shorts?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap

Leave a comment

5

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":566942614075000,"tweetId":"566942614075000","gmtCreate":1779442988039,"gmtModify":1779443092266,"author":{"id":4154324731220292,"idStr":"4154324731220292","authorId":4154324731220292,"authorIdStr":"4154324731220292","name":"LanlanCC","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3948de6f163a5a6681afd7d84bcfbda1","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-3","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"President Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $1,000,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.06.05","exceedPercentage":"93.69%","individualDisplayEnabled":0},"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-3","name":"President Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $1,000,000","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":0,"redirectLinkValidityTo":9223372036854776000},{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-3","name":"Legendary Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 300","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":0,"redirectLinkValidityTo":9223372036854776000},{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":0,"redirectLinkValidityTo":9223372036854776000}],"fanSize":420,"starInvestorFlag":true,"fullDisclosureFlag":false,"starInvestorFollowerNum":399,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":436,"userFollowInvestorFlag":false,"orderNotificationFlag":false,"ror":96.13,"showRor":true,"investmentPhilosophy":"\n不去人多的地方，\n看得懂，就可以\n這裏看到的不一定是主流的話題。\n但可以看到我留意什麼，收益還可以\n","winRationPercentage":60.97561,"tradeVolumeEst":0},"themes":[{"themeId":"ed4e12205bf34b65a986ea968dd36ee0","categoryId":"ab3d937a5fd848c08008411a9be702b5","name":"SpaceX IPO Countdown Hammers Space Stocks — Long or Short?","type":0,"rnLink":"https://laohu8.com/RN?name=RNTheme&page=/theme/detail&rndata={\"themeId\":ed4e12205bf34b65a986ea968dd36ee0}&rnconfig={\"headerBarHidden\": true}","description":"Space-proxy equities slid as SpaceX's IPO approaches: Rocket Lab tumbled 6.99% Wednesday, while ASTS, SPCE, and RDW extended losses overnight. Noted short-seller Steve Eisman called SpaceX's valuation \"absurd\" relative to Nvidia's, and Jefferies has begun facilitating bearish positioning across the space sector. With an epic IPO narrative on one side and prominent contrarian voices on the other, would you use RKLB or ASTS to front-run the listing — or side with the shorts?","image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b3e2f4792e06a23b881ae0c37c9b65a4"}],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>In many cases, these super large IPOs happen just around market highs.</p>\n<p>However, Fundstrat argues that this is not a \"top signal,\" but rather a real stock supply shock from large IPOs—when the lock period expires (usually six months later), a large number of tradable shares flooded into the market. SpaceX lockup period is expected to expire between December 15 and 27.</p>\n<p>At a size of 2.7% of the market value of SpaceX, this supply pressure will be unprecedented. With Anthropic and OpenAI also preparing for IPOs, the concentrated burst of IPO supplies could become a structural force that neutralizes market valuations in the second half of the year.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Wait until the end of lock up period</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>In many cases, these super large IPOs happen just around market highs.</p>\n<p>However, Fundstrat argues that this is not a \"top signal,\" but rather a real stock supply shock from large IPOs—when the lock period expires (usually six months later), a large number of tradable shares flooded into the market. SpaceX lockup period is expected to expire between December 15 and 27.</p>\n<p>At a size of 2.7% of the market value of SpaceX, this supply pressure will be unprecedented. With Anthropic and OpenAI also preparing for IPOs, the concentrated burst of IPO supplies could become a structural force that neutralizes market valuations in the second half of the year.</p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>Wait until the end of lock up period</p></body></html>","text":"In many cases, these super large IPOs happen just around market highs. However, Fundstrat argues that this is not a \"top signal,\" but rather a real stock supply shock from large IPOs—when the lock period expires (usually six months later), a large number of tradable shares flooded into the market. SpaceX lockup period is expected to expire between December 15 and 27. At a size of 2.7% of the market value of SpaceX, this supply pressure will be unprecedented. With Anthropic and OpenAI also preparing for IPOs, the concentrated burst of IPO supplies could become a structural force that neutralizes market valuations in the second half of the year. Wait until the end of lock up period","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/566942614075000","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":302,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":572,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/566942614075000"}