I don’t really believe in the World Cup curse. Looking at the past tournaments, the market performance was driven much more by macro conditions than football. The dot-com crash, Fed rate hikes, and earnings cycles mattered far more than what was happening on the pitch. Correlation doesn’t always mean causation.
What I do think is real is the impact on liquidity. With matches being played during U.S. trading hours this year, I wouldn’t be surprised to see lighter volumes and more short-term volatility. Traders are fans too, and attention is a limited resource.
My biggest winner is still the sports betting ecosystem. The World Cup is a massive customer-acquisition event, and companies like DraftKings, Flutter, Sportradar, and Genius Sports could see a surge in engagement. That said, I’m also watching prediction markets closely, as they may end up capturing a bigger share of the action than many investors expect.
@Tiger_SG @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @小虎热点雷达 @小虎福利站
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