Puts puts puts baby
07-11

A 7x oversubscription for a $26.5B listing is an absolute monster of a debut. While the "peak sentiment" bears will naturally argue that this is a valuation top, the underlying fundamentals of the High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) market suggest we are looking at a genuine structural shift rather than a temporary bubble.

A few reasons why this leans more toward a super-cycle than peak euphoria:

Insatiable AI Demand: Next-gen AI chips (like NVIDIA's Blackwell and beyond) require exponentially more HBM. As the clear market leader in HBM3e, SK Hynix isn't just riding a wave; they are building the infrastructure for it.

Supply is Already Locked In: Major memory producers have already noted that their HBM capacity is fully booked out through the foreseeable future. When supply cannot keep up with secular demand, prices stay sticky-high.

SK Hynix Plunges 9% Despite 12x Profit Surge — Is AI Memory Story Broken?
SK Hynix fell 8.98% Tuesday plus 4.79% after hours — net profit up ~12x YoY, but revenue missed targets.That cracked the whole memory chain: SanDisk -14.25%, Micron -8.85%, DRAM ETF -8.89%, 2x leveraged 07709 -18.99%. SOXS +14.45% against SOXL -14.52%, with KOSPI down nearly 28% in a month as the main transmission chain.If even the strongest HBM earnings can't hold share prices and inverse ETFs are at sentiment extremes — is this selloff nearing exhaustion, or just beginning?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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