Key Points For Backing Micron (MU) To Rise Again
Micron's moat is a blend of scale economics (one of three scaled DRAM/NAND suppliers), process-technology parity-to-leadership (1γ DRAM and G9 NAND ramping as the highest-volume nodes in company history; next-gen nodes on track for 2H-CY27), and a first-mover position in differentiated form factors
The 16 signed SCAs, take-or-pay, five-year, non-cancellable outside automotive, with price floors management states sit “well above peak quarterly margins in any past cycle” has structurally raised the earnings floor for the next downcycle.
We reaffirm BUY on Micron with a price target of US$1,665, implying ~+40% upside to the indicative post-print level of ~USD 1,186.
The quarter was a broad-based earnings beat. Results again blew past an already-high bar, while Q3 nearly doubled revenue to USD 41.5bn at 84.9% GM and USD 25.11 EPS, the fifth consecutive revenue record.
Comments