AdamDavis
08-11

Big Tech's AI spending is hitting levels you rarely see in modern history. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$  $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  $Microsoft(MSFT)$  $Oracle(ORCL)$  are estimated to push CapEx to 2.4% of U.S. GDP in 2026, up roughly 1 percentage point from 2025.

For some context, broadcasting and telecom companies spent about 1.0% of GDP on CapEx back in 1999, right at the peak of the Dot-Com investment boom. And the spending isn't slowing. By 2027, Big Tech CapEx is projected to reach 3.1% of GDP, more than double the 1.4% recorded in 2025.

In 2024, Big Tech CapEx was just 0.8% of GDP—roughly equivalent to telecom spending in 1997. The takeaway is pretty clear: the AI investment cycle is already surpassing the capital-spending boom of the Dot-Com era.

The bigger question now is whether AI-driven productivity and revenue growth can actually justify the scale of this investment.

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