TheMarketLens101
08-16 20:46

TSLA: Stock View + FCN Structure

1. Stock View

TSLA is trading around the $340 area, still inside a large multi-year triangle.

The positive is that price recently tested the rising support around $295–310 and bounced, suggesting buyers are still defending the long-term uptrend.

However, TSLA has not yet broken the descending resistance from its ~$499 high.

Key levels:

* 🟢 $295–310: Major support / attractive risk-reward

* 🟡 $330–350: Current accumulation zone

* 🟠 $380–400: First major resistance

* 🔥 $410–430: Breakout confirmation

* 🚀 $499: Previous high

The DMI remains cautious:

+DI: 17.0 | −DI: 34.2 | ADX: 24.9

With −DI still above +DI, selling momentum remains stronger on the weekly chart.

My call: Cautiously bullish. Accumulate around current levels, add closer to $300 if support holds, and become more aggressive only after a convincing breakout above $400–430.

2. FCN View — 12M TSLA

If the objective is to minimise KI risk, I would look at:

* 65% KI ≈ $222 — reasonable buffer, but still above the next major historical support

* 60% KI ≈ $205 — my preferred level, sitting close to the ~$200 historical support zone

* 55% KI ≈ $188 — most defensive, placing KI clearly below the ~$200 support

My preference: 60% KI, with 75–80% strike.

Why? TSLA already has first major support around $295–310, while the next important historical support is around $200. A 60% KI places the barrier near that second support while still offering a more realistic coupon than 55%.

Preferred structure:

12M TSLA | 75–80% Strike | 60% KI

If protection is the absolute priority, go 55% KI. If willing to trade some protection for coupon, 65% KI is the more aggressive choice.$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  

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