TSLA: Stock View + FCN Structure
1. Stock View
TSLA is trading around the $340 area, still inside a large multi-year triangle.
The positive is that price recently tested the rising support around $295–310 and bounced, suggesting buyers are still defending the long-term uptrend.
However, TSLA has not yet broken the descending resistance from its ~$499 high.
Key levels:
* 🟢 $295–310: Major support / attractive risk-reward
* 🟡 $330–350: Current accumulation zone
* 🟠 $380–400: First major resistance
* 🔥 $410–430: Breakout confirmation
* 🚀 $499: Previous high
The DMI remains cautious:
+DI: 17.0 | −DI: 34.2 | ADX: 24.9
With −DI still above +DI, selling momentum remains stronger on the weekly chart.
My call: Cautiously bullish. Accumulate around current levels, add closer to $300 if support holds, and become more aggressive only after a convincing breakout above $400–430.
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2. FCN View — 12M TSLA
If the objective is to minimise KI risk, I would look at:
* 65% KI ≈ $222 — reasonable buffer, but still above the next major historical support
* 60% KI ≈ $205 — my preferred level, sitting close to the ~$200 historical support zone
* 55% KI ≈ $188 — most defensive, placing KI clearly below the ~$200 support
My preference: 60% KI, with 75–80% strike.
Why? TSLA already has first major support around $295–310, while the next important historical support is around $200. A 60% KI places the barrier near that second support while still offering a more realistic coupon than 55%.
Preferred structure:
12M TSLA | 75–80% Strike | 60% KI
If protection is the absolute priority, go 55% KI. If willing to trade some protection for coupon, 65% KI is the more aggressive choice.$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
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