$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 170 Put expired OTM, may look to sell puts again on the ~160 to 170 range for more premiums given the recent rotation of liquidity into crypto.
1️⃣ Why am I making this trade now?
Capitalized on High Volatility (IV): Crypto options carry elevated implied volatility, allowing me to collect strong premium decay while setting a safe, discounted entry level at $170.
Confluence of Technical Indicators ($160–$170 Zone):
Ichimoku Cloud: COIN has been consolidating near the upper boundary of the daily Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) and testing the Kijun-sen (baseline), establishing this zone as a dynamic support floor.
Moving Averages: The price pulled back directly to test the key 50-day / 200-day Moving Average cluster, giving structural backing to the $170 level.
Williams %R Oversold Signal: Prior to expiration, Williams %R dipped into deep oversold territory (below -80), signalling selling exhaustion and a high-probability bounce or consolidation rather than a breakdown.
Fundamental Tailwinds: Coinbase continues expanding high-margin business drivers, including CFTC-approved domestic derivatives clearing and rising institutional activity on its Base L2 network.
2️⃣ What’s my plan from here & key risks?
100% Max Gain Secured: The option expired out-of-the-money yesterday, keeping 100% of the premium with zero stock assignment.
Execution Plan: I will look to re-enter by selling fresh cash-secured puts on pullbacks toward $165–$170, using Williams %R oversold signals on the daily chart to time entries.
Key Technical Levels to Monitor:
Support: $160 – $165 (confluence of horizontal support floor and daily Ichimoku Kumo span).
Resistance: $190 – $200 (breakout target zone above short-term MAs).
When I Would Reassess: A sharp macro pull-down in Bitcoin/crypto breaking COIN below the daily Ichimoku Cloud and $160 support on heavy volume, or market-wide risk-off selling pressure.
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