From my friend “Tiger Capital Research” Morning Brief | Overnight Important Developments on June 22 1. The first round of US-Iran negotiations did not discuss the issue of Iran's nuclear program; 2. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 61.5%; 3. Trump said the US might collect 20% of the oil revenue in the Middle East; 4. Canton Strategic launched a $50 million stock buyback plan; 5. Bitfinex report: Bitcoin shows a market structure of "selling pressure paused but buying interest unconfirmed"; 6. Forbes: Funds from crypto super PACs have started pouring into the 2026 US primary elections; 7. The Iranian delegation has left the negotiation venue, but negotiations with the US are still continuing through intermediaries.

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Kevin Warsh and his team decide to maintain rates, which is largely in line with market expectations. However, he did announce that there would be no more forward guidance. This means we will no longer know what will happen at the next fed announcement until it happens.  Think the mag 7 companies didnt like this news and was red for a bit, although they did recover slightly towards closing. As a retail investor, I am not thrilled by the removal of forward guidance as I will be stripped off one financial indicator. However, it is not the end of the world and the investment journey goes on.  To end this post with a classic Trump move, poi

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Let’s see how Kevin Warsh is going to handle his first FOMC meeting and announcement. With heated inflation numbers and high expectation that interest rate will remain the same, maybe its already reflected in the stock market, with tech stocks having a sharp correction heading into the close today. Is the conflict between Iran and USA really over? With Israel clearly unhappy with the terms agreed, there might be room for some last minute drama. And who do you think is the real winner out of this peace deal? I personally think its Iran. US wasted so much money and ammunition, ended up still gave in a peace deal that award the US bragging rights an

The longer the conflict goes on the longer stocks will be unpredictable 

I posted, do I get a reward now

Hopefully the conflict ends soon

Thoughts? What do you think will happen to socks and why?

This feels like a classic case of markets trying to price two completely different outcomes at once. On one hand, the Hormuz disruption is a real macro risk — if flows stay constrained, oil doesn’t just spike short term, it feeds directly into inflation expectations and puts pressure on equities. On the other hand, the willingness to reopen diplomacy suggests this could unwind just as quickly as it escalated. Personally, I think the key signal isn’t the headlines, it’s whether shipping throughput actually improves over the next 24–72 hours. If vessels start moving again, this likely gets faded as a panic spike. But if the choke point remains restricted, the market probably hasn’t fully priced the second-order effects yet. For now, it looks more like headline volatility than a confirmed ris

This feels like a classic case of markets trying to price two completely different outcomes at once. On one hand, the Hormuz disruption is a real macro risk — if flows stay constrained, oil doesn’t just spike short term, it feeds directly into inflation expectations and puts pressure on equities. On the other hand, the willingness to reopen diplomacy suggests this could unwind just as quickly as it escalated. Personally, I think the key signal isn’t the headlines, it’s whether shipping throughput actually improves over the next 24–72 hours. If vessels start moving again, this likely gets faded as a panic spike. But if the choke point remains restricted, the market probably hasn’t fully priced the second-order effects yet. For now, it looks more like headline volatility than a confirmed ris

Today iran minsiter went to pakistan. Is this true

Judge actions, not words.

It’s essentially just a textbook resource grab wrapped in a thin layer of moral posturing—not exactly a masterclass in subtlety.

This is worth your time to read 

I hope no war after all who's it really left for!

It gets better the barrals are gonna get more expensive!

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Think this is temporary- prevailing market sentiment would agree with less amplified price impact on oil than previous events

Discuss discussing discuss