Edwinchua75 personal page - To The Moon

Edwinchua75

Edwinchua75

长期价值投资者

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19Followers

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03-25

$美国超微公司(AMD)$

2024-05-10

$Ryde Group(RYDE)$

2024-04-17

$Ryde Group(RYDE)$

2024-03-28

$Kenvue Inc(KVUE)$

2024-03-27

Tiger BOSS Debit Card - BIG BOSS BASH!

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Tiger BOSS Debit Card - BIG BOSS BASH!

2024-02-29

$荷美尔(HRL)$

2024-02-28

$美国电话电报(T)$

2023-12-21

$联信银行(CMA)$

2023-12-21

$百思买(BBY)$

2023-12-13

$富兰克林资源(BEN)$

2023-12-13

$美国电话电报(T)$

2023-10-27

$威瑞森(VZ)$

2023-03-14

🥰

2023-02-15

$百思买(BBY)$ [财迷]

2023-01-05

$百思买(BBY)$

2023-01-05

2023-01-04

$富兰克林资源(BEN)$

2023-01-04

$波士顿物产(BXP)$

2022-11-11

$B2Gold Corp Common shares (Canad(BTG)$ [开心]

2022-11-11

$富兰克林资源(BEN)$ 😋

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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href=\"https://tigr.link/74DGdj?utm_campaign=AC1707206667589EduMbB&amp;utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;shareID=5ea81d1b84defa3b3f4f65087b8f529b&amp;invite=CWBZNJ&amp;lang=en_NZ&amp;platform=android&amp;utm_source=invite\">Tiger BOSS Debit Card - BIG BOSS BASH!</a> Grab your friends, win SGD 888*!","listText":"Find out more here:<a href=\"https://tigr.link/74DGdj?utm_campaign=AC1707206667589EduMbB&amp;utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;shareID=5ea81d1b84defa3b3f4f65087b8f529b&amp;invite=CWBZNJ&amp;lang=en_NZ&amp;platform=android&amp;utm_source=invite\">Tiger BOSS Debit Card - BIG BOSS BASH!</a> Grab your friends, win SGD 888*!","text":"Find out more here:Tiger BOSS Debit Card - BIG BOSS BASH! Grab your friends, win SGD 888*!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/288639824089424","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":279342370590968,"gmtCreate":1709220283696,"gmtModify":1709220286662,"author":{"id":"3555405117779856","authorId":"3555405117779856","name":"Edwinchua75","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e138347ffad3b247c9b5856f895df1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555405117779856","authorIdStr":"3555405117779856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HRL\">$荷美尔(HRL)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HRL\">$荷美尔(HRL)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$荷美尔(HRL)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/31acb95d2ef76532c7543f54728eca59","width":"588","height":"1072"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/279342370590968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2754,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":278620663066784,"gmtCreate":1709050394338,"gmtModify":1709050398537,"author":{"id":"3555405117779856","authorId":"3555405117779856","name":"Edwinchua75","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e138347ffad3b247c9b5856f895df1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555405117779856","authorIdStr":"3555405117779856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/T\">$美国电话电报(T)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/T\">$美国电话电报(T)$ 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</a>&nbsp;","text":"$富兰克林资源(BEN)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/067a56122097e6dbcb4c906c9b1dc00f","width":"588","height":"1072"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/251408417718488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2733,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":251408234827912,"gmtCreate":1702416191233,"gmtModify":1702416194204,"author":{"id":"3555405117779856","authorId":"3555405117779856","name":"Edwinchua75","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e138347ffad3b247c9b5856f895df1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555405117779856","authorIdStr":"3555405117779856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/T\">$美国电话电报(T)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/T\">$美国电话电报(T)$ 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17:19","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Bank of America's \"amazing\" forecast: Fed rate hike seven times this year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2209451307","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"薪资上涨对工人来说是个好消息，但于美联储而言却是坏消息。如果工资增长过快，预计将推动美联储以更快的速度加息。上周五，美国劳工部公布的数据显示，1月份平均时薪环比增长0.7%，过去12个月的增幅为5.7","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Rising wages are good news for workers, but bad news for the Federal Reserve. If wages grow too fast, it is expected to push the Fed to rate hike at a faster pace.</p><p>Last Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor released data showing that the average hourly wage in January increased by 0.7% month-on-month.<b>The increase in the past 12 months was 5.7%, the fastest pace since March 2007</b>(except for the early two months of the pandemic).</p><p>There is a growing perception that the Federal Reserve is lagging behind inflation in terms of policy, which is now growing at its fastest pace in nearly 40 years.</p><p>On Monday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Ethan Harris, head of global economic research, said in a conference call with CNBC:</p><p>If I were the Fed chairman, I would be even more concerned that the factors driving wages higher are more than just exceptions and raise interest rates earlier in the fall.<b>When there are widespread price increases that begin to affect wages, the risk of an inflation spiral increases, and policy measures lag behind the inflation curve, the Fed needs to start acting.</b>Harris made the most aggressive call to the Federal Reserve this year. The latest Bank of America report pointed out that,<b>There will be seven rate hike in 2022, each with a rate hike of 25 basis points, and four rate hike next year.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d71f78fb385b6a8eb76748da269eed9\" tg-width=\"784\" tg-height=\"179\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In this regard, Harris pointed out that although the current market view believes that the possibility of this situation is only 18%, he still supports this view.<b>The main reasons are:</b>The U.S. economic recovery has not only reached the Fed's goal, but even exceeded the stop signs.</p><p>Wages are soaring across almost all income brackets</p><p>During the conference call, Harris mentioned the new approach to monetary policy approved by the Federal Reserve in September 2020. The Fed said that under its flexible average inflation target, in order to achieve full employment, it allows inflation to be higher than its 2% target.</p><p>But as the inflation rate grows to around 7% and the labor market becomes increasingly tight, the Federal Reserve is now accelerating its \"catch-up\" and changing monetary policy to cope with the severe inflation situation.</p><p><b>Harris noted that wages are skyrocketing across almost every income bracket.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22b81b83224ba1b963bcd13331680628\" tg-width=\"594\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The leisure and hospitality industries, which were most affected by the epidemic, saw the largest wage increases,</b>It has risen by 13% in the past year. Wages in the financial sector rose by 4.8%, while wages in the retail sector rose by 7.1%.</p><p>Previous news articles mentioned that salary increases are \"blossoming in an all-round way.\" In addition to raising wages for middle and low-class workers, Wall Street financial institutions are also \"chasing after each other\" to increase employee salaries. Biden also issued an executive order to increase the minimum wage for federal employees last month. to $15.</p><p>Soaring wages are part of the'great resignation wave '</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Consider the trend of soaring wages as part of the \"Great Resignation Wave\", which refers to the sharp increase in the number of resignations in the United States since 2021, and the turnover rate is at the highest level in nearly 20 years. According to data from the U.S. Department of Labor, the number of U.S. labor changes or departures in 2021 was 47.4 million.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f2ef87143df605f0b95c38ef19600a0\" tg-width=\"387\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Goldman Sachs economists Joseph Briggs and David Mericle point out in a note that the \"Great Resignation Wave\" includes two distinct but interrelated trends:<b>Millions of workers have left the workforce, and millions more have quit for better, higher-paying employment opportunities. These trends have pushed wage increases to an increasingly worrying level of a spiraling wage inflation.</b></p><p>Goldman Sachs data shows that wage growth in the United States will slow down this year, but only slightly, and is expected to reach about 5% this year.<b>It is worth mentioning that Goldman Sachs predicts that there will be four rate hike in 2022.</b></p><p>Goldman Sachs economists pointed out that labor costs are growing faster than the 2% inflation target, which may keep inflation higher and the Federal Reserve will take a more aggressive response.</p><p>Rate hike 50 basis points'reasonable 'but inconsistent with Powell's'humble' attitude</p><p>The market has been slowly overweighting the Fed's rate hike, with five rate hike expected this year, but more rate hike is still possible, and at a faster pace. Although traders generally expect the Fed to issue a 25 basis point rate hike in March, it does not rule out the Fed choosing a one-time sharp 50 basis point rate hike in March<b>, the likelihood of a rate hike of 50 basis points has risen to nearly 30%.</b></p><p><b>Harris said:</b></p><p>Rate hike of 50 basis points would be \"a reasonable thing\", but it is inconsistent with the \"humble\" attitude supported by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the press conference after the January FOMC meeting. Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz Group, told CNBC's Squawk Box on Monday that the Federal Reserve policy has lagged behind and hopes they can regain their inflation rhetoric and control wage growth. Earlier, El-Erian warned in an op-ed that the more delay, the greater the risk of policy tightening. Instead of ensuring a soft landing, the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank may be forced to adopt excessive \"catch-up\" tightening policies.</p><p>In addition, Harris pointed out,<b>Actually, he doesn't think rate hike will destroy the economy, as long as the Fed sends accurate messages that rate hike aims to control inflation, not curb economic growth.</b></p><p>Harris added that this rate hike cycle may be similar to the Fed's move in mid-2005, when the Fed conducted 17 consecutive rate hike in order to cool the runaway housing market. Referring to the expected 11 rate hike by 2023, Harris said:</p><p>This isn't an aggressive forecast, it's just a path of less resistance for a central bank starting from scratch.</body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank of America's \"amazing\" forecast: Fed rate hike seven times this year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank of America's \"amazing\" forecast: Fed rate hike seven times this year\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-02-08 17:19</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Rising wages are good news for workers, but bad news for the Federal Reserve. If wages grow too fast, it is expected to push the Fed to rate hike at a faster pace.</p><p>Last Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor released data showing that the average hourly wage in January increased by 0.7% month-on-month.<b>The increase in the past 12 months was 5.7%, the fastest pace since March 2007</b>(except for the early two months of the pandemic).</p><p>There is a growing perception that the Federal Reserve is lagging behind inflation in terms of policy, which is now growing at its fastest pace in nearly 40 years.</p><p>On Monday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Ethan Harris, head of global economic research, said in a conference call with CNBC:</p><p>If I were the Fed chairman, I would be even more concerned that the factors driving wages higher are more than just exceptions and raise interest rates earlier in the fall.<b>When there are widespread price increases that begin to affect wages, the risk of an inflation spiral increases, and policy measures lag behind the inflation curve, the Fed needs to start acting.</b>Harris made the most aggressive call to the Federal Reserve this year. The latest Bank of America report pointed out that,<b>There will be seven rate hike in 2022, each with a rate hike of 25 basis points, and four rate hike next year.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d71f78fb385b6a8eb76748da269eed9\" tg-width=\"784\" tg-height=\"179\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In this regard, Harris pointed out that although the current market view believes that the possibility of this situation is only 18%, he still supports this view.<b>The main reasons are:</b>The U.S. economic recovery has not only reached the Fed's goal, but even exceeded the stop signs.</p><p>Wages are soaring across almost all income brackets</p><p>During the conference call, Harris mentioned the new approach to monetary policy approved by the Federal Reserve in September 2020. The Fed said that under its flexible average inflation target, in order to achieve full employment, it allows inflation to be higher than its 2% target.</p><p>But as the inflation rate grows to around 7% and the labor market becomes increasingly tight, the Federal Reserve is now accelerating its \"catch-up\" and changing monetary policy to cope with the severe inflation situation.</p><p><b>Harris noted that wages are skyrocketing across almost every income bracket.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22b81b83224ba1b963bcd13331680628\" tg-width=\"594\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>The leisure and hospitality industries, which were most affected by the epidemic, saw the largest wage increases,</b>It has risen by 13% in the past year. Wages in the financial sector rose by 4.8%, while wages in the retail sector rose by 7.1%.</p><p>Previous news articles mentioned that salary increases are \"blossoming in an all-round way.\" In addition to raising wages for middle and low-class workers, Wall Street financial institutions are also \"chasing after each other\" to increase employee salaries. Biden also issued an executive order to increase the minimum wage for federal employees last month. to $15.</p><p>Soaring wages are part of the'great resignation wave '</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Consider the trend of soaring wages as part of the \"Great Resignation Wave\", which refers to the sharp increase in the number of resignations in the United States since 2021, and the turnover rate is at the highest level in nearly 20 years. According to data from the U.S. Department of Labor, the number of U.S. labor changes or departures in 2021 was 47.4 million.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f2ef87143df605f0b95c38ef19600a0\" tg-width=\"387\" tg-height=\"249\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Goldman Sachs economists Joseph Briggs and David Mericle point out in a note that the \"Great Resignation Wave\" includes two distinct but interrelated trends:<b>Millions of workers have left the workforce, and millions more have quit for better, higher-paying employment opportunities. These trends have pushed wage increases to an increasingly worrying level of a spiraling wage inflation.</b></p><p>Goldman Sachs data shows that wage growth in the United States will slow down this year, but only slightly, and is expected to reach about 5% this year.<b>It is worth mentioning that Goldman Sachs predicts that there will be four rate hike in 2022.</b></p><p>Goldman Sachs economists pointed out that labor costs are growing faster than the 2% inflation target, which may keep inflation higher and the Federal Reserve will take a more aggressive response.</p><p>Rate hike 50 basis points'reasonable 'but inconsistent with Powell's'humble' attitude</p><p>The market has been slowly overweighting the Fed's rate hike, with five rate hike expected this year, but more rate hike is still possible, and at a faster pace. Although traders generally expect the Fed to issue a 25 basis point rate hike in March, it does not rule out the Fed choosing a one-time sharp 50 basis point rate hike in March<b>, the likelihood of a rate hike of 50 basis points has risen to nearly 30%.</b></p><p><b>Harris said:</b></p><p>Rate hike of 50 basis points would be \"a reasonable thing\", but it is inconsistent with the \"humble\" attitude supported by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the press conference after the January FOMC meeting. Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz Group, told CNBC's Squawk Box on Monday that the Federal Reserve policy has lagged behind and hopes they can regain their inflation rhetoric and control wage growth. Earlier, El-Erian warned in an op-ed that the more delay, the greater the risk of policy tightening. Instead of ensuring a soft landing, the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank may be forced to adopt excessive \"catch-up\" tightening policies.</p><p>In addition, Harris pointed out,<b>Actually, he doesn't think rate hike will destroy the economy, as long as the Fed sends accurate messages that rate hike aims to control inflation, not curb economic growth.</b></p><p>Harris added that this rate hike cycle may be similar to the Fed's move in mid-2005, when the Fed conducted 17 consecutive rate hike in order to cool the runaway housing market. Referring to the expected 11 rate hike by 2023, Harris said:</p><p>This isn't an aggressive forecast, it's just a path of less resistance for a central bank starting from scratch.</body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3651382\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02a85629f2a809e4eabd8677140a5f70","relate_stocks":{"BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3651382","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2209451307","content_text":"薪资上涨对工人来说是个好消息，但于美联储而言却是坏消息。如果工资增长过快，预计将推动美联储以更快的速度加息。上周五，美国劳工部公布的数据显示，1月份平均时薪环比增长0.7%，过去12个月的增幅为5.7%，这是自2007年3月以来增速最快的一次（疫情初期的两个月除外）。人们越来越多地认为，美联储在政策方面落后于通胀增速，目前美国通胀率正以近40年来最快的速度增长。周一，美国银行全球经济研究部主管Ethan Harris在与CNBC的电话会议中表示：如果我是美联储主席，我会更加担心推动工资上涨的因素不仅仅是例外情况，并在秋天早些时候提高利率。当存在广泛的物价上涨，并开始影响到工资，通胀螺旋风险加大，政策措施就落后于通胀曲线，美联储需要开始行动。Harris对美联储发出了今年以来最激进的呼吁，美银最新报告指出，2022年将有七次加息，每次加息25个基点，明年还会有四次加息。对此，Harris指出，尽管目前市场观点认为这种情况的可能性只有18%，但他依然支持这个观点，主要原因在于：美国经济复苏不仅达到了美联储的目标，甚至还超过了停止线(the stop signs)。几乎所有收入阶层的工资都在飙升Harris在电话会议中提及美联储2020年9月批准的货币政策新方法。美联储表示，在灵活的平均通胀目标下，为了实现充分就业，允许通胀率高于2%的目标。但随着通胀率增长到7%左右，劳动力市场越来越紧张，美联储现在加速“追赶”，改变货币政策进而应对严峻的通胀形势。Harris指出，几乎所有收入阶层的工资都在飙升。受疫情影响最严重的休闲和酒店行业工资增幅最大，在过去一年的上涨了13%。金融行业的工资上涨了4.8%，而零售行业的工资更是上涨了7.1%。此前见闻文章提及，加薪“全面开花”，除了中低阶层工人提高了工资，华尔街金融机构也“你追我赶”地增加员工薪资，拜登上个月还发布了上调联邦雇员的最低工资至15美元的行政命令。工资飙升是“大辞职潮”的一部分高盛将工资飙升这一趋势视为“大辞职潮”的一部分，“大辞职潮”是指2021年以来，美国离职人数陡增，离职率处于近20年来最高水平。根据美国劳工部数据，2021年全年美国劳动力更换或离职次数为4740万人次。高盛经济学家Joseph Briggs和David Mericle在一份报告中指出，“大辞职潮”包括两个截然不同但相互关联的趋势：数百万工人离开了劳动力大军，还有数百万人为了更好、更高收入的就业机会而辞职。这些趋势已将工资涨幅推至一个越来越令人担忧的水平，即工资通胀螺旋上升。高盛数据显示，今年美国工资增长将会放缓，但只是小幅放缓，到今年预计会达到5%左右。值得一提的是，高盛预计，2022年将有四次加息。高盛经济学家指出，劳动力成本的增长速度快于2%的通胀目标，这可能会使通胀继续走高，美联储将采取更激进的应对措施。加息50个基点“合理”，但与鲍威尔“谦逊”态度不一致市场一直在缓慢地加码美联储加息，预计今年将有五次加息，但仍有可能加息更多次，而且速度更快。尽管交易员普遍预计美联储将在3月份加息25个基点，但也不排除美联储3月选择一次性大幅加息50个基点，目前加息50个基点的可能性已升至近30%。Harris表示：加息50个基点将是\"一件合理的事情\"，但这与美联储主席鲍威尔在1月FOMC会议后的新闻发布会上所支持的\"谦逊\"（humble）态度不一致。安联集团首席经济顾问Mohamed El-Erian周一在CNBC的Squawk Box节目中表示，美联储政策已经落后，希望他们能重拾通胀论调，控制工资增长。此前，El-Erian在专栏文章中发出警告，越拖延，政策收紧的风险就越大。美联储和欧央行非但不能确保经济软着陆，反而可能被迫采取过度的“追赶性”紧缩政策。此外，Harris指出，实际上，他不认为加息会破坏经济，只要美联储传达出准确的信息，即加息旨在控制通胀，而不是遏制经济增长。Harris补充称，本轮加息周期可能类似于美联储在2005年中期的举措，当时美联储连续17次加息，目的是为失控的房地产市场降温。谈到预计到2023年将加息11次时，Harris表示：这并不是一个激进的预测，对于一个从零开始的央行来说，这只是一条阻力较小的道路。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":1,"SPY":1,".IXIC":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9093630803,"gmtCreate":1643603403130,"gmtModify":1676533835374,"author":{"id":"3555405117779856","authorId":"3555405117779856","name":"Edwinchua75","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e138347ffad3b247c9b5856f895df1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555405117779856","authorIdStr":"3555405117779856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😊","listText":"😊","text":"😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9093630803","repostId":"1189896486","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":348029488,"gmtCreate":1617870598244,"gmtModify":1704704162565,"author":{"id":"3555405117779856","authorId":"3555405117779856","name":"Edwinchua75","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e138347ffad3b247c9b5856f895df1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555405117779856","authorIdStr":"3555405117779856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FTCV\">$Fintech Acquisition Corp V(FTCV)$</a>?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FTCV\">$Fintech Acquisition Corp V(FTCV)$</a>?","text":"$Fintech Acquisition Corp V(FTCV)$?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c7e4f63b50832ab707e6d1e741be8f7","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/348029488","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":417068022165712,"gmtCreate":1742841969598,"gmtModify":1742958339262,"author":{"id":"3555405117779856","authorId":"3555405117779856","name":"Edwinchua75","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e138347ffad3b247c9b5856f895df1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555405117779856","authorIdStr":"3555405117779856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$美国超微公司(AMD)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/65d3e6ae84e719c047e2223e07aed3b3","width":"882","height":"1668"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/417068022165712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1315,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9916330977,"gmtCreate":1664506641099,"gmtModify":1676537468149,"author":{"id":"3555405117779856","authorId":"3555405117779856","name":"Edwinchua75","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e138347ffad3b247c9b5856f895df1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555405117779856","authorIdStr":"3555405117779856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AXP\">$美国运通(AXP)$</a>[冷漠]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AXP\">$美国运通(AXP)$</a>[冷漠]&nbsp;","text":"$美国运通(AXP)$[冷漠]","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/548a9a7d6c8c2a088881e07d9952d7f3","width":"720","height":"1430"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9916330977","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":558,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9092292235,"gmtCreate":1644630313081,"gmtModify":1676533948243,"author":{"id":"3555405117779856","authorId":"3555405117779856","name":"Edwinchua75","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e138347ffad3b247c9b5856f895df1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555405117779856","authorIdStr":"3555405117779856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤥","listText":"🤥","text":"🤥","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9092292235","repostId":"2210450635","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":823,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9098489126,"gmtCreate":1644202365622,"gmtModify":1676533899197,"author":{"id":"3555405117779856","authorId":"3555405117779856","name":"Edwinchua75","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e138347ffad3b247c9b5856f895df1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555405117779856","authorIdStr":"3555405117779856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👏","listText":"👏","text":"👏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9098489126","repostId":"1129370833","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":973,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9091501664,"gmtCreate":1643891240550,"gmtModify":1676533868213,"author":{"id":"3555405117779856","authorId":"3555405117779856","name":"Edwinchua75","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e138347ffad3b247c9b5856f895df1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555405117779856","authorIdStr":"3555405117779856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🥰","listText":"🥰","text":"🥰","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9091501664","repostId":"1121905464","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121905464","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1642411108,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1121905464?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-17 17:18","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"Reminder: List of closing arrangements for major markets during the Spring Festival holiday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121905464","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"农历新年假期即将来临，部分交易所的开市和收市时间有所变动，敬请各位投资者密切留意。港股：2022年1月31日（星期一）半日交易，下午休市。2022年2月1日（星期二）至2月3日（星期四）休市。美股：","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The Lunar New Year holiday is approaching, and the opening and closing times of some exchanges have changed. Investors are requested to pay close attention.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aef2112c6fa0ba265b518492f29cb15\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1085\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Hong Kong stocks:</b></p><p>Half-day trading on Monday, January 31, 2022, closed in the afternoon.</p><p>Closed from Tuesday, February 1 to Thursday, February 3, 2022.</p><p><b>US stocks:</b></p><p>Market open as usual.</p><p><b>A shares:</b></p><p>Closed from Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p><b>Australian stocks:</b></p><p>Market open as usual.</p><p><b>Singapore market:</b></p><p>Half-day trading on Monday, January 31, 2022, closed in the afternoon.</p><p>Closed from Tuesday, February 1 to Wednesday, February 2, 2022.</p><p><b>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</b></p><p>The Hong Kong Stock Connect service will not be provided from January 27 (Thursday) to February 4, 2022 (Friday).</p><p><b>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</b></p><p>No service will be available from Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p>No service will be available from Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: List of closing arrangements for major markets during the Spring Festival holiday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: List of closing arrangements for major markets during the Spring Festival holiday\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-01-17 17:18</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The Lunar New Year holiday is approaching, and the opening and closing times of some exchanges have changed. Investors are requested to pay close attention.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2aef2112c6fa0ba265b518492f29cb15\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1085\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Hong Kong stocks:</b></p><p>Half-day trading on Monday, January 31, 2022, closed in the afternoon.</p><p>Closed from Tuesday, February 1 to Thursday, February 3, 2022.</p><p><b>US stocks:</b></p><p>Market open as usual.</p><p><b>A shares:</b></p><p>Closed from Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p><b>Australian stocks:</b></p><p>Market open as usual.</p><p><b>Singapore market:</b></p><p>Half-day trading on Monday, January 31, 2022, closed in the afternoon.</p><p>Closed from Tuesday, February 1 to Wednesday, February 2, 2022.</p><p><b>Hong Kong Stock Connect:</b></p><p>The Hong Kong Stock Connect service will not be provided from January 27 (Thursday) to February 4, 2022 (Friday).</p><p><b>Shanghai Stock Connect and Shenzhen Stock Connect:</b></p><p>No service will be available from Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p>No service will be available from Monday, January 31 to Friday, February 4, 2022.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/752af43ca78e3ed4d3be0dbeaf4ea23c","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数","HSCEI":"国企指数","000001.SH":"上证指数",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","HSI":"恒生指数",".DJI":"道琼斯","HSCCI":"红筹指数",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121905464","content_text":"农历新年假期即将来临，部分交易所的开市和收市时间有所变动，敬请各位投资者密切留意。港股：2022年1月31日（星期一）半日交易，下午休市。2022年2月1日（星期二）至2月3日（星期四）休市。美股：照常开市。A股：2022年1月31日（星期一）至2月4日（星期五）休市。澳股：照常开市。新加坡市场：2022年1月31日（星期一）半日交易，下午休市。2022年2月1日（星期二）至2月2日（星期三）休市。港股通：2022年1月27日（星期四）至2月4日（星期五）不提供港股通服务。沪股通、深股通：2022年1月31日（星期一）至2月4日（星期五）不提供服务。2022年1月31日（星期一）至2月4日（星期五）不提供服务。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":0.9,"399006":0.9,"HSTECH":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"HSI":0.9,"STI.SI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"HSCCI":0.9,"000001.SH":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"HSCEI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":899,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9096444060,"gmtCreate":1644453883364,"gmtModify":1676533928212,"author":{"id":"3555405117779856","authorId":"3555405117779856","name":"Edwinchua75","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e138347ffad3b247c9b5856f895df1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555405117779856","authorIdStr":"3555405117779856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👏👏👏","listText":"👏👏👏","text":"👏👏👏","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9096444060","repostId":"1141472487","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141472487","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1644382505,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1141472487?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-09 12:55","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Will the Fed eventually compromise? Rich people are hoarding cash ammunition to prepare for bottom-hunting","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141472487","media":"金十数据","summary":"他们相信，美联储今年尤其是在中期选举之前，不会激进加息，且最终可能不得不改变其超鹰派立场。瑞银全球财富管理（UBS Global Wealth Management）调查发现，高净值人士与企业主在股市","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>They believe that the Fed will not radical rate hike this year, especially before the mid-term elections, and may eventually have to change its ultra-hawkish stance.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>A survey by UBS Global Wealth Management found that high-net-worth individuals and business owners were hoarding cash frantically when the stock market plummeted and ahead of the rate hike cycle.</p><p>UBS Global Wealth surveyed 3,000 people with assets of at least US $1 million and 1,200 business owners with annual income of more than US $1 million from January 4 to January 24, among which<b>61% of respondents said their portfolio had more than 10% of cash and equivalents, compared with 59% at the beginning of 2021</b>。</p><p>High-net-worth individuals and enterprises increased their cash positions because of the record tightening of financial conditions and the volatility of stock and bond markets. For example, the S&P 500 index pulled back sharply by 12.4% last month, its worst start in more than a decade, but it has rebounded by 6% since January 24. The market bubble has partially disappeared, and stock prices are back to near pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/870e32d3dcd890f22af5a8d85e2200fe\" tg-width=\"816\" tg-height=\"311\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>There's also data showing that as investors prepare for an increasingly aggressive Fed, money is pouring into cash-based ETFs-which are considered relatively less vulnerable to interest rate risk. These ETFs focus primarily on ultra-short-term instruments such as Treasury bills, while dumping ETFs that track longer-term bonds, including those thought to mature in five years or less.</p><p>According to data compiled by foreign media, the $14 billion PIMCO enhanced short-term active ETF attracted nearly $900 million in capital inflows in a week, the best since trading began in 2009. Meanwhile, the $39 billion Vanguard short-term bond ETF suffered about $1.6 billion in divestments, the largest in three years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15a03fcc4ac2b0ddcf0a46d77f542189\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In addition to increasing their cash reserves, respondents also indicated that they would apply for new mortgages, refinance existing mortgages, and use securities-backed loans before interest rates may rise.</p><p><b>According to the UBS report, respondents seem to be hoarding cash and ready to buy on dips (although smart money is still patiently watching).</b>。 The report says:</p><p>\"Against the backdrop of inflation and rate hike, investors are waiting for the'perfect time 'to invest in sectors such as healthcare and tech.\" Many respondents were nervous about the pace of tightening of the Fed's monetary policy. Short-term interest rates are being priced in 5-6 rate hike this year, and the rate hike in March could reach 50 basis points...</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92fd773f287dd2fc41325788b5719897\" tg-width=\"815\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Strategist Cecilia Mariotti said in the latest strategic research report that the most hawkish period of asset pricing in history is coming.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d24e7c7f97e16571af4ab6294ebcd65\" tg-width=\"801\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, Mariotti pointed out that although the stock market is under great pressure, the growth sector with longer duration is mainly affected. Value stocks still perform well, and cyclical stocks are not inferior to defensive stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24b14fed04aa599f80e104a6eba89811\" tg-width=\"815\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>At present, the extreme monetary tightening expected by the market is consistent with 2014 and 2018, when the Federal Reserve changed its original hawkish stance on the grounds of \"financial stability\".</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e693c6b1e6e4fcc8f0d0cb0961cf129\" tg-width=\"816\" tg-height=\"496\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>This may be why investors are hoarding cash because they believe the Fed will not adopt an aggressive rate hike strategy as expected this year, especially ahead of the midterm elections, and the Fed may eventually have to change its ultra-hawkish stance.</b></p><p>The world's largest asset management institution<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a>(BlackRock) also said a few days ago that investors' expectations for the magnitude of global central bank rate hike are too high, and the actual results may be more \"dovish\" than many people expected. Analysts at BlackRock Investment Institute led by Jean Boivin said in their latest report released on Monday:</p><p>\"We believe that central banks, although tough in their words, will eventually acknowledge that fighting inflation through sharp rate hike will be excessively costly for economic growth. That's why we believe the ultimate policy response will be dovish.\" BlackRock said it believes equities will continue to perform well, especially with a more \"dovish\" outlook for interest rates than many investors expect. Central banks may say that they are getting tough on inflation, but in reality, they are simply planning to return interest rates to levels that will still be below historical standards. Analysts at the bank wrote:</p><p>\"We will be moderately overweighting the stock market as the total expected rate hike remains low, but we will be prepared for future volatility. We think this will create opportunities for those with a long-term investment vision after a tough start to the year for risky assets.\" The UBS survey also showed that more than 80% of respondents believe<b>Biden administration needs to control inflation</b>。</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will the Fed eventually compromise? Rich people are hoarding cash ammunition to prepare for bottom-hunting</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill the Fed eventually compromise? Rich people are hoarding cash ammunition to prepare for bottom-hunting\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-02-09 12:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>They believe that the Fed will not radical rate hike this year, especially before the mid-term elections, and may eventually have to change its ultra-hawkish stance.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>A survey by UBS Global Wealth Management found that high-net-worth individuals and business owners were hoarding cash frantically when the stock market plummeted and ahead of the rate hike cycle.</p><p>UBS Global Wealth surveyed 3,000 people with assets of at least US $1 million and 1,200 business owners with annual income of more than US $1 million from January 4 to January 24, among which<b>61% of respondents said their portfolio had more than 10% of cash and equivalents, compared with 59% at the beginning of 2021</b>。</p><p>High-net-worth individuals and enterprises increased their cash positions because of the record tightening of financial conditions and the volatility of stock and bond markets. For example, the S&P 500 index pulled back sharply by 12.4% last month, its worst start in more than a decade, but it has rebounded by 6% since January 24. The market bubble has partially disappeared, and stock prices are back to near pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/870e32d3dcd890f22af5a8d85e2200fe\" tg-width=\"816\" tg-height=\"311\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>There's also data showing that as investors prepare for an increasingly aggressive Fed, money is pouring into cash-based ETFs-which are considered relatively less vulnerable to interest rate risk. These ETFs focus primarily on ultra-short-term instruments such as Treasury bills, while dumping ETFs that track longer-term bonds, including those thought to mature in five years or less.</p><p>According to data compiled by foreign media, the $14 billion PIMCO enhanced short-term active ETF attracted nearly $900 million in capital inflows in a week, the best since trading began in 2009. Meanwhile, the $39 billion Vanguard short-term bond ETF suffered about $1.6 billion in divestments, the largest in three years.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15a03fcc4ac2b0ddcf0a46d77f542189\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In addition to increasing their cash reserves, respondents also indicated that they would apply for new mortgages, refinance existing mortgages, and use securities-backed loans before interest rates may rise.</p><p><b>According to the UBS report, respondents seem to be hoarding cash and ready to buy on dips (although smart money is still patiently watching).</b>。 The report says:</p><p>\"Against the backdrop of inflation and rate hike, investors are waiting for the'perfect time 'to invest in sectors such as healthcare and tech.\" Many respondents were nervous about the pace of tightening of the Fed's monetary policy. Short-term interest rates are being priced in 5-6 rate hike this year, and the rate hike in March could reach 50 basis points...</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92fd773f287dd2fc41325788b5719897\" tg-width=\"815\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Strategist Cecilia Mariotti said in the latest strategic research report that the most hawkish period of asset pricing in history is coming.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d24e7c7f97e16571af4ab6294ebcd65\" tg-width=\"801\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, Mariotti pointed out that although the stock market is under great pressure, the growth sector with longer duration is mainly affected. Value stocks still perform well, and cyclical stocks are not inferior to defensive stocks.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24b14fed04aa599f80e104a6eba89811\" tg-width=\"815\" tg-height=\"490\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>At present, the extreme monetary tightening expected by the market is consistent with 2014 and 2018, when the Federal Reserve changed its original hawkish stance on the grounds of \"financial stability\".</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e693c6b1e6e4fcc8f0d0cb0961cf129\" tg-width=\"816\" tg-height=\"496\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>This may be why investors are hoarding cash because they believe the Fed will not adopt an aggressive rate hike strategy as expected this year, especially ahead of the midterm elections, and the Fed may eventually have to change its ultra-hawkish stance.</b></p><p>The world's largest asset management institution<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a>(BlackRock) also said a few days ago that investors' expectations for the magnitude of global central bank rate hike are too high, and the actual results may be more \"dovish\" than many people expected. Analysts at BlackRock Investment Institute led by Jean Boivin said in their latest report released on Monday:</p><p>\"We believe that central banks, although tough in their words, will eventually acknowledge that fighting inflation through sharp rate hike will be excessively costly for economic growth. That's why we believe the ultimate policy response will be dovish.\" BlackRock said it believes equities will continue to perform well, especially with a more \"dovish\" outlook for interest rates than many investors expect. Central banks may say that they are getting tough on inflation, but in reality, they are simply planning to return interest rates to levels that will still be below historical standards. Analysts at the bank wrote:</p><p>\"We will be moderately overweighting the stock market as the total expected rate hike remains low, but we will be prepared for future volatility. We think this will create opportunities for those with a long-term investment vision after a tough start to the year for risky assets.\" The UBS survey also showed that more than 80% of respondents believe<b>Biden administration needs to control inflation</b>。</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/89735\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/89735","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141472487","content_text":"他们相信，美联储今年尤其是在中期选举之前，不会激进加息，且最终可能不得不改变其超鹰派立场。瑞银全球财富管理（UBS Global Wealth Management）调查发现，高净值人士与企业主在股市暴跌之际与加息周期到来之前疯狂囤积现金。瑞银全球财富在1月4日至1月24日对3000名拥有至少100万美元资产的人和1200名年收入在100万美元以上的企业主进行了调查，其中有61%的受访者表示其投资组合有超过10%的现金及等价物，而这一受访者比例在2021年初为59%。高净值人士和企业增加现金头寸，是因为金融状况出现了创纪录的紧缩，且引发了股市和债市的波动。如标普500指数上个月大幅回调12.4%，创逾十年来最差开局，不过自1月24日以来已经反弹6%。市场泡沫已经部分消失，股价回到了接近疫情前的水平。还有数据显示，随着投资者为日益激进的美联储做准备，资金正涌入现金类的ETF——这些ETF被认为相对不太容易受到利率风险的影响。这些ETF主要关注国库券等超短期工具，同时抛售追踪较长期债券的ETF，包括那些被认为在五年或更短时间内到期的短期债券。根据外媒汇编的数据，价值140亿美元的PIMCO增强型短期活跃ETF一周内吸引了近9亿美元的资金流入，为2009年开始交易以来最佳。与此同时，价值390亿美元的Vanguard短期债券ETF遭遇了约16亿美元的撤资，为三年来最大。除了增加现金储备之外，受访者还表示会申请新的抵押贷款，对现有抵押贷款进行再融资，且在利率可能上升之前利用证券支持贷款。瑞银报告认为，受访者似乎都在囤积现金，随时准备逢低买入（虽然聪明钱依然在耐心旁观）。报告称：“在通胀和加息的背景下，投资者正在等待投资医疗保健和科技等行业的‘最佳时机’。”许多受访者对美联储货币政策的收紧速度感到紧张。短期利率正在定价今年有5-6次加息，且3月份的加息幅度可能达到50个基点……高盛策略师塞西莉亚•马里奥蒂（Cecilia Mariotti）在最新的战略研究报告中称，有史以来最为鹰派的资产定价时期即将到来。但马里奥蒂指出，尽管股市承压较大，但受到影响的主要是久期较长的成长板块，价值股表现仍出色，周期股与防御性股相比也不逊色。目前市场所预期的极端货币紧缩力度与2014年和2018年相一致，这两个时期里美联储均以为了“金融稳定”为由改变其原本的鹰派立场。这或许就是投资者囤积现金的原因，因为他们相信美联储今年尤其是在中期选举之前，不会采取预期般激进的加息策略，且美联储最终可能不得不改变其超鹰派立场。全球最大资管机构贝莱德（BlackRock）日前也表示，投资者对全球央行加息幅度的预期过高，实际结果可能比许多人预期的更为“鸽派”。贝莱德投资研究所以Jean Boivin为首的分析师在周一发布的最新报告中说：“我们相信，各国央行虽然措辞强硬，但最终会承认，通过大幅加息来对抗通胀，将给经济增长带来过高的代价。这就是为什么我们认为最终的政策回应是温和的。”贝莱德表示，它认为股市将继续表现良好，尤其是在利率前景比许多投资者预期更为“温和”的情况下。各国央行可能会说，他们正在对通胀采取强硬措施，但实际上，他们只是计划将利率恢复到仍将低于历史标准的水平。该行分析师们写道：“我们将适度增持股市，因预期的加息总量仍较低，但我们将为未来的波动做好准备。我们认为，在今年风险资产遭遇艰难开局之后，这将为那些具有长期投资眼光的人创造机会。”瑞银的调查还显示，超过80%的受访者认为拜登政府需要控制通货膨胀。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":304351807750456,"gmtCreate":1715339142568,"gmtModify":1715339146753,"author":{"id":"3555405117779856","authorId":"3555405117779856","name":"Edwinchua75","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27e138347ffad3b247c9b5856f895df1","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3555405117779856","authorIdStr":"3555405117779856"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RYDE\">$Ryde Group(RYDE)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a 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