๐๐๐While the rest of the world scrambles for overpriced flights to snowy chaos, my Christmas plan is simple: a staycation in beautiful Singapore. Why fly when I am already in paradise? This year the holiday spirit isn't found in a suitcase. It is right here in my own backyard. Christmas is a family affair as we head to church in the morning. Then we head to my mother's house. This is where the real work begins - eating the glorious spread she prepares! It is a hilarious, loud and loving gathering of aunts, uncles and cousins. Then this is followed by exchanging gifts and more laughter. Beyond the gifts and gourmet food, Christmas for us is fundamentally about 2 things: Peace and Profound Gratitude. It is a time to pause, count our blessings and cherish the si
๐๐๐Why Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike was a non event? BoJ raised its policy rate to 0.75%, its highest since 1995. While the event was historically significant, the move was a non event for 3 reasons: 1. It was fully priced in. Investors had already baked the quarter point hike into their plans with overnight swap market showing a near 100% probability of the move before it happened. 2. Governor Ueda's lack of guidance into future rate hikes actually caused the yen to weaken further, dropping 1.3% to 157.53 yen per dollar. 3. Real interest rates in Japan remain negative (at around -2.2%). This means that BoJ is still supporting growth even as it "normalises". So it turns out that BoJ 's historic interest rate hike was about as scary as a kitten dr
๐๐๐ Friday's financial showdown saw the biggest options expiration in history worth USD 7.1 trillion which collided with a rare Bank of Japan rate hike. While traders braced for market chaos, the S&P 500 laughed in the face of the "pinning effect" and went full steam into a gamma fueled rally. The market completely shrugged off the BoJ's predictable move and the massive options overhang to close at 6,834.50, a robust gain of 0.88% for the day. The rally was fundamentally supported by a comeback in the AI trade. $Micron Technology(MU)$ earlier blowout earnings and news that TikTok would sell its US operations to a venture including
The USD 7.1 Trillion Question: Why Santa Defied The Witches at 6,800
๐๐๐Friday December 19 2025 wasn't just any "Freaky Friday". It was the largest options expiration history with a staggering USD 7.1 trillion value in options set to expire. The "Quadruple Witching" hour was upon us and while everyone braced for a bloodbath, the market had other plans. The S&P500 did not just hold . It thrived closing decisively above the 6,800 mark. Here is how the bulls broke the spell: Understanding Pinning and Gamma Hedging In the complex world of options trading , 2 concepts often dictate the market's behaviour on expiration day: What is Pinning? This phenomenon describes how a stock or an index can get stuck at a specific strike price (like 6,800) as expiration approaches. Market makers like the big banks, who have so
๐๐๐What would I do with my first USD 1 million? I am an Investment Guru at heart. I live for the hunt, the charts, the conviction trades. But let's be real - I still want the joy of splurging with family (because what is the point of wealth if you can't share it?) and the discipline of Savings (because even investment gurus need a safety net). So my first million? A slice goes to family fun - because memories compound faster than wealth. Another slice goes to the fortress of savings because bricks don't break in bear markets. And the lion's share? Straight into high conviction plays because fortune favours the bold and I am here for the ride. It is not just about the million. It is about the meaning. Wealth is a tool, not a trophy. My first million woul
The Trader's Compass: 4 Principles for Navigating Market Noise
๐๐๐In a market dominated by algorithms and rapid news cycles, technical indicators are our essential compass. Today we break down 4 critical trading principles that help separate fleeting noise from genuine signals, and apply them to the current turbulent market landscape, including the recent action in NVIDIA. The 4 Principles of Price Action and Momentum 1. Minor Breakdown : A Fleeting Pullback Opportunity Principle: A stock in a strong established long term uptrend experiences a brief drop below a very short term moving average (like the 5 day or 10 day MA). It finds buyers quickly and resumes its upward path. Example: $Micron Technology(MU)$ earlier this week dipped toward
๐๐๐Micron $Micron Technology(MU)$ is the market's unexpected hero as its surge this week has flipped the script from gloom to glory. Micron is the spark that turned bearish doubt into bullish conviction. Micron did not just beat expectations, it shattered them. With Q1 26 revenue at USD 13.64 billion vs USD 12.83 billion expected & EPS of USD 4.78 vs USD 3.95 forecasted, Micron proved that it is not just riding the AI wave. It is steering it. Its Q2 guidance of USD 18.7 billion far exceeded expectations, and sent shockwaves through Wall Street, igniting fresh optimism. Micron did not just deliver earnings, it delivered momentum, meaning and market magic. In a week where doubt lingered, Micron became the standout p
๐๐๐ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ experienced a significant drop on Wednesday, closing down 4.6%. This decline was primarily due to news regarding potential regulatory action in California and a broader rotation of investor capital away from high flying AI stocks . Will this affect the USD 500 target? The current situation highlights the tension between the revolutionary long term vision such as Robotaxi success and Tesla's short term execution and regulatory hurdles. A confirmed breakout above USD 500 remains a strong possibility but only if the current technical support holds and the regulatory overhang is resolved. Tesla at USD 500 is a "Market Tooth Fairy" moment. I want to believe that there is a gold coin under the pillow. Ho
๐๐๐If a company reports stellar earnings (fundamentals) but the stock creates a massive "Bearish Engulfing " candle (Technicals) what do you do? A classic recent example is $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ in November this year. This case highlights how short term technical signals can drive price action even when long term fundamentals remain exceptionally strong. Stellar Fundamentals AI Dominance : $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ continues its reign as the undisputed leader in AI hardware with massive demand for its GPUs. Strong Growth: NVIDIA consistently reported blockbuster earnings , with revenue growth exceeding analyst expectations. Bullish
๐๐๐As Bank of Japan prepares for a historic rate hike today, fear is in the air. The price of Bitcoin is volatile , hovering around USD 86,000 after recent slides. The unwinding of the Japanese yen carry trade is draining global liquidity, making the market feel like a very risky place to be. To navigate this chaos, a good strategy is to dollar cost average instead of trying to time the perfect bottom. While the short term pullback is crowded by macro pressures, the long term fundamentals of institutional adoption , spot Bitcoin ETFs and supply scarcity remain strong. May the God of Fortune shine on us ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฐ @Tiger_comments @TigerStars
The Unstoppable Trio: Why Singapore's Banking Giants Are The Ultimate Quiet Compounders
๐๐๐While the rest of the world chases the volatile highs of AI and crypto, a powerful story of resilience and wealth is being written right here in Singapore. Recently the market watched in awe as DBS$DBS(D05.SI)$ and OCBC $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ surged to new highs, proving that these are not just "local banks" - they are Global Wealth Powerhouses. Resilience in the Face of Falling Rates The big question on every investor's mind : What happens when interest rates fall? The narrative for 2025 and 2026 has shifted. Analysts now see our Big 3 Banks as remarkably resilient. The secret sauce? We
๐๐๐The current opinion on $Micron Technology(MU)$ is positive as the consensus estimates point to a blockbuster quarter driven by surging demand for High bandwidth memory (HBM) chips used in AI data centers which command premium pricing. Revenue is estimated to be USD 12.8 to USD 12.9 billion , an increase of 48% YoY. EPS is projected to be USD 3.96, more than double the same period last year. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG @TigerClub @CaptainTiger Focus will be on
๐๐๐When price hits a key moving average, is it better to add with the trend or wait for confirmation? The 1st approach is more aggressive approach & involves buying or selling immediately the moment the price touches the moving average & assuming the long term trend will continue. The advantage is you get the best possible entry price if the trend is strong & immediate. However you risk catching a falling knife. This may lead to significant losses if the trend reverses. The 2nd approach of waiting for confirmation is a more prudent approach. This strategy involves waiting for a signal. This could be a specific candlestick pattern or bounce in momentum indicators, before entering the trade. This approach reduces the risk & filters out the fakeouts or
๐๐๐Confirmed Breakout or Failed Rally? Based on recent price action and technical analysis on $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ the current situation suggests a failed rally that qualifies as a Bull trap, rather than a confirmed breakout. This is due to : Failed Momentum: Even though price action recently pushed above resistance levels, this upside move was not confirmed by supporting momentum indicators like RSI or MACD which signals a lack of conviction behind the move. Low Volume on Breakout : Failed breakouts often occur on weak volume and a significant spike in volume on the reversal suggests a fakeout which can trap traders. In summary the recent price action of SPY lacks the necessary confirmation such as volume and momen
Santa Claus, MSTR and the USD 85K Question: Can Bitcoin Avert a Festive Flop?
๐๐๐Bitcoin is currently sliding down a slippery slope, trading around USD 86,522. It is down significantly from its peak in October. The Christmas lights are blinking red. The market is jittery. Can Bitcoin hold key support levels this week? Or is a painful drop to USD 70k on the cards? In the midst of this volatility, the boldest player in the field, $Strategy(MSTR)$ CEO Michael Saylor is doubling down. MSTR bought nearly USD 1 billion into Bitcoin for a 2nd consecutive week. MSTR is continuing to accumulate as prices pulled back. MSTR is betting the farm that this dip is just a speed bump on the road to glory. Bitcoin at a Crossroad: USD 85k or USD 70k? The USD
๐๐๐One word to describe my experience of holding $DBS(D05.SI)$ and $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$ is "GRATEFUL ". I am grateful that both DBS and OCBC are performing well and a deep feeling of being secure, knowing that my capital is parked in the backbone of Singapore's economy, protected by solid returns and nice juicy dividends. Grateful that I have invested in our strong Singapore banks that are dominating the wealth management space and delivering great value to shareholders. Go Long Go Strong Go DBS and OCBC ๐ฅฐ๐ฅฐ๐ฅฐ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฌ๐ธ๐ฌ๐ธ๐ฌ @Tiger_SG @Tiger_comments
๐๐๐We remember that childhood excitement of placing a lost tooth under the pillow & waking up to find a shiny coin in its place. It is a simple act of faith, much like the one investors globally are doing now, hoping for their seasonal reward : the Santa Claus Rally. However the Santa Claus Rally is starting to feel a lot like that Tooth Fairy : a lovely idea that we desperately want to believe in but the evidence is getting a little shaky. The real bogeyman this holiday season is the Bank of Japan. A potential BoJ rate hike is the "lump of coal" that could crash the party. The culprit? The massive Japan Carry Trade. Traders have borrowed trillions of yen at near zero interest rate and funelled that cash globally, fueling a massive market boom. If Bank of
Will Santa Claus Still Arrive? Or Is The Grinch Hiding at Bank of Japan?
๐๐๐It is that magical time of the year! In Singapore, the satay is grilling, the chilli crabs are steaming and investors everywhere are eagerly waiting for their favourite seasonal gift : the Santa Claus Rally. Historically this refers to a market surge in the final 5 trading sessions of the year and the first 2 of the new year. It is built on a cocktail of holiday cheer, optimistic portfolio win dow dressing and reduced trading volume. The question on everyone's lips this December is : Will Santa show up this year or is the rally already priced in? The technical patterns for major indices are currently mixed, suggesting a market in search of direction after a massive run this year. The Grinch at the Bank of Japan? Just as visions of sugarplum profits dance in our he
The USD500 Question: Can Driverless Tesla in Austin Drive TSLA to a Year End Record?
๐๐๐The future arrived in Austin Texas this past weekend. On December 14, an X user captured astonishing footage of a Tesla Model Y driving autonomously through city streets with no one at the wheel - literally zero occupants. The video went viral and Elon Musk confirmed the news: Testing is underway with no occupant in the car. This marks a massive leap forward in the long promised robotaxi service. This breakthrough has reignited the fiery debate: Is $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ on track to hit the mythical USD 500 per share target by year end? The Robotaxi Catalyst For years, skeptics have pointed to the slow progress of Tesla's Full Self Driving (FSD) as vaporware. The Austin footage changes