@koolgal:🌟🌟🌟Confirmed Breakout or Failed Rally?   Based on recent price action and technical analysis on $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ the current situation suggests a failed rally that qualifies as a Bull trap, rather than a confirmed breakout. This is due to : Failed Momentum: Even though price action recently pushed above resistance levels, this upside move was not confirmed by supporting momentum indicators like RSI or MACD which signals a lack of conviction behind the move. Low Volume on Breakout :  Failed breakouts often occur on weak volume and a significant spike in volume on the reversal suggests a fakeout which can trap traders. In summary the recent price action of SPY lacks the necessary confirmation such as volume and momen

@Shyon:At this new all-time high, I'm not in a hurry to take profit. Tesla's share price has essentially spent a full year consolidating and digesting prior gains, and breaking into new highs is often a signal of a new trend phase, not the end of one. From a market-structure perspective, this looks more like the beginning of a re-rating rather than a terminal top. The most critical assumption behind Tesla's valuation at this level is that autonomy is no longer a distant dream but a commercially viable platform. The fact that Tesla is testing robotaxis without human safety drivers materially changes the narrative. If autonomy scales even gradually, Tesla stops being priced as just an EV manufacturer and starts being valued as a mobility + software company, which supports a much higher multiple. An

@Shyon:I'm starting this week with a more cautious stance as U.S. equities edged lower, and the Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  once again underperformed. The ongoing sell-off in AI-related stocks is clearly weighing on sentiment, raising questions over whether the usual year-end Santa Rally can still materialize under current conditions. What stands out to me is the continued weakness in big-cap tech. Names like Broadcom $Broadcom(AVGO)$   and Oracle $Oracle(ORCL)$  extended last week's declines, dragging on the broader tech sector. Broadcom's three consecutive dow

@Shyon:Quiet compounder. Holding both DBS and OCBC has been a steady and reassuring experience for me. Seeing them hit fresh intraday highs reinforces why I like Singapore banks as core positions — strong wealth-management income, disciplined capital returns, and clear dividend visibility make them feel dependable even as the rate cycle turns. Between the two, I appreciate DBS for its consistency and dividend clarity, while OCBC adds value with a slightly cheaper valuation and improving fee momentum. Even with some NIM pressure ahead, the overall package still feels resilient, especially when buybacks and dividends continue to support share prices. I also use DLCs $DBS 5xLongSG280330(LQSW.SI)$ $OCBC 5xLongS

@WeChats:🐂 NVDA: The Market is Wrong About China — Is $177 the Ultimate Bear Trap? BofA just dropped a bombshell: Nvidia’s "downgraded" China chips are selling out. The stock went red anyway. What is going on? According to Reuters and Bank of America, demand for Nvidia’s H20 chips (specifically designed to bypass US sanctions) is now exceeding production capacity. Nvidia is scrambling to increase output. Yet, NVDA finished weak on Friday, hovering near $177. To the novice, a stock dropping on good news is a warning sign. To the veteran trader, price-news divergence is often a signal that the market is mispricing risk. Let’s dig into the data, the psychology, and the setup. 1️⃣ The "H20 Surprise": Why This Changes the Narrative For months, the bear thesis on Nvidia had a central pillar: “US Sanction

@Shyon:Heading into Micron's earnings on December 17, I do think expectations are clearly elevated, but not without reason. Goldman Sachs' forecast of $13.2 billion in revenue and $4.15 in EPS suggests Micron is still benefiting from a very strong memory upcycle, especially driven by AI-related demand. When leading banks are willing to go meaningfully above consensus, it usually reflects strong visibility rather than short-term optimism alone. That said, with Micron already up more than 190% this year, the bar for a post-earnings rally is extremely high. Even if Micron beats estimates, the stock's reaction will likely depend more on forward guidance than on the headline numbers. If management signals continued tight supply, firm pricing, and sustained AI-driven demand into 2025, I think new highs

@Barcode:$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🇫🇷🇧🇪🇳🇱 Worth flagging this alongside the autonomy narrative. SPIE has signed a European framework agreement with Tesla for large scale battery energy storage deployments across multiple regions. Belgium, Ville-sur-Haine: 50MW / 200MWh system using 53 Megapacks, including balance of plant and a 150kV grid connection. Netherlands, Vlissingen: participation in the Mufasa project, set to become the largest BESS site in the country, 372 Megapacks totalling 1.4GWh. France, Eure department: 100MW / 200MWh BESS installation with a new 90kV substation connecting to the RTE grid. Construction began September 2025, commissioning targeted for end-2026. This is another reminder that Tesla’s energy business is scaling quietly but m

@Shyon:I see this Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ pullback more as an AI anxiety overreaction than the start of a true bubble burst. The market is repricing timelines and margins, not abandoning AI itself. Oracle’s delays and Broadcom’s margin comments hurt sentiment, but they don’t change the long-term demand for compute, networking, and AI software. This feels like valuation compression amid Fed uncertainty and policy noise, not a structural break. For my own tech exposure, I’m not adding aggressively and not panic-selling. I’m trimming selectively where valuations ran ahead of fundamentals, while holding core positions in companies with strong moats and balance sheets. I’m also keeping some cash on hand, as volatility could create better entry points. Long