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山那边的英英子
2022-11-29
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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Unity Software Inc.(U)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6d138e927c34bc989fcdee0fdc1fa4e4","width":"1125","height":"2472"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960115417","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987763659,"gmtCreate":1667998139271,"gmtModify":1676537996285,"author":{"id":"3581939067431343","authorId":"3581939067431343","name":"山那边的英英子","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c8a7304c7112e9c83de3d44c85ec252","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581939067431343","idStr":"3581939067431343"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Walt Disney(DIS)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/953d439171a26598ee1bb2bc69705234","width":"1125","height":"2688"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987763659","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987268290,"gmtCreate":1667921749610,"gmtModify":1676537985233,"author":{"id":"3581939067431343","authorId":"3581939067431343","name":"山那边的英英子","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c8a7304c7112e9c83de3d44c85ec252","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581939067431343","idStr":"3581939067431343"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"u","listText":"u","text":"u","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987268290","repostId":"9987263344","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9987263344,"gmtCreate":1667921274989,"gmtModify":1676537985122,"author":{"id":"3479274799416327","authorId":"3479274799416327","name":"marketpre","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3bdd403049856caa030d5acaf3e72506","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3479274799416327","idStr":"3479274799416327"},"themes":[],"title":"2 Top Tech Stocks to Buy for This Important Reason","htmlText":"Investing in cash-rich companies is a smart strategy during bear markets.Microsoft (MSFT) and Texas Instruments (TXN) are two tech firms that have been around for decades and successfully navigated several downturns. The important reason these companies keep going is their combination of industry leadership and financial strength.With the stocks of Microsoft and TI down 34% and 16%, respectively, year to date, the market dip presents an excellent opportunity to invest in these leaders at attractive valuations. Let's look at where Microsoft and TI are investing to drive long-term growth.Microsoft is on offenseDominant Microsoft has seen its share price fall 34% year to date. The software giant reported stable growth in its latest earnings report. Revenue w","listText":"Investing in cash-rich companies is a smart strategy during bear markets.Microsoft (MSFT) and Texas Instruments (TXN) are two tech firms that have been around for decades and successfully navigated several downturns. The important reason these companies keep going is their combination of industry leadership and financial strength.With the stocks of Microsoft and TI down 34% and 16%, respectively, year to date, the market dip presents an excellent opportunity to invest in these leaders at attractive valuations. Let's look at where Microsoft and TI are investing to drive long-term growth.Microsoft is on offenseDominant Microsoft has seen its share price fall 34% year to date. The software giant reported stable growth in its latest earnings report. Revenue w","text":"Investing in cash-rich companies is a smart strategy during bear markets.Microsoft (MSFT) and Texas Instruments (TXN) are two tech firms that have been around for decades and successfully navigated several downturns. The important reason these companies keep going is their combination of industry leadership and financial strength.With the stocks of Microsoft and TI down 34% and 16%, respectively, year to date, the market dip presents an excellent opportunity to invest in these leaders at attractive valuations. Let's look at where Microsoft and TI are investing to drive long-term growth.Microsoft is on offenseDominant Microsoft has seen its share price fall 34% year to date. The software giant reported stable growth in its latest earnings report. Revenue w","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e6dd0b6e6e33d48273f12b4b3a351059","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987263344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987268927,"gmtCreate":1667921666969,"gmtModify":1676537985199,"author":{"id":"3581939067431343","authorId":"3581939067431343","name":"山那边的英英子","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c8a7304c7112e9c83de3d44c85ec252","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581939067431343","idStr":"3581939067431343"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/DIS\">$Walt Disney(DIS)$</a><v-v 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11:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 7 Best Tech Stocks to Buy in November","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148576482","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"These best tech stocks to buy all feature low risk and deep discounts.Nvidia(NVDA): Shares appear si","content":"<div>\n<p>These best tech stocks to buy all feature low risk and deep discounts.Nvidia(NVDA): Shares appear significantly undervalued following a steep sell-off.Adobe(ADBE): Its income-statement performance is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/best-tech-stocks/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 7 Best Tech Stocks to Buy in November</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 7 Best Tech Stocks to Buy in November\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-30 11:10 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/best-tech-stocks/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>These best tech stocks to buy all feature low risk and deep discounts.Nvidia(NVDA): Shares appear significantly undervalued following a steep sell-off.Adobe(ADBE): Its income-statement performance is ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/best-tech-stocks/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMAT":"应用材料","TSM":"台积电","INTC":"英特尔","LRCX":"拉姆研究","NXPI":"恩智浦","NVDA":"英伟达","ADBE":"Adobe"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/best-tech-stocks/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148576482","content_text":"These best tech stocks to buy all feature low risk and deep discounts.Nvidia(NVDA): Shares appear significantly undervalued following a steep sell-off.Adobe(ADBE): Its income-statement performance is impressive.Intel(INTC): Shares look compelling at this deeply discounted price.Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM): It’s a profit-generating machine.Applied Materials(AMAT): Its returns on equity and assets are among the best in the chip industry.Lam Research(LRCX): Its ROE and ROA are even better than those of Applied Materials.NXP Semiconductors(NXPI): It’s perhaps the riskiest of the bunch but may offer greater rewards.Tech stocks have suffered disproportionately in the current bear market, as they tend to do in every bear market. But the bullish long-term bias of the market tells us that stocks will almost certainly resume their uptrend. When they do, nearly all tech stocks should bounce to some extent, but the best tech stocks could soar.Historically, the broader market tends to perform well during the November-to-April timespan. Of course, this is no guarantee for success. Still, it adds a powerful backdrop for those looking to put capital to work in one of the more speculative sectors of the market.In searching for the best tech stocks to buy, we’re sticking with financial data. Leveraging the analytical tools ofGuruFocus.com, the below equities all feature fundamentally low risk and discounted prices.Here are the best tech stocks to buy in November.Nvidia (NVDA)A multinational technology firm, Nvidia(NASDAQ:NVDA) primarily garnered attention through its specialty in graphics processing units. However, the company also made significant investments in deep learning and protocols involving artificial intelligence. Currently, the company commands a market capitalization of $345 billion. On a year-to-date basis, NVDA is down 53%.Despite the steep losses, contrarian investors should consider gradually picking up shares.GuruFocus utilizes proprietary calculations to determine that NVDA stock is significantly undervalued. Based on more traditional metrics, Nvidia features excellent income-statement performance figures. For instance, the company’s three-year revenue growth rate stands at 31.3%. Its book growth rate during the aforementioned period hit 40.2%. Both stats rank at least near the 90th percentile for the industry. On the bottom line, Nvidia carries a net margin of 26%. This ranks above 87% of the competition.To top it off, NVDA is tethered to a strong balance sheet. Mainly, its Altman Z-Score is a lofty 12 points, reflecting extremely low bankruptcy risk. Thus, NVDA easily ranks among the best tech stocks to buy in November.Adobe (ADBE)Adobe(NASDAQ:ADBE) is a software company that mainly aligns with creatives. Historically, it’s known for the creation and publication of a wide range of content, including graphics, photography, illustration, animation, multimedia/video, motion pictures and print. Currently, Adobe carries a market cap of $151 billion after slipping 43% year to date.Again, based onGuruFocus’proprietary metrics, Adobe rates as significantly undervalued. One traditional metric regarding valuation to consider is its price-earnings-growth ratio of 1.09. This rates favorably below the industry median of 1.4 times.However, Adobe draws the most attention for its income statement-related performance. For example, the company’s three-year revenue growth rate and free cash flow growth rate stand at 21.9% and 23.7%, respectively. Both figures rank conspicuously above sector averages.On the bottom line, Adobe carries a net margin of 28%, well above the industry median of 1.9%. Throw in a stable balance sheet and you have another solid candidate for best tech stocks to buy in November.Intel (INTC)One of the powerhouses in the semiconductor industry, Intel(NASDAQ:INTC) represents the world’s second-largest semiconductor chip manufacturer by revenue. Per its corporate profile, it’s also one of the developers of the x86 series of instruction sets, the instruction sets found in most personal computers. Presently, INTC commands a market cap of $119 billion and is down 44% for the year.Despite sharp losses, INTC is among the best tech stocks to buy in November. Notably, INTC is significantly undervalued based on traditional metrics. Its forward P/E ratio is 10.1, below the industry median of 13.7. Also, its Shiller P/E ratio is 7.6, below the sector median of nearly 24.On the income statement, Intel features an overall solid profile. Its three-year book growth rate stands at 12.4%, above 61.5% of the competition. For net margin, it hit 26%, better than 87% of its peers.Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)A multinational semiconductor firm, Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE:TSM) represents the world’s most valuable semiconductor company, the world’s largest dedicated independent semiconductor foundry, and one of Taiwan’s largest companies, per its public profile. Presently, TSM commands a market cap of nearly $322 billion and is down 48% year to date.Despite the severe erosion of equity value, TSM ranks among the best tech stocks to buy in November for contrarians. PerGuruFocus, TSM is significantly undervalued. The company’s forward P/E ratio is 10.9 is below the industry median of 13.7. Also, its price-to-owner earnings ratio is 10.5, below the industry median of 16.1.Primarily, though, TSM is all about its profitability machine. Gross, operating and net margins hit 55%, 44.7% and 40.6% respectively. Each of these metrics was well above sector median levels. As well, TSM enjoys solid growth figures, with its three-year revenue growth rate coming in at 15.5%. This ranks above 68.5% of the competition.Applied Materials (AMAT)Applied Materials(NASDAQ:AMAT) represents the leader in materials engineering solutions used to produce virtually every new chip and advanced display in the world, per its website. Currently, Applied Materials features a market cap of $77 billion, and the stock is down 43% year to date.PerGuruFocus, AMAT stock is significantly undervalued. A notable standout in terms of traditional metrics is its PEG ratio of 0.56. This ranks favorably below the industry median of 0.75.Primarily, though, Applied Materials will likely draw attention as one of the best tech stocks to buy in November because of its high-quality business. Specifically, the company’s return on equity and return on assets hit 55.5% and 26.1%, respectively. Both stats rank among the upper echelons of the semiconductor industry.To top it off, AMAT features a stable balance sheet. Most prominently, its Altman Z-Score of 7.5 implies low bankruptcy risk.Lam Research (LRCX)Lam Research(NASDAQ:LRCX) is an American supplier of wafer fabrication equipment and related services to the semiconductor industry. Currently, the company carries a market cap of slightly over $55 billion after falling 44% year to date. The stock’s average daily volume is approximately 1.9 million shares.Fundamentally, the case for LRCX as one of the top tech stocks to buy in November is two-fold. First, Lam represents a high-quality business. Its return on equity is a blistering 75.8%. That’s above 99% of the semiconductor industry. As well, the company’s return on assets hit 28.6%, ranking above 97% of its peers.Second, Lam enjoys outstanding sales-related performance. For example, its three-year revenue growth rate is 26.6%, better than 84% of the competition. As well, the company’s book growth rate during the same period is 11.9%, better than nearly 60% of its rivals.NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)Netherlands-based NXP Semiconductors(NASDAQ:NXPI) is a semiconductor designer and manufacturer. After falling 33% this year, it has a market cap of roughly $40 billion. Average trading volume is around 2.1 million shares a day.Interestingly, the YTD performance makes NXP one of the better-performing semiconductor firms. However, that’s not the reason why it’s on this list of best tech stocks to buy in November. Fundamentally, the stock is significantly undervalued based on proprietary calculations. And its forward P/E ratio of 10.6 is below the industry median of 13.7 times.The company enjoys substantive profitability margins, including an operating margin of 27%, which ranks above 84% of its peers. It’s also a high-quality business with a return on equity of nearly 36%.About the one glaring risk factor is balance sheet stability. Its Altman Z-Score pings at 2.4, which is in a gray zone. 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1663163318,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1159676379?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-14 21:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Energy Stocks Gained in Morning Trading","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159676379","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Energy stocks gained in morning trading. Occidental, Chevron, BP, Halliburton, Callon and Exxon Mobi","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Energy stocks gained in morning trading. Occidental, Chevron, BP, Halliburton, Callon and Exxon Mobil rose between 1% and 7%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c18de0327cf0b735f8ae6b3a6c83b8\" tg-width=\"433\" tg-height=\"424\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Energy Stocks Gained in Morning Trading</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEnergy Stocks Gained in Morning Trading\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-14 21:48</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Energy stocks gained in morning trading. Occidental, Chevron, BP, Halliburton, Callon and Exxon Mobil rose between 1% and 7%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c18de0327cf0b735f8ae6b3a6c83b8\" tg-width=\"433\" tg-height=\"424\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OXY":"西方石油","CVX":"雪佛龙"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159676379","content_text":"Energy stocks gained in morning trading. Occidental, Chevron, BP, Halliburton, Callon and Exxon Mobil rose between 1% and 7%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"OXY":0.9,"CVX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890819418,"gmtCreate":1628090964334,"gmtModify":1703501141737,"author":{"id":"3581939067431343","authorId":"3581939067431343","name":"山那边的英英子","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c8a7304c7112e9c83de3d44c85ec252","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581939067431343","idStr":"3581939067431343"},"themes":[],"htmlText":" z","listText":" z","text":"z","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/890819418","repostId":"1167639340","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167639340","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628088005,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1167639340?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-04 22:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Boeing rose in a straight line during the session, 737 Max will go to China for certification testing","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167639340","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"周三盘中，波音直线拉升， 抹去日内跌幅。消息面上，波音一架737 Max客机即将启程前往中国接受认证测试。","content":"<p>Wednesday intraday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>Pull up in a straight line, erasing intraday losses. On the news, a Boeing 737 Max passenger plane is about to leave for China for certification testing.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/295b33f8b1062f660ebe38937b8dc87d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Boeing rose in a straight line during the session, 737 Max will go to China for certification testing</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBoeing rose in a straight line during the session, 737 Max will go to China for certification testing\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-04 22:40</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Wednesday intraday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>Pull up in a straight line, erasing intraday losses. On the news, a Boeing 737 Max passenger plane is about to leave for China for certification testing.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/295b33f8b1062f660ebe38937b8dc87d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02346726093e06d899a1879905b1c340","relate_stocks":{"BA":"波音"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167639340","content_text":"周三盘中，波音直线拉升， 抹去日内跌幅。消息面上，波音一架737 Max客机即将启程前往中国接受认证测试。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159211634,"gmtCreate":1624969670228,"gmtModify":1703849034988,"author":{"id":"3581939067431343","authorId":"3581939067431343","name":"山那边的英英子","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c8a7304c7112e9c83de3d44c85ec252","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581939067431343","idStr":"3581939067431343"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"b","listText":"b","text":"b","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/159211634","repostId":"1100369453","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100369453","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624964887,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1100369453?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-29 19:08","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The Federal Reserve is standing still, why does the market generally interpret it as \"hawkish\"?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100369453","media":"海银财富","summary":"摘要：\n北京时间6月17日，美联储公布6月议息会议声明，美联储选择按兵不动，符合预期。但鸽派的背后，我们认为此次会议更偏 “鹰派”。具体体现为：上调经济增速预期，上调利率走廊区间，及点阵图隐含美联储2","content":"<p><b>Summary:</b></p><p>On June 17, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve announced the statement of its June interest rate meeting. The Federal Reserve chose to stay on hold, in line with expectations. But behind the doves, we think this meeting is more \"hawkish\". Specifically, it is reflected in: raising the economic growth forecast, raising the Interest Rate Corridor range, and the dot plot implies the possibility that the Federal Reserve will rate hike ahead of schedule in 2023.</p><p>In terms of QE tapering, we expect that the Federal Reserve is likely to begin formally discussing the specific plan to reduce bond purchases at its September meeting and officially announce it at its December meeting. And gradually reduce the scale of bond purchases from January 2022, and completely withdraw from QE at the last meeting in December 2022. In terms of interest rates, we expect the Fed will likely start in mid-2023 and accrue interest at least twice.</p><p>However, it is not ruled out that if future inflation exceeds the Fed's tolerance range, the Fed may choose an earlier rate hike. By then, when the U.S. dollar strengthens, international capital will accelerate its return to the U.S. market, and emerging market countries may encounter a situation of three kills in stocks, bonds and foreign exchange.</p><p><b>The Federal Reserve's June interest rate meeting remained unchanged overall</b></p><p>On June 17, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve announced the statement of its June interest rate meeting. The previous monetary resolution remained unchanged as a whole, in line with expectations. Keep the target federal funds rate in the range of 0%-0.25%, and keep the monthly asset purchase scale of US $120 billion unchanged (US $80 billion Treasury Bond, US $40 billion MBS). However, the excess reserve rate IOER and overnight reverse repurchase rate ONRRP range were raised by 5bp to 0.05%-0.15%.</p><p><b>But the attitude is more \"hawkish\"</b></p><p>This meeting is the first time that the Federal Reserve has released a clear hawkish signal since it \"went all the way to doves\" in March last year. This is especially reflected in the upward adjustment of IOER and ONRRP and the more positive economic expression. The following are the three key changes of this interest rate meeting:</p><p><b>1. Adjust economic data expectations</b></p><p>The Federal Reserve raised its economic growth forecast. Compared with the previous meeting, the contribution of vaccines to the recovery of the epidemic was emphatically affirmed, and confidence in economic recovery was significantly enhanced. At this meeting, the Federal Reserve raised its 2021 growth forecast by 0.5% to 7%. The statement showed that \"progress in vaccination has reduced the spread of the epidemic in the United States.\" The April statement showed that \"the epidemic has caused tremendous hardship to the economy worldwide.\" Powell also said at a subsequent press conference that the U.S. economy may recover strongly this year. \"Widespread vaccination, as well as unprecedented fiscal policy actions, have also provided strong support for the recovery,\" he said. Economic activity and employment indicators continue to strengthen, and real GDP this year appears on track to achieve the fastest growth rate in decades. \"</p><p>Inflation expectations were raised, and the increase exceeded market expectations. The statement clearly pointed to rising inflation levels, while Powell acknowledged that inflation may be higher and longer than expected. The Federal Reserve adjusted its 2021 PCE forecast to 3.4%, a sharp increase of 1 percentage point from the previous value. The core PCE forecast was also adjusted to 3%, which was only 2.2%.</p><p>The overall unemployment rate remains unchanged. The Fed's description of employment growth remains unchanged as \"have strengthened.\" The unemployment rate expectation for the future remains almost unchanged from before.</p><p>Chart 1 Federal Reserve Economic Data Forecast<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46692bf745f5d8081a04bc48ebbec920\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"482\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: Federal Reserve, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p><b>2. The dot plot shows that there may be two rate hike in 2023</b></p><p>In terms of interest rates, the dot plot implies the possibility of an early rate hike, and there may be at least two rate hike in 2023. Referring to the dot plot reflecting the Fed's future interest rate policy, it can be seen that Fed officials generally believed at the March meeting that the zero interest rate policy would be maintained at least until the end of 2023. The dot plot of this meeting has changed greatly. The dot plot of the June meeting shows that most officials predict that rate hike may be advanced in 2023, and even the number of officials predicting rate hike in 2022 is significantly higher than that in March. In addition, the 2023 interest rate forecast center has risen from 0.1% in March to 0.6%, which means that the Federal Reserve may have at least two rate hike operations in 2023.</p><p>Chart 2 Dot plot of the Federal Reserve's March 2021 FOMC meeting<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/253e6288953039316f74da201a5e5801\" tg-width=\"592\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: FED, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p>Chart 3 Dot plot of the Federal Reserve's June 2021 FOMC meeting<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24c0102ef21f3d404bee85b60a5ce06c\" tg-width=\"595\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: FED, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p>3. Raise the Interest Rate Corridor range</p><p>The Federal Reserve raised the Interest Rate Corridor range this time, raising the excess reserve rate IOER and overnight reverse repurchase rate ONRRP (the upper and lower limits of the Interest Rate Corridor respectively) from 0%-0.1% to 0.05%-0.15% to support effective policy implementation and the smooth operation of the short-term US dollar financing market.</p><p>Chart 4 The Fed raises its Interest Rate Corridor range<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/636f63e08baab3e9a99836bbf1f2dd53\" tg-width=\"994\" tg-height=\"568\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: Wind, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p>Overall, although the Federal Reserve did not release the Taper signal in advance at this meeting, and Powell also emphasized that the future interest rate trend cannot be predicted through dot plots, saying that it is still too early to talk about rate hike in order to give the market a \"peace of mind pill\". However, judging from the specific content, whether it is raising the economic growth forecast, raising the Interest Rate Corridor range, or the dot plot Fed officials' forecast, the possibility of advancing rate hike to control the continued high inflation cannot be ruled out.</p><p><b>The possible timing forecast of the Fed's tapering of QE and rate hike:</b></p><p><b>Employment recovery is key</b></p><p>In terms of QE reduction, the degree of employment recovery is a key factor in determining the timing of the Fed's Taper. If employment recovery continues to be strong in the next few months, the Federal Reserve will begin to discuss QE reduction plans. Anyway, if employment recovery is less than expected, the Fed may choose to continue to wait and see until employment returns to ideal levels.</p><p>Chart 5 The current employment recovery in the United States is less than expected, and the Fed will remain on hold in the short term<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23604df788b57dbe0ce299e66f30e2cb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"590\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: Wind, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p>Judging from the experience of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy normalization in 2013, it is very likely that the Federal Reserve will begin formally discussing the specific plan to reduce bond purchases at the September meeting and officially announce it at the December meeting. According to the current monthly bond purchase scale of US $120 billion, it is expected to be reduced by US $15 billion each time, gradually reducing the bond purchase scale from January 2022, and completely withdrawing from QE at the last meeting in December 2022.</p><p>Chart 6 We expect this round of QE to end by the end of 2022</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b754a7f635b7d0d6b0b1f48566708cb0\" tg-width=\"1061\" tg-height=\"728\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: Wind, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p>Rate hike. Rate hike generally occurs after the end of QE. If QE ends at the end of 2022, the Federal Reserve is likely to start discussing rate hike matters as early as early 2023, and start at least two rate hike around mid-2023.</p><p>Chart 7 The dot plot shows that the Fed is likely to make at least two rate hike in 2023<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e771012b3c148ff52d20755cd91e3944\" tg-width=\"595\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: FED, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p><b>Be wary of a sharp rise in inflation,</b></p><p><b>Possibility of early Fed rate hike</b></p><p>Against the background of the continuous improvement of the epidemic situation, the huge fiscal stimulus in the United States and the rapid repair of the U.S. output gap have increased the recent inflationary pressure in the United States. Wind data shows that the PCE inflation indicator referred to by the Federal Reserve when formulating monetary policy rose 3.58% year-on-year in April, the highest level since 2008.</p><p>With the further recovery of the U.S. economy in the future, inflationary pressure in the U.S. will further increase in the second half of the year. According to Bloomberg's forecast, the United States will usher in the highest inflation point in the second quarter, and then gradually fall back in the third quarter. However, inflationary pressure will still exist during the year and will remain above the 3% level.</p><p>Be wary of the impact of rate hike on emerging market countries in advance. At this meeting, although the Federal Reserve once again emphasized that inflation should be allowed to be slightly higher than 2% for a period of time, it has certain expectations for the possibility that inflation levels may last longer and grow faster. However, it does not rule out the possibility that future inflation exceeds the Fed's tolerance range, prompting the Fed to choose an earlier rate hike. By then, when the U.S. dollar strengthens, international capital will accelerate its return to the U.S. market, and emerging market countries may encounter a situation of three kills in stocks, bonds and foreign exchange. Emerging market countries may have to continue rate hike to cope with potential capital outflow pressures. If countries with poor epidemic prevention and control such as India choose rate hike, it will undoubtedly add insult to injury to countries that need a low interest rate environment to stimulate economic recovery.</p><p>Chart 8 U.S. inflation is expected to fall in the third quarter, but will still be higher than 3%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a6053ec35be961844988688c521dd54\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","source":"lsy1614591202325","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Federal Reserve is standing still, why does the market generally interpret it as \"hawkish\"?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Federal Reserve is standing still, why does the market generally interpret it as \"hawkish\"?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">海银财富</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-29 19:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary:</b></p><p>On June 17, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve announced the statement of its June interest rate meeting. The Federal Reserve chose to stay on hold, in line with expectations. But behind the doves, we think this meeting is more \"hawkish\". Specifically, it is reflected in: raising the economic growth forecast, raising the Interest Rate Corridor range, and the dot plot implies the possibility that the Federal Reserve will rate hike ahead of schedule in 2023.</p><p>In terms of QE tapering, we expect that the Federal Reserve is likely to begin formally discussing the specific plan to reduce bond purchases at its September meeting and officially announce it at its December meeting. And gradually reduce the scale of bond purchases from January 2022, and completely withdraw from QE at the last meeting in December 2022. In terms of interest rates, we expect the Fed will likely start in mid-2023 and accrue interest at least twice.</p><p>However, it is not ruled out that if future inflation exceeds the Fed's tolerance range, the Fed may choose an earlier rate hike. By then, when the U.S. dollar strengthens, international capital will accelerate its return to the U.S. market, and emerging market countries may encounter a situation of three kills in stocks, bonds and foreign exchange.</p><p><b>The Federal Reserve's June interest rate meeting remained unchanged overall</b></p><p>On June 17, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve announced the statement of its June interest rate meeting. The previous monetary resolution remained unchanged as a whole, in line with expectations. Keep the target federal funds rate in the range of 0%-0.25%, and keep the monthly asset purchase scale of US $120 billion unchanged (US $80 billion Treasury Bond, US $40 billion MBS). However, the excess reserve rate IOER and overnight reverse repurchase rate ONRRP range were raised by 5bp to 0.05%-0.15%.</p><p><b>But the attitude is more \"hawkish\"</b></p><p>This meeting is the first time that the Federal Reserve has released a clear hawkish signal since it \"went all the way to doves\" in March last year. This is especially reflected in the upward adjustment of IOER and ONRRP and the more positive economic expression. The following are the three key changes of this interest rate meeting:</p><p><b>1. Adjust economic data expectations</b></p><p>The Federal Reserve raised its economic growth forecast. Compared with the previous meeting, the contribution of vaccines to the recovery of the epidemic was emphatically affirmed, and confidence in economic recovery was significantly enhanced. At this meeting, the Federal Reserve raised its 2021 growth forecast by 0.5% to 7%. The statement showed that \"progress in vaccination has reduced the spread of the epidemic in the United States.\" The April statement showed that \"the epidemic has caused tremendous hardship to the economy worldwide.\" Powell also said at a subsequent press conference that the U.S. economy may recover strongly this year. \"Widespread vaccination, as well as unprecedented fiscal policy actions, have also provided strong support for the recovery,\" he said. Economic activity and employment indicators continue to strengthen, and real GDP this year appears on track to achieve the fastest growth rate in decades. \"</p><p>Inflation expectations were raised, and the increase exceeded market expectations. The statement clearly pointed to rising inflation levels, while Powell acknowledged that inflation may be higher and longer than expected. The Federal Reserve adjusted its 2021 PCE forecast to 3.4%, a sharp increase of 1 percentage point from the previous value. The core PCE forecast was also adjusted to 3%, which was only 2.2%.</p><p>The overall unemployment rate remains unchanged. The Fed's description of employment growth remains unchanged as \"have strengthened.\" The unemployment rate expectation for the future remains almost unchanged from before.</p><p>Chart 1 Federal Reserve Economic Data Forecast<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46692bf745f5d8081a04bc48ebbec920\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"482\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: Federal Reserve, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p><b>2. The dot plot shows that there may be two rate hike in 2023</b></p><p>In terms of interest rates, the dot plot implies the possibility of an early rate hike, and there may be at least two rate hike in 2023. Referring to the dot plot reflecting the Fed's future interest rate policy, it can be seen that Fed officials generally believed at the March meeting that the zero interest rate policy would be maintained at least until the end of 2023. The dot plot of this meeting has changed greatly. The dot plot of the June meeting shows that most officials predict that rate hike may be advanced in 2023, and even the number of officials predicting rate hike in 2022 is significantly higher than that in March. In addition, the 2023 interest rate forecast center has risen from 0.1% in March to 0.6%, which means that the Federal Reserve may have at least two rate hike operations in 2023.</p><p>Chart 2 Dot plot of the Federal Reserve's March 2021 FOMC meeting<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/253e6288953039316f74da201a5e5801\" tg-width=\"592\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: FED, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p>Chart 3 Dot plot of the Federal Reserve's June 2021 FOMC meeting<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24c0102ef21f3d404bee85b60a5ce06c\" tg-width=\"595\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: FED, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p>3. Raise the Interest Rate Corridor range</p><p>The Federal Reserve raised the Interest Rate Corridor range this time, raising the excess reserve rate IOER and overnight reverse repurchase rate ONRRP (the upper and lower limits of the Interest Rate Corridor respectively) from 0%-0.1% to 0.05%-0.15% to support effective policy implementation and the smooth operation of the short-term US dollar financing market.</p><p>Chart 4 The Fed raises its Interest Rate Corridor range<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/636f63e08baab3e9a99836bbf1f2dd53\" tg-width=\"994\" tg-height=\"568\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: Wind, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p>Overall, although the Federal Reserve did not release the Taper signal in advance at this meeting, and Powell also emphasized that the future interest rate trend cannot be predicted through dot plots, saying that it is still too early to talk about rate hike in order to give the market a \"peace of mind pill\". However, judging from the specific content, whether it is raising the economic growth forecast, raising the Interest Rate Corridor range, or the dot plot Fed officials' forecast, the possibility of advancing rate hike to control the continued high inflation cannot be ruled out.</p><p><b>The possible timing forecast of the Fed's tapering of QE and rate hike:</b></p><p><b>Employment recovery is key</b></p><p>In terms of QE reduction, the degree of employment recovery is a key factor in determining the timing of the Fed's Taper. If employment recovery continues to be strong in the next few months, the Federal Reserve will begin to discuss QE reduction plans. Anyway, if employment recovery is less than expected, the Fed may choose to continue to wait and see until employment returns to ideal levels.</p><p>Chart 5 The current employment recovery in the United States is less than expected, and the Fed will remain on hold in the short term<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23604df788b57dbe0ce299e66f30e2cb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"590\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: Wind, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p>Judging from the experience of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy normalization in 2013, it is very likely that the Federal Reserve will begin formally discussing the specific plan to reduce bond purchases at the September meeting and officially announce it at the December meeting. According to the current monthly bond purchase scale of US $120 billion, it is expected to be reduced by US $15 billion each time, gradually reducing the bond purchase scale from January 2022, and completely withdrawing from QE at the last meeting in December 2022.</p><p>Chart 6 We expect this round of QE to end by the end of 2022</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b754a7f635b7d0d6b0b1f48566708cb0\" tg-width=\"1061\" tg-height=\"728\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: Wind, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p>Rate hike. Rate hike generally occurs after the end of QE. If QE ends at the end of 2022, the Federal Reserve is likely to start discussing rate hike matters as early as early 2023, and start at least two rate hike around mid-2023.</p><p>Chart 7 The dot plot shows that the Fed is likely to make at least two rate hike in 2023<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e771012b3c148ff52d20755cd91e3944\" tg-width=\"595\" tg-height=\"492\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Data source: FED, Haiyin Research Institute</p><p><b>Be wary of a sharp rise in inflation,</b></p><p><b>Possibility of early Fed rate hike</b></p><p>Against the background of the continuous improvement of the epidemic situation, the huge fiscal stimulus in the United States and the rapid repair of the U.S. output gap have increased the recent inflationary pressure in the United States. Wind data shows that the PCE inflation indicator referred to by the Federal Reserve when formulating monetary policy rose 3.58% year-on-year in April, the highest level since 2008.</p><p>With the further recovery of the U.S. economy in the future, inflationary pressure in the U.S. will further increase in the second half of the year. According to Bloomberg's forecast, the United States will usher in the highest inflation point in the second quarter, and then gradually fall back in the third quarter. However, inflationary pressure will still exist during the year and will remain above the 3% level.</p><p>Be wary of the impact of rate hike on emerging market countries in advance. At this meeting, although the Federal Reserve once again emphasized that inflation should be allowed to be slightly higher than 2% for a period of time, it has certain expectations for the possibility that inflation levels may last longer and grow faster. However, it does not rule out the possibility that future inflation exceeds the Fed's tolerance range, prompting the Fed to choose an earlier rate hike. By then, when the U.S. dollar strengthens, international capital will accelerate its return to the U.S. market, and emerging market countries may encounter a situation of three kills in stocks, bonds and foreign exchange. Emerging market countries may have to continue rate hike to cope with potential capital outflow pressures. If countries with poor epidemic prevention and control such as India choose rate hike, it will undoubtedly add insult to injury to countries that need a low interest rate environment to stimulate economic recovery.</p><p>Chart 8 U.S. inflation is expected to fall in the third quarter, but will still be higher than 3%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a6053ec35be961844988688c521dd54\" tg-width=\"1048\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?src=11×tamp=1625017730&ver=3161&signature=g7FeJ7ELPCHgUaQqGoC0ejSKlbZf2*HiG8oiMSD2jj4J3SLBEMaXVH0TTgpiuQdUQlhKBe1hB-UhfTk6QhWvApImWkixXIEB9z7MHni6pRJYFKOGlVdkzQr7DHyE2Wtf&new=1\">海银财富</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?src=11×tamp=1625017730&ver=3161&signature=g7FeJ7ELPCHgUaQqGoC0ejSKlbZf2*HiG8oiMSD2jj4J3SLBEMaXVH0TTgpiuQdUQlhKBe1hB-UhfTk6QhWvApImWkixXIEB9z7MHni6pRJYFKOGlVdkzQr7DHyE2Wtf&new=1","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100369453","content_text":"摘要：\n北京时间6月17日，美联储公布6月议息会议声明，美联储选择按兵不动，符合预期。但鸽派的背后，我们认为此次会议更偏 “鹰派”。具体体现为：上调经济增速预期，上调利率走廊区间，及点阵图隐含美联储2023年将会提前加息的可能性。\nQE缩减方面, 我们预计美联储很有可能在9月会议上开始正式讨论缩减购债的具体计划，并于12月会议正式宣布。并从2022年1月开始逐步降低购债规模，至2022年12月最后一次会议时完全退出QE。利率方面，我们预计美联储可能会在2023年中开始，并至少计息两次。\n但不排除若未来通胀超出美联储容忍范围，美联储选择更早加息的可能。届时，美元走强，国际资本将加速回流美国市场，新兴市场国家或将遭遇股债汇三杀的局面。\n美联储6月议息会议整体维持不变\n北京时间6月17日，美联储公布6月议息会议声明。整体维持此前货币决议不变，符合预期。维持联邦基金目标利率在0%-0.25%区间内，维持每月1200亿美元资产购买规模不变（800亿美元国债，400亿美元MBS）。但将超额准备金利率IOER和隔夜逆回购利率ONRRP区间上调5bp至0.05%-0.15%。\n但态度更偏“鹰派”\n本次会议是美联储在去年3月“一路向鸽”后，首次释放明确转鹰信号。尤其体现在在上调IOER和ONRRP、经济表述更为积极等方面。下面是本次议息会议的三大重点变化：\n1. 调整经济数据预期\n美联储上调经济增速预期。跟前次会议相比，着重肯定了疫苗对疫情恢复的贡献，且对经济恢复信心明显增强。本次会议美联储将2021年增长预期上调0.5%至7%。声明显示，“疫苗接种方面的进展控制了（reduced the spread）疫情在美国的传播。”而4月声明显示，“疫情在全球范围内对经济造成巨大损害（tremendous hardship）。”鲍威尔在随后的发布会上亦表示今年美国经济可能强劲复苏。他表示“广泛的疫苗接种，以及前所未有的财政政策行动，也为复苏提供了强有力的支持。经济活动和就业指标持续走强，今年的实际国内生产总值似乎有望实现几十年来最快的增长速度。”\n上调通胀预期，上调幅度超市场预期。声明明确指出通胀水平上升，同时鲍威尔承认通胀可能比预期的水平更高和时间更长。美联储将2021年PCE预期调整为 3.4%、较前值大幅抬升1个百分点，核心 PCE 预期也调整为3%，前值仅为2.2%。\n失业率水平整体不变。美联储对就业增长的表述不变，仍为 “不断改善”（have strengthened）。对未来的失业率预期与此前几乎保持不变。\n图表 1美联储经济数据预测数据来源：美联储，海银研究院\n2. 点阵图显示，2023年内可能加息两次\n利率方面，点阵图隐含提前加息可能，2023年内可能至少加息两次。参考反映美联储未来利率政策的点阵图可看出，美联储官员在3月会议时普遍认为将至少维持零利率政策至2023年底。而此次会议点阵图有较大变化，6月会议点阵图显示大部分官员都预测2023年内可能提前加息，甚至是预测2022年加息的官员也比3月时明显增多。另外，2023年利率预测中枢从3月的0.1%抬升至0.6%，意味着2023年内美联储可能会有至少两次加息操作。\n图表 2美联储2021年3月FOMC会议点阵图数据来源：FED，海银研究院\n图表 3美联储2021年6月FOMC会议点阵图 数据来源：FED，海银研究院\n3. 上调利率走廊区间\n联储此次上调了利率走廊区间，将超额准备金利率IOER和隔夜逆回购利率ONRRP（分别为利率走廊的上下限）区间从0%-0.1%上调至0.05%-0.15%，以支持有效的政策实施和短期美元融资市场的平稳运行。\n图表 4 美联储上调利率走廊区间数据来源：Wind，海银研究院\n整体来看，美联储此次会议虽没有提前释放Taper信号，且鲍威尔也强调不能通过点阵图来预测未来利率走势，表示目前谈加息还为时尚早，以求给市场吃“安心丸”。但从具体内容来看，无论是上调经济增速预期，上调利率走廊区间，及点阵图美联储官员的预测来看，不排除提前加息以控制通胀持续高企的可能性。\n美联储缩减QE和加息可能的时点预测：\n就业恢复是关键\nQE缩减方面, 就业恢复的程度是决定美联储Taper时点的关键性因素。若未来几个月就业恢复持续强劲，美联储则会开始着手讨论QE缩减计划。反正，若就业恢复不及预期，美联储可能选择持续观望，直至就业恢复至理想水平。\n图表 5目前美国就业恢复不及预期，短期联储仍将按兵不动数据来源：Wind，海银研究院\n参照美联储2013年货币政策正常化的经验来看，美联储很有可能在9月会议上开始正式讨论缩减购债的具体计划，并于12月会议正式宣布。按照目前每月1200亿美元的购债规模来看，预计每次缩减150亿美元，从2022年1月开始逐步降低购债规模，至2022年12月最后一次会议时完全退出QE。\n图表 6我们预计本轮QE将在2022年底结束\n数据来源：Wind，海银研究院\n加息方面。加息一般发生在QE结束后，若2022年底结束QE，美联储很可能最早在2023年初开始讨论加息事项，并于2023年中左右开始至少加息两次。\n图表 7点阵图显示美联储很可能在2023年至少加息两次 数据来源：FED，海银研究院\n警惕通胀大幅上行，\n美联储提前加息的可能性\n在疫情不断好转的背景下，美国天量财政刺激及美国产出缺口的较快修复都加大了近期美国通胀的压力。Wind数据显示，美联储制定货币政策时参考的PCE通胀指标在4月同比上涨3.58%，创造了2008年以来最高水平。\n随着未来美国经济的进一步恢复，美国下半年通胀压力也将进一步加大。根据彭博预测显示，美国二季度美国将迎来通胀最高点，随后会在三季度逐渐回落，但年内通胀压力犹在，仍将处于3%水平之上。\n警惕提前加息对新兴市场国家的冲击。本次会议美联储虽再次强调允许通胀在一段时间内略高于2%的水平，且对通胀水平可能会持续更长、增长更快的可能性有一定的预期。但不排除若未来通胀超出美联储容忍范围，促使美联储选择更早加息的可能。届时，美元走强，国际资本将加速回流美国市场，新兴市场国家或将遭遇股债汇三杀的局面。新兴市场国家可能不得不采取继续加息的方式，以应对潜在的资本外流压力。若印度等疫情防控较差的国家选择加息，无疑对需要低利率环境刺激经济回暖的国家来说是雪上加霜。\n图表 8 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