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J4
2024-07-01
Join and win rewards.
J4
2024-07-01
👍
@TigerEvents:[10th Anniv] Discover exciting features & win a US$1,010 reward!
J4
2024-01-14
👍👍👍👍👍👍
J4
2024-01-13
Fun and nice game. 👍
J4
2024-01-12
Fun and nice game. 👍
J4
2024-01-11
Fun and nice games.
J4
2024-01-10
👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍
J4
2024-01-09
Enjoy the games. 👍👍
J4
2024-01-08
Nice game. Go and play.
J4
2024-01-07
Fun and nice games.
J4
2024-01-06
Fun and nice games.
J4
2024-01-05
Play the game and win.
J4
2024-01-05
Play The game and win voucher.
J4
2024-01-04
Nice and fun games.
J4
2024-01-03
Fun and nice game. 👍
J4
2024-01-02
Fun and nice games. 👍
J4
2024-01-01
happy new year. 🥳
J4
2023-12-31
Nice game. Play now.
J4
2023-12-30
Nice game. Go and play it.
J4
2023-12-29
Nice and fun games. 👍
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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Play now. ","listText":"Nice game. Play now. ","text":"Nice game. Play now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257848336834816","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257620166140104,"gmtCreate":1703929543032,"gmtModify":1703929547129,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582504836067709","idStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice game. Go and play it. ","listText":"Nice game. Go and play it. ","text":"Nice game. Go and play it.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257620166140104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":257181789970728,"gmtCreate":1703822599800,"gmtModify":1703822604830,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582504836067709","idStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice and fun games. 👍","listText":"Nice and fun games. 👍","text":"Nice and fun games. 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/257181789970728","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9055269202,"gmtCreate":1655277367506,"gmtModify":1676535603200,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9055269202","repostId":"2243698842","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":297,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079008366,"gmtCreate":1657116876655,"gmtModify":1676535952163,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079008366","repostId":"1151256214","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9047962113,"gmtCreate":1656856088333,"gmtModify":1676535904352,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9047962113","repostId":"2248980919","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2248980919","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1656848586,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2248980919?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-03 19:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2248980919","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second q","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.</p><p>In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.</p><p>Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China's prolonged lockdown.</p><p>Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.</p><p>Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla's history, the company said in a news release.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b06a0b120caa4763851aba5807bfe85b\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-03 19:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.</p><p>In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.</p><p>Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China's prolonged lockdown.</p><p>Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.</p><p>Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla's history, the company said in a news release.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b06a0b120caa4763851aba5807bfe85b\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2248980919","content_text":"July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China's prolonged lockdown.Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla's history, the company said in a news release.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":236435068809280,"gmtCreate":1698758957113,"gmtModify":1698758961181,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Fun games 👍👍👍","listText":"Fun games 👍👍👍","text":"Fun games 👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/236435068809280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9046343648,"gmtCreate":1656301756084,"gmtModify":1676535802438,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9046343648","repostId":"2246573111","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9040420299,"gmtCreate":1655693791611,"gmtModify":1676535687156,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9040420299","repostId":"2244458597","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2244458597","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1655679730,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2244458597?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-20 07:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Recession Fears Roil Markets Amid Fed's Inflation Fight: What to Know This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2244458597","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The Federal Reserve’s latest rate hike is expected to keep markets on edge in the holiday-shortened ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve’s latest rate hike is expected to keep markets on edge in the holiday-shortened week ahead. Wall Street will be closed on Monday, with markets observing Juneteenth for the first time.</p><p>Last week, the S&P 500 logged its worst weekly performance since March 2020, losing 5.8% after falling into a bear market on Monday. This decline also marked the benchmark index's 10th loss in the last 11 weeks.</p><p>The U.S. central bank on Wednesday raised its benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points, the largest increase in nearly three decades. Fed Chair Jerome Powell also hinted at more aggressive tightening ahead as policymakers ratchet up their fight against inflation.</p><p>On Wall Street, the move spurred a wave of recession calls and sent markets into disarray.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down nearly 5% for the week, briefly slipping below the 30,000 level. The Nasdaq pared some losses to close higher Friday but still rounded the week out in the red, down roughly 1.7%. On Saturday, the price of bitcoin (BTC-USD) dropped below $18,000 for the first time since 2020 as risk assets continue to face pressure.</p><p>"The main take-away for investors is that inflation has the Fed’s attention and that they are taking it very seriously," Independent Advisor Alliance Chief Investment Officer Chris Zaccarelli said. "Despite the fact that higher interest rates – all things being equal – are bad for risk assets, it is more important to get inflation under control and the rapid (and flexible) change from 0.5% up to 0.75% on very short notice, showed a new willingness to fight inflation with actions rather than words."</p><p>While the Fed's unprecedented action Wednesday reiterated its commitment to normalizing price levels, investors and economists fear this also increased the risk its inflation-fighting measures may tip the economy into a recession.</p><p>“Our worst fears around the Fed have been confirmed: they fell way behind the curve and are now playing a dangerous game of catch up,” analysts at Bank of America said in a note Friday. The firm slashed its GDP growth forecast to almost zero and sees a 40% chance of a recession next year.</p><p>“In the spring of 2021 we argued that the biggest risk to the US economy was a boom-bust scenario,” the bank’s research team noted. “Over time the boom-bust scenario has become our baseline forecast.”</p><p>Meanwhile, at JPMorgan, analysts warned the S&P 500's decline implies an 85% chance of recession.</p><p>All eyes will remain Powell in the coming week, with the Fed chair set to testify before the U.S. Senate Banking Committee Wednesday morning.</p><p>The Fed chief has remained adamant that the U.S. economy can avoid an economic slowdown, even as market participants lose confidence at the prospect of a “soft landing” – a period when economic growth is slowed just enough to quell inflation but without spurring economic downturn.</p><p>“We’re not trying to induce a recession now, let’s be clear about that,” Powell told reporters Wednesday. In remarks at a conference in Washington on Friday, Powell also doubled down on the central bank’s goal to rein in soaring price levels.</p><p>“My colleagues and I are acutely focused on returning inflation to our 2% objective,” he said. “The Federal Reserve’s strong commitment to our price-stability mandate contributes to the widespread confidence in the dollar as a store of value.”</p><p>Powell’s optimism does not appear to be shared by Wall Street or business leaders.</p><p>A survey released by the Conference Board found that 60% of chief executive officers and other C-suite leaders across the globe believe their geographic region will enter a recession by the end of 2023. Some 15% of CEOs say they believe their region has already entered recession.</p><p>Models from Bloomberg Economics suggest the risk of a recession has soared to more than 70%.</p><p>Another key sentiment gauge is set for release in the week ahead. The University of Michigan is scheduled to publish the final read on its sentiment index for June; the survey's initial reading for June fell to the lowest on record as inflation weighs on consumers.</p><p>Corporate earnings will be light during the week, with Lennar Corporation (LEN), Rite Aid Corporation (RAD), and FedEx Corporation (FDX) set to report quarterly results.</p><p>—</p><h2><b>Economic calendar</b></h2><h2></h2><p><b>Monday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release.</i></p><p><b>Tuesday:</b> <b><i>Chicago Fed National Activity Index</i></b>, May (0.47 during prior month), <b><i>Existing Home Sales</i></b>, May (5.40 million expected, 5.61 during prior month), <b><i>Existing Home Sales</i></b>, month-over-month, May (-3.7% expected, -2.4% during prior month)</p><p><b>Wednesday:</b> <b><i>MBA Mortgage Applications</i></b>, week ended June 17 (-6.6% during prior week)</p><p><b>Thursday: </b><b><i>Current Account Balance</i></b>, Q1 (-$279.0 billion expected, -$217.9 billion during prior quarter), <b><i>Initial Jobless Claims</i></b>, week ended June 18 (232,000 expected, 229,000 during prior week); <b><i>Continuing Claims</i></b>, week ended June 11 (1.328 million expected, 1.312 million during prior week); <b><i>S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI</i></b>, June preliminary (56.3 expected, 57 during prior month); <b><i>S&P Global U.S. Services PMI</i></b>, June preliminary (53.5 expected, 53.4 during prior month); <b><i>S&P Global U.S. Composite PMI</i></b>, June preliminary (53.6 during prior month); <b><i>Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity</i></b>, June (23 during prior month)</p><p><b>Friday: </b><b><i>University of Michigan Sentiment,</i></b> June final (50.2 expected, 50.2 during prior month), <b><i>University of Michigan Current Conditions</i></b>, June final (55.4 during prior month), <b><i>University of Michigan Expectations</i></b>, June final (46.8 during prior month), <b><i>University of Michigan 1-Year Inflation</i></b>, June final (5.4% during prior month), <b><i>University of Michigan 5-10-Year Inflation</i></b>, June final (3.3% during prior month), <b><i>New Home Sales</i></b>, May (595,000 expected, 591,000 during prior month), <b><i>New Home Sales</i></b>, month-over-month, May (0.7% expected, -16.6% during prior month)</p><p>—</p><h2><b>Earnings calendar</b></h2><h2></h2><p><b>Monday</b></p><p><i>No notable reports scheduled for release.</i></p><p><b>Tuesday</b></p><p>Before market open: <b>Lennar Corporation</b> (LEN)</p><p>After market close: <b>La-Z-Boy Incorporated</b> (LZB)</p><p><b>Wednesday</b></p><p>Before market open: <b>Korn Ferry</b> (KFY), <b>Winnebago Industries</b> (WGO)</p><p>After market close: <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KBH\">KB Home</a></b> (KBH)</p><p><b>Thursday</b></p><p>Before market open: <b>FactSet Research</b> (FDS), <b>Rite Aid</b> (RAD), <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APOG\">Apogee Enterprises</a></b> (APOG)</p><p>After market close: <b>FedEx</b> (FDX), <b>BlackBerry</b> (BB)</p><p><b>Friday</b></p><p>Before market open: <b>CarMax</b> (KMX)</p><p>After market close: <i>No notable reports scheduled for release.</i></p><p>—</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRecession Fears Roil Markets Amid Fed's Inflation Fight: What to Know This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-20 07:02 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-hikes-up-inflation-fight-recession-fears-roil-markets-what-to-know-this-week-161625390.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Federal Reserve’s latest rate hike is expected to keep markets on edge in the holiday-shortened week ahead. Wall Street will be closed on Monday, with markets observing Juneteenth for the first ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-hikes-up-inflation-fight-recession-fears-roil-markets-what-to-know-this-week-161625390.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-hikes-up-inflation-fight-recession-fears-roil-markets-what-to-know-this-week-161625390.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2244458597","content_text":"The Federal Reserve’s latest rate hike is expected to keep markets on edge in the holiday-shortened week ahead. Wall Street will be closed on Monday, with markets observing Juneteenth for the first time.Last week, the S&P 500 logged its worst weekly performance since March 2020, losing 5.8% after falling into a bear market on Monday. This decline also marked the benchmark index's 10th loss in the last 11 weeks.The U.S. central bank on Wednesday raised its benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points, the largest increase in nearly three decades. Fed Chair Jerome Powell also hinted at more aggressive tightening ahead as policymakers ratchet up their fight against inflation.On Wall Street, the move spurred a wave of recession calls and sent markets into disarray.The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down nearly 5% for the week, briefly slipping below the 30,000 level. The Nasdaq pared some losses to close higher Friday but still rounded the week out in the red, down roughly 1.7%. On Saturday, the price of bitcoin (BTC-USD) dropped below $18,000 for the first time since 2020 as risk assets continue to face pressure.\"The main take-away for investors is that inflation has the Fed’s attention and that they are taking it very seriously,\" Independent Advisor Alliance Chief Investment Officer Chris Zaccarelli said. \"Despite the fact that higher interest rates – all things being equal – are bad for risk assets, it is more important to get inflation under control and the rapid (and flexible) change from 0.5% up to 0.75% on very short notice, showed a new willingness to fight inflation with actions rather than words.\"While the Fed's unprecedented action Wednesday reiterated its commitment to normalizing price levels, investors and economists fear this also increased the risk its inflation-fighting measures may tip the economy into a recession.“Our worst fears around the Fed have been confirmed: they fell way behind the curve and are now playing a dangerous game of catch up,” analysts at Bank of America said in a note Friday. The firm slashed its GDP growth forecast to almost zero and sees a 40% chance of a recession next year.“In the spring of 2021 we argued that the biggest risk to the US economy was a boom-bust scenario,” the bank’s research team noted. “Over time the boom-bust scenario has become our baseline forecast.”Meanwhile, at JPMorgan, analysts warned the S&P 500's decline implies an 85% chance of recession.All eyes will remain Powell in the coming week, with the Fed chair set to testify before the U.S. Senate Banking Committee Wednesday morning.The Fed chief has remained adamant that the U.S. economy can avoid an economic slowdown, even as market participants lose confidence at the prospect of a “soft landing” – a period when economic growth is slowed just enough to quell inflation but without spurring economic downturn.“We’re not trying to induce a recession now, let’s be clear about that,” Powell told reporters Wednesday. In remarks at a conference in Washington on Friday, Powell also doubled down on the central bank’s goal to rein in soaring price levels.“My colleagues and I are acutely focused on returning inflation to our 2% objective,” he said. “The Federal Reserve’s strong commitment to our price-stability mandate contributes to the widespread confidence in the dollar as a store of value.”Powell’s optimism does not appear to be shared by Wall Street or business leaders.A survey released by the Conference Board found that 60% of chief executive officers and other C-suite leaders across the globe believe their geographic region will enter a recession by the end of 2023. Some 15% of CEOs say they believe their region has already entered recession.Models from Bloomberg Economics suggest the risk of a recession has soared to more than 70%.Another key sentiment gauge is set for release in the week ahead. The University of Michigan is scheduled to publish the final read on its sentiment index for June; the survey's initial reading for June fell to the lowest on record as inflation weighs on consumers.Corporate earnings will be light during the week, with Lennar Corporation (LEN), Rite Aid Corporation (RAD), and FedEx Corporation (FDX) set to report quarterly results.—Economic calendarMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release.Tuesday: Chicago Fed National Activity Index, May (0.47 during prior month), Existing Home Sales, May (5.40 million expected, 5.61 during prior month), Existing Home Sales, month-over-month, May (-3.7% expected, -2.4% during prior month)Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended June 17 (-6.6% during prior week)Thursday: Current Account Balance, Q1 (-$279.0 billion expected, -$217.9 billion during prior quarter), Initial Jobless Claims, week ended June 18 (232,000 expected, 229,000 during prior week); Continuing Claims, week ended June 11 (1.328 million expected, 1.312 million during prior week); S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI, June preliminary (56.3 expected, 57 during prior month); S&P Global U.S. Services PMI, June preliminary (53.5 expected, 53.4 during prior month); S&P Global U.S. Composite PMI, June preliminary (53.6 during prior month); Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity, June (23 during prior month)Friday: University of Michigan Sentiment, June final (50.2 expected, 50.2 during prior month), University of Michigan Current Conditions, June final (55.4 during prior month), University of Michigan Expectations, June final (46.8 during prior month), University of Michigan 1-Year Inflation, June final (5.4% during prior month), University of Michigan 5-10-Year Inflation, June final (3.3% during prior month), New Home Sales, May (595,000 expected, 591,000 during prior month), New Home Sales, month-over-month, May (0.7% expected, -16.6% during prior month)—Earnings calendarMondayNo notable reports scheduled for release.TuesdayBefore market open: Lennar Corporation (LEN)After market close: La-Z-Boy Incorporated (LZB)WednesdayBefore market open: Korn Ferry (KFY), Winnebago Industries (WGO)After market close: KB Home (KBH)ThursdayBefore market open: FactSet Research (FDS), Rite Aid (RAD), Apogee Enterprises (APOG)After market close: FedEx (FDX), BlackBerry (BB)FridayBefore market open: CarMax (KMX)After market close: No notable reports scheduled for release.—","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924466228,"gmtCreate":1672312500865,"gmtModify":1676538670453,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924466228","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9079826594,"gmtCreate":1657175399318,"gmtModify":1676535964382,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9079826594","repostId":"2249482475","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9047220077,"gmtCreate":1656929601799,"gmtModify":1676535917326,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9047220077","repostId":"1113088647","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113088647","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656922276,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1113088647?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-04 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Exxon: How Much Higher Can It Go?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113088647","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAfter the crash of 2020, ESG initiatives, and a growing distaste for oil companies, investmen","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>After the crash of 2020, ESG initiatives, and a growing distaste for oil companies, investments in the industry dried up and left the world undersupplied with oil, causing prices to soar.</li><li>Since Exxon’s 2020 low of around $33 a share the company's stock price more than tripled before retreating back down to the $88 level.</li><li>In the first quarter of 2022, Exxon reported some stellar numbers. Cash flow from operations soared to $14.8B.</li><li>LNG has become more important than ever as European countries are scrambling to replace Russian gas dependence.</li><li>Given the environment of elevated oil prices and low investment in exploration, I believe oil prices could potentially be sustained over the medium/long term.</li></ul><p><b>Introduction</b></p><p>2022 has been a great year for oil stocks like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">Exxon</a>. After the oil crash of 2020, ESG initiatives, and a growing distaste for oil companies, investments in the industry<i>dried</i><i>up</i>and left the world undersupplied with oil, causing prices to soar.</p><p>As one of the largest producers of oil, Exxon has been one of the largest beneficiaries too:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3167b2e19862d87f9a1d7d5e27c770c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"450\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Since Exxon’s 2020 low of around $33 a share the company's stock price has nearly tripled, that's after its recent retreat down from the $105 level, settling back down to $88.</p><p>But, as investors, we’re faced with a conundrum: Exxon, and oil companies like it, are reaping record profits, profits that look set to continue due to record low investments, but could a potential recession turn Exxon into a losing investment? And furthermore, is Exxon the best investment among the major oil producers?</p><p>Within this article I’ll provide:</p><ul><li>An update on Exxon’s business and prospects</li><li>A comparison of the financial performance of Exxon vs Peers</li><li>A valuation of Exxon’s shares under different market environments</li></ul><p>Exxon Business Update</p><p>Exxon has been a major beneficiary of the recovery in global oil prices. After decades of underinvestment, and Russia-induced geopolitical uncertainty, oil stocks are shining once again. Finally, oil is back in vogue. (XLE) (USO)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65b52596c745ee5312c25c9c49a36801\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>In the first quarter of 2022, Exxon reported some stellar numbers. Cash flow from operations soared to $14.8B and excluding its Russia exit, earnings would have been up $6B from the prior year to $8.8B.</p><p>Adjusted for Russia, Exxon’s earnings went from $2.8B to $8.8B, which is nothing short of miraculous and speaks to the correlation between Exxon’s performance and the global commodities market.</p><p>In addition to the strong financial performance, Exxon likely made a few shareholders happy when they announced a $30B buyback through 2023 (roughly 8% of its current market cap). Add on to its 4% dividend yield, and Exxon looks set to return roughly 12% of its market cap to shareholders this year.</p><p>Outside of oil, Exxon is also active in a number of LNG projects around the world. LNG has become more important than ever as European countries are scrambling to replace Russian gas dependence.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/139ec6ba8d98858c3a9bb29c136aaa51\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"2229\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Countries like Germany are building new LNG terminals and looking to lock down additional alternative supplies. An LNG project can take years to plan and execute, meaning LNG, like oil, is likely to stay in short supply and expensive for some time, luckily Exxon is continuing to make progress on its LNG ambitions.</p><p>ExxonMobil continued to progress its global LNG growth strategy to meet growing worldwide demand for reliable gas supply. Commissioning of the Area 4 Coral South Floating LNG project in Mozambique is underway, with first production expected this year, and the company signed the P’nyang Gas Agreement in Papua New Guinea. Additionally, construction of the Golden Pass liquefaction facilities on the U.S. Gulf Coast remains on schedule.</p><p>Financial Analysis:</p><p>Moving forward to the financial analysis, let's compare how Exxon has grown versus peers: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVX\">Chevron</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQNR\">Equinor </a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTE\">TotalEnergies </a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SHEL\">Shell </a>.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d57cc547f6e091e3341ba42807ffb13\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57169c6ffa2e3512afc0d0c9e6d57c36\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>The oil industry has its good times, and it has its bad times. Nowhere is that more apparent than in the volatility of both revenue and earnings for these companies. Some of these companies have sizable non-petroleum operations (Total and Equinor), but they are still by in large reliant on global oil market pricing. Because of that connection, there are massive fluctuations in earnings and revenue from year to year.</p><p>This variability is undesirable as it makes forecasting future cash flows that much more difficult, because of this, I would expect an oil producer’s valuation to be lower than other stocks with more predictable cash flows.</p><p><b>Operating Cash Flow</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e2ea4e8162108664c6a0a58117bcef1\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>When evaluating companies, I also like to look at their operating cash flow. I find this useful because it shows us how much cash flow their operating business generated. Like the revenue and EPS charts, there is significant volatility in their operating cash flows.</p><p>Interestingly, the two US-listed companies on this chart, Exxon and Chevron, both ended the decade with less operating cash flow than when they started it, despite crude oil prices being higher now than they once were.</p><p>Equinor’s performance is particularly noteworthy, I’d wager that this is due to their site’s proximity to Europe which trying to wean off Russian oil and gas products.</p><p><b>US Crude 10-Year Chart:</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bd3b44efe2932463aea3a74fafa8b5e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"842\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><b>Return on Invested Capital</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/349b565b4ea043cd8f2519256983bdd2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Return on Invested Capital for these companies has varied wildly over their existences.</p><p>In times like the 2000s with oil prices, investments into oil exploration and refineries yielded huge returns on capital (upwards of 40%!). But when oil prices are low, as they were the last two years, investments fail to break through single-digit returns.</p><p><b>Exxon’s Correlation to US Oil Fund</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ce5dec941bfb602f15bbb2db2c8f0aa\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"464\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Data by YCharts</p><p>Given the strong correlation of Exxon’s earnings to oil prices, it's no surprise the stock’s price is too. As you can see, over the last 5 years Exxon has exhibited an exceptionally strong correlation to the price of crude (estimated vis-a-vis (USO) ), especially during volatile periods like Spring through Summer of 2020.</p><p>This could be viewed as either a pro or a con, if you’d like exposure to crude oil it's clearly a strength. But for myself, someone who prefers to invest in companies that are not as reliant on macro factors to succeed, I see this as a negative.</p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p>There are many ways to value a company, but two of my favorites are the discounted cash flow analysis and comparing forward PEs vs peers. The reason I typically employ these two different models is that they help me accomplish a few different goals. First, using the forward PE analysis I can remove any biases I may hold (if I can identify the right peers). And secondly, in the discounted cash flow analysis I can adjust all the inputs to my expectations and account for growth much further into the future. Let's start with the Forward PE analysis.</p><p><b>Forward PE Analysis</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/715933f1b8e9696b4058e77780adb4e4\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"428\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: Yahoo Finance, Analyst Expectations, and Authors Calculations</p><p>Looking at the chart above, we can see that Exxon is one of the most highly valued oil majors with a forward PE ratio of 9.7x. Based on the average analyst expectation, Chevron is the only oil major priced more richly at 9.9x.</p><p>Exxon’s European peers Total, Equinor, and Shell are all priced significantly lower than either Exxon or Chevron. In my view, this is likely due to the heightened regulatory environment abroad.</p><p>That said, at 9.7x. Exxon’s shares are not overvalued when compared to the market as a whole, especially tech stocks. In a prior article, I calculated that Microsoft’s (MSFT) forward PE is roughly 23x, so 9.7x could still be considered quite a bargain. But many will agree that Microsoft is likely to grow faster, and for longer than Exxon or an oil company. In other words, it’s a bit of a toss-up.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/670a5585f01403bad22b400e780d2d29\" tg-width=\"1266\" tg-height=\"462\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Speaking on a relative basis, based on my analysis, Exxon’s shares appear to be overvalued versus its peers. The average forward PE in this group worked out to be 7.2x earnings implying Exxon could trade down to $65 a share.</p><p>TotalEnergies looks to be the best value, if its shares are traded like Chevron, Total could see its shares double to $106.</p><p><b>Discounted Cash Flow Analysis</b></p><p>As I alluded, let's see how Exxon’s valuation changes once you consider various future growth scenarios and discount rates. For my base case, I’m assuming no changes to the share count, a 10% discount rate, 1% revenue growth after 2023 through 2028 (analyst expectations for '22 and '23), and -2% thereafter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6941c16d915c7665847c4106d0f0837\" tg-width=\"953\" tg-height=\"498\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Source: Yahoo Finance, Analyst Expectations, and Authors Calculations</p><p>Using the inputs from my base case, I come to a fair value per share of $70, a bit more than 10% below the current share price.</p><p>Given the environment of elevated oil prices and low investment in exploration, I believe oil prices could potentially be sustained over the medium/long term. But the oil market has been especially volatile since 2020 started which makes it especially difficult to predict where oil prices will go in the future.</p><p>Because of that, I included a few other growth scenarios using different discount rates.</p><p><b>Sensitivity Analysis</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef8472eb1cf81c678499f7774413a1a1\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86c3e6d555ccd371c14b0781be64a5d9\" tg-width=\"944\" tg-height=\"279\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>In my sensitivity analysis, three of nine scenarios work out to be money makers, largely depending on if the price of oil can be sustained/increase over time.</p><p>With Exxon, I think it's prudent to form an honest evaluation of your own knowledge and ask yourself to what degree you understand the oil industry and where prices will go from here. Frankly, I’m not a macro-economic expert, because of that and my doubts in predicting future oil price trends, I require a higher discount rate to compensate me for the additional risk.</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>Speaking of risks, before I present my final price target and verdict on the company, let's first consider some of the risks facing Exxon, and the oil industry writ large.</p><p><b>ESG:</b>Stock prices are fickle. In the short term, prices can be affected by a myriad of factors, especially sentiment. As Benjamin Graham said:</p><blockquote>In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run it is a weighing machine.</blockquote><p><i>But what happens when sentiment is permanently destroyed?</i></p><p>I wonder if that is perhaps what has gone on with oil stocks. Since the rise of ESG investing companies have been encouraged to embrace “stake-holder” capitalism whereby the companies should place equal weight on all stakeholders, including the environment. While I don’t personally buy into this philosophy, it seems clear to me that many investors do.</p><p>As a result, ESG has cast a shadow over oil companies, often blaming them for much of what is wrong in the world. It's actually led to some funds divesting from oil companies entirely.</p><p>If, over the long run, these ESG concerns are no longer relevant, then perhaps we could see a further appreciation in share price. Personally, I don’t expect ESG to go away anytime soon. And, based on that, I don't see the earnings multiples ever coming back to where they once were.</p><p><b>Regulation:</b>Another headwind facing oil companies is regulation, now more than ever. Some countries in Europe have implemented so-called “windfall” taxes on oil companies to tax them at an increased rate now that prices are high again. To say nothing of the environmental regulations, it should be common sense that regulations desensitize further investments to increase supply.</p><p>So perhaps regulation could be a tailwind as it will cause higher oil prices… But even in that case, I think it's probable the primary beneficiaries of that would be non-democratic countries that can more easily ignore societal demands.</p><p><b>Recession:</b>I’ll keep these last couple of risks succinct. Recessions lead to demand destruction. As demand is destroyed less oil is consumed across the entire global economy. Less travel being done, fewer goods being produced and transported, etc.</p><p>This is especially worrisome given the Fed's mandate of price stability and the ongoing QT which may cause a recession.</p><p><b>Electric Vehicles:</b>The rise of electronic vehicles could threaten the long-term oil demand. First are cars, next will be semi-trucks, and then later we could see planes and boats shift towards electric. As renewable energy comes down in price, EVs will grow in demand. This will likely be a slow multi-decade shift, but it does appear we are at the beginning of a strong trend, at least in this author's mind.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>Exxon is the right company, for the right time. In the words of Sam Elliott, in the Big Lebowski:</p><blockquote>Sometimes, there's a man, well, he's the man for his time and place. He fits right in there.</blockquote><p>And well, Exxon is the “man” for this time. Inflation fears run rampant, and supplies for both oil and LNG appear to be with us for the long haul. Exxon is the company that can provide both LNG and Petroleum when we need it most. So their shares have rightly soared.</p><p>As far as financial performance goes, well, it's checkered. They are performing well now. But how long will it last? Well, that’s anyone's guess.</p><p>Supply is likely to be low for some time but the odds of demand destruction vis-a-vis a recession seem higher than they were earlier in the year.</p><p>Valuing Exxon was a particular challenge because so much of its future cash flows will hinge on commodity prices. With that in mind, my price target and recommendation will be based on the average forward PE in its group.</p><p><i>I rate Exxon a “Sell” with a 1-year price target of $65 a share.</i></p><p>At $65 a share, Exxon would be in line with the average forward PE in its peer group, 7.2x.</p><p>So, to answer the question is Exxon the best of the oil majors? Based on what I’ve seen, no. No, it is not. Its growth rate is relatively in line with its peers, but it trades for a higher multiple, I would rather invest in (TTE) or (SHEL) at these levels.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Exxon: How Much Higher Can It Go?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nExxon: How Much Higher Can It Go?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-04 16:11 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4521571-exxon-stock-sell-how-much-higher-can-go><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAfter the crash of 2020, ESG initiatives, and a growing distaste for oil companies, investments in the industry dried up and left the world undersupplied with oil, causing prices to soar.Since ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4521571-exxon-stock-sell-how-much-higher-can-go\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4521571-exxon-stock-sell-how-much-higher-can-go","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113088647","content_text":"SummaryAfter the crash of 2020, ESG initiatives, and a growing distaste for oil companies, investments in the industry dried up and left the world undersupplied with oil, causing prices to soar.Since Exxon’s 2020 low of around $33 a share the company's stock price more than tripled before retreating back down to the $88 level.In the first quarter of 2022, Exxon reported some stellar numbers. Cash flow from operations soared to $14.8B.LNG has become more important than ever as European countries are scrambling to replace Russian gas dependence.Given the environment of elevated oil prices and low investment in exploration, I believe oil prices could potentially be sustained over the medium/long term.Introduction2022 has been a great year for oil stocks like Exxon. After the oil crash of 2020, ESG initiatives, and a growing distaste for oil companies, investments in the industrydriedupand left the world undersupplied with oil, causing prices to soar.As one of the largest producers of oil, Exxon has been one of the largest beneficiaries too:Since Exxon’s 2020 low of around $33 a share the company's stock price has nearly tripled, that's after its recent retreat down from the $105 level, settling back down to $88.But, as investors, we’re faced with a conundrum: Exxon, and oil companies like it, are reaping record profits, profits that look set to continue due to record low investments, but could a potential recession turn Exxon into a losing investment? And furthermore, is Exxon the best investment among the major oil producers?Within this article I’ll provide:An update on Exxon’s business and prospectsA comparison of the financial performance of Exxon vs PeersA valuation of Exxon’s shares under different market environmentsExxon Business UpdateExxon has been a major beneficiary of the recovery in global oil prices. After decades of underinvestment, and Russia-induced geopolitical uncertainty, oil stocks are shining once again. Finally, oil is back in vogue. (XLE) (USO)In the first quarter of 2022, Exxon reported some stellar numbers. Cash flow from operations soared to $14.8B and excluding its Russia exit, earnings would have been up $6B from the prior year to $8.8B.Adjusted for Russia, Exxon’s earnings went from $2.8B to $8.8B, which is nothing short of miraculous and speaks to the correlation between Exxon’s performance and the global commodities market.In addition to the strong financial performance, Exxon likely made a few shareholders happy when they announced a $30B buyback through 2023 (roughly 8% of its current market cap). Add on to its 4% dividend yield, and Exxon looks set to return roughly 12% of its market cap to shareholders this year.Outside of oil, Exxon is also active in a number of LNG projects around the world. LNG has become more important than ever as European countries are scrambling to replace Russian gas dependence.Countries like Germany are building new LNG terminals and looking to lock down additional alternative supplies. An LNG project can take years to plan and execute, meaning LNG, like oil, is likely to stay in short supply and expensive for some time, luckily Exxon is continuing to make progress on its LNG ambitions.ExxonMobil continued to progress its global LNG growth strategy to meet growing worldwide demand for reliable gas supply. Commissioning of the Area 4 Coral South Floating LNG project in Mozambique is underway, with first production expected this year, and the company signed the P’nyang Gas Agreement in Papua New Guinea. Additionally, construction of the Golden Pass liquefaction facilities on the U.S. Gulf Coast remains on schedule.Financial Analysis:Moving forward to the financial analysis, let's compare how Exxon has grown versus peers: Chevron, Equinor , TotalEnergies , and Shell .The oil industry has its good times, and it has its bad times. Nowhere is that more apparent than in the volatility of both revenue and earnings for these companies. Some of these companies have sizable non-petroleum operations (Total and Equinor), but they are still by in large reliant on global oil market pricing. Because of that connection, there are massive fluctuations in earnings and revenue from year to year.This variability is undesirable as it makes forecasting future cash flows that much more difficult, because of this, I would expect an oil producer’s valuation to be lower than other stocks with more predictable cash flows.Operating Cash FlowWhen evaluating companies, I also like to look at their operating cash flow. I find this useful because it shows us how much cash flow their operating business generated. Like the revenue and EPS charts, there is significant volatility in their operating cash flows.Interestingly, the two US-listed companies on this chart, Exxon and Chevron, both ended the decade with less operating cash flow than when they started it, despite crude oil prices being higher now than they once were.Equinor’s performance is particularly noteworthy, I’d wager that this is due to their site’s proximity to Europe which trying to wean off Russian oil and gas products.US Crude 10-Year Chart:Return on Invested CapitalReturn on Invested Capital for these companies has varied wildly over their existences.In times like the 2000s with oil prices, investments into oil exploration and refineries yielded huge returns on capital (upwards of 40%!). But when oil prices are low, as they were the last two years, investments fail to break through single-digit returns.Exxon’s Correlation to US Oil FundData by YChartsGiven the strong correlation of Exxon’s earnings to oil prices, it's no surprise the stock’s price is too. As you can see, over the last 5 years Exxon has exhibited an exceptionally strong correlation to the price of crude (estimated vis-a-vis (USO) ), especially during volatile periods like Spring through Summer of 2020.This could be viewed as either a pro or a con, if you’d like exposure to crude oil it's clearly a strength. But for myself, someone who prefers to invest in companies that are not as reliant on macro factors to succeed, I see this as a negative.ValuationThere are many ways to value a company, but two of my favorites are the discounted cash flow analysis and comparing forward PEs vs peers. The reason I typically employ these two different models is that they help me accomplish a few different goals. First, using the forward PE analysis I can remove any biases I may hold (if I can identify the right peers). And secondly, in the discounted cash flow analysis I can adjust all the inputs to my expectations and account for growth much further into the future. Let's start with the Forward PE analysis.Forward PE AnalysisSource: Yahoo Finance, Analyst Expectations, and Authors CalculationsLooking at the chart above, we can see that Exxon is one of the most highly valued oil majors with a forward PE ratio of 9.7x. Based on the average analyst expectation, Chevron is the only oil major priced more richly at 9.9x.Exxon’s European peers Total, Equinor, and Shell are all priced significantly lower than either Exxon or Chevron. In my view, this is likely due to the heightened regulatory environment abroad.That said, at 9.7x. Exxon’s shares are not overvalued when compared to the market as a whole, especially tech stocks. In a prior article, I calculated that Microsoft’s (MSFT) forward PE is roughly 23x, so 9.7x could still be considered quite a bargain. But many will agree that Microsoft is likely to grow faster, and for longer than Exxon or an oil company. In other words, it’s a bit of a toss-up.Speaking on a relative basis, based on my analysis, Exxon’s shares appear to be overvalued versus its peers. The average forward PE in this group worked out to be 7.2x earnings implying Exxon could trade down to $65 a share.TotalEnergies looks to be the best value, if its shares are traded like Chevron, Total could see its shares double to $106.Discounted Cash Flow AnalysisAs I alluded, let's see how Exxon’s valuation changes once you consider various future growth scenarios and discount rates. For my base case, I’m assuming no changes to the share count, a 10% discount rate, 1% revenue growth after 2023 through 2028 (analyst expectations for '22 and '23), and -2% thereafter.Source: Yahoo Finance, Analyst Expectations, and Authors CalculationsUsing the inputs from my base case, I come to a fair value per share of $70, a bit more than 10% below the current share price.Given the environment of elevated oil prices and low investment in exploration, I believe oil prices could potentially be sustained over the medium/long term. But the oil market has been especially volatile since 2020 started which makes it especially difficult to predict where oil prices will go in the future.Because of that, I included a few other growth scenarios using different discount rates.Sensitivity AnalysisIn my sensitivity analysis, three of nine scenarios work out to be money makers, largely depending on if the price of oil can be sustained/increase over time.With Exxon, I think it's prudent to form an honest evaluation of your own knowledge and ask yourself to what degree you understand the oil industry and where prices will go from here. Frankly, I’m not a macro-economic expert, because of that and my doubts in predicting future oil price trends, I require a higher discount rate to compensate me for the additional risk.RisksSpeaking of risks, before I present my final price target and verdict on the company, let's first consider some of the risks facing Exxon, and the oil industry writ large.ESG:Stock prices are fickle. In the short term, prices can be affected by a myriad of factors, especially sentiment. As Benjamin Graham said:In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run it is a weighing machine.But what happens when sentiment is permanently destroyed?I wonder if that is perhaps what has gone on with oil stocks. Since the rise of ESG investing companies have been encouraged to embrace “stake-holder” capitalism whereby the companies should place equal weight on all stakeholders, including the environment. While I don’t personally buy into this philosophy, it seems clear to me that many investors do.As a result, ESG has cast a shadow over oil companies, often blaming them for much of what is wrong in the world. It's actually led to some funds divesting from oil companies entirely.If, over the long run, these ESG concerns are no longer relevant, then perhaps we could see a further appreciation in share price. Personally, I don’t expect ESG to go away anytime soon. And, based on that, I don't see the earnings multiples ever coming back to where they once were.Regulation:Another headwind facing oil companies is regulation, now more than ever. Some countries in Europe have implemented so-called “windfall” taxes on oil companies to tax them at an increased rate now that prices are high again. To say nothing of the environmental regulations, it should be common sense that regulations desensitize further investments to increase supply.So perhaps regulation could be a tailwind as it will cause higher oil prices… But even in that case, I think it's probable the primary beneficiaries of that would be non-democratic countries that can more easily ignore societal demands.Recession:I’ll keep these last couple of risks succinct. Recessions lead to demand destruction. As demand is destroyed less oil is consumed across the entire global economy. Less travel being done, fewer goods being produced and transported, etc.This is especially worrisome given the Fed's mandate of price stability and the ongoing QT which may cause a recession.Electric Vehicles:The rise of electronic vehicles could threaten the long-term oil demand. First are cars, next will be semi-trucks, and then later we could see planes and boats shift towards electric. As renewable energy comes down in price, EVs will grow in demand. This will likely be a slow multi-decade shift, but it does appear we are at the beginning of a strong trend, at least in this author's mind.ConclusionExxon is the right company, for the right time. In the words of Sam Elliott, in the Big Lebowski:Sometimes, there's a man, well, he's the man for his time and place. He fits right in there.And well, Exxon is the “man” for this time. Inflation fears run rampant, and supplies for both oil and LNG appear to be with us for the long haul. Exxon is the company that can provide both LNG and Petroleum when we need it most. So their shares have rightly soared.As far as financial performance goes, well, it's checkered. They are performing well now. But how long will it last? Well, that’s anyone's guess.Supply is likely to be low for some time but the odds of demand destruction vis-a-vis a recession seem higher than they were earlier in the year.Valuing Exxon was a particular challenge because so much of its future cash flows will hinge on commodity prices. With that in mind, my price target and recommendation will be based on the average forward PE in its group.I rate Exxon a “Sell” with a 1-year price target of $65 a share.At $65 a share, Exxon would be in line with the average forward PE in its peer group, 7.2x.So, to answer the question is Exxon the best of the oil majors? Based on what I’ve seen, no. No, it is not. Its growth rate is relatively in line with its peers, but it trades for a higher multiple, I would rather invest in (TTE) or (SHEL) at these levels.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9041925782,"gmtCreate":1655997754346,"gmtModify":1676535747558,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9041925782","repostId":"2245088225","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2245088225","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1655989722,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2245088225?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-23 21:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Warren Buffett Stocks You'll Wish You'd Bought 5 Years From Now","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2245088225","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Many of Buffett's software-related stocks appear poised to come back.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Amid the recent stock market sell-off, Warren Buffett has again proven the success of his investment formula. While the <b>S&P 500 </b>has entered bear territory, his company <b>Berkshire Hathaway </b>sells near levels where it traded 12 months ago.</p><p>Although Buffett may have become better known for holdings outside of tech, he holds a few positions in the software sector. As technology stocks recover, companies such as <b>Apple</b>, <b>Mastercard</b>, and <b>Snowflake</b> could boost Buffett's returns as conditions improve.</p><h2>The free-cash-flow king that relies increasingly on software<b> </b></h2><p><b>Will Healy</b> <b>(Apple): </b>One cannot discuss Buffett's tech plays without mentioning Apple. His Apple holdings account for 39% of a portfolio that holds more than 50 publicly traded stocks.</p><p>The majority of revenue comes from the iPhone, a combined hardware and software offering. Additionally, software may have kept Apple strong during the downturn given the success of Apple Services. It includes software offerings such as iCloud, advertising, digital content, and payments.</p><p>The Apple Services segment generated $20 billion in revenue in the fiscal second quarter of 2022 (which ended March 26). This is a 17% surge year over year, taking this segment's revenue to an all-time high.</p><p>Its success also helped the company as rising prices and supply chain challenges weighed on Apple. Q2 revenue came in at $97 billion, a 9% increase from year-ago levels. Net income grew 6% over that period to $25 billion as a rising cost of sales, higher operating expenses, and increased income taxes reduced growth in the bottom line.</p><p>But despite the single-digit growth, Apple's $201 billion in liquidity should help it ride out any storm and keep it a crown jewel in the Buffett portfolio. Moreover, the stock has risen by 4% over the last 12 months. While not a stellar performance, it bodes well for the company considering that many tech growth stocks have lost more than three-fourths of their value in recent months.</p><p>Also, its price-to earnings (P/E) ratio of 22 is at its lowest level since the beginning of the pandemic. Such a valuation could attract more investment from Buffett and other prominent investors. Given its relative stability and massive liquidity position amid this sell-off, perhaps now is the time to buy.</p><h2>Mastercard gives investors the best of both worlds</h2><p><b>Justin Pope</b> <b>(Mastercard):</b> Mastercard is the world's second-largest payment processing network. It has just under 2.9 billion debit and credit cards in circulation worldwide.</p><p>Mastercard's network connects the merchants where you swipe your payment card to the financial institutions that handle the money. Think of the network as a highway that cars use to travel back and forth. You pay a toll when you use the highway; similarly, Mastercard charges a small percentage of each transaction its network processes.</p><p>The company's grown revenue by an average of 11% annually over the past decade, driven by a steady shift away from cash as a payment method. Additionally, Mastercard isn't impacted by inflation because its fee is a percentage of each transaction; in other words, Mastercard captures more revenue as the prices of goods and services increase.</p><p>Mastercard is a cash cow, turning 46% of its revenue into free cash flow. Management shares those cash profits with investors, having paid and raised its dividend for the past 11 years. Investors won't get a huge dividend yield at just 0.6%, but the payout grows quickly; its annual increase has averaged 18% over the past five years. The company also spends billions on share repurchases, shrinking the share count by 22% over the past decade.</p><p>The company's ability to grow cash and return it to investors simultaneously has powered market-beating returns, totaling more than 7,300% since Mastercard came public in 2006. Despite its success, there could still be more upside ahead. Earnings per share (EPS) have grown by an average of 16% over the past three years, only slightly dropping from its 10-year rate of 19%. Warren Buffett bought his first position in 2011, which remains a part of his portfolio today.</p><h2>Snowflake's business model makes it stand out from its cloud-computing peers</h2><p><b>Jake Lerch (Snowflake): </b>Snowflake doesn't fit the profile of a typical "Buffett stock." In fact, Snowflake is the type of company Buffett may have derided several years ago. It's a recently founded technology company and its business model can be challenging to understand. Nevertheless, Buffett -- or more likely Berkshire Hathaway investment managers Todd Combs or Ted Weschler -- has accumulated over 6 million shares of Snowflake. </p><p>Snowflake is, at the most basic level, a cloud computing company. But what really differentiates the company is its business model. Snowflake doesn't focus on increasing its customers' sales or streamlining their human resources workflow. Instead, it helps organizations gain a bird's eye view of all the data relevant to their operations. This perspective allows them to gain valuable insights into trends and improve their decision making.</p><p>For example, Snowflake can help retailers more accurately predict and manage their inventory. In the pharmaceutical industry, Snowflake can help companies research and develop new treatments by quickly compiling and sharing data from outside sources.</p><p>There's no doubt that Snowflake has secular tailwinds behind it. The company currently has 184 large customers (those generating more than $1 million in product revenue), and it plans to expand that number to 1,400 by 2029. Moreover, Snowflake hopes to grow its revenue almost tenfold over that same period. Over the last 12 months, Snowflake generated $1.4 billion of revenue -- its first time crossing the $1 billion mark. And by 2029, the company aims to exceed $10 billion in annual sales. </p><p>But owning shares of Snowflake isn't without risk. First of all, Snowflake lacks profits. The company has never turned a profit, and its net income actually sank deeper into the red over the last two years, mainly due to lucrative stock compensation for its employees. What's more, the company relies on would-be competitors like <b>Amazon</b> and <b>Microsoft</b> for the cloud infrastructure to run its software. </p><p>Nevertheless, Snowflake appears to have carved out a lucrative niche in the cloud-computing space. If you're willing to ride out short-term volatility, Snowflake looks like an outstanding Buffett stock -- albeit an unorthodox one.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Warren Buffett Stocks You'll Wish You'd Bought 5 Years From Now</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Warren Buffett Stocks You'll Wish You'd Bought 5 Years From Now\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-23 21:08 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/23/3-warren-buffett-stocks-wish-bought-5-years/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Amid the recent stock market sell-off, Warren Buffett has again proven the success of his investment formula. While the S&P 500 has entered bear territory, his company Berkshire Hathaway sells near ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/23/3-warren-buffett-stocks-wish-bought-5-years/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.A":"伯克希尔","AAPL":"苹果","MA":"万事达","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","SNOW":"Snowflake"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/23/3-warren-buffett-stocks-wish-bought-5-years/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2245088225","content_text":"Amid the recent stock market sell-off, Warren Buffett has again proven the success of his investment formula. While the S&P 500 has entered bear territory, his company Berkshire Hathaway sells near levels where it traded 12 months ago.Although Buffett may have become better known for holdings outside of tech, he holds a few positions in the software sector. As technology stocks recover, companies such as Apple, Mastercard, and Snowflake could boost Buffett's returns as conditions improve.The free-cash-flow king that relies increasingly on software Will Healy (Apple): One cannot discuss Buffett's tech plays without mentioning Apple. His Apple holdings account for 39% of a portfolio that holds more than 50 publicly traded stocks.The majority of revenue comes from the iPhone, a combined hardware and software offering. Additionally, software may have kept Apple strong during the downturn given the success of Apple Services. It includes software offerings such as iCloud, advertising, digital content, and payments.The Apple Services segment generated $20 billion in revenue in the fiscal second quarter of 2022 (which ended March 26). This is a 17% surge year over year, taking this segment's revenue to an all-time high.Its success also helped the company as rising prices and supply chain challenges weighed on Apple. Q2 revenue came in at $97 billion, a 9% increase from year-ago levels. Net income grew 6% over that period to $25 billion as a rising cost of sales, higher operating expenses, and increased income taxes reduced growth in the bottom line.But despite the single-digit growth, Apple's $201 billion in liquidity should help it ride out any storm and keep it a crown jewel in the Buffett portfolio. Moreover, the stock has risen by 4% over the last 12 months. While not a stellar performance, it bodes well for the company considering that many tech growth stocks have lost more than three-fourths of their value in recent months.Also, its price-to earnings (P/E) ratio of 22 is at its lowest level since the beginning of the pandemic. Such a valuation could attract more investment from Buffett and other prominent investors. Given its relative stability and massive liquidity position amid this sell-off, perhaps now is the time to buy.Mastercard gives investors the best of both worldsJustin Pope (Mastercard): Mastercard is the world's second-largest payment processing network. It has just under 2.9 billion debit and credit cards in circulation worldwide.Mastercard's network connects the merchants where you swipe your payment card to the financial institutions that handle the money. Think of the network as a highway that cars use to travel back and forth. You pay a toll when you use the highway; similarly, Mastercard charges a small percentage of each transaction its network processes.The company's grown revenue by an average of 11% annually over the past decade, driven by a steady shift away from cash as a payment method. Additionally, Mastercard isn't impacted by inflation because its fee is a percentage of each transaction; in other words, Mastercard captures more revenue as the prices of goods and services increase.Mastercard is a cash cow, turning 46% of its revenue into free cash flow. Management shares those cash profits with investors, having paid and raised its dividend for the past 11 years. Investors won't get a huge dividend yield at just 0.6%, but the payout grows quickly; its annual increase has averaged 18% over the past five years. The company also spends billions on share repurchases, shrinking the share count by 22% over the past decade.The company's ability to grow cash and return it to investors simultaneously has powered market-beating returns, totaling more than 7,300% since Mastercard came public in 2006. Despite its success, there could still be more upside ahead. Earnings per share (EPS) have grown by an average of 16% over the past three years, only slightly dropping from its 10-year rate of 19%. Warren Buffett bought his first position in 2011, which remains a part of his portfolio today.Snowflake's business model makes it stand out from its cloud-computing peersJake Lerch (Snowflake): Snowflake doesn't fit the profile of a typical \"Buffett stock.\" In fact, Snowflake is the type of company Buffett may have derided several years ago. It's a recently founded technology company and its business model can be challenging to understand. Nevertheless, Buffett -- or more likely Berkshire Hathaway investment managers Todd Combs or Ted Weschler -- has accumulated over 6 million shares of Snowflake. Snowflake is, at the most basic level, a cloud computing company. But what really differentiates the company is its business model. Snowflake doesn't focus on increasing its customers' sales or streamlining their human resources workflow. Instead, it helps organizations gain a bird's eye view of all the data relevant to their operations. This perspective allows them to gain valuable insights into trends and improve their decision making.For example, Snowflake can help retailers more accurately predict and manage their inventory. In the pharmaceutical industry, Snowflake can help companies research and develop new treatments by quickly compiling and sharing data from outside sources.There's no doubt that Snowflake has secular tailwinds behind it. The company currently has 184 large customers (those generating more than $1 million in product revenue), and it plans to expand that number to 1,400 by 2029. Moreover, Snowflake hopes to grow its revenue almost tenfold over that same period. Over the last 12 months, Snowflake generated $1.4 billion of revenue -- its first time crossing the $1 billion mark. And by 2029, the company aims to exceed $10 billion in annual sales. But owning shares of Snowflake isn't without risk. First of all, Snowflake lacks profits. The company has never turned a profit, and its net income actually sank deeper into the red over the last two years, mainly due to lucrative stock compensation for its employees. What's more, the company relies on would-be competitors like Amazon and Microsoft for the cloud infrastructure to run its software. Nevertheless, Snowflake appears to have carved out a lucrative niche in the cloud-computing space. If you're willing to ride out short-term volatility, Snowflake looks like an outstanding Buffett stock -- albeit an unorthodox one.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9048590616,"gmtCreate":1656219094935,"gmtModify":1676535787761,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9048590616","repostId":"1191010488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":81,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9054948862,"gmtCreate":1655340235356,"gmtModify":1676535617123,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9054948862","repostId":"1176174206","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176174206","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1655316335,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176174206?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-06-16 02:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Hikes Its Benchmark Interest Rate By Three-Quarters of a Point, the Biggest Increase Since 1994","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176174206","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The Federal Reserve on Wednesday launched its biggest broadside yet against inflation, raising bench","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve on Wednesday launched its biggest broadside yet against inflation, raising benchmark interest rates three-quarters of a percentage point in a move that equates to the most aggressive hike since 1994.</p><p>Ending weeks of speculation, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee took the level of its benchmark funds rate to a range of 1.5%-1.75%, the highest since just before the Covid pandemic began in March 2020.</p><p>Additionally, members indicated a much stronger path of rate increases ahead to arrest inflation moving at its fastest pace going back to December 1981, according to one commonly cited measure.</p><p>According to the “dot plot” of individual members’ expectations, the Fed’s benchmark rate will end the year at 3.4%, an upward revision of 1.5 percentage points from the March estimate. The committee then sees the rate rising to 3.8% in 2023, a full percentage point ramp higher.</p><p>Officials also significantly cut their outlook for 2022 economic growth, now anticipating just a 1.7% gain in GDP, down from 2.8% from March.</p><p>The inflation projection as gauged by personal consumption expenditures also rose to 5.2% this year from 4.3%, though core inflation, which excludes rapidly rising food and energy costs, is indicated at 4.3%, up just 0.2 percentage points from the previous projection. Core PCE inflation ran at 4.9% in May, so the projections Wednesday anticipate an easing of price pressures in coming months.</p><p>The committee’s statement painted a largely optimistic picture of the economy even with higher inflation.</p><p>“Overall economic activity appears to have picked up after edging down in the first quarter,” the statement said. “Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader price pressures.“</p><p>Indeed, the estimates as expressed through the committee’s summary of economic projections see inflation moving sharply lower in 2023, down to 2.6% headline and 2.7% core, projections little changed from March.</p><p>Longer-term, the committee outlook for policy largely matches market projections which see a series of increases ahead that would take the funds rate to about 3.8%, its highest level since late 2007.</p><p>The statement was approved by all FOMC members except for Kansas City Fed President Esther George, who preferred a smaller half-point increase.</p><p>Banks use the rate as a benchmark for what the charge each other for short-term borrowing. However, it feeds directly through to a multitude of consumer debt products, such as adjustable-rate mortgages, credit cards and auto loans.</p><p>The funds rate also can drive rates on savings accounts and CDs higher, though the feed-through on that generally takes longer.</p><p>The Fed’s move comes with inflation running at its fastest pace in more than 40 years. Central bank officials use the funds rate to try to slow down the economy – in this case to tamp down demand so that supply can catch up.</p><p>However, the post-meeting statement removed a long-used phrase indicating that the FOMC “expects inflation to return to its 2 percent objective and the labor market to remain strong.” The statement only noted that the Fed “is strongly committed” to the goal.</p><p>The policy tightening is happening with economic growth already tailing off while prices still rise, a condition known as stagflation.</p><p>First-quarter growth declined at a 1.5% annualized pace, and an updated estimate Wednesday from the Atlanta Fed, through its GDPNow tracker, put the second quarter as flat. Two consecutive quarters of negative growth is a widely used rule of thumb to delineate a recession.</p><p>Fed officials engaged in a public bout of hand-wringing heading into Wednesday’s decision.</p><p>For weeks, policymakers had been insisting that half-point – or 50-basis-point – increases could help arrest inflation. In recent days, though, CNBC and other media outlets reported that conditions were ripe for the Fed to go beyond that. The changed approach came even though Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in May had insisted that hiking by 75 basis points was not being considered.</p><p>However, a recent series of alarming signals triggered the more aggressive action.</p><p>Inflation as measured by the consumer price index rose 8.6% on a yearly basis in May. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey hit an all-time low that included sharply higher inflation expectations. Also, retail sales numbers released Wednesday confirmed that the all-important consumer is weakening, with sales dropping 0.3% for a month in which inflation rose 1%.</p><p>The jobs market has been a point of strength for the economy, though May’s 390,000 gain was the lowest since April 2021. Average hourly earnings have been rising in nominal terms, but when adjusted for inflation have fallen 3% over the past year.</p><p>The committee projections released Wednesday see the unemployment rate, currently at 3.6%, moving up to 4.1% by 2024.</p><p>All of those factors have combined to complicate Powell’s hopes for a “soft or softish” landing that he expressed in May. Rate-tightening cycles in the past often have resulted in recessions.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Hikes Its Benchmark Interest Rate By Three-Quarters of a Point, the Biggest Increase Since 1994</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Hikes Its Benchmark Interest Rate By Three-Quarters of a Point, the Biggest Increase Since 1994\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-06-16 02:05</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The Federal Reserve on Wednesday launched its biggest broadside yet against inflation, raising benchmark interest rates three-quarters of a percentage point in a move that equates to the most aggressive hike since 1994.</p><p>Ending weeks of speculation, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee took the level of its benchmark funds rate to a range of 1.5%-1.75%, the highest since just before the Covid pandemic began in March 2020.</p><p>Additionally, members indicated a much stronger path of rate increases ahead to arrest inflation moving at its fastest pace going back to December 1981, according to one commonly cited measure.</p><p>According to the “dot plot” of individual members’ expectations, the Fed’s benchmark rate will end the year at 3.4%, an upward revision of 1.5 percentage points from the March estimate. The committee then sees the rate rising to 3.8% in 2023, a full percentage point ramp higher.</p><p>Officials also significantly cut their outlook for 2022 economic growth, now anticipating just a 1.7% gain in GDP, down from 2.8% from March.</p><p>The inflation projection as gauged by personal consumption expenditures also rose to 5.2% this year from 4.3%, though core inflation, which excludes rapidly rising food and energy costs, is indicated at 4.3%, up just 0.2 percentage points from the previous projection. Core PCE inflation ran at 4.9% in May, so the projections Wednesday anticipate an easing of price pressures in coming months.</p><p>The committee’s statement painted a largely optimistic picture of the economy even with higher inflation.</p><p>“Overall economic activity appears to have picked up after edging down in the first quarter,” the statement said. “Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader price pressures.“</p><p>Indeed, the estimates as expressed through the committee’s summary of economic projections see inflation moving sharply lower in 2023, down to 2.6% headline and 2.7% core, projections little changed from March.</p><p>Longer-term, the committee outlook for policy largely matches market projections which see a series of increases ahead that would take the funds rate to about 3.8%, its highest level since late 2007.</p><p>The statement was approved by all FOMC members except for Kansas City Fed President Esther George, who preferred a smaller half-point increase.</p><p>Banks use the rate as a benchmark for what the charge each other for short-term borrowing. However, it feeds directly through to a multitude of consumer debt products, such as adjustable-rate mortgages, credit cards and auto loans.</p><p>The funds rate also can drive rates on savings accounts and CDs higher, though the feed-through on that generally takes longer.</p><p>The Fed’s move comes with inflation running at its fastest pace in more than 40 years. Central bank officials use the funds rate to try to slow down the economy – in this case to tamp down demand so that supply can catch up.</p><p>However, the post-meeting statement removed a long-used phrase indicating that the FOMC “expects inflation to return to its 2 percent objective and the labor market to remain strong.” The statement only noted that the Fed “is strongly committed” to the goal.</p><p>The policy tightening is happening with economic growth already tailing off while prices still rise, a condition known as stagflation.</p><p>First-quarter growth declined at a 1.5% annualized pace, and an updated estimate Wednesday from the Atlanta Fed, through its GDPNow tracker, put the second quarter as flat. Two consecutive quarters of negative growth is a widely used rule of thumb to delineate a recession.</p><p>Fed officials engaged in a public bout of hand-wringing heading into Wednesday’s decision.</p><p>For weeks, policymakers had been insisting that half-point – or 50-basis-point – increases could help arrest inflation. In recent days, though, CNBC and other media outlets reported that conditions were ripe for the Fed to go beyond that. The changed approach came even though Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in May had insisted that hiking by 75 basis points was not being considered.</p><p>However, a recent series of alarming signals triggered the more aggressive action.</p><p>Inflation as measured by the consumer price index rose 8.6% on a yearly basis in May. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey hit an all-time low that included sharply higher inflation expectations. Also, retail sales numbers released Wednesday confirmed that the all-important consumer is weakening, with sales dropping 0.3% for a month in which inflation rose 1%.</p><p>The jobs market has been a point of strength for the economy, though May’s 390,000 gain was the lowest since April 2021. Average hourly earnings have been rising in nominal terms, but when adjusted for inflation have fallen 3% over the past year.</p><p>The committee projections released Wednesday see the unemployment rate, currently at 3.6%, moving up to 4.1% by 2024.</p><p>All of those factors have combined to complicate Powell’s hopes for a “soft or softish” landing that he expressed in May. Rate-tightening cycles in the past often have resulted in recessions.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176174206","content_text":"The Federal Reserve on Wednesday launched its biggest broadside yet against inflation, raising benchmark interest rates three-quarters of a percentage point in a move that equates to the most aggressive hike since 1994.Ending weeks of speculation, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee took the level of its benchmark funds rate to a range of 1.5%-1.75%, the highest since just before the Covid pandemic began in March 2020.Additionally, members indicated a much stronger path of rate increases ahead to arrest inflation moving at its fastest pace going back to December 1981, according to one commonly cited measure.According to the “dot plot” of individual members’ expectations, the Fed’s benchmark rate will end the year at 3.4%, an upward revision of 1.5 percentage points from the March estimate. The committee then sees the rate rising to 3.8% in 2023, a full percentage point ramp higher.Officials also significantly cut their outlook for 2022 economic growth, now anticipating just a 1.7% gain in GDP, down from 2.8% from March.The inflation projection as gauged by personal consumption expenditures also rose to 5.2% this year from 4.3%, though core inflation, which excludes rapidly rising food and energy costs, is indicated at 4.3%, up just 0.2 percentage points from the previous projection. Core PCE inflation ran at 4.9% in May, so the projections Wednesday anticipate an easing of price pressures in coming months.The committee’s statement painted a largely optimistic picture of the economy even with higher inflation.“Overall economic activity appears to have picked up after edging down in the first quarter,” the statement said. “Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher energy prices, and broader price pressures.“Indeed, the estimates as expressed through the committee’s summary of economic projections see inflation moving sharply lower in 2023, down to 2.6% headline and 2.7% core, projections little changed from March.Longer-term, the committee outlook for policy largely matches market projections which see a series of increases ahead that would take the funds rate to about 3.8%, its highest level since late 2007.The statement was approved by all FOMC members except for Kansas City Fed President Esther George, who preferred a smaller half-point increase.Banks use the rate as a benchmark for what the charge each other for short-term borrowing. However, it feeds directly through to a multitude of consumer debt products, such as adjustable-rate mortgages, credit cards and auto loans.The funds rate also can drive rates on savings accounts and CDs higher, though the feed-through on that generally takes longer.The Fed’s move comes with inflation running at its fastest pace in more than 40 years. Central bank officials use the funds rate to try to slow down the economy – in this case to tamp down demand so that supply can catch up.However, the post-meeting statement removed a long-used phrase indicating that the FOMC “expects inflation to return to its 2 percent objective and the labor market to remain strong.” The statement only noted that the Fed “is strongly committed” to the goal.The policy tightening is happening with economic growth already tailing off while prices still rise, a condition known as stagflation.First-quarter growth declined at a 1.5% annualized pace, and an updated estimate Wednesday from the Atlanta Fed, through its GDPNow tracker, put the second quarter as flat. Two consecutive quarters of negative growth is a widely used rule of thumb to delineate a recession.Fed officials engaged in a public bout of hand-wringing heading into Wednesday’s decision.For weeks, policymakers had been insisting that half-point – or 50-basis-point – increases could help arrest inflation. In recent days, though, CNBC and other media outlets reported that conditions were ripe for the Fed to go beyond that. The changed approach came even though Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in May had insisted that hiking by 75 basis points was not being considered.However, a recent series of alarming signals triggered the more aggressive action.Inflation as measured by the consumer price index rose 8.6% on a yearly basis in May. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey hit an all-time low that included sharply higher inflation expectations. Also, retail sales numbers released Wednesday confirmed that the all-important consumer is weakening, with sales dropping 0.3% for a month in which inflation rose 1%.The jobs market has been a point of strength for the economy, though May’s 390,000 gain was the lowest since April 2021. Average hourly earnings have been rising in nominal terms, but when adjusted for inflation have fallen 3% over the past year.The committee projections released Wednesday see the unemployment rate, currently at 3.6%, moving up to 4.1% by 2024.All of those factors have combined to complicate Powell’s hopes for a “soft or softish” landing that he expressed in May. Rate-tightening cycles in the past often have resulted in recessions.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9088120834,"gmtCreate":1650326278493,"gmtModify":1676534695699,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBUX\">$Starbucks(SBUX)$</a>up...","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SBUX\">$Starbucks(SBUX)$</a>up...","text":"$Starbucks(SBUX)$up...","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3b3bee3db662028988851852b11687de","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9088120834","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":256808281194560,"gmtCreate":1703731218971,"gmtModify":1703731222883,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice and fun game. 👍","listText":"Nice and fun game. 👍","text":"Nice and fun game. 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/256808281194560","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":237498890760192,"gmtCreate":1699018786765,"gmtModify":1699018790044,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Have fun playing the games","listText":"Have fun playing the games","text":"Have fun playing the games","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/237498890760192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944889948,"gmtCreate":1681783428385,"gmtModify":1681783432427,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great and nice game. ","listText":"Great and nice game. ","text":"Great and nice game.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944889948","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951163051,"gmtCreate":1673425863074,"gmtModify":1676538834688,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951163051","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9959760692,"gmtCreate":1673071446917,"gmtModify":1676538783862,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9959760692","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9927957808,"gmtCreate":1672379047904,"gmtModify":1676538682016,"author":{"id":"3582504836067709","authorId":"3582504836067709","name":"J4","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/150e4b697ccff94ef8d4389a3d49b2cb","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582504836067709","authorIdStr":"3582504836067709"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9927957808","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":78,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}