I first ‘understand’ Doji and indecision is important as it signals the reversal of the current trade and it helps me position my trades on whether it would be time to buy or sell. When I see a long upper shadow, I would wait for the next candle to confirm as it is the first sign of reversal. A doji after a long bullish candle often ‘tricks’ traders as traders would wonder if the bull run has end and how they should position their trades. @Fenger1188 @Kaixiang @LuckyPiggie @Universe宇宙 @HelenJanet
I am definitely a conservative investor as I prefer to manage my risks and try to minimise major drops in my portfolio. However, an exception to that would be my investment in HK and China stocks as these tend to be volatile and without reason. This stems from my conviction that China would eventually be the world’s top economy given their expertise and population size. For US stocks, my main investments are in ETFs rather than individual stocks as I tend to buy and hold and the proven safe strategy would be to invest in ETFs instead of individual stocks. Of course, my US ETFs have done well as these top 10 stocks are easily part of the underlying holdings for most ETFs, just that returns are definitely not as good. In the new year, I think I would still continue to stick to my strategy
I have always believed in Chinese tech and have kept my position in Tencent though I have also traded to lock in profits or to average down on my position cost. It was tough keeping to it when the US stocks were soaring for the past few years post covid and especially when rate cuts took place. Moving into 2026, I remain convicted that Chinese tech stocks will continue to shine as the Chinese compete with the US not just to play catch up but to be the next world leader and the Chinese do have it going for them with their hunger to lead and the expertise that they have. With geopolitical tensions, I don’t think the Chinese government will impose restrictions on them as they too need the Chinese tech to shine. Maybe I do regret missing out on the gold rally but this is an asset class I do
It’s hard to tell if gold will really hit $5000 in 2026. It will require all the stars to align where geopolitical risks remain high, US debts continue to deepen, consistent buying by both retail investors and the central banks, high risk of economic recession and Japan raise rates. Rate cuts might help with the US debt. If these fade off then gold prices should start to fall. Personally, my preference has always been to trade ETFs as it carries the least risk compared to futures and leveraged ETFs. I also do not have to try to predict future events and gives me the flexibility of trading when the prices are right with less fear even in situations where I unfortunately become a bag holder. @SPOT_ON
I think trump’s liberation day and the related taco trades really defined 2025. The stock market responded in fear and dropped rapidly, bringing back to memories of Covid and the market crash that was still fresh in many minds. Of course, his taco also brought the stock market to the later upswings and dips again when the so-called trade talks failed and tariffs were introduced or heightened. I think the taco trades really taught me the most this year. It taught me to really depend on fundamentals yet also allowed me to capitalise on the market volatility to trade on top of just investing. It taught me to be really convicted about fundamentals and to block out all noise and fear to continue to add to my positions. Of course, when the fear subsided and the stock prices rebounded, I took pro
I think Morgan Stanley’s predictions are too bullish. While I expect the next year to continue to rally forward, I don’t think it is as rosy as painted. No one can be completely sure of what events are going to play out next year and the world is increasingly contentious and fragmented with each more obviously looking out for their own interest. I do think that equities will outperform credit and government bonds as for most years and so most likely to come true. Earnings reports have been strong and definitely many expect rate cuts to happen next year as the Fed chair changes and is expected to align with trump’s wish of rapid rate cuts. This will be significant in driving the US stocks rally and AI definitely will be centre stage as the world capitalise on its potential and with the ra
As I am still young, I definitely choose blue chip stocks and high yield REITs over bonds. Blue chip stocks mainly for growth and high yield REITs for the dividends and potentially some capital gain. I prefer CPF for now as the compounding in SRS means that eventually I still have to pay tax at a later time because I would amass a sum larger than the tax free withdrawal amount and with my current salary, the tax savings is not significant yet. With CPF, I can withdraw without worries about paying tax and the interest from the special account can be considered as a good dividend rate, though at the expense of liquidity which is similar to SRS. The main limitation with CPF is that the amount I can top up is lesser than SRS which limits my ability to fully maximise it for tax savings. At
Although there is a drop in the market, I don’t think this is the time to add. Market response has been mainly towards rate cut expectations and have ignored that fundamentally, the labour market remains strong and economic data have not suggested impending recession. Many of the companies have delivered earnings that beat expectations. The pullback has been painful but not big enough for me to add positions. I prefer to stay calm in this time and continue to watch the macroeconomic situation. The current valuation of most stocks are near historical ranges where they are neither too expensive to be considered a bubble but also not cheap enough for me to consider adding positions. I would need to wait for another 5-10% pullback before adding. I believe once the panic settles, there will act
I prefer top down investing as a good company also needs the right economic conditions, policies and macroeconomic factors to survive and perform well. So, I look at macro then sectors, with a focus beyond just the current cycle but also longer term if I wish to invest for a longer horizon such as IT and AI sectors. For such sectors, if the macro are not conducive but I think they will grow in the longer term, I would seize the opportunity to invest in them if the price drop like tech companies during the rate hike years. I generally pick ETFs as it reduces the risk for a busy investor like me who may not want to keep studying the company on a regular basis and reduces the risk for me if I choose to invest for the medium to longer term. I might couple with bottom up investing once I identi
I don’t think google’s rally has peaked for the year as I expect further rate cuts by the Fed which would drive it further up. I wouldn’t add more google now as it has already rallied significantly this year and potential upside would be limited. I wouldn’t buy meta too as I don’t see much potential in its business model to expect a huge rally. I think there is a good chance of S&P500 reaching 7400 by year-end. Many are still expecting further rate cuts that would drive the rally and I think many retail investors would be buying the dip to help drive the rally. Nvda’s forward p/e of 40 remains attractive as it is currently unrivalled. It is clearly in high demand that both China and the US fight for it and seek to impose restrictions on their opponent. It has now been able to affec
I do think this price and volatile is attractive for selling puts because I am being paid to wait till my strike price to buy or add a position. However, the strike price needs to be chosen carefully and the position added will be more significant than just a nibble. I do think there is a good chance of bitcoin rebounding at around $90k but I would prefer a strike price at $80k to be have a greater safety margin. I wouldn’t take profit at $90k as the long term potential price is defin more than it. Neither would I add positions as the safety margin is not there. I would prefer to add at below $80k for a long position. I am also looking at ETH and COIN as alternatives to bitcoin. ETH is currently seen as stable alt coin with long term potential and COIN has always been seen as an altern