54oo_ personal page - To The Moon

54oo_

54oo_

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2024-02-05

$20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$

2023-10-27

$皇冠(5HT.SI)$

2023-03-06

[害羞]

本週前瞻 | 市場聚焦鮑威爾講話傳遞的利率取向！三家央行齊議息，京東聯通等業績來襲！兩隻新股上市

2023-02-02

[流泪]

鲍威尔：考虑再加息约两次后暂停，今年降息不合适，金融状况收紧需时间

2023-02-02

[流泪]

“木头姐”大回血：ARKK 1月暴涨27.8%，创历史最佳月度表现

2023-01-27

[鬼脸]

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-01-21

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ [得意]

2023-01-16

yes lor

2023-01-15

funny[得意]

2023-01-15

ney

2023-01-15

neat

2023-01-14

[龇牙]

2023-01-13

Nice

2023-01-12

[得意]

2023-01-11

[惊讶]

2023-01-10

[得意]

2023-01-10

sigh[流泪]

2023-01-09

nice

2023-01-08

nice

2023-01-07

Yeah

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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08:35","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"本週前瞻 | 市場聚焦鮑威爾講話傳遞的利率取向！三家央行齊議息，京東聯通等業績來襲！兩隻新股上市","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117804954","media":"老虎資訊","summary":"本週（3.6-3.10）重要財經事件：經濟數據：市場本周將會聚焦多項就業數據，包括周三公布的「小非農」ADP就業人數變動，到周五更有2月非農新增職位及2月份失業率，1月非農數據遠超預期震驚市場，若再出","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>本週（3.6-3.10）重要財經事件：</b></p><blockquote>經濟數據：市場本周將會聚焦多項就業數據，包括周三公布的「小非農」ADP就業人數變動，到周五更有2月非農新增職位及2月份失業率，1月非農數據遠超預期震驚市場，若再出現驚嚇，或會令美股出現波動。</blockquote><blockquote>財經事件：聯儲局主席鮑威爾周二（7日）及周三（8日）將出席兩場國會聽證會，其講話將令市場更了解當局最新的利率取向。另外，聯儲局周四公布褐皮書，澳洲、加拿大及日本央行本周議息。</blockquote><blockquote>業績公佈：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">携程网</a>周一美股盤後公佈業績，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a>周二美股盤前公佈業績，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">京东集团-SW</a> 周四美股盤前公佈業績，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00762\">中国联通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00763\">中兴通讯</a> 、友邦保險等亦于本周公佈業績。</blockquote><blockquote>新股IPO:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02482\">维天运通</a> (02482)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09636\">九方财富</a> (09636)分別于3月9日和10日上市。</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17207495ed040e73fd53b880ed7e9ae7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fdedc78051dccabf7bf1ef8d1b144f3\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"2000\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>3月6日 週一</b></p><p><b>關鍵詞：美國1月工廠訂單月率、攜程業績</b></p><p>經濟數據：市場關注美國1月工廠訂單月率，該數據前值為1.8%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2eb83f7764708459669205cdfc14519\" tg-width=\"977\" tg-height=\"206\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>業績公布：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">携程网</a>美股盤後發佈業績報告。</p><p><b>3月7日 週二</b></p><p><b>關鍵詞：鮑威爾國會聽證會</b></p><p>聯儲局主席鮑威爾周二（7日）及周三（8日）將出席兩場國會聽證會，其講話將令市場更了解當局最新的利率取向。澳洲央行亦于當日公布議息結果。</p><p>經濟數據：中國貿易帳，以及美國批發銷售月率等數據。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7245a1439c076fee4d317ea668db5f0\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"122\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69373324a59a1f848ceff22b065ef47b\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>業績公布：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a> (SE）美股盤前公布業績。九龍倉置業(01997) 、海豐國際(01308) 、中鋁國際(02068) 、五礦資源(01208) 當日公佈業績。</p><p><b>3月8日 週三</b></p><p><b>關鍵詞：美國ADP就業人數、鮑威爾發表貨幣政策證詞、中國聯通業績</b></p><p>市場關注周三公布的「小非農」ADP就業人數變動，該數據預測16.8萬，前值10.6萬。</p><blockquote>周三公布的2月ADP私人企業新增職位預計增至19.5萬個，1月JOLTS職位空缺減至1060萬個。</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b80c91e1725cf662b96020e43c110cc\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"147\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>加拿大央行公布議息結果。</p><p>業績公布：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00293\">国泰航空</a>(00293) 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00762\">中国联通</a> (00762) 、澳博控股(00880) 、統一企業中國(00220) 、越秀服務(06626)</p><p><b>3月9日 週四</b></p><p><b>關鍵詞：中國CPI、美國當週初請失業金、美聯儲褐皮書、京東業績</b></p><p>中國公佈2月CPI年率，該數據前值為升2.1%。美國公佈上周新申領失業金人數，該數據前值為19萬。</p><p>美聯儲公布經濟狀況褐皮書。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa06b406edcfed6336fced077c62c184\" tg-width=\"978\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>新股上市：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02482\">维天运通</a>(02482)</p><p>業績公布：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">京东集团-SW</a>(09618) 、港鐵(00066) 、太古(00019) 、太古地產(01972) 、九龍倉集團(00004)等</p><p><b>3月10日 週五</b></p><p><b>關鍵詞：美國非農就業人口、美國失業率、中興通訊/霧芯科技財報</b></p><p>周五有2月非農新增職位及2月份失業率，1月非農數據遠超預期震驚市場，若再出現驚嚇，或會令美股出現波動。</p><blockquote>現時市場預測2月份新增職位會顯著回落至21.5萬份。2月失業率則預期維持3.4%。另一個關注點會是平均時薪增長幅度，市場現時料2月平均時薪按年升4.7%，較1月4.4%為高，若增長超過預期，或會引起市場對通脹及工資螺旋上升的擔憂。</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8003aa2968dc3f8f5a577214d99ebb1b\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>日本央行公布議息結果。</p><p>新股上市：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09636\">九方财富</a> (09636)</p><p>業績公布：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01299\">友邦保险</a> (01299) 、華人置業(00127) 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00763\">中兴通讯</a> (00763)、 霧芯科技(RLX)等。</p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>本週前瞻 | 市場聚焦鮑威爾講話傳遞的利率取向！三家央行齊議息，京東聯通等業績來襲！兩隻新股上市</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; 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市場聚焦鮑威爾講話傳遞的利率取向！三家央行齊議息，京東聯通等業績來襲！兩隻新股上市\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1059071526\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎資訊 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-06 08:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><b>本週（3.6-3.10）重要財經事件：</b></p><blockquote>經濟數據：市場本周將會聚焦多項就業數據，包括周三公布的「小非農」ADP就業人數變動，到周五更有2月非農新增職位及2月份失業率，1月非農數據遠超預期震驚市場，若再出現驚嚇，或會令美股出現波動。</blockquote><blockquote>財經事件：聯儲局主席鮑威爾周二（7日）及周三（8日）將出席兩場國會聽證會，其講話將令市場更了解當局最新的利率取向。另外，聯儲局周四公布褐皮書，澳洲、加拿大及日本央行本周議息。</blockquote><blockquote>業績公佈：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">携程网</a>周一美股盤後公佈業績，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a>周二美股盤前公佈業績，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">京东集团-SW</a> 周四美股盤前公佈業績，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00762\">中国联通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00763\">中兴通讯</a> 、友邦保險等亦于本周公佈業績。</blockquote><blockquote>新股IPO:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02482\">维天运通</a> (02482)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09636\">九方财富</a> (09636)分別于3月9日和10日上市。</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17207495ed040e73fd53b880ed7e9ae7\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5fdedc78051dccabf7bf1ef8d1b144f3\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"2000\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>3月6日 週一</b></p><p><b>關鍵詞：美國1月工廠訂單月率、攜程業績</b></p><p>經濟數據：市場關注美國1月工廠訂單月率，該數據前值為1.8%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2eb83f7764708459669205cdfc14519\" tg-width=\"977\" tg-height=\"206\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>業績公布：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TCOM\">携程网</a>美股盤後發佈業績報告。</p><p><b>3月7日 週二</b></p><p><b>關鍵詞：鮑威爾國會聽證會</b></p><p>聯儲局主席鮑威爾周二（7日）及周三（8日）將出席兩場國會聽證會，其講話將令市場更了解當局最新的利率取向。澳洲央行亦于當日公布議息結果。</p><p>經濟數據：中國貿易帳，以及美國批發銷售月率等數據。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7245a1439c076fee4d317ea668db5f0\" tg-width=\"982\" tg-height=\"122\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69373324a59a1f848ceff22b065ef47b\" tg-width=\"973\" tg-height=\"259\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>業績公布：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">Sea Ltd</a> (SE）美股盤前公布業績。九龍倉置業(01997) 、海豐國際(01308) 、中鋁國際(02068) 、五礦資源(01208) 當日公佈業績。</p><p><b>3月8日 週三</b></p><p><b>關鍵詞：美國ADP就業人數、鮑威爾發表貨幣政策證詞、中國聯通業績</b></p><p>市場關注周三公布的「小非農」ADP就業人數變動，該數據預測16.8萬，前值10.6萬。</p><blockquote>周三公布的2月ADP私人企業新增職位預計增至19.5萬個，1月JOLTS職位空缺減至1060萬個。</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b80c91e1725cf662b96020e43c110cc\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"147\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>加拿大央行公布議息結果。</p><p>業績公布：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00293\">国泰航空</a>(00293) 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00762\">中国联通</a> (00762) 、澳博控股(00880) 、統一企業中國(00220) 、越秀服務(06626)</p><p><b>3月9日 週四</b></p><p><b>關鍵詞：中國CPI、美國當週初請失業金、美聯儲褐皮書、京東業績</b></p><p>中國公佈2月CPI年率，該數據前值為升2.1%。美國公佈上周新申領失業金人數，該數據前值為19萬。</p><p>美聯儲公布經濟狀況褐皮書。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa06b406edcfed6336fced077c62c184\" tg-width=\"978\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>新股上市：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02482\">维天运通</a>(02482)</p><p>業績公布：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">京东集团-SW</a>(09618) 、港鐵(00066) 、太古(00019) 、太古地產(01972) 、九龍倉集團(00004)等</p><p><b>3月10日 週五</b></p><p><b>關鍵詞：美國非農就業人口、美國失業率、中興通訊/霧芯科技財報</b></p><p>周五有2月非農新增職位及2月份失業率，1月非農數據遠超預期震驚市場，若再出現驚嚇，或會令美股出現波動。</p><blockquote>現時市場預測2月份新增職位會顯著回落至21.5萬份。2月失業率則預期維持3.4%。另一個關注點會是平均時薪增長幅度，市場現時料2月平均時薪按年升4.7%，較1月4.4%為高，若增長超過預期，或會引起市場對通脹及工資螺旋上升的擔憂。</blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8003aa2968dc3f8f5a577214d99ebb1b\" tg-width=\"984\" tg-height=\"354\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>日本央行公布議息結果。</p><p>新股上市：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09636\">九方财富</a> (09636)</p><p>業績公布：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01299\">友邦保险</a> (01299) 、華人置業(00127) 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00763\">中兴通讯</a> (00763)、 霧芯科技(RLX)等。</p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e1ae3d0f75bebef8011736e9031acae","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117804954","content_text":"本週（3.6-3.10）重要財經事件：經濟數據：市場本周將會聚焦多項就業數據，包括周三公布的「小非農」ADP就業人數變動，到周五更有2月非農新增職位及2月份失業率，1月非農數據遠超預期震驚市場，若再出現驚嚇，或會令美股出現波動。財經事件：聯儲局主席鮑威爾周二（7日）及周三（8日）將出席兩場國會聽證會，其講話將令市場更了解當局最新的利率取向。另外，聯儲局周四公布褐皮書，澳洲、加拿大及日本央行本周議息。業績公佈：携程网周一美股盤後公佈業績，Sea Ltd周二美股盤前公佈業績，京东集团-SW 周四美股盤前公佈業績，中国联通、中兴通讯 、友邦保險等亦于本周公佈業績。新股IPO:维天运通 (02482)、九方财富 (09636)分別于3月9日和10日上市。3月6日 週一關鍵詞：美國1月工廠訂單月率、攜程業績經濟數據：市場關注美國1月工廠訂單月率，該數據前值為1.8%。業績公布：携程网美股盤後發佈業績報告。3月7日 週二關鍵詞：鮑威爾國會聽證會聯儲局主席鮑威爾周二（7日）及周三（8日）將出席兩場國會聽證會，其講話將令市場更了解當局最新的利率取向。澳洲央行亦于當日公布議息結果。經濟數據：中國貿易帳，以及美國批發銷售月率等數據。業績公布：Sea Ltd (SE）美股盤前公布業績。九龍倉置業(01997) 、海豐國際(01308) 、中鋁國際(02068) 、五礦資源(01208) 當日公佈業績。3月8日 週三關鍵詞：美國ADP就業人數、鮑威爾發表貨幣政策證詞、中國聯通業績市場關注周三公布的「小非農」ADP就業人數變動，該數據預測16.8萬，前值10.6萬。周三公布的2月ADP私人企業新增職位預計增至19.5萬個，1月JOLTS職位空缺減至1060萬個。加拿大央行公布議息結果。業績公布：国泰航空(00293) 、中国联通 (00762) 、澳博控股(00880) 、統一企業中國(00220) 、越秀服務(06626)3月9日 週四關鍵詞：中國CPI、美國當週初請失業金、美聯儲褐皮書、京東業績中國公佈2月CPI年率，該數據前值為升2.1%。美國公佈上周新申領失業金人數，該數據前值為19萬。美聯儲公布經濟狀況褐皮書。新股上市：维天运通(02482)業績公布：京东集团-SW(09618) 、港鐵(00066) 、太古(00019) 、太古地產(01972) 、九龍倉集團(00004)等3月10日 週五關鍵詞：美國非農就業人口、美國失業率、中興通訊/霧芯科技財報周五有2月非農新增職位及2月份失業率，1月非農數據遠超預期震驚市場，若再出現驚嚇，或會令美股出現波動。現時市場預測2月份新增職位會顯著回落至21.5萬份。2月失業率則預期維持3.4%。另一個關注點會是平均時薪增長幅度，市場現時料2月平均時薪按年升4.7%，較1月4.4%為高，若增長超過預期，或會引起市場對通脹及工資螺旋上升的擔憂。日本央行公布議息結果。新股上市：九方财富 (09636)業績公布：友邦保险 (01299) 、華人置業(00127) 、中兴通讯 (00763)、 霧芯科技(RLX)等。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955158402,"gmtCreate":1675295652606,"gmtModify":1676538990254,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106048906582030","idStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955158402","repostId":"1139522843","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139522843","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1675293368,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139522843?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-02 07:16","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"鲍威尔：考虑再加息约两次后暂停，今年降息不合适，金融状况收紧需时间","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139522843","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"摘要：美联储主席鲍威尔说，通胀有所缓和但仍处于高位，但“现在第一次可以说，通货膨胀放缓进程已经开始。”他说，FOMC迅猛紧缩货币政策的全面效果尚未显现出来。FOMC正在讨论再加息几次（a couple","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>摘要：美联储主席鲍威尔说，通胀有所缓和但仍处于高位，但“现在第一次可以说，通货膨胀放缓进程已经开始。”他说，FOMC迅猛紧缩货币政策的全面效果尚未显现出来。FOMC正在讨论再加息几次（a couple more）至限制性水平，之后就暂停，美联储并没有探索暂停加息之后再重新开始加息的可能性。鲍威尔强调，鉴于经济状况，预计今年不会降息。他说，当前美国经济所处的周期不是一个标准的经济周期，是独一无二的。</blockquote><p>2月1日周三，在美联储公布最新利率决议后，美联储主席鲍威尔召开记者会。</p><p><b>鲍威尔说，FOMC正在讨论再加息几次（a couple more）至限制性水平，之后就暂停，美联储并没有探索暂停加息之后再重新开始加息的可能性。他说，政策制定者并不认为现在是暂停加息的时候。</b></p><p><b>关于这里的“几次”指的是多少次加息，彭博社解读认为，并非每个人都会认为是两次，但该媒体认为基本上可以确定是再加息两次，即在3月和5月的FOMC会议上继续以25个基点的幅度分别加息一次，这将令联邦基金利率上升至5%至5.25%的区间，达到12月时美联储的预期利率峰值水平。</b></p><p>市场普遍预计3月美联储将继续加息25个基点，但鲍威尔强调，他对5月FOMC会议不抱任何确定性。关于3月的点阵图，他认为，可能高于12月，也可能更低，具体取决于数据，美联储3月FOMC会议将更新加息路径评估，美联储将留意从现在到三月的数据。</p><p><b>鲍威尔表示，他和他的FOMC同事们做出的预测表明，今年降息是不合适。</b>他表示：</p><blockquote>鉴于我们预期的经济前景，我认为我们今年不会降息。</blockquote><p>不过他补充称，如果通胀下降得更快，那么这将影响政策决策。在通胀问题上，鲍威尔表示：</p><blockquote>我们将在宣布抗通胀取得胜利上采取谨慎态度，我们正处于反通胀的早期阶段，取得胜利需要时间。</blockquote><p>继续加息是适当的，当前利率水平距利率峰值不远</p><p>在记者会上，对去年一年的加息行动，鲍威尔总结说，美联储采取了有力的行动。</p><p>展望未来，他说，将需要在一段时期内维持货币政策对美国经济的的限制性，<b>美联储继续预期持续的加息是适当的，以达到充分的限制性立场。他强调，当前美联储制定的利率还没有达到足够限制性的政策立场。</b></p><p>他继续强烈承诺将实现2%通胀目标。他强调，物价稳定是经济的基础，当前的通胀水平远高于美联储的目标，美联储官员们仍然需要付出更多努力，美联储将坚持到底，直到工作完成。他说，现在宣布胜利还为时过早：</p><blockquote>我们的预期是，通胀需要一定时间才能回落，我们需要耐心，因此将需要在更长时间内保持较高的利率。</blockquote><p>他对美国经济软着陆依然有信心：</p><blockquote>我认为通胀可以回落到2%，而不会出现真正严重的经济衰退。</blockquote><p>关于市场对于美联储未来加息路径的讨论，<b>他说，美联储官员们花了很多时间讨论利率政策的未来路径，但还没有就本轮加息周期的利率峰值是多少做出决定，但他相信当前的利率水平已经距离利率峰值不远了。</b></p><p>和前几次记者会一样，鲍威尔再次重申，历史告诫不要过早放松政策，美联储不希望通货膨胀卷土重来，很难管理加息不够带来的风险。鲍威尔说：</p><blockquote>我不希望在停止加息后的6个月或12个月后，美联储才迫不得已得出结论：今年在降低通货膨胀方面做得不够，将不得不再次提高利率。</blockquote><p>但他也强调，美联储没有动力也不想过度收紧利率，但如果美联储真的过度收紧，该机构依然有工具来解决这个问题。</p><p><b>他说，放慢加息节奏可以让FOMC评估进展。对于未来的加息进程，鲍威尔说，将在逐个会议上做出决定。</b></p><p><b>对于市场关注的政策滞后性，鲍威尔回应称，需要一段时间才能充分看到紧缩政策的效果，这些滞后性影响了今天FOMC加息25个基点的决定。</b>鲍威尔说，FOMC迅猛紧缩货币政策的全面效果尚未显现出来，但重要的是，市场确实反映了美联储正在实施的紧缩政策。不过，<b>他也说，如果需要调整加息幅度至12月以前的力度（即每次加息75个基点），美联储将那样做。</b></p><p>通胀预期稳定令人安心，通胀放缓进程已经开始</p><p>关于通胀，鲍威尔说，市场预计通胀下降速度比美联储预期的更快，但是他强调，不知道通胀进一步放缓是否会“艰难”。如果通胀下降速度真的比美联储预期的快，这将影响美联储的政策决策。就目前的状况来看，美国三个月期（季度性）核心PCE通胀指标相当低，季度性通胀放缓是可喜的，但这一趋势是否可以延续，美联储需要更多证据。</p><p>鲍威尔对美联储控制通胀的行动似乎很有信心，他说：</p><blockquote>美国有望陷入超低通胀，这将让人感到心满意足。</blockquote><p>他也强调，好的一点是，市场对长期通胀的预期保持稳定：</p><blockquote>通胀预期似乎很稳定，这令人安心。</blockquote><p>鲍威尔说，可能需要将通胀增速降低至低于长期趋势的经济增长速度。他说，美联储敏锐地意识到高通胀会带来困难，将高度关注通胀带来的双向风险。他说，随着通货膨胀回落的证据越来越多，这将随着时间的推移反映在政策中。</p><p>关于美联储对抗通胀的行动，鲍威尔认为，预计通胀将继续在住房服务领域上升，然后下降。但在不包括住房的核心服务业中，还没有看到超低通胀现象，服务业通胀的核心仍在4%左右，不过美联储预计核心服务业将很快出现超低通胀现象。</p><p><b>和前几次记者会不同的是，鲍威尔首次强调了加息带来的通缩风险。</b>他说，通缩压力已经浮现，特别是在商品方面，美联储注意到房地产市场即将出现通货紧缩。他说：</p><blockquote>我们现在第一次可以说，通货膨胀放缓进程已经开始。</blockquote><p>美国经济当前所处的周期独一无二</p><p>关于美国的经济状况，鲍威尔说，去年经济增长明显放缓，消费者支出似乎受到抑制，房地产活动继续疲软。</p><p><b>关于美国当前所处的经济周期，他说，当前的周期不是一个标准的经济周期，是独一无二的。他预测美国经济增长将继续保持温和。</b></p><p>他强调，全球经济形势有所改善，这对美国很重要。</p><p>关于美国国会是否会提高债务上限，鲍威尔说，关于债务上限的讨论仍在继续，美联储将仔细监测货币市场状况：</p><blockquote>我相信国会会提高债务上限，这是必须的。</blockquote><p>鲍威尔认为，通胀下降的趋势必须在整个美国经济中铺开。他强调，不要假设美联储可以在发生债务违约时保护经济。</p><p>鲍威尔还说，新冠疫情在美国经济中影响不再重大。</p><p>美联储密切关注金融状况，金融状况收紧需要时间</p><p>关于市场关注的金融市场的状况，鲍威尔认为，自去年12月以来，金融状况基本保持不变，美联储也在一直仔细监控金融状况。</p><p><b>鲍威尔强调，美联储现在关注的重点不是金融状况的短期变化，而是侧重于金融条件的持续变化，在制定政策时，美联储将考虑金融状况和其他条件。</b></p><p>鲍威尔说，金融状况收紧将需要时间，需要耐心。</p><p>鲍威尔说，去年金融状况收紧非常严重。但他似乎并没有对最近金融市场变得宽松作出评论。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/334e207d92f00fd25d372217cc8daa89\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>鲍威尔的此番表态被市场做了鸽派解读，在鲍威尔就金融市场状况表态后，美国股市、黄金上涨，美债收益率下行。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a23929968e05b7811623571bc0446d58\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ef9b697f1432afc1602eb96cafd2cb9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db9dbead1045aa1b53ad50b77b4a3874\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"345\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>劳动力市场依然极度紧张</p><p>关于美国的劳动力市场，鲍威尔说，劳动力市场仍然“极度紧张”，工资增速提高，就业增长势头强劲，劳动力需求依然大幅超过供给。</p><p>他强调劳动力市场降温对于控制通胀的重要性：</p><blockquote>总的来看，如果劳动力市场没有达到更好的平衡，我个人的观点是，通胀率不会持续回到2%。</blockquote><p>具体拆分来看，鲍威尔说，美联储看到工资增速在下降，但是JOLTs报告中的职位空缺数字一直相当不稳定。尽管劳动力成本指数ECI和平均时薪已经脱离高点，但仍然相当高。他说，到目前为止，美联储的紧缩政策并没有以劳动力市场为代价，这是一件好事。</p><p>鲍威尔说，美联储还将关注下一份ECI报告，昨天的数据显示工资下降，具有建设性。</p><p>鲍威尔说，一旦能观察到工资—价格螺旋上升，就太晚了，美联储不能允许这种情况发生，当前，美联储没有看到工资—价格螺旋上升的迹象。</p><p>关于失业率，鲍威尔说，大多数政策制定者预测失业率可能会略有上升。</p><p>市场反应</p><p>利率互换市场的交易员得出的结论是，政策方向将从今年年中开始进一步转向鸽派。交易员们预计，到2023年年底，美联储将较6月利率峰值降息50个基点。交易员们认为，今年6月美国政策利率将达到峰值，隔夜拆借利率为4.9%；到今年12月，这一利率将下降至4.4%。</p><p>对于下一次即3月召开的美联储FOMC议息会议，目前市场仅定价21个基点的加息溢价，这表明市场认为美联储将再加息25个基点的可能性为 84%。除此之外，市场认为美联储在5月份再次加息的前景已经下降。</p><p>标普500指数一度上涨1.3%，道指转涨，纳指一度上涨2.2%。</p><p>尾盘时美股集体转涨至日高，道指最高涨近250点或涨0.7%，此前一度跌超500点或跌超1.5%，短暂失守3.4万点整数位。标普500指数最高涨1.8%并升破4100点，此前跌1%且能源板块领跌。纳指最高涨2.8%，此前跌0.7%。罗素小盘股最高涨2.3%，此前跌0.5%。</p><p>美国10年期国债收益率跌约12个基点，刷新日低至3.3819%；两年期美债收益率一度跌超10个基点，刷新日低至4.0981%；2/10年期美债收益率利差在利率决议声明发布后迅速跌至日低-76.226个基点，目前反弹至-71.000个基点上方，日内整体跌幅收窄至不足1.6个基点。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>鲍威尔：考虑再加息约两次后暂停，今年降息不合适，金融状况收紧需时间</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n鲍威尔：考虑再加息约两次后暂停，今年降息不合适，金融状况收紧需时间\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-02 07:16 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680974><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>摘要：美联储主席鲍威尔说，通胀有所缓和但仍处于高位，但“现在第一次可以说，通货膨胀放缓进程已经开始。”他说，FOMC迅猛紧缩货币政策的全面效果尚未显现出来。FOMC正在讨论再加息几次（a couple more）至限制性水平，之后就暂停，美联储并没有探索暂停加息之后再重新开始加息的可能性。鲍威尔强调，鉴于经济状况，预计今年不会降息。他说，当前美国经济所处的周期不是一个标准的经济周期，是独一无二的。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680974\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/499d73ece33aa33a20d67cc087f64953","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680974","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139522843","content_text":"摘要：美联储主席鲍威尔说，通胀有所缓和但仍处于高位，但“现在第一次可以说，通货膨胀放缓进程已经开始。”他说，FOMC迅猛紧缩货币政策的全面效果尚未显现出来。FOMC正在讨论再加息几次（a couple more）至限制性水平，之后就暂停，美联储并没有探索暂停加息之后再重新开始加息的可能性。鲍威尔强调，鉴于经济状况，预计今年不会降息。他说，当前美国经济所处的周期不是一个标准的经济周期，是独一无二的。2月1日周三，在美联储公布最新利率决议后，美联储主席鲍威尔召开记者会。鲍威尔说，FOMC正在讨论再加息几次（a couple more）至限制性水平，之后就暂停，美联储并没有探索暂停加息之后再重新开始加息的可能性。他说，政策制定者并不认为现在是暂停加息的时候。关于这里的“几次”指的是多少次加息，彭博社解读认为，并非每个人都会认为是两次，但该媒体认为基本上可以确定是再加息两次，即在3月和5月的FOMC会议上继续以25个基点的幅度分别加息一次，这将令联邦基金利率上升至5%至5.25%的区间，达到12月时美联储的预期利率峰值水平。市场普遍预计3月美联储将继续加息25个基点，但鲍威尔强调，他对5月FOMC会议不抱任何确定性。关于3月的点阵图，他认为，可能高于12月，也可能更低，具体取决于数据，美联储3月FOMC会议将更新加息路径评估，美联储将留意从现在到三月的数据。鲍威尔表示，他和他的FOMC同事们做出的预测表明，今年降息是不合适。他表示：鉴于我们预期的经济前景，我认为我们今年不会降息。不过他补充称，如果通胀下降得更快，那么这将影响政策决策。在通胀问题上，鲍威尔表示：我们将在宣布抗通胀取得胜利上采取谨慎态度，我们正处于反通胀的早期阶段，取得胜利需要时间。继续加息是适当的，当前利率水平距利率峰值不远在记者会上，对去年一年的加息行动，鲍威尔总结说，美联储采取了有力的行动。展望未来，他说，将需要在一段时期内维持货币政策对美国经济的的限制性，美联储继续预期持续的加息是适当的，以达到充分的限制性立场。他强调，当前美联储制定的利率还没有达到足够限制性的政策立场。他继续强烈承诺将实现2%通胀目标。他强调，物价稳定是经济的基础，当前的通胀水平远高于美联储的目标，美联储官员们仍然需要付出更多努力，美联储将坚持到底，直到工作完成。他说，现在宣布胜利还为时过早：我们的预期是，通胀需要一定时间才能回落，我们需要耐心，因此将需要在更长时间内保持较高的利率。他对美国经济软着陆依然有信心：我认为通胀可以回落到2%，而不会出现真正严重的经济衰退。关于市场对于美联储未来加息路径的讨论，他说，美联储官员们花了很多时间讨论利率政策的未来路径，但还没有就本轮加息周期的利率峰值是多少做出决定，但他相信当前的利率水平已经距离利率峰值不远了。和前几次记者会一样，鲍威尔再次重申，历史告诫不要过早放松政策，美联储不希望通货膨胀卷土重来，很难管理加息不够带来的风险。鲍威尔说：我不希望在停止加息后的6个月或12个月后，美联储才迫不得已得出结论：今年在降低通货膨胀方面做得不够，将不得不再次提高利率。但他也强调，美联储没有动力也不想过度收紧利率，但如果美联储真的过度收紧，该机构依然有工具来解决这个问题。他说，放慢加息节奏可以让FOMC评估进展。对于未来的加息进程，鲍威尔说，将在逐个会议上做出决定。对于市场关注的政策滞后性，鲍威尔回应称，需要一段时间才能充分看到紧缩政策的效果，这些滞后性影响了今天FOMC加息25个基点的决定。鲍威尔说，FOMC迅猛紧缩货币政策的全面效果尚未显现出来，但重要的是，市场确实反映了美联储正在实施的紧缩政策。不过，他也说，如果需要调整加息幅度至12月以前的力度（即每次加息75个基点），美联储将那样做。通胀预期稳定令人安心，通胀放缓进程已经开始关于通胀，鲍威尔说，市场预计通胀下降速度比美联储预期的更快，但是他强调，不知道通胀进一步放缓是否会“艰难”。如果通胀下降速度真的比美联储预期的快，这将影响美联储的政策决策。就目前的状况来看，美国三个月期（季度性）核心PCE通胀指标相当低，季度性通胀放缓是可喜的，但这一趋势是否可以延续，美联储需要更多证据。鲍威尔对美联储控制通胀的行动似乎很有信心，他说：美国有望陷入超低通胀，这将让人感到心满意足。他也强调，好的一点是，市场对长期通胀的预期保持稳定：通胀预期似乎很稳定，这令人安心。鲍威尔说，可能需要将通胀增速降低至低于长期趋势的经济增长速度。他说，美联储敏锐地意识到高通胀会带来困难，将高度关注通胀带来的双向风险。他说，随着通货膨胀回落的证据越来越多，这将随着时间的推移反映在政策中。关于美联储对抗通胀的行动，鲍威尔认为，预计通胀将继续在住房服务领域上升，然后下降。但在不包括住房的核心服务业中，还没有看到超低通胀现象，服务业通胀的核心仍在4%左右，不过美联储预计核心服务业将很快出现超低通胀现象。和前几次记者会不同的是，鲍威尔首次强调了加息带来的通缩风险。他说，通缩压力已经浮现，特别是在商品方面，美联储注意到房地产市场即将出现通货紧缩。他说：我们现在第一次可以说，通货膨胀放缓进程已经开始。美国经济当前所处的周期独一无二关于美国的经济状况，鲍威尔说，去年经济增长明显放缓，消费者支出似乎受到抑制，房地产活动继续疲软。关于美国当前所处的经济周期，他说，当前的周期不是一个标准的经济周期，是独一无二的。他预测美国经济增长将继续保持温和。他强调，全球经济形势有所改善，这对美国很重要。关于美国国会是否会提高债务上限，鲍威尔说，关于债务上限的讨论仍在继续，美联储将仔细监测货币市场状况：我相信国会会提高债务上限，这是必须的。鲍威尔认为，通胀下降的趋势必须在整个美国经济中铺开。他强调，不要假设美联储可以在发生债务违约时保护经济。鲍威尔还说，新冠疫情在美国经济中影响不再重大。美联储密切关注金融状况，金融状况收紧需要时间关于市场关注的金融市场的状况，鲍威尔认为，自去年12月以来，金融状况基本保持不变，美联储也在一直仔细监控金融状况。鲍威尔强调，美联储现在关注的重点不是金融状况的短期变化，而是侧重于金融条件的持续变化，在制定政策时，美联储将考虑金融状况和其他条件。鲍威尔说，金融状况收紧将需要时间，需要耐心。鲍威尔说，去年金融状况收紧非常严重。但他似乎并没有对最近金融市场变得宽松作出评论。鲍威尔的此番表态被市场做了鸽派解读，在鲍威尔就金融市场状况表态后，美国股市、黄金上涨，美债收益率下行。劳动力市场依然极度紧张关于美国的劳动力市场，鲍威尔说，劳动力市场仍然“极度紧张”，工资增速提高，就业增长势头强劲，劳动力需求依然大幅超过供给。他强调劳动力市场降温对于控制通胀的重要性：总的来看，如果劳动力市场没有达到更好的平衡，我个人的观点是，通胀率不会持续回到2%。具体拆分来看，鲍威尔说，美联储看到工资增速在下降，但是JOLTs报告中的职位空缺数字一直相当不稳定。尽管劳动力成本指数ECI和平均时薪已经脱离高点，但仍然相当高。他说，到目前为止，美联储的紧缩政策并没有以劳动力市场为代价，这是一件好事。鲍威尔说，美联储还将关注下一份ECI报告，昨天的数据显示工资下降，具有建设性。鲍威尔说，一旦能观察到工资—价格螺旋上升，就太晚了，美联储不能允许这种情况发生，当前，美联储没有看到工资—价格螺旋上升的迹象。关于失业率，鲍威尔说，大多数政策制定者预测失业率可能会略有上升。市场反应利率互换市场的交易员得出的结论是，政策方向将从今年年中开始进一步转向鸽派。交易员们预计，到2023年年底，美联储将较6月利率峰值降息50个基点。交易员们认为，今年6月美国政策利率将达到峰值，隔夜拆借利率为4.9%；到今年12月，这一利率将下降至4.4%。对于下一次即3月召开的美联储FOMC议息会议，目前市场仅定价21个基点的加息溢价，这表明市场认为美联储将再加息25个基点的可能性为 84%。除此之外，市场认为美联储在5月份再次加息的前景已经下降。标普500指数一度上涨1.3%，道指转涨，纳指一度上涨2.2%。尾盘时美股集体转涨至日高，道指最高涨近250点或涨0.7%，此前一度跌超500点或跌超1.5%，短暂失守3.4万点整数位。标普500指数最高涨1.8%并升破4100点，此前跌1%且能源板块领跌。纳指最高涨2.8%，此前跌0.7%。罗素小盘股最高涨2.3%，此前跌0.5%。美国10年期国债收益率跌约12个基点，刷新日低至3.3819%；两年期美债收益率一度跌超10个基点，刷新日低至4.0981%；2/10年期美债收益率利差在利率决议声明发布后迅速跌至日低-76.226个基点，目前反弹至-71.000个基点上方，日内整体跌幅收窄至不足1.6个基点。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":708,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9955158255,"gmtCreate":1675295602577,"gmtModify":1676538990246,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106048906582030","idStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9955158255","repostId":"2308726057","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2308726057","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1675295438,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2308726057?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-02-02 07:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"“木头姐”大回血：ARKK 1月暴涨27.8%，创历史最佳月度表现","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2308726057","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"在连续两年下跌后，受益于科技股在1月的强劲反弹，ARKK在1月份大涨27.8%，创下有记录以来的最佳月度表现。木头姐在前不久提醒投资者，美股需要注意到美联储说它正在发出结束加息进程的信号。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>在连续两年下跌后，受益于科技股在1月的强劲反弹，ARKK在1月份大涨27.8%，创下有记录以来的最佳月度表现。木头姐在前不久提醒投资者，美股需要注意到美联储说它正在发出结束加息进程的信号。</blockquote><p>随着美国科技股在1月的强劲反弹，“木头姐”Cathie Wood掌管的旗舰基金也“大回血”，创下有史以来的最佳月度表现。</p><p>根据道琼斯市场数据，Cathie Wood掌管的旗舰基金<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARKK\">ARK Innovation ETF</a>（ARKK）在1月份累计上涨达27.8%，创下有记录以来的最佳月度表现。</p><p>在2020年，美国科技股受益于新冠疫情带来的居家办公和学习浪潮，ARKK在当年飙涨了近150%。随着美联储从2021年开始考虑Taper，尤其是去年美联储开始激进加息以来，不断提高的利率令科技公司估值下降，科技股最先受到打击，ARKK的投资策略也遭到波及，ARKK在2021年和2022年分别下跌了21%和67%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29bb19e68d53ab5d955a20abaca1cf54\" tg-width=\"1018\" tg-height=\"627\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>今年以来，美债收益率开始回落，市场也普遍预期美联储将进一步放缓加息脚步，此外，投资者不相信美联储真的会落实维持利率在5%以上一段时间的计划，交易员们押注美联储将在年内开始降息。</p><p>美债收益率在1月份大幅下行。2年期和5年期国债收益率分别下行22个基点和37个基点。10年期美债收益率也从去年10月4.2%的峰值回落至3.49%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/339d561af834045964365a2ae1c50075\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"411\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>这是自2020年3月（美联储在疫情期间实施干预措施的高峰）以来，5年期美债收益率出现的第二大月度降幅。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe059733e60730ad473fd43fcdd465b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"408\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>前不久，Wood在季度投资者研讨会上说：</p><blockquote><b>我们很高兴看到债券收益率开始下降。</b></blockquote><blockquote>如果去年利率上升对成长型股票造成不成比例伤害的逻辑逆转了，那么未来现金流的折现价值应该会上升。</blockquote><blockquote>就像在1980年代初期一样，股市需要注意到美联储说它正在发出结束加息进程的信号。</blockquote><p>Wood曾一再警告称，美联储突然加息可能引发一段时期的通缩，并表示，<b>到2023年年中，通胀率可能降至3%或更低。</b></p><blockquote>我认为美联储即将结束这一紧缩举措。</blockquote><p>1月纳斯达克综合指数为累计上涨10.7%，创2001年以来的最佳1月份表现，并刷新去年7月来最大月度涨幅。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180e00989326614d76f66b198186237a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Wood青睐的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>在1月表现抢眼，在去年创历史最差表现的特斯拉，在1月斩获44%的涨幅。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“木头姐”大回血：ARKK 1月暴涨27.8%，创历史最佳月度表现</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“木头姐”大回血：ARKK 1月暴涨27.8%，创历史最佳月度表现\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-02 07:50 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680964><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在连续两年下跌后，受益于科技股在1月的强劲反弹，ARKK在1月份大涨27.8%，创下有记录以来的最佳月度表现。木头姐在前不久提醒投资者，美股需要注意到美联储说它正在发出结束加息进程的信号。随着美国科技股在1月的强劲反弹，“木头姐”Cathie Wood掌管的旗舰基金也“大回血”，创下有史以来的最佳月度表现。根据道琼斯市场数据，Cathie Wood掌管的旗舰基金ARK Innovation ETF...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680964\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdcf7fb84fcd8462e772a725a35e3d36","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF","BK4544":"ARK ETF合集"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3680964","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2308726057","content_text":"在连续两年下跌后，受益于科技股在1月的强劲反弹，ARKK在1月份大涨27.8%，创下有记录以来的最佳月度表现。木头姐在前不久提醒投资者，美股需要注意到美联储说它正在发出结束加息进程的信号。随着美国科技股在1月的强劲反弹，“木头姐”Cathie Wood掌管的旗舰基金也“大回血”，创下有史以来的最佳月度表现。根据道琼斯市场数据，Cathie Wood掌管的旗舰基金ARK Innovation ETF（ARKK）在1月份累计上涨达27.8%，创下有记录以来的最佳月度表现。在2020年，美国科技股受益于新冠疫情带来的居家办公和学习浪潮，ARKK在当年飙涨了近150%。随着美联储从2021年开始考虑Taper，尤其是去年美联储开始激进加息以来，不断提高的利率令科技公司估值下降，科技股最先受到打击，ARKK的投资策略也遭到波及，ARKK在2021年和2022年分别下跌了21%和67%。今年以来，美债收益率开始回落，市场也普遍预期美联储将进一步放缓加息脚步，此外，投资者不相信美联储真的会落实维持利率在5%以上一段时间的计划，交易员们押注美联储将在年内开始降息。美债收益率在1月份大幅下行。2年期和5年期国债收益率分别下行22个基点和37个基点。10年期美债收益率也从去年10月4.2%的峰值回落至3.49%。这是自2020年3月（美联储在疫情期间实施干预措施的高峰）以来，5年期美债收益率出现的第二大月度降幅。前不久，Wood在季度投资者研讨会上说：我们很高兴看到债券收益率开始下降。如果去年利率上升对成长型股票造成不成比例伤害的逻辑逆转了，那么未来现金流的折现价值应该会上升。就像在1980年代初期一样，股市需要注意到美联储说它正在发出结束加息进程的信号。Wood曾一再警告称，美联储突然加息可能引发一段时期的通缩，并表示，到2023年年中，通胀率可能降至3%或更低。我认为美联储即将结束这一紧缩举措。1月纳斯达克综合指数为累计上涨10.7%，创2001年以来的最佳1月份表现，并刷新去年7月来最大月度涨幅。Wood青睐的特斯拉在1月表现抢眼，在去年创历史最差表现的特斯拉，在1月斩获44%的涨幅。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":768,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952565631,"gmtCreate":1674829243924,"gmtModify":1676538961150,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106048906582030","idStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[鬼脸]&nbsp;","listText":"[鬼脸]&nbsp;","text":"[鬼脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952565631","repostId":"1142142923","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":618,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952022680,"gmtCreate":1674274904741,"gmtModify":1676538935043,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4106048906582030","idStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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21:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"老虎点评：强美元之下，英镑、日元、欧元谁更“惨”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106991391","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"在这波美元强势的大背景下发达国家出了什么问题。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>今天主要讨论一个问题，在这波美元强势的大背景下发达国家出了什么问题。</p><p>美元指数DXY是一个落后的指数，这个指数从诞生开始，指数里面的成分和权重就没有变化过。指数后面最大的3个成分是欧元57.6%，日元13.6%和英镑11.9%，这3个货币占比82%。道琼斯指数30只股票，从诞生之初调整多次，目前30只股票和第一版的30只股票已经完全不一样，但即使这样现在看道琼斯指数的人也不多了。搞不懂为何美元指数DXY后面的机构ICE却懒得在指数上花资源，这个指数稍微做点推广，会有很多产品可以搞。</p><p>下面三个图，分别是美国对欧洲、对日本和对英国的贸易，时间从2000-2021年。蓝柱代表美国对那个地区的出口，橙柱代表美国从那个地区的进口，灰色线代表进口+出口，黄线代表美国对那个地区的贸易顺差逆差。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ed2b81c5bbccfc625b61d0bcacc5f8e\" tg-width=\"670\" tg-height=\"388\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710cbfe5a2fab6d731782f9d49a3eade\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1394dbc738b53750d23021cb48650477\" tg-width=\"673\" tg-height=\"391\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>中国海关的数据喜欢说“进口+出口”（上图灰线），美国特别是川普时期喜欢强调的数字是“顺差/逆差”（上图黄线），其实这两个数字都很重要。“进口+出口”衡量的是两个经济体之间的紧密程度，数字越大代表两个经济体绑定得越紧；“顺差/逆差”衡量的是某个经济体相对于另一个经济体的强弱地位。</p><p>过去20年，这三个国家/地区和美国的贸易的活跃程度，欧盟+100%，日本+0%，英国+50%。而美国相对于全世界的贸易活跃程度（下图）是增加了+130%。这就说明，<b>这3个国家/地区和美国的经济活跃程度，在过去20年全部在下降。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2db41ea65029f0cb030c2d2d26d36c\" tg-width=\"673\" tg-height=\"399\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>活跃程度下降得最大的是美日经贸，过去20年原地踏步；而美英的经贸关系中，进出口几乎平衡，也就是说英国在和美国贸易往来中，是赚不到美元的。这两个国家的货币，在强势美元的背景下会非常难受。日本因为长期和美国的交易中，处于顺差地位，所以日本央行的外汇储备远远高于英国，证明短期日元是有防御能力的关键是日本央行的态度。下图是日本央行和英国央行的外汇储备，日本的外储（红线）是英国（绿线）的9倍。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/064bc72f1ec140bd79721950255b256f\" tg-width=\"1599\" tg-height=\"813\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>英镑&lt;日元&lt;&lt;欧元。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>老虎点评：强美元之下，英镑、日元、欧元谁更“惨”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n老虎点评：强美元之下，英镑、日元、欧元谁更“惨”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-27 21:09</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>今天主要讨论一个问题，在这波美元强势的大背景下发达国家出了什么问题。</p><p>美元指数DXY是一个落后的指数，这个指数从诞生开始，指数里面的成分和权重就没有变化过。指数后面最大的3个成分是欧元57.6%，日元13.6%和英镑11.9%，这3个货币占比82%。道琼斯指数30只股票，从诞生之初调整多次，目前30只股票和第一版的30只股票已经完全不一样，但即使这样现在看道琼斯指数的人也不多了。搞不懂为何美元指数DXY后面的机构ICE却懒得在指数上花资源，这个指数稍微做点推广，会有很多产品可以搞。</p><p>下面三个图，分别是美国对欧洲、对日本和对英国的贸易，时间从2000-2021年。蓝柱代表美国对那个地区的出口，橙柱代表美国从那个地区的进口，灰色线代表进口+出口，黄线代表美国对那个地区的贸易顺差逆差。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ed2b81c5bbccfc625b61d0bcacc5f8e\" tg-width=\"670\" tg-height=\"388\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710cbfe5a2fab6d731782f9d49a3eade\" tg-width=\"674\" tg-height=\"395\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1394dbc738b53750d23021cb48650477\" tg-width=\"673\" tg-height=\"391\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>中国海关的数据喜欢说“进口+出口”（上图灰线），美国特别是川普时期喜欢强调的数字是“顺差/逆差”（上图黄线），其实这两个数字都很重要。“进口+出口”衡量的是两个经济体之间的紧密程度，数字越大代表两个经济体绑定得越紧；“顺差/逆差”衡量的是某个经济体相对于另一个经济体的强弱地位。</p><p>过去20年，这三个国家/地区和美国的贸易的活跃程度，欧盟+100%，日本+0%，英国+50%。而美国相对于全世界的贸易活跃程度（下图）是增加了+130%。这就说明，<b>这3个国家/地区和美国的经济活跃程度，在过去20年全部在下降。</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2db41ea65029f0cb030c2d2d26d36c\" tg-width=\"673\" tg-height=\"399\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>活跃程度下降得最大的是美日经贸，过去20年原地踏步；而美英的经贸关系中，进出口几乎平衡，也就是说英国在和美国贸易往来中，是赚不到美元的。这两个国家的货币，在强势美元的背景下会非常难受。日本因为长期和美国的交易中，处于顺差地位，所以日本央行的外汇储备远远高于英国，证明短期日元是有防御能力的关键是日本央行的态度。下图是日本央行和英国央行的外汇储备，日本的外储（红线）是英国（绿线）的9倍。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/064bc72f1ec140bd79721950255b256f\" tg-width=\"1599\" tg-height=\"813\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>英镑&lt;日元&lt;&lt;欧元。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e51dca4aea5a4f4975d48e2264c0446","relate_stocks":{"UUP":"美元ETF-PowerShares DB"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106991391","content_text":"今天主要讨论一个问题，在这波美元强势的大背景下发达国家出了什么问题。美元指数DXY是一个落后的指数，这个指数从诞生开始，指数里面的成分和权重就没有变化过。指数后面最大的3个成分是欧元57.6%，日元13.6%和英镑11.9%，这3个货币占比82%。道琼斯指数30只股票，从诞生之初调整多次，目前30只股票和第一版的30只股票已经完全不一样，但即使这样现在看道琼斯指数的人也不多了。搞不懂为何美元指数DXY后面的机构ICE却懒得在指数上花资源，这个指数稍微做点推广，会有很多产品可以搞。下面三个图，分别是美国对欧洲、对日本和对英国的贸易，时间从2000-2021年。蓝柱代表美国对那个地区的出口，橙柱代表美国从那个地区的进口，灰色线代表进口+出口，黄线代表美国对那个地区的贸易顺差逆差。中国海关的数据喜欢说“进口+出口”（上图灰线），美国特别是川普时期喜欢强调的数字是“顺差/逆差”（上图黄线），其实这两个数字都很重要。“进口+出口”衡量的是两个经济体之间的紧密程度，数字越大代表两个经济体绑定得越紧；“顺差/逆差”衡量的是某个经济体相对于另一个经济体的强弱地位。过去20年，这三个国家/地区和美国的贸易的活跃程度，欧盟+100%，日本+0%，英国+50%。而美国相对于全世界的贸易活跃程度（下图）是增加了+130%。这就说明，这3个国家/地区和美国的经济活跃程度，在过去20年全部在下降。活跃程度下降得最大的是美日经贸，过去20年原地踏步；而美英的经贸关系中，进出口几乎平衡，也就是说英国在和美国贸易往来中，是赚不到美元的。这两个国家的货币，在强势美元的背景下会非常难受。日本因为长期和美国的交易中，处于顺差地位，所以日本央行的外汇储备远远高于英国，证明短期日元是有防御能力的关键是日本央行的态度。下图是日本央行和英国央行的外汇储备，日本的外储（红线）是英国（绿线）的9倍。英镑<日元<<欧元。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":38,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952022680,"gmtCreate":1674274904741,"gmtModify":1676538935043,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106048906582030","authorIdStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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lor","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958722981","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":859,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9958559052,"gmtCreate":1673784927776,"gmtModify":1676538884982,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106048906582030","authorIdStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"neat","listText":"neat","text":"neat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9958559052","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951518094,"gmtCreate":1673516377018,"gmtModify":1676538849347,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106048906582030","authorIdStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"[得意]&nbsp;","text":"[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951518094","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9953095977,"gmtCreate":1673095762499,"gmtModify":1676538786158,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106048906582030","authorIdStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yeah","listText":"Yeah","text":"Yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9953095977","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":79,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9959925774,"gmtCreate":1672883048299,"gmtModify":1676538752927,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106048906582030","authorIdStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"[得意]&nbsp;","text":"[得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9959925774","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":72,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9950673624,"gmtCreate":1672757344469,"gmtModify":1676538731607,"author":{"id":"4106048906582030","authorId":"4106048906582030","name":"54oo_","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/487558a38e7b519d3eaf5dabf2b07629","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4106048906582030","authorIdStr":"4106048906582030"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"miew","listText":"miew","text":"miew","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9950673624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":23,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}