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2024-09-18
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Billionaire Hedge Fund Manager Says He Would Pull His Money from the Market If Harris Wins Election
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2024-09-17
The obvious bullish consensus
Rate Cuts: Entering a New Era of Explosive Stock Gains
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"I'd be very concerned if Harris is elected and pursues the tax plans and other economic plans that she articulated."</p><p>Paulson said during the interview that former President Trump and Harris' plans for the economy are very different, noting that Trump wants to extend the 2017 tax cuts implemented during his term in office while Harris wants to let them expire.</p><p>He also noted that Harris has proposed raising the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28% and wants to raise the capital gains rate from 20% to 28%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a723aa42a1f9edac3d9c30a6f56c2a60\" alt=\"Republican presidential nominee former President Trump arrives for a campaign event at the Central Wisconsin Airport on Sept. 7, 2024, in Mosinee, Wisconsin. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)\" title=\"Republican presidential nominee former President Trump arrives for a campaign event at the Central Wisconsin Airport on Sept. 7, 2024, in Mosinee, Wisconsin. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"523\"/><span>Republican presidential nominee former President Trump arrives for a campaign event at the Central Wisconsin Airport on Sept. 7, 2024, in Mosinee, Wisconsin. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)</span></p><p>The billionaire pointed to Harris' proposed 25% tax on unrealized gains for individuals making $100 million or more, and he predicted that, if implemented, it "would cause mass selling of almost everything – stocks, bonds, homes, art – I think it would result in a crash in the markets and an immediate, pretty quick recession."</p><p>Claman went on to note that some people who were concerned about the policies of previous presidents, namely Barack Obama, Trump and Joe Biden, pulled their money out of the markets when they were elected, and the move turned out to be a big mistake as the markets continued to perform well.</p><p>But Paulson has said that market timing and investor timing will really matter depending on who is president, and Claman asked him if he is ready to take that chance.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/218fff4868171aaa606369d587ac33b6\" alt=\"Democrat presidential nominee Vice President Harris speaks during a campaign event on Sept. 2, 2024, in Pittsburgh. (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)\" title=\"Democrat presidential nominee Vice President Harris speaks during a campaign event on Sept. 2, 2024, in Pittsburgh. (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"523\"/><span>Democrat presidential nominee Vice President Harris speaks during a campaign event on Sept. 2, 2024, in Pittsburgh. (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)</span></p><p>"It depends on the policy," Paulson said. "I think if Harris was elected, I would pull my money from the market. I'd go into cash, and I'd go into gold because I think the uncertainty regarding the plans they outlined would create a lot of uncertainty in the markets and likely lower markets."</p><p>When pressed by Claman, Paulson reiterated that he would sell the liquid equities that he owns if Harris wins the White House.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1602566126337","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Billionaire Hedge Fund Manager Says He Would Pull His Money from the Market If Harris Wins Election</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBillionaire Hedge Fund Manager Says He Would Pull His Money from the Market If Harris Wins Election\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-18 14:39 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/billionaire-hedge-fund-manager-says-he-would-pull-his-money-from-market-harris-wins-election><strong>Fox Business</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hedge fund billionaire and major Trump fundraiser John Paulson said Tuesday he will pull his money out of the market if Vice President Harris wins the presidential election this fall, saying the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/billionaire-hedge-fund-manager-says-he-would-pull-his-money-from-market-harris-wins-election\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/billionaire-hedge-fund-manager-says-he-would-pull-his-money-from-market-harris-wins-election","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191591104","content_text":"Hedge fund billionaire and major Trump fundraiser John Paulson said Tuesday he will pull his money out of the market if Vice President Harris wins the presidential election this fall, saying the Democrat nominee's economic policies would spook investors.The Paulson & Co. founder, known for his lucrative bet against the subprime mortgage in 2007, appeared on FOX Business' \"The Claman Countdown,\" where host Liz Claman asked him what he sees as the next big bet similar to that.Hedge fund manager John Paulson (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)\"Well, I would say it very much depends on who's in the White House and who controls Congress,\" Paulson replied. \"I'd be very concerned if Harris is elected and pursues the tax plans and other economic plans that she articulated.\"Paulson said during the interview that former President Trump and Harris' plans for the economy are very different, noting that Trump wants to extend the 2017 tax cuts implemented during his term in office while Harris wants to let them expire.He also noted that Harris has proposed raising the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28% and wants to raise the capital gains rate from 20% to 28%.Republican presidential nominee former President Trump arrives for a campaign event at the Central Wisconsin Airport on Sept. 7, 2024, in Mosinee, Wisconsin. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)The billionaire pointed to Harris' proposed 25% tax on unrealized gains for individuals making $100 million or more, and he predicted that, if implemented, it \"would cause mass selling of almost everything – stocks, bonds, homes, art – I think it would result in a crash in the markets and an immediate, pretty quick recession.\"Claman went on to note that some people who were concerned about the policies of previous presidents, namely Barack Obama, Trump and Joe Biden, pulled their money out of the markets when they were elected, and the move turned out to be a big mistake as the markets continued to perform well.But Paulson has said that market timing and investor timing will really matter depending on who is president, and Claman asked him if he is ready to take that chance.Democrat presidential nominee Vice President Harris speaks during a campaign event on Sept. 2, 2024, in Pittsburgh. (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)\"It depends on the policy,\" Paulson said. \"I think if Harris was elected, I would pull my money from the market. I'd go into cash, and I'd go into gold because I think the uncertainty regarding the plans they outlined would create a lot of uncertainty in the markets and likely lower markets.\"When pressed by Claman, Paulson reiterated that he would sell the liquid equities that he owns if Harris wins the White House.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350311077408768,"gmtCreate":1726553072633,"gmtModify":1726554786019,"author":{"id":"4160259331167822","authorId":"4160259331167822","name":"Option watch","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4160259331167822","idStr":"4160259331167822"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The obvious bullish consensus","listText":"The obvious bullish consensus","text":"The obvious bullish consensus","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/350311077408768","repostId":"2468684275","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2468684275","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1726539999,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2468684275?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-09-17 10:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rate Cuts: Entering a New Era of Explosive Stock Gains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2468684275","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"With rate cuts just days away, we think the Fed will soon help to spark a multi-year stock market rally that lasts into 2025 and 2026.","content":"<p><strong><em>Key Takeaways:</em></strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>We expect that the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle will reinvigorate our weakened economy – and consequently, kickstart a long-lasting rally in stocks.</p></li><li><p>Back in September 1998, the Federal Reserve began a proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. From that first cut into early 2000, the <strong>S&P 500</strong> rose about 30%, while the <strong>Nasdaq</strong> soared around 175%.</p></li><li><p>Likewise, back in August 2019, the Federal Reserve began another proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. From the first rate cut in late summer 2019 into early 2020, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose about 15%.</p></li><li><p>We think a similarly ‘good’ rate-cut cycle will start in just a few days.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4f4396dbdcb7d1a76abd163f607f6900\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"768\"></p><p>For months now, we’ve suspected that interest rate cuts would arrive by the end of summer. And with the central bank poised to cut just days from now – this coming Wednesday, Sept. 18 – it seems that forecast is proving correct.</p><p>But it’s not just rate cuts we’re anticipating here. We expect that the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle will reinvigorate our weakened economy – and consequently, kickstart a long-lasting rally in stocks.</p><p>Last week, we looked to historical precedent in support of this theory – the 1995 rate-cutting cycle.</p><p>That era is a close parallel to the economic backdrop that we have today. And when the Fed began cutting rates at that time, it helped to fuel a huge multi-year stock rally.</p><p>Today we’ll consider two other comparable cycles – and more evidence supporting our theory that <strong>stocks are about to go nuts.</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_486004762\">History Shows the Fed Will Open the Flood Gates</h2><p>Back in September 1998, the Federal Reserve began a proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. GDP was running around 5%. Jobless claims measured about 290,000. The U.S. was experiencing healthy economic growth and relatively low joblessness. </p><p>Today, we have a very similar setup. GDP is running at about 3%, and jobless claims are around 230,000. Indeed, as was the case in late summer 1998, we currently have good economic growth and relatively low joblessness.</p><p>Those rate cuts back in 1998 sparked a huge stock market rally. From the first cut in September 1998 into early 2000, the <strong>S&P 500</strong> rose about 30%, while the <strong>Nasdaq</strong> soared around 175%. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0c8207c5e5bde8a6aec75e8476e0dc11\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"580\"></p><p>1998’s ‘good’ rate-cut cycle helped spark a huge, multi-year stock market rally, especially in tech stocks. </p><p>But, of course, this wasn’t a one-off situation.</p><p>Back in August 2019, the Federal Reserve began another proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. GDP was running around 3.4%, while jobless claims measured about 215,000. Again, we had good economic growth and relatively low joblessness – as we do today.</p><p>And needless to say, those 2019 rate cuts sparked a huge stock market rally. From the first rate cut in late summer 2019 into early 2020, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose about 15%. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fdf66f416da1a22af451b4e52d52a204\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"577\"></p><p>We think that rally would’ve lasted for longer – and produced bigger gains – if it weren’t for the exogenous shock of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020. </p><p>Though, regardless, the point stands: 2019’s rate-cut cycle helped spark a big rally in stocks. </p>","source":"investorplace_stock_picks","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rate Cuts: Entering a New Era of Explosive Stock Gains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRate Cuts: Entering a New Era of Explosive Stock Gains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-17 10:26 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2024/09/rate-cuts-entering-a-new-era-of-explosive-stock-gains/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Key Takeaways:We expect that the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle will reinvigorate our weakened economy – and consequently, kickstart a long-lasting rally in stocks.Back in September 1998, the Federal ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2024/09/rate-cuts-entering-a-new-era-of-explosive-stock-gains/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2024/09/rate-cuts-entering-a-new-era-of-explosive-stock-gains/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2468684275","content_text":"Key Takeaways:We expect that the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle will reinvigorate our weakened economy – and consequently, kickstart a long-lasting rally in stocks.Back in September 1998, the Federal Reserve began a proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. From that first cut into early 2000, the S&P 500 rose about 30%, while the Nasdaq soared around 175%.Likewise, back in August 2019, the Federal Reserve began another proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. From the first rate cut in late summer 2019 into early 2020, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose about 15%.We think a similarly ‘good’ rate-cut cycle will start in just a few days.For months now, we’ve suspected that interest rate cuts would arrive by the end of summer. And with the central bank poised to cut just days from now – this coming Wednesday, Sept. 18 – it seems that forecast is proving correct.But it’s not just rate cuts we’re anticipating here. We expect that the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle will reinvigorate our weakened economy – and consequently, kickstart a long-lasting rally in stocks.Last week, we looked to historical precedent in support of this theory – the 1995 rate-cutting cycle.That era is a close parallel to the economic backdrop that we have today. And when the Fed began cutting rates at that time, it helped to fuel a huge multi-year stock rally.Today we’ll consider two other comparable cycles – and more evidence supporting our theory that stocks are about to go nuts.History Shows the Fed Will Open the Flood GatesBack in September 1998, the Federal Reserve began a proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. GDP was running around 5%. Jobless claims measured about 290,000. The U.S. was experiencing healthy economic growth and relatively low joblessness. Today, we have a very similar setup. GDP is running at about 3%, and jobless claims are around 230,000. Indeed, as was the case in late summer 1998, we currently have good economic growth and relatively low joblessness.Those rate cuts back in 1998 sparked a huge stock market rally. From the first cut in September 1998 into early 2000, the S&P 500 rose about 30%, while the Nasdaq soared around 175%. 1998’s ‘good’ rate-cut cycle helped spark a huge, multi-year stock market rally, especially in tech stocks. But, of course, this wasn’t a one-off situation.Back in August 2019, the Federal Reserve began another proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. GDP was running around 3.4%, while jobless claims measured about 215,000. Again, we had good economic growth and relatively low joblessness – as we do today.And needless to say, those 2019 rate cuts sparked a huge stock market rally. From the first rate cut in late summer 2019 into early 2020, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose about 15%. We think that rally would’ve lasted for longer – and produced bigger gains – if it weren’t for the exogenous shock of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020. Though, regardless, the point stands: 2019’s rate-cut cycle helped spark a big rally in stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":350311077408768,"gmtCreate":1726553072633,"gmtModify":1726554786019,"author":{"id":"4160259331167822","authorId":"4160259331167822","name":"Option watch","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4160259331167822","idStr":"4160259331167822"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The obvious bullish consensus","listText":"The obvious bullish consensus","text":"The obvious bullish consensus","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/350311077408768","repostId":"2468684275","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2468684275","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1726539999,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2468684275?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-09-17 10:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rate Cuts: Entering a New Era of Explosive Stock Gains","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2468684275","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"With rate cuts just days away, we think the Fed will soon help to spark a multi-year stock market rally that lasts into 2025 and 2026.","content":"<p><strong><em>Key Takeaways:</em></strong></p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>We expect that the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle will reinvigorate our weakened economy – and consequently, kickstart a long-lasting rally in stocks.</p></li><li><p>Back in September 1998, the Federal Reserve began a proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. From that first cut into early 2000, the <strong>S&P 500</strong> rose about 30%, while the <strong>Nasdaq</strong> soared around 175%.</p></li><li><p>Likewise, back in August 2019, the Federal Reserve began another proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. From the first rate cut in late summer 2019 into early 2020, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose about 15%.</p></li><li><p>We think a similarly ‘good’ rate-cut cycle will start in just a few days.</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4f4396dbdcb7d1a76abd163f607f6900\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"768\"></p><p>For months now, we’ve suspected that interest rate cuts would arrive by the end of summer. And with the central bank poised to cut just days from now – this coming Wednesday, Sept. 18 – it seems that forecast is proving correct.</p><p>But it’s not just rate cuts we’re anticipating here. We expect that the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle will reinvigorate our weakened economy – and consequently, kickstart a long-lasting rally in stocks.</p><p>Last week, we looked to historical precedent in support of this theory – the 1995 rate-cutting cycle.</p><p>That era is a close parallel to the economic backdrop that we have today. And when the Fed began cutting rates at that time, it helped to fuel a huge multi-year stock rally.</p><p>Today we’ll consider two other comparable cycles – and more evidence supporting our theory that <strong>stocks are about to go nuts.</strong></p><h2 id=\"id_486004762\">History Shows the Fed Will Open the Flood Gates</h2><p>Back in September 1998, the Federal Reserve began a proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. GDP was running around 5%. Jobless claims measured about 290,000. The U.S. was experiencing healthy economic growth and relatively low joblessness. </p><p>Today, we have a very similar setup. GDP is running at about 3%, and jobless claims are around 230,000. Indeed, as was the case in late summer 1998, we currently have good economic growth and relatively low joblessness.</p><p>Those rate cuts back in 1998 sparked a huge stock market rally. From the first cut in September 1998 into early 2000, the <strong>S&P 500</strong> rose about 30%, while the <strong>Nasdaq</strong> soared around 175%. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0c8207c5e5bde8a6aec75e8476e0dc11\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"580\"></p><p>1998’s ‘good’ rate-cut cycle helped spark a huge, multi-year stock market rally, especially in tech stocks. </p><p>But, of course, this wasn’t a one-off situation.</p><p>Back in August 2019, the Federal Reserve began another proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. GDP was running around 3.4%, while jobless claims measured about 215,000. Again, we had good economic growth and relatively low joblessness – as we do today.</p><p>And needless to say, those 2019 rate cuts sparked a huge stock market rally. From the first rate cut in late summer 2019 into early 2020, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose about 15%. </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/fdf66f416da1a22af451b4e52d52a204\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"577\"></p><p>We think that rally would’ve lasted for longer – and produced bigger gains – if it weren’t for the exogenous shock of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020. </p><p>Though, regardless, the point stands: 2019’s rate-cut cycle helped spark a big rally in stocks. </p>","source":"investorplace_stock_picks","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rate Cuts: Entering a New Era of Explosive Stock Gains</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRate Cuts: Entering a New Era of Explosive Stock Gains\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-17 10:26 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2024/09/rate-cuts-entering-a-new-era-of-explosive-stock-gains/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Key Takeaways:We expect that the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle will reinvigorate our weakened economy – and consequently, kickstart a long-lasting rally in stocks.Back in September 1998, the Federal ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2024/09/rate-cuts-entering-a-new-era-of-explosive-stock-gains/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/hypergrowthinvesting/2024/09/rate-cuts-entering-a-new-era-of-explosive-stock-gains/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2468684275","content_text":"Key Takeaways:We expect that the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle will reinvigorate our weakened economy – and consequently, kickstart a long-lasting rally in stocks.Back in September 1998, the Federal Reserve began a proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. From that first cut into early 2000, the S&P 500 rose about 30%, while the Nasdaq soared around 175%.Likewise, back in August 2019, the Federal Reserve began another proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. From the first rate cut in late summer 2019 into early 2020, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose about 15%.We think a similarly ‘good’ rate-cut cycle will start in just a few days.For months now, we’ve suspected that interest rate cuts would arrive by the end of summer. And with the central bank poised to cut just days from now – this coming Wednesday, Sept. 18 – it seems that forecast is proving correct.But it’s not just rate cuts we’re anticipating here. We expect that the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle will reinvigorate our weakened economy – and consequently, kickstart a long-lasting rally in stocks.Last week, we looked to historical precedent in support of this theory – the 1995 rate-cutting cycle.That era is a close parallel to the economic backdrop that we have today. And when the Fed began cutting rates at that time, it helped to fuel a huge multi-year stock rally.Today we’ll consider two other comparable cycles – and more evidence supporting our theory that stocks are about to go nuts.History Shows the Fed Will Open the Flood GatesBack in September 1998, the Federal Reserve began a proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. GDP was running around 5%. Jobless claims measured about 290,000. The U.S. was experiencing healthy economic growth and relatively low joblessness. Today, we have a very similar setup. GDP is running at about 3%, and jobless claims are around 230,000. Indeed, as was the case in late summer 1998, we currently have good economic growth and relatively low joblessness.Those rate cuts back in 1998 sparked a huge stock market rally. From the first cut in September 1998 into early 2000, the S&P 500 rose about 30%, while the Nasdaq soared around 175%. 1998’s ‘good’ rate-cut cycle helped spark a huge, multi-year stock market rally, especially in tech stocks. But, of course, this wasn’t a one-off situation.Back in August 2019, the Federal Reserve began another proactive rate-cutting cycle while the economy was still broadly healthy. GDP was running around 3.4%, while jobless claims measured about 215,000. Again, we had good economic growth and relatively low joblessness – as we do today.And needless to say, those 2019 rate cuts sparked a huge stock market rally. From the first rate cut in late summer 2019 into early 2020, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose about 15%. We think that rally would’ve lasted for longer – and produced bigger gains – if it weren’t for the exogenous shock of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020. Though, regardless, the point stands: 2019’s rate-cut cycle helped spark a big rally in stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350776164733080,"gmtCreate":1726643906206,"gmtModify":1726643945582,"author":{"id":"4160259331167822","authorId":"4160259331167822","name":"Option watch","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4160259331167822","idStr":"4160259331167822"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What do you think?","listText":"What do you think?","text":"What do you think?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/350776164733080","repostId":"1191591104","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191591104","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1726641553,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191591104?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-09-18 14:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Billionaire Hedge Fund Manager Says He Would Pull His Money from the Market If Harris Wins Election","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191591104","media":"Fox Business","summary":"Hedge fund billionaire and major Trump fundraiser John Paulson said Tuesday he will pull his money out of the market if Vice President Harris wins the presidential election this fall, saying the Democ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hedge fund billionaire and major Trump fundraiser John Paulson said Tuesday he will pull his money out of the market if Vice President Harris wins the presidential election this fall, saying the Democrat nominee's economic policies would spook investors.</p><p>The Paulson & Co. founder, known for his lucrative bet against the subprime mortgage in 2007, appeared on FOX Business' "The Claman Countdown," where host Liz Claman asked him what he sees as the next big bet similar to that.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/26217d693544662a8757fbe76f185dba\" alt=\"Hedge fund manager John Paulson (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)\" title=\"Hedge fund manager John Paulson (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"523\"/><span>Hedge fund manager John Paulson (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)</span></p><p>"Well, I would say it very much depends on who's in the White House and who controls Congress," Paulson replied. "I'd be very concerned if Harris is elected and pursues the tax plans and other economic plans that she articulated."</p><p>Paulson said during the interview that former President Trump and Harris' plans for the economy are very different, noting that Trump wants to extend the 2017 tax cuts implemented during his term in office while Harris wants to let them expire.</p><p>He also noted that Harris has proposed raising the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28% and wants to raise the capital gains rate from 20% to 28%.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a723aa42a1f9edac3d9c30a6f56c2a60\" alt=\"Republican presidential nominee former President Trump arrives for a campaign event at the Central Wisconsin Airport on Sept. 7, 2024, in Mosinee, Wisconsin. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)\" title=\"Republican presidential nominee former President Trump arrives for a campaign event at the Central Wisconsin Airport on Sept. 7, 2024, in Mosinee, Wisconsin. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"523\"/><span>Republican presidential nominee former President Trump arrives for a campaign event at the Central Wisconsin Airport on Sept. 7, 2024, in Mosinee, Wisconsin. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)</span></p><p>The billionaire pointed to Harris' proposed 25% tax on unrealized gains for individuals making $100 million or more, and he predicted that, if implemented, it "would cause mass selling of almost everything – stocks, bonds, homes, art – I think it would result in a crash in the markets and an immediate, pretty quick recession."</p><p>Claman went on to note that some people who were concerned about the policies of previous presidents, namely Barack Obama, Trump and Joe Biden, pulled their money out of the markets when they were elected, and the move turned out to be a big mistake as the markets continued to perform well.</p><p>But Paulson has said that market timing and investor timing will really matter depending on who is president, and Claman asked him if he is ready to take that chance.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/218fff4868171aaa606369d587ac33b6\" alt=\"Democrat presidential nominee Vice President Harris speaks during a campaign event on Sept. 2, 2024, in Pittsburgh. (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)\" title=\"Democrat presidential nominee Vice President Harris speaks during a campaign event on Sept. 2, 2024, in Pittsburgh. (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)\" tg-width=\"931\" tg-height=\"523\"/><span>Democrat presidential nominee Vice President Harris speaks during a campaign event on Sept. 2, 2024, in Pittsburgh. (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)</span></p><p>"It depends on the policy," Paulson said. "I think if Harris was elected, I would pull my money from the market. I'd go into cash, and I'd go into gold because I think the uncertainty regarding the plans they outlined would create a lot of uncertainty in the markets and likely lower markets."</p><p>When pressed by Claman, Paulson reiterated that he would sell the liquid equities that he owns if Harris wins the White House.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1602566126337","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Billionaire Hedge Fund Manager Says He Would Pull His Money from the Market If Harris Wins Election</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBillionaire Hedge Fund Manager Says He Would Pull His Money from the Market If Harris Wins Election\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-18 14:39 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/billionaire-hedge-fund-manager-says-he-would-pull-his-money-from-market-harris-wins-election><strong>Fox Business</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Hedge fund billionaire and major Trump fundraiser John Paulson said Tuesday he will pull his money out of the market if Vice President Harris wins the presidential election this fall, saying the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/billionaire-hedge-fund-manager-says-he-would-pull-his-money-from-market-harris-wins-election\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/billionaire-hedge-fund-manager-says-he-would-pull-his-money-from-market-harris-wins-election","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191591104","content_text":"Hedge fund billionaire and major Trump fundraiser John Paulson said Tuesday he will pull his money out of the market if Vice President Harris wins the presidential election this fall, saying the Democrat nominee's economic policies would spook investors.The Paulson & Co. founder, known for his lucrative bet against the subprime mortgage in 2007, appeared on FOX Business' \"The Claman Countdown,\" where host Liz Claman asked him what he sees as the next big bet similar to that.Hedge fund manager John Paulson (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)\"Well, I would say it very much depends on who's in the White House and who controls Congress,\" Paulson replied. \"I'd be very concerned if Harris is elected and pursues the tax plans and other economic plans that she articulated.\"Paulson said during the interview that former President Trump and Harris' plans for the economy are very different, noting that Trump wants to extend the 2017 tax cuts implemented during his term in office while Harris wants to let them expire.He also noted that Harris has proposed raising the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28% and wants to raise the capital gains rate from 20% to 28%.Republican presidential nominee former President Trump arrives for a campaign event at the Central Wisconsin Airport on Sept. 7, 2024, in Mosinee, Wisconsin. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)The billionaire pointed to Harris' proposed 25% tax on unrealized gains for individuals making $100 million or more, and he predicted that, if implemented, it \"would cause mass selling of almost everything – stocks, bonds, homes, art – I think it would result in a crash in the markets and an immediate, pretty quick recession.\"Claman went on to note that some people who were concerned about the policies of previous presidents, namely Barack Obama, Trump and Joe Biden, pulled their money out of the markets when they were elected, and the move turned out to be a big mistake as the markets continued to perform well.But Paulson has said that market timing and investor timing will really matter depending on who is president, and Claman asked him if he is ready to take that chance.Democrat presidential nominee Vice President Harris speaks during a campaign event on Sept. 2, 2024, in Pittsburgh. (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)\"It depends on the policy,\" Paulson said. \"I think if Harris was elected, I would pull my money from the market. I'd go into cash, and I'd go into gold because I think the uncertainty regarding the plans they outlined would create a lot of uncertainty in the markets and likely lower markets.\"When pressed by Claman, Paulson reiterated that he would sell the liquid equities that he owns if Harris wins the White House.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
