TigerObserver
TigerObserverTiger Staff
Tiger Certification: Tiger Community Official Account
5Follow
8901Followers
0Topic
0Badge

Weekly:U.S. market rally, all attention to Trump's inauguration

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - The Dow advanced 3.7%The stock market rally showed strong, broad-based gains, as a tame CPI inflation report sent Treasury yields tumbling. Strong earnings from major banks also boosted stocks last week.The three major averages posted their first weekly gain of the new year with the Dow and S&P 500 advancing 3.7% and 2.9%, respectively. Both indexes posted their biggest weekly advance since the week of the U.S. presidential election in November.Two key inflation reports showed that inflationary pressures softening somewhat. December CPI reading met the expectations, while the core inflation rose less than expected year on year. The PPI also had a smaller-than-anticipated increase for December.A new meme coin called “Official Trump” (TRUMP), announced on
Weekly:U.S. market rally, all attention to Trump's inauguration

Weekly: Inflation data and earnings await as rate fears rattle market

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - The Treasury yield surgedThe major indexes posted back-to-back weekly losses, with the S&P 500 off 1.94% and the Nasdaq down 2.34%. The 30-stock Dow slid nearly 1.86% on the week.U.S. payrolls grew by 256,000 jobs in December. Economists polled by Dow Jones expected an addition of 155,000 jobs. The unemployment rate, which was projected to remain at 4.2%, fell to 4.1% during the month.The yield on the 10-year Treasury note spiked to its highest level since late 2023. Growth stocks that could be hurt the most if a spike in rates causes investors to get more conservative led the session’s losses. Small-cap stocks also sensitive to borrowing rates, with the Russell 2000 index losing more than 3%.Stocks took another leg lower on Friday after the University
Weekly: Inflation data and earnings await as rate fears rattle market

Weekly: Jobs report and CES highlight the week after a shaky start

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - A shaky start to the new yearWhile the major averages continued to pull back on the first trading day of 2025. They lost three consecutive days at the end of 2024. The broad rally occurred on Friday, led by some of last year's winners. However, the rally was not enough to make the major averages winners over the holiday-shortened week. The S&P 500 finished the week down 0.48%.Investors shouldn’t worry about the S&P 500′s negative start to 2025, The first trading day has been a very poor guide to the rest of the year in recent times, so we shouldn’t extrapolate things too far, according to Deutsche Bank.The market cooled in the final weeks of 2024, but the averages are still not too far from record highs after a strong year for Wall Street. For Decem
Weekly: Jobs report and CES highlight the week after a shaky start
avatarTigerObserver
2024-12-30

Weekly: Some worries some worries that the market may be losing momentum

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - The major indexes rebounded for Christmas rallyThe major indexes slightly rebounded from the prior week's sell-off in the holiday-shortened week. A rise in Treasury yields may have pressured equities. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury rose to 4.627% after the rate hit its highest level since May in the previous session.The small-cap Russell 2000 lost more than 8% since December. The benchmark is now on track for its worst month since September 2022.Equities saw the biggest outflows the week of Dec.16-Dec. 20 with investors yanking more than $35 billion, the biggest exodus since December 2022, according to data from Bank of America.U.S. retail sales excluding auto rose 3.8% in Nov. 1-Dec. 24 vs. a year earlier, according to Mastercard SpendingPulse
Weekly: Some worries some worries that the market may be losing momentum
avatarTigerObserver
2024-12-23

Weekly: Could Santa Rally come after a turmoil week

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - A big Sell-off weekThe major indexes bounced on Friday to close out a tough week that saw a sell-off on Fed day with a hawkish outlook. The Fed’s indication of just two cuts next year, instead of the four it originally forecast, was the catalyst for the decline.The 30-stock Dow ended a 10-day losing streak, snapping its longest decline in 50 years. The S&P 500 fell almost 2% for the week, while the Nasdaq was off by about 1.8%. The S&P 500, Dow Jones and Russell 2000 fell through their 50-day lines and the Nasdaq fell below the 20-day line. Treasury yields hit five-month highs.November’s PCE — the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation metric — increased 2.4% year over year. That was a tad less than economists expected and helped defuse some of the b
Weekly: Could Santa Rally come after a turmoil week
avatarTigerObserver
2024-12-16

Weekly: Nasdaq logged a record high before the final Fed meeting of 2024

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - $.SPX(.SPX)$ and $Dow Chemical(DOW)$ declinedThe benchmark index slid 0.64% last week to end a three-week winning streak, while the Dow posted a 1.8% decline and fell for seven consecutive days. However, the tech-heavy $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ secured its fourth consecutive week of gains.Two big inflation reports sealed the deal for a Fed rate cut on December FOMC, even as some results pointed to a stronger growth backdrop. The headline CPI rose 2.7% yoy and core CPI rose 3.3% yoy, both met the expectations. The overall PPI rose 3% from the year prior, above what economists had projected. And the Core PPI was also upward revised.“Alternatin
Weekly: Nasdaq logged a record high before the final Fed meeting of 2024
avatarTigerObserver
2024-12-09

Weekly: SP500 & Nasdaq refreshed new record highs; The final CPI on focus

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq refreshed new highsThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq freshed their records on Friday after November jobs data came in slightly better than expected. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched third straight positive week, rising 0.96% and 3.34%, respectively. The Dow slipped 0.6% during the period.The November labor report, released Friday morning, revealed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 227,000 last month, above the Dow Jones estimate of 214,000 and marking a huge hike from October’s upwardly revised gain of 36,000. The unemployment rate nudged up to 4.2%, as expected.Following the not-too-hot, not-too-cold unemployment data, fed funds futures trading data reflected an 85% likelihood of another rate cut in two weeks, according to the CME Gr
Weekly: SP500 & Nasdaq refreshed new record highs; The final CPI on focus
avatarTigerObserver
2024-12-02

Weekly: Seasonally strong December may push the S&P 500 to enter the history book

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - The Dow and S&P 500 notched their best month of 2024The Dow and S&P 500 rose to new heights on Friday amid a shortened trading day that capped a strong month for the stock market.November trading largely centered on the post-election rally seen on the back of President-elect Donald Trump's victory. The Dow and S&P 500 notched their best month of 2024.The Dow added 7.5% in November while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each advanced more than 5% and 6%, respectively. The small cap-focused Russell 2000 surged 10.8% in November as investors saw the group benefiting from Trump’s potential tax cuts. The S&P 500 was up more than 26% in 2024, on track for its best year since 2021.The US Sectors & Stocks - TSLA was the top performerAll S&am
Weekly: Seasonally strong December may push the S&P 500 to enter the history book
avatarTigerObserver
2024-11-25

Weekly: The Dow closed at a record before the holiday-shortened week

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - The Dow closed at a recordThe Dow closed at a new record on Friday, capping off a winning week for stocks, while the S&P and Nasdaq each added about 1.7%. Small-cap stocks also showed strength last week, with the Russell 2000 climbing 4.5%.Investors shift exposure from tech to names in other cyclical sectors of consumer discretionary, industrials, and financials, as well as mid- and small-cap stocks.The dollar index hit a high of 108.071 on Friday, just slightly below the 108.44 level touched in November 2022.On Thursday, SEC Chair Gary Gensler announced he will be stepping down on Jan. 20, and bitcoin quickly rose to nearly $100,000 per coin for the first time ever.The US Sectors & Stocks - Citron Research shorted MSTRAll S&P 500 sectors closed
Weekly: The Dow closed at a record before the holiday-shortened week
avatarTigerObserver
2024-11-18

Weekly: Investors look for Nvidia to take the baton from election trades

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - The Trump trade fadedThe major averages touched fresh highs on Monday, but the upward momentum saw slowing. The S&P 500 posted a weekly loss of 2.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite slid about 3.2%, with the Trump trade fading.Fed Chairman Powell said on Thursday that the central bank wasn’t “in a hurry” to cut interest rates. He noted that the economy’s strong growth will permit policymakers to take their time as they decide the extent to which they reduce rates. Treasury yields rose solidly, to four-month highs, while USD index once reached 107 intraday.“While we think the macro backdrop still bodes well for risk assets, in the near term we should expect some micro volatility, particularly around potential policy shifts under a new administration,” said Kr
Weekly: Investors look for Nvidia to take the baton from election trades
avatarTigerObserver
2024-11-11

Weekly: Inflation data on focus after stock market’s historic post election rally

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - Three major indexes hit new highsThe stock market rally skyrocketed after Donald Trump won the presidential election, with all three major indexes finishing the week at record closing levels and many leading stocks across key sectors boasting double-digit gains.Donald Trump won a total of 312 votes in the election, compared with 226 for Harris. Republicans have control of the Senate and appear on the cusp of holding a narrow majority in the House.The Dow had its best post-election gain since 1896, hitting record highs along with the $.SPX(.SPX)$ and $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ . Small caps index-Russell 2000 $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ sky
Weekly: Inflation data on focus after stock market’s historic post election rally
avatarTigerObserver
2024-11-04

Weekly: Markets brace for presidential election, Fed meeting

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - Stocks rallied after a difficult OctoberStocks rallied Friday to kick off November as Amazon led big technology stocks into the green and traders ignored a disappointing jobs report.A strong start to November came after a difficult October for the market. The blue-chip Dow fell 1.3% in October. The benchmark index pulled back 1% over the month, while the Nasdaq dropped 0.5%. However, the major averages also all hit record highs at one point or another in October.The jobs report showed the U.S. economy added just 12,000 jobs in October, far below the Dow Jones estimate of 100,000. This marked the weakest level of jobs creation since December 2020. However, the unemployment rate held at 4.1%, in line with estimates. The dismal data was affected by hurricanes
Weekly: Markets brace for presidential election, Fed meeting
avatarTigerObserver
2024-10-28

Weekly: A big week ahead of the election, with megacap tech earnings

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - The S&P 500 ended a six-week winning streakThe S&P 500 and the Dow ended a six-week winning streak, as rising bond yields and resilient economic data contributed to sentiment's pause.Tesla's rally helped fuel a seventh week of gains and a fresh record high for the Nasdaq. Investors will focus on upcoming tech earnings, with AI monetization trends in the spotlight.A big surge in bond yields served as a big hurdle, as a similarly hot number would likely temper rate-cut expectations further as markets see less urgency from the Fed to prop up the economy. The 10-year US Treasury yield notably cooled off from its three-month highs after breaking above the 4.25% mark during Wednesday’s session.The US Sectors & Stocks - TSLA skyrocketed 22%Tesla (TSLA)
Weekly: A big week ahead of the election, with megacap tech earnings
avatarTigerObserver
2024-10-21

Tiger Weekly: Tesla Earnings Will be the Main Factor in the Week

Last Week's Recap1. The US Market - $.SPX(.SPX)$ and $.DJI(.DJI)$ refreshed new record highs.Both the $.SPX(.SPX)$ and the $.DJI(.DJI)$ surged to new record highs Friday, sealing six straight weeks of gains. This marked the longest string of weekly advances in 2024.This would be atypical for an election year, stocks will be strong into the election and then have some volatility fall on the election. Investors already pricing in a win from Republican nominee and former President Donald Trump, whose policies would be more business friendly in terms of taxes and regulations. according to Rob Williams, chief investment strat
Tiger Weekly: Tesla Earnings Will be the Main Factor in the Week
avatarTigerObserver
2024-10-14

Weekly: The SPX hit new high, Earnings ramp up with NFLX, banks

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - The S&P 500 and Dow hit new highsThe major averages registered a fifth straight week of gains. The S&P 500 and Dow powered to new highs on Friday and capped off a winning week as banking behemoths ushered in a promising start to the third-quarter earnings season.Stocks also benefited from data that alleviated fears that inflation was not cooling off quickly enough. Wall Street isn't worried that disinflation has run its course.The CPI rose 0.2% on the month and 2.4% from a year ago, both above forecasts. The core CPI rose 0.3% from August, while the 12-month increase unexpectedly edged up to 3.3%. Friday's PPI data showed an in-line 0.2% gain in core wholesale prices, but upward revisions to prior months' data meant the 12-month core PPI inflation r
Weekly: The SPX hit new high, Earnings ramp up with NFLX, banks
avatarTigerObserver
2024-10-07

Weekly: Chinese stocks on a tear, CPI and banks earnings in the week ahead

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - Stocks rallied as an expectation-defying jobs reportStocks rallied on Friday after an expectation-defying jobs report gave investors confidence around the health of the economy, erasing losses seen in recent days. Mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East gave way to a shaky start in October for stocks.Friday's Data showed nonfarm payrolls grew by 254,000 jobs in September, far outpacing the forecasted gain of 150,000 from economists polled by Dow Jones. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. The news for the equity market as it increases the potential for a soft landing.China’s stimulus sent the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index soaring 12.5% in the last four days, and it skyrocketed nearly 40% for September. Goldman’s specialist Scott Rubner thinks the long
Weekly: Chinese stocks on a tear, CPI and banks earnings in the week ahead
avatarTigerObserver
2024-09-30

Weekly: Chinese stocks surged; A turbulent October on deck?

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - The Dow set a record highThe blue-chip Dow climbed to a fresh record on Friday as a subdued inflation report stoked hopes for more Federal Reserve rate cuts, which also boosted the major averages to post weekly gains.The broad index is tracking to add more than 1% in September. That would mark its eighth positive month of 2024, with all besides April bringing gains.The Fed's favored inflation gauge showed core inflation ticking up to 2.7% from 2.6%, but the six-month annualized rate eased to 2.4% from 2.6%. The 3-month rate is just 2.1%. After the inflation data, odds of a 50-basis-point rate cut on Nov. 7 edged above 50%.Further, new weekly claims for jobless benefits fell to 218,000, the lowest since May, indicating a strong labor market, while the final
Weekly: Chinese stocks surged; A turbulent October on deck?
avatarTigerObserver
2024-09-23

Weekly: S&P 500 closed above 5,700. The big post-Fed rally could get tested this week

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - S&P 500 closed above 5,700Major averages registered weekly gains with the Dow closed at a record on Friday. While the S&P 500 rose 1.36% for the week, capping a big rally that came after the first major easing of interest rate policy by the Federal Reserve in four years.On Wednesday afternoon, the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates by a supersized half point, its first cut since 2020. In a delayed reaction, the market climbed higher Thursday with the benchmark climbing to a record high.Fed Chairman Jerome Powell called the big opening move "a sign of our commitment not to get behind" the curve. Fed projections signaled a likelihood of another quarter-point cut at each of the year's final two meetings, bringing the Fed's benchmark overnight bank
Weekly: S&P 500 closed above 5,700. The big post-Fed rally could get tested this week
avatarTigerObserver
2024-09-16

Weekly: S&P 500 recorded the strongest week, FOMC highlight the week ahead

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - S&P 500 recorded the strongest week of 2024The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq posted their strongest week of 2024 ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.The benchmark gained 4% for the week as a moderation in inflation supported the case for a rate cut with rate-sensitive small cap stocks outperforming.The consumer price index in August came in at 2.5% on an annualized basis, the lowest level since February 2021. Producer price index (PPI) presented a more benign picture, lowering the 12-month wholesale inflation rate to 1.7%.Bets on the size of the Fed's cut have been volatile and were roughly even by late Friday. Expectations for a 50 basis point cut jumped to 49% from 28% on Thursday, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, which showed a 51% probabilit
Weekly: S&P 500 recorded the strongest week, FOMC highlight the week ahead
avatarTigerObserver
2024-09-15

Tech Stocks Poised for a Surge Amid Interest Rate Cuts: How to invest?

Tech stocks have a strong track record of outperforming during periods of “non-recessionary rate cuts.” Historically, the tech-focused ETF XLK has gained over 25% one year after each of the last six rate-cut cycles—except during the 2001 internet bubble and the 2008 subprime crisis.Source: RefinitivAt the 2024 Communication and Technology Conference, Goldman Sachs Managing Director Kash Rangan highlighted three key factors currently driving big tech stocks:1. Interest Rates2. The Upcoming U.S. Presidential Election3. Generative AILow Interest Rates Fuel AI Advancement in Tech CompaniesBig tech firms are heavily investing in artificial intelligence, requiring substantial capital expenditures. Unlike smaller growth companies, these giants have ample cash reserves to fund projects without rel
Tech Stocks Poised for a Surge Amid Interest Rate Cuts: How to invest?

Go to Tiger App to see more news