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01-24 18:16

Weekly | Busy Next Week Before Holiday!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market experienced a steady rise. The $HSI(HSI)$ climbed 2.5%, reclaiming the 20,000-point mark and closing at 20,066.19.Key Data and Market PerformanceOn Monday, Trump took the oath of office as the 47th President of the United States. Right from the start, he avoided tough rhetoric on China, expressing his willingness to visit China within his first 100 days in office and stating he would prefer not to impose more tariffs. This gives hope for improved China-US relations.On Thursday, six Chinese government departments jointly released a plan to encourage long-term capital inflows into the stock market. The policy targets large state-owned insurance companies, aiming for them to invest 30% of their new premiums in A-s
Weekly | Busy Next Week Before Holiday!

Weekly | Is the HK Market Set for Stability?

This week, Hong Kong stocks saw a strong rebound, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 2.73% over the week.Key Data and Market Reactions On Friday, the U.S. Labor Department reported that 256,000 jobs were added in December, far exceeding the market's expectation of 165,000. The unemployment rate dropped from 4.2% in November to 4.1%. This led to speculation that the Fed may delay interest rate cuts, which caused a drop in U.S. stocks and negatively impacted the Hong Kong market.On Wednesday, the U.S. December CPI showed a 2.9% year-on-year increase, matching expectations. Core CPI, which had been rising for months, showed signs of slowing down. The market now anticipates the Fed might cut rates by July, earlier than the previous forecast of September.Positi
Weekly | Is the HK Market Set for Stability?

Weekly | Tencent in Trouble, Huge Capital Inflows, Big Events Ahead!

This week, Hong Kong stocks took a hit, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling 3.52%, reaching its lowest point since September 25 last year.Sector Performance and Upcoming Big EventsOn Tuesday, the U.S. Department of Defense added $TENCENT(00700)$ to its list of Chinese military companies (1260H list). Despite Tencent’s statement saying it’s not a military firm and will resolve the misunderstanding, its stock kept dropping, dragging down the entire Hong Kong market.On Thursday, China’s National Bureau of Statistics released December CPI and PPI data. CPI rose 0.1%, the lowest growth in 9 months. PPI fell 2.3%, marking its 27th consecutive month of contraction, though the decline was the smallest in four months.This
Weekly | Tencent in Trouble, Huge Capital Inflows, Big Events Ahead!

Weekly | A Rough Start to 2025 for HSI!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market wrapped up 2024 with a strong finish. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose over 17% for the year, breaking a four-year streak of losses. However, 2025 kicked off on a sour note. On the first trading day, the HSI plummeted by 2.18%, marking the worst start in five years.Economic News: Manufacturing PMI Slips Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics revealed that the manufacturing PMI for December stood at 50.1%, down 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. While still indicating expansion, it fell short of expectations. Additionally, the Caixin PMI for December, released on Thursday, came in at 50.5, dropping 1.0 percentage point from November and significantly below analysts' forecasts of 51.7.With China’s annual
Weekly | A Rough Start to 2025 for HSI!
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2024-12-27

Weekly | High Dividends Boost HSI Above 20,000 Points!

This week, despite a shortened trading week due to the Christmas holidays, Hong Kong stocks saw solid gains. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose by 1.87%, reclaiming the 20,000-point mark, driven largely by strong performance in high-dividend stocks.Market OverviewThe global market was relatively quiet this week, with many overseas markets also closed for Christmas. However, the release of China’s industrial profit data for January-November 2024 showed a 4.7% year-on-year decline, with November's drop at 7.3%. Bloomberg's economic forecast was a 6% decline, so the figures came in worse than expected.In the face of weaker macroeconomic conditions, high-dividend stocks continued to attract investor interest. Agricultural Bank of China, for example, surged 5.5%, hitt
Weekly | High Dividends Boost HSI Above 20,000 Points!
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2024-12-20

Weekly | HSI Slumped As Multiple Headwinds Hit!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market faced a tough time, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dropping 1.25%.Economic Data Misses ExpectationsThe latest economic data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed weaker-than-expected results. In November, retail sales of consumer goods totaled RMB 43,763 billion, growing by 3.0%, well below the 5% expected and down from the 4.8% growth in October. On the other hand, industrial production rose 5.4%, in line with forecasts.U.S. Fed’s Rate Cut Overseas, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points as expected. However, their updated forecast suggests only two rate cuts next year, far fewer than the market had anticipated. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the central bank is nearing the end of
Weekly | HSI Slumped As Multiple Headwinds Hit!
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2024-12-13

Weekly | Volatile HK Stocks and Next Week's Events in Focus!

This week, Hong Kong stocks saw huge swings. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose 0.53% for the week, dipping below the 20,000-point mark.On Monday, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to discuss China's 2025 economic plans. The key takeaways were clear: stabilize the housing and stock markets, manage risks in key sectors, and guard against external shocks. The meeting also called for more aggressive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary measures to boost consumption and investment. There was a push to expand domestic demand.Some of the comments surprised the market, like the unprecedented mention of "strengthening extraordinary counter-cyclical adjustments" and the first shift in monetary policy since 2011, aiming for "moderately l
Weekly | Volatile HK Stocks and Next Week's Events in Focus!
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2024-12-06

Weekly | Major Meeting Looms, HK Stocks at a Turning Point!

This week, Hong Kong stocks made a steady rebound. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose 2.28%, closing near the 20,000-point mark.Positive Economic Data Drives Market Optimism On Monday, Caixin released China’s November manufacturing PMI, which came in at 51.5, the highest in seven months and far exceeding analysts' expectations. This indicates that the manufacturing sector is continuing to expand, driven by economic stimulus policies.With improving economic data, China plans to hold its annual closed-door Central Economic Work Conference next Wednesday to set economic targets and stimulus plans for 2025. The news sparked market speculation around more policy support, pushing stocks higher.Additionally, many major Wall Street firms expect China’s central bank to ma
Weekly | Major Meeting Looms, HK Stocks at a Turning Point!
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2024-11-29

Weekly | Rumors Abound as Major Conference Approaches!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market showed signs of stabilizing and rebounding, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 1% over the week.Market Buzz and RumorsWith the Central Economic Work Conference set for mid-December, rumors have been flying. On Wednesday, a rumor suggested that the meeting would be moved up and that the fiscal deficit target for next year would be increased, which sparked a rally in both Hong Kong and A-shares. However, soon after, international investment banks weighed in, predicting that the economic policies discussed at the December meeting would likely not exceed expectations. By Thursday, both Hong Kong and A-shares saw a noticeable drop.Friday’s trading was even more dramatic. After a sluggish start, major indices shot up in the
Weekly | Rumors Abound as Major Conference Approaches!
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2024-11-22

Weekly | Is the HK Stock Market Bull Run Over?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market continued to slide, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dropping 1%, hitting its lowest level since September 26th.Weak Earnings A number of internet companies released their third-quarter results this week, and the market reaction was far from positive. Stocks of $XPENG-W(09868)$ fell 3%, $KUAISHOU-W(01024)$ dropped 11.7%, $BIDU-SW(09888)$ slid 8.6%, and $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ lost 10.6%.These internet giants are a key weight in the Hang Seng Index, making up over 30% of its total market cap. Their poor performance has significantly dampened market senti
Weekly | Is the HK Stock Market Bull Run Over?
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2024-11-15

Weekly | Is the Bull Market Over?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market had a rough time, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling for the fourth consecutive day, down by 6.28%. The index has broken out of its sideways range since October.Domestic News Last Friday after the market closed, China announced a fiscal stimulus plan, with 6 trillion yuan in new funds for debt reduction. However, there was no mention of any policy support for the real estate or consumption sectors.On Wednesday, the Ministry of Finance rolled out a "big gift" with tax cuts, including reduced deed tax, land value-added tax, and VAT. For example, the deed tax for the purchase of a family's first or second home (under 140 square meters) has been cut to 1%, down from 1-1.5% for regular homes and 3% for non-standard homes.O
Weekly | Is the Bull Market Over?
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2024-11-08

Weekly | Heavyweight Meeting Over, Where Will HSI Go?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market saw sharp swings, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 1.08% by the end of the week, following a series of significant events.Positive Economic Data from ChinaDomestically, there was some good news. On Tuesday, Caixin’s PMI for October came in at 52, the highest in three months, well above analysts’ expectations of 50.5. On Thursday, China’s customs data showed a 12.7% year-on-year increase in exports in October, far outpacing the expected 5% growth.Overseas Events and Market ReactionsOverseas, the US election result added to market volatility. Trump’s victory raised concerns about escalating trade tensions, causing a sharp drop in both Hong Kong and mainland stocks. However, the market rebounded on Thursday as expectati
Weekly | Heavyweight Meeting Over, Where Will HSI Go?
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2024-11-01

Weekly | HSI Volatility and Major Events Could Shape Future Trends!

This week, the Hong Kong market saw some fluctuations, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dipping slightly by 0.41%. CRIC announced that the sales of China's top 100 real estate companies reached 435.49 billion yuan in October. That’s a 7.1% year-on-year increase and a 73% jump from the previous month—marking the second-highest monthly sales this year. It’s also the first time this year that we’ve seen positive year-on-year growth in a single month!In addition, the National Bureau of Statistics released the manufacturing PMI for October, which came in at 50.1, surpassing analysts’ expectations of 49.9. This figure crosses the crucial line into expansion territory, signaling that the manufacturing sector is on the rebound. It’s the first economic data released sin
Weekly | HSI Volatility and Major Events Could Shape Future Trends!
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2024-10-25

Weekly | Is the Second Bull Market on the Horizon?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market remained stable, with the $HSI(HSI)$ declining by 1.03%.Key Economic DevelopmentsOn Monday, the PBOC authorized the National Interbank Funding Center to announce the latest Loan Prime Rates (LPR). The one-year LPR decreased to 3.10% from last month’s 3.35%, while the five-year LPR fell to 3.60% from 3.85%, marking a 25 basis point drop for both.In the same vein, the PBOC executed its first swap operations for securities, funds, and insurance companies, with an operation amounting to 50 billion yuan. This drew participation from 20 institutions, with CICC winning the bid.Additionally, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences released a macro-financial analysis report for the third quarter, suggesti
Weekly | Is the Second Bull Market on the Horizon?
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2024-10-18

Weekly | HSI Surges, Bull Market Returning?

This week, after a strong rally, Hong Kong stocks saw a pullback, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling 2.11% over the week.Recently, multiple ministries, including the Ministry of Finance and Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, held press conferences to introduce growth-stabilizing policies. However, market expectations were not fully met, leading to consecutive declines in Hong Kong stocks.On Friday, the Governor of the People's Bank of China announced at the 2024 Financial Street Forum that, depending on market liquidity, there could be an additional 0.25-0.5 percentage point cut in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) before year-end. It’s also anticipated that the Loan Prime Rate (LPR), to be announced on the 21st, will decrease by 0.2-0.25
Weekly | HSI Surges, Bull Market Returning?
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2024-10-11

Weekly | HSI Plunged: Is Bull Market Over?

This week, Hong Kong stocks experienced a significant downturn, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dropping by 6.53%, which has certainly dampened the spirits of restless investors.Hong Kong, A-shares DeclineOn the first day after the National Day holiday, the State Council Information Office held a press conference to discuss how to "systematically implement a package of incremental policies to solidly promote an upward economic structure and ensure continuous positive development." There was a lot of anticipation surrounding this meeting, as many hoped to hear detailed stimulus plans. However, it turned out to be merely an informational session, with no new policies announced. As a result, both Hong Kong and A-shares plummeted, marking the end of the recent bul
Weekly | HSI Plunged: Is Bull Market Over?
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2024-09-27

Weekly | Mega Rally Propels HSI Past the 20,000 Barrier!

This week, a barrage of monumental boosts shook up the Hong Kong stock market, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rocketing 13% and soaring past the 20,000-point milestone!On the news front, Tuesday witnessed a press conference hosted by the State Council Information Office, where Governor of the People's Bank of China unveiled three game-changing policies: 1.Cuts in both the required reserve ratio and policy interest rates, driving down market benchmark rates. 2.Reductions in existing mortgage rates and lowering the minimum down payment for second homes. 3.Establishment of a ¥500 billion swap facility for securities, funds, and insurance companies, alongside a ¥300 billion special re-lending program for share repurchases and increased holdings.Thursday then brou
Weekly | Mega Rally Propels HSI Past the 20,000 Barrier!
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2024-09-20

Weekly | HSI Past 18,000 Mark on Major Boost!

This week, Hong Kong stocks surged, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 5.12%, reclaiming the crucial 18,000-point mark!The biggest boost came from the Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, slightly exceeding market expectations, which triggered a rally across global markets.Domestically, the People's Bank of China did not follow suit with a rate cut, keeping the September LPR for both the 1-year and 5-year rates unchanged. While hopes for a domestic rate cut were dashed, bank stocks benefitted.Every sector saw positive returns this week, with consumer and real estate leading the charge:According to Bloomberg, to stimulate a recovery in the real estate market, policymakers are considering further relaxing purchase restrictions in first-ti
Weekly | HSI Past 18,000 Mark on Major Boost!
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2024-09-13

Weekly | Major Events Ahead, HK Stocks Might Face a Turning Point!

This week, Hong Kong stocks saw a dip followed by a rebound, with the $HSI(HSI)$ ending the week down 0.43%.Nvidia led the rallyThe rebound wasn’t easy. On Monday, the Statistics Bureau released August CPI and PPI data. CPI rose 0.6% year-on-year, missing the expected 0.7%, while PPI fell 1.8%, worse than the forecasted 1.5%.Following the data release, A-shares fell continuously, with the Shanghai Composite Index nearing 2700 points!Fortunately, on Wednesday, the US August CPI came in at a 2.5% year-on-year increase, falling for the fifth consecutive month. Markets now expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points at next week’s meeting.Meanwhile, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ CEO Jensen Huang revealed huge demand
Weekly | Major Events Ahead, HK Stocks Might Face a Turning Point!
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2024-09-06

Weekly | Bearish Tsunami Hits: HSI Slumps Sharply!

This week, Hong Kong stocks ended a four-week rebound streak, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dropping 3%!Key Drivers of the Slump- Over the weekend, the National Bureau of Statistics reported that the official manufacturing PMI for August fell to 49.1 from 49.4 in July, a larger drop than expected.- On Wednesday, Caixin released the August Caixin China Services PMI, which decreased from 52.1 in July to 51.6, showing a slower expansion rate.- Internationally, U.S. economic data came in weaker than expected. The ISM Manufacturing PMI for August was 47.2, below the forecast of 47.5 and the previous 46.8. This marks the fifth consecutive month of decline, reaching its lowest level since November last year.As a result, concerns about a U.S. economic downturn inten
Weekly | Bearish Tsunami Hits: HSI Slumps Sharply!

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