P&L (15 July 2026) The brutal sell-off in the Chips and Storage sector is showing no mercy, making my internship project a nice, albeit busy, distraction from staring at a bleeding screen. Heavy hitters like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ are continuing to feel the squeeze, while $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ hasn't escaped the pain either, dragging down the rest of the semi-portfolio. Even outside of pure silicon plays, speculative tech holdings like $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ and $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ are catching some of the risk-o
Just one month ago, $SpaceX(SPCX)$ looked unstoppable. Today, the stock has fallen below its IPO price for the first time. The decline isn't just about weaker momentum. It's about something much bigger: The market is beginning to reprice the story. From Euphoria to Price Discovery SpaceX entered the public market with enormous expectations. Investors weren't simply buying a launch company. They were buying a portfolio of future businesses: • AI infrastructure • Starlink • Autonomous systems • The space economy That combination pushed the stock sharply higher after its debut. But eventually every newly listed company reaches the same point: The narrative gives way to valuation. The Next Test Isn't Earnings—It's Supply The next few months could be m
$NVDA Rally Stretches to Extremes, Pullback Risk Rises
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ⚡ Key Takeaway NVDA jumped sharply today, extending a Buy and Hold position that's now five days into a strong run higher. The zone level has rocketed to a rare extreme, the kind of reading that often precedes a breather rather than more of the same. Even so, a slide into the Bearish zone remains effectively off the table. The next buying opportunity isn't expected until next week, reflecting a shift toward a more neutral near-term stance. This is strength worth respecting, not chasing blindly. 1️⃣ What Is Happening Right Now 📌 Jul 14, 2026 Market Snapshot Parameter Value Close $211.8 (+4.06%) Trend Zone 🟩 Bullish Trend Sub-Regime Uptrend (Correction Signal Emerging) Zone Level Bullish 84% Bearish Zone Entry Risk ⚠️ 0% within 10 day
The Earnings Trap Every Options Trader Should Know
Every new options trader loses money the exact same way on earnings. You call the direction right. The stock moves your way. You open the app and you're down 40%. Here's IV crush explained: Before earnings, uncertainty peaks. Market makers jack up option prices to match. The second the numbers hit, that uncertainty is gone. Implied volatility collapses 30-60% overnight. Beat, miss, doesn't matter. The crush happens every single time. The math that wrecks you: Option P&L = direction + volatility + time decay. Say your call has 0.30 vega and IV drops 15 points post-earnings. That's -$4.50 from the crush. Your correct directional call made you +$3.00. -1.5 total Right on the stock. Still lost money. How hard the crush hits, by sector: - Biotech: 40-70% (binary FDA outcomes) - High-beta te
$AEHR Earnings Signal the Next Phase of the AI Infrastructure Boom
One company you need to pay attention to is $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ Calls will open up 500% from $5 to $25 this morning. Here's why: $AEHR doesn't make AI chips. They make the machines that test AI chips before they leave the factory. Think of them as the final quality check. If a chip is defective, they find it before it ends up inside a billion-dollar AI data center. That might not sound exciting, but as AI chips become more expensive and powerful, testing every single one becomes incredibly important. What really caught my attention wasn't just their earnings. They reported record orders, a massive backlog of future business, a huge increase in cash, and guided for revenue to potentially nearly triple next year. To me, that's a strong signal that AI
$Blackstone Group LP(BX)$ $Blackstone Inc.(BX) Rallies +2.06%: Momentum Builds as It Approaches $130 Pivot 🚀 Latest Close Data 📊 BX closed at $124.56 on July 15, up +2.06%. The stock remains ~34% below its 52-week high of $190.09. Core Market Drivers 💡 Positive sentiment is fueled by BX's active deal pipeline, including a landmark $35B private credit transaction with Apollo set for secondary trading. Recent news of BX leading a consortium to acquire a 49% stake in Williams' power generation assets highlights its continued expansion in energy infrastructure. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume of 3.93M shares shows moderate participation (Volume Ratio: 1.14). The MACD (0.40, 0.90, 1.01) shows a strong bullish crossover and accelerating moment
$Jumia Technologies AG(JMIA)$ $Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA) Edged +2.09%: African E-Commerce Giant Finds Support, Eyes $7 Breakout 🛒 📈 Latest Close Data Closed at $6.85 (+2.09%) on 2026-07-15, trading in a tight $6.72-$6.89 range. The stock remains ~53% below its 52-week high of $14.72. 💡 Core Market Drivers The stock is stabilizing after recent sell-offs, with limited company-specific news. Broader market sentiment and emerging market e-commerce growth prospects are key drivers. A recent capital flow analysis shows mixed daily activity with net inflows in some sessions. 📊 Technical Analysis Volume was subdued at 764.5K (Volume Ratio: 0.68), indicating a lack of strong conviction. The MACD shows a slight bullish momentum with the l
$Interactive Brokers(IBKR)$ $Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Soared +2.19%: Broader Market Rally and Strong Fundamentals Fuel Breakout Towards All-Time High 📈 Latest Close Data As of July 15, 2026, IBKR closed at $95.61, up +2.19% (+$2.05). The stock is now just $2.23 (-2.3%) away from its 52-week high of $97.84. 🚀 Core Market Drivers IBKR is riding a wave of positive market sentiment, supported by recent news of its inclusion in the S&P 500 index, which is driving passive fund inflows. The company's strategic expansion into the European retail market with commission-free ETF investing (minimum €10) is broadening its client base and growth prospects. 📊 Technical Analysis Today's advance came on moderate volume (3.09M shares, Volume
$TXN Rebounds Ahead of Q2 Earnings, Bulls Target $320
$Texas Instruments(TXN)$ $Texas Instruments (TXN) Surges +2.34%: Tech Giant Bounces from Support, $310 Pivot in Focus 🚀 Latest Close Data Closed at $305.55 on July 15, up +2.34% (+$6.98). The stock is now ~8.5% below its 52-week high of $334.03. Core Market Drivers The stock rebounded from a recent dip, supported by sector rotation into mature tech hardware plays amid AI infrastructure expansion. Recent analyst upgrades, including TD Cowen raising its target to $360, provide a bullish backdrop ahead of the July 22 earnings report. Technical Analysis Volume of 5.84M shares was below the recent average (Volume Ratio: 0.89), suggesting cautious accumulation. The MACD histogram improved to -0.18 (from -0.58), hinting at bearish momentum
$JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ $JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Rallies +2.50%: Banking Behemoth Taps 52-Week High, Eyes $348 Target 🚀 Latest Close Data JPM closed at $342.89 (+2.50%) on 2026-07-15, just shy of its 52-week high of $344.73.Core Market Drivers Strong pre-market and after-hours activity suggests sustained institutional interest. 🏛️ Robust capital flow data from recent sessions indicates significant buying pressure, overshadowing minor outflows.Technical Analysis Volume: Traded 14.54M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.33), indicating above-average participation and confirming bullish conviction. MACD: The latest DIF (6.30) is rising towards the DEA (6.45), with the MACD histogram narrowing to -0.29, signaling weakening bearish momentum and
Earnings Season Playbook|TSM Earnings: How to Position for 3 Scenarios
The highlight of earnings season is here: TSMC reports on Thursday (July 16). This post takes you from fundamentals, volatility calculations, and large order signals all the way to strategy positioning for three scenarios — a complete guide on how to trade earnings without stepping on landmines. Part 1: Fundamentals — What Is the Market Watching? TSMC is a company that reports monthly results, so revenue and profit are public information that has largely been priced into the stock price well in advance. Market expectations for this report are very high: full-year revenue guidance is expected to be raised to 40%, gross margin above 67%, 2026 capex raised to $56 billion, with total capex over 2026–2028 expected to reach $206 billion. The two most closely watched metrics are gross margin and
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Surged +2.57%: AI Chip Giant Breaks Resistance, $550 Target Activated Latest Close Data 🔥 AMD closed at $548.13 on July 15, 2026, a gain of +2.57% (+$13.74). The stock is now just 6.3% below its 52-week high of $584.73. Core Market Drivers 📰 Regulatory Tailwind: The U.S. government has reportedly allowed exports of AMD's AI chips to certain Chinese companies, potentially opening a significant market. Sector Momentum: The "old guard" tech giants, including chipmakers, are seeing a resurgence as AI infrastructure expands beyond just GPUs to full-system solutions. Institutional Activity: While some funds like ARK Invest have been selling, major institutions like BlackRock and
$Hyatt(H)$ $Hyatt Hotels Corp. (H) Rallies +2.70%: Bouncing from Support, Eyeing $190 Pivot 🏨📈 Latest Close Data: Hyatt Hotels (H) closed at $189.70 on July 15, 2026, up +2.70% (+$4.98). The stock is trading $17.16 below its 52-week high of $206.86. Core Market Drivers: The stock is likely buoyed by recent positive institutional sentiment, including an upgrade from HSBC earlier this month with a $212 price target. 📊 This reflects confidence in the hotel group's resilience and growth strategy amid a stable travel demand environment. Technical Analysis: The rally is supported by a strong surge in volume to 593.8K shares. The RSI(6) at 46.45 has moved up sharply from oversold levels below 30, indicating recovering momentum. However, the
Elliott Wave View: Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Short Term Bullish Sequence Targets $68200
The short‑term Elliott Wave outlook for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) indicates that the cryptocurrency has established a constructive bullish sequence from the June 25, 2026 low. From that level, the rally unfolded in the form of a zigzag structure. Within this advance, wave (i) terminated at $60,930, followed by a corrective pullback in wave (ii) that ended at $57,600. Momentum then carried the market higher, with wave (iii) reaching $64,017 before a modest retracement in wave (iv) concluded at $61,047.53. The final leg, wave (v), extended to $64,735, thereby completing wave ((a)) of a higher degree. Subsequently, the market entered a corrective phase in wave ((b)), which unfolded as an expanded flat. This correction ended at $61,286.25. Importantly, price action has broken above the termination poin
$Snowflake(SNOW)$ $Snowflake(SNOW) Rallies +2.71%: AI Data Cloud Nears $280, Poised for Breakout 🚀 Latest Close Data 📊 Closed at $275.94 (+2.71%) on 2026-07-15, now just ~$9 below its 52-week high of $284.99. Core Market Drivers ⚙️ The stock rebounded strongly from a pre-market dip, driven by a broad sector recovery in internet infrastructure. Key catalysts include multiple analyst upgrades (UBS to $370, Deutsche Bank to $300) and the deepening partnership with Anthropic to advance enterprise AI commercialization. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume was robust at 5.39M shares (volume ratio: 1.21), confirming the bullish move. The MACD (14.40, 14.14, 0.52) has turned positive again, signaling renewed upward momentum. The 6-day RSI at 78.02