To The Moon

Last Week's Recap Market Digest: S&P 500 & NASDAQ Hit Records, Yields Ease, Earnings Elevated, Oil Steadies (Week Ended October 9, 2026) Record highs — S&P 500 and NASDAQ climbed to record highs Tuesday; neither pushed higher as the week progressed, but both finished around 1% higher, as did the Dow. Yields slip — 10-year Treasury at 5.24%, 30-year at 5.60% (slightly lower but near 20-year highs). The 2-year fell to 4.79% (from 4.84%). Elevated earnings — FactSet forecasts Q3 S&P 500 earnings growth of 29.6%, which would mark the third consecutive quarter of 25%+ growth as major banks kick off season. Oil stabilizes — Crude traded in a narrow range for a second week, around $91.50 Friday, up fractionally from a week earlier but well below the $105+ mid-September and $115 ea

As the midterm elections approach, there has been a steady flow of signs of easing tensions in Trump’s foreign policy. First came renewed talks with Iran over the strait: although they have produced no result, the situation has not deteriorated further. Then came a Russia–Ukraine “energy ceasefire” over the weekend. Taken together, these developments suggest that Trump does not want any major upheaval before the midterms and is aiming to keep things as stable as possible. The latest U.S. CPI data will be released this week. As long as the reading does not exceed market expectations, the probability of a Fed rate hike at its October meeting is unlikely to rise much. We therefore expect markets to be broadly range-bound this week. Gold Is Back Near 4,100: Another Chance to Buy the Dip? As lo

Last Thursday looked ugly for semiconductors. AMD fell 3.9% to $620.68. Nvidia lost 2.94%, Broadcom dropped 4.35%, while Intel fell 5.34%. AMD then weakened again on Friday, closing around $608. Normally, when stocks fall this hard, I ask whether the fundamental story changed. This time, Lisa Su gave us an unusually useful answer. AMD is planning a substantial increase in supply, yet management still sees demand exceeding what the industry can currently produce. Advanced wafers, HBM, packaging and other parts of the AI supply chain remain constrained. That creates a fascinating divergence: The stocks are pricing fear while the supply chain is still pricing scarcity. For me, that is not automatically a sell signal. It is a signal to become much more selective. Why Did Chips Sell Off Then? T

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ is scheduled to release its Q3 2026 financial results on October 13, 2026, before the market opens. In this article, we seek to provide an in-depth evaluation of key performance indicators for JPM, systemic implications for Money Center banks, and broader equity market portfolio reallocations. 1. Macroeconomic Context & Strategic Overview As JPMorgan Chase enters its Q3 2026 earnings print, the U.S. banking industry operates within an evolving monetary environment. Following the Federal Reserve's monetary policy adjustments throughout mid-2026, banks are navigating shifting yield curves, normalizing credit cycles, and re-emerging corporate deal activity. JPM’s diversified fortress balan

My Investing Muse — Week of October 12, 2026 Three weeks before the midterms, markets have a lot to digest. This week, I’m focusing on what the key numbers mean—and what I plan to do about them. I. Economic and Earnings Calendar Monday is Columbus Day. The bond market is closed, but the stock market is open. Big banks start reporting Tuesday, including JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo and Citigroup. UnitedHealth also reports. Wednesday is the key day. September inflation data arrives at 8:30 a.m., alongside results from ASML, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and BlackRock. Economists expect headline inflation of 3.6–3.7% and core inflation of 2.4%. The Fed still expects another rate increase this year, but markets see only a small chance of one on October 28. If core inflation runs hott

Macroeconomic shifts, elevated geopolitical friction, and sticky inflation continue to induce severe cross-asset volatility, challenging traditional 60/40 multi-asset portfolios. In this article, we would like to discuss how we can be navigating macroeconomic shifts, geopolitical risk, and infrastructure demands through nuclear and gas Generation. We will discuss two stocks in particular, $Constellation Energy Corp(CEG)$ and $Vistra Energy Corp.(VST)$. 1. Introduction & Macroeconomic Backdrop The structural investment landscape has underwent a regime shift. Persistent inflation, sticky commodity prices, and heightened geopolitical fragmentation have eroded the historical negative correlation between equ

🌟🌟🌟Navigating the markets right now feels like playing chess on a trampoline.  Between the ongoing Iran war disrupting global oil supply lines, a nerve wrecking Federal Reserve policy path and the looming US mid term elections on November 3rd, Wall Street is caught in a massive psychological tug of war. The Iran war has completely rewritten the macro playbook, throwing Brent Crude past USD 120 a barrel earlier this year, squeezing consumer margins and sending the 10 year Treasury yield screaming to a 24 year high. The US Mid term elections are injecting maximum anxiety into the tech sector, with voters hyper focused on inflation.  Politicians on both sides are campaigning to regulate energy hungry AI data center buildouts. Historically, markets get incredibly choppy right before

​As the haze returns to cloud the region, a familiar script is playing out across local headlines, sparking sharp public debates about accountability, compensation, and crisis management. ​The Million-Dollar Statement ​Minister for Sustainability and the Environment Grace Fu stepped up to address the situation, stating that she has been in touch with Indonesian counterparts to offer support, assuring the public that Singaporeans "stand ready to assist". However, critics online are questioning what a multi-million-dollar annual ministerial salary actually buys when action is limited to diplomatic touchpoints, monitoring, and lip service. For many everyday citizens waking up to declining air quality, "standing ready" feels a lot like sitting helpless.   ​The Indonesian Response: "W

Chip stocks sell off but AMD says demand still outstrips supply but does that apply to all the big chip makers? or only certain genre of chip makers are seeing demand outstripping supply? In this article, we would like to discuss a comprehensive institutional analysis of sector divergence, sub-genre supply dynamics, and investment strategies for $NVIDIA(NVDA)$, $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$, $Broadcom(AVGO)$, and $Micron Technology(MU)$. 1. The Semiconductor Sell-Off vs. Fundamental Reality The global semiconductor sector has recently experienced sharp equity pullbacks driven by macroeconomic tightening, rising geopolitical

Samsung just delivered the kind of number that should have sent memory stocks flying. Q3 operating profit reached approximately 107.4 trillion won, up almost ninefold from a year earlier and another quarterly record. Instead, memory stocks sold off. Micron fell about 4.8% to $1,035.84. SanDisk dropped about 4.9% to $1,609.46. SK Hynix also fell sharply. That looks contradictory. It is not. The market has moved beyond asking whether the memory boom is real. The new question is: Are we looking at peak earnings, or simply peak acceleration? Those are very different things. Samsung Record Profit Is Not Bearish The headline number is extraordinary, but the details matter more. Samsung revenue increased sharply, operating profit reached a new record, and memory remains the major engine behind th

$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$   Circle closed Thursday around $84.5, up roughly 4.5%, after spending much of the past two weeks trapped in the low-to-mid $80s. That rebound matters. But I do not think CRCL has broken out yet. For next week, I see $88 as the first gate, $90-$92 as the real confirmation zone, and $100 as the level that could pull momentum traders back in quickly. My base case is that CRCL tests higher next week, but I expect volatility because the macro backdrop is fighting the company-specific story. The micro story is improving. The macro story is not nearly as friendly. That tension is exactly what makes next week interesting. First, What Changed in the Chart? CRCL traded as low as $78.88 on Wednesday, then rallied to an int