Nebius: Valuation Cut, 2030 Estimates Unchanged — Still Long on Off-the-Charts Neocloud Demand
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ price has changed recently but my 2030 estimates remain exactly the same. We've had nothing but positive neocloud commentary: Jensen: "If you look at the fundamentals, the demand for neoclouds is off the charts." $70-90B in ARR in FY30 -> 40% EBITDA margins ($32B in EBITDA) -> 13x multiple -> $416B valuation (just on the core business side). I could write a bearish take on $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ here now the valuation is cut and get easy impressions...but I hate people that are doing that. $SpaceX(SPCX)$ wouldn't be investing billio
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ gapping higher after earnings today and its lifting up the semiconductor and AI stocks after hours so far... Mid term elections are TONIGHT. The 12 month performance of the stock market AFTER mid terms has been positive the past 19 elections. That DOESN'T mean go all in on Wednesday. It means find the best companies in each sector and start buying over the next 2-3 weeks and hold for at least 6-9 months. The market has been more sensitive to positive news the past few days. It's looking for a reason to pop higher. Let's see if QQQ close can close above 700 and $SPX above 7620 by Friday. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ to 170 in play,
AppLovin Fundamental Analysis: The $760 Case for a Discounted Growth Machine
I don’t take trades based on fundamentals. I trade price, structure, and where smart money is likely positioning. That said, strong fundamentals do matter, because they give institutions more justification to buy the dip and keep supporting a trend. In this breakdown, we’re going to look at APP and do a quick, simple fundamental walkthrough: what the company actually does, how it makes money, what the financials look like right now, and the key risks. None of this determines whether I take a trade or not, but a lot of you have asked how I look at fundamentals, so this is how I think through a name like $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ 1. What the Business Actually Is AppLovin is an ad‑tech platform that matches advertisers with digital ad space, mostly
CoreWeave: A $190 Smart Money Setup or a Debt Trap?
I don’t take trades based on fundamentals alone. I trade price, structure, and where smart money is likely positioning. That said, fundamentals still matter. A strong business gives institutions a reason to buy weakness and continue supporting a stock. Strong fundamentals give big money more of a reason to buy at Smart Money Pricing $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ is one of the most interesting AI infrastructure companies in the market right now. The growth is real. The demand is real. The backlog is massive. But this is not a simple high-margin software company. CoreWeave is building a capital-intensive infrastructure business while relying heavily on debt to fund that expansion. That creates a very wide range of possible outcomes. In this breakdown, I
3 best Daily Charts - Smart Money Zone & Silver Bullet Setups
Tracking three setups across different stages of development this week. $BAC is testing a key weekly demand zone, $MDB is consolidating after a clean bounce from its Smart Money Zone, and $EOSE is approaching a potential recovery point. Here’s what I’m watching, including targets and invalidation levels. 🟣 $Bank of America(BAC)$ – Weekly Smart Money Zone Price is sitting in a key demand zone. If the setup plays out, a move back to the prior swing high could take 6–12 months. Target: $66 Invalidation: $44 🎯 $MongoDB Inc.(MDB)$ – Silver Bullet Setup $MDB bounced cleanly from the Smart Money Zone and is now forming a compressed wedge. My short-term target is $390, although I expect the consolidation to continu
$COIN Could Rally to $220 in 90 Days and $444 by 2028
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ long term buy zone is still in effect. $480 target by November 2028 🎯 The weekly bullish structure is still intact, and the upside is significant if support continues to hold. Price has not swept the key support level, and a potential inverse head and shoulders is forming with the right shoulder currently developing. My short-term target is $220 over the next 60 to 90 days, which would be approximately 41% upside from current levels. My longer-term target is $444, the prior swing high, over the next 18 to 24 months. That represents roughly 200% upside. Invalidation: A weekly close below $120, or approximately 20% downside. That gives roughly 2:1 risk-to-reward to the short-term target and 10:1 to the longer-term targe
$Broadcom (AVGO) Rebounds +3.07% to $332.13: AI Demand Drives Recovery, $377 Resistance in Focus
📊 Market Recap As of November 4, 2026 (ET), 'AVGO' closed at $332.13, up +3.07% (+$9.90), with intraday high of $335.74 and low of $326.60. The stock remains about 32.9% below its 52-week high of $495.00, but has rebounded approximately 14.5% above its 52-week low of $289.96, showing improving short-term momentum. 🚀 Key Drivers AI Semiconductor Demand: Broadcom remains a core beneficiary of hyperscaler custom AI accelerator spending, reinforcing long-term revenue visibility despite sector volatility. Institutional Positioning: Top holders including BlackRock (8.34%) and Vanguard (7.05%) maintained stable positions, signaling continued confidence in the company's AI and software franchise. Analyst Re-rating Cycle: Recent target adjustments, including BNP Paribas reducing its target from $71
📊 Market Recap As of November 4, 2026 (ET), 'VRT' closed at $235.97, gaining +5.23% with an intraday range of $228.00 - $239.71. The stock is recovering from post-earnings volatility and now sits approximately 37.9% below its 52-week high of $379.94, while holding firmly above the $208 support zone. 🚀 Key Drivers Explosive Q3 Earnings: Revenue reached $4.313 billion, up 61% YoY, with adjusted EPS of $2.21 versus the $1.83 consensus. Organic orders grew over 100%. Raised Full-Year Guidance: Management lifted net sales guidance to ~$14.65 billion and adjusted cash EPS to $7.10 - $7.20, easing execution and market-share concerns. AI Data Center Demand: Vertiv continues to benefit from surging power and cooling infrastructure demand tied to AI compute buildouts. 🎯 Price Outlook Short-Term Upsi
$Amazon (AMZN) Rebounds +2.06%: Cloud and AI Momentum Push Price Back Above $250, Eyes on $263 Re...
📊 Market Recap As of the close on November 4 (ET), 'AMZN' finished at $250.69, up 2.06% or $5.06, with an intraday range of $245.88 to $252.45. The stock has rebounded strongly from recent weakness, though it remains roughly 12.7% below its 52-week high of $287.20 and about 4.7% below the near-term resistance level of $263.06. 🚀 Key Drivers Holiday Retail Catalyst: Amazon's launch of a $25 Thanksgiving meal deal is strengthening the consumer engagement narrative ahead of the peak shopping season, supporting a rebound after last week's declines. AI and Cloud Sentiment: Broad recovery in AI-linked mega-cap names is helping offset concerns from the recent Nasdaq sell-off triggered by Intel's weak guidance. Regulatory Noise Absorbed: Reports that Amazon and Apple face sanction procedures from
$Coinbase (COIN) Rebounds +5.53% Off 52-Week Low as Oversold RSI Sparks Short Covering, $150 Brea...
📊 Market Recap As of November 4, 2026 (ET), 'COIN' closed at $145.45, surging +5.53% with a daily range of $137.89 to $150.51. The stock rebounded sharply from its 52-week low of $135.46, now trading roughly 55% below its 52-week high of $325.45. Volume reached 10.52 million shares with a volume ratio of 1.02, signaling active participation as bargain hunters stepped in near the critical $140 support zone. 🚀 Key Drivers Oversold Technical Rebound: 6-day RSI collapsed to 15.15 before recovering to 32.18, triggering aggressive short covering and dip buying after extreme oversold conditions. Earnings-Linked Volatility: Q3 results showed revenue miss and halved trading volume, but Bitcoin unrealized gains turned the quarter profitable. Post-earnings selloff created a value entry for crypto-sen
$IREN Ltd (IREN) Surges +11.08%: AI Data Center Play Rebounds Off 52-Week Low, $28.7 Resistance i...
📊 Market Recap As of the November 4, 2026 U.S. session, 'IREN' closed at $24.46, up +11.08% from the prior close of $22.02. The stock traded in a wide range between $22.22 and $24.67, with turnover reaching 13.07%. The sharp rebound came after the price briefly tested its 52-week low of $21.86, leaving the stock still about 68% below its 52-week high of $76.87. 🚀 Key Drivers Oversold Rebound: After an extended slide toward the $21.86 low, 'IREN' attracted aggressive dip buying, with total inflow of $454 million versus outflow of $447 million and large-order buying of $75.36 million. Neocloud Sentiment Stabilization: Pressure from the late-October commentary by Tesla and SpaceX founder Elon Musk, who warned that more than 200 neocloud companies were "doomed to failure," has begun to fade, a
📊 Market Recap As of November 4, 2026 (US Eastern Time), 'AXTI' closed at $51.33, up +6.49% with an intraday swing of 13.22%. The stock traded in a wide range of $47.76 to $54.13, reflecting intense post-earnings volatility. The closing price remains 64.2% below its 52-week high of $143.16, though it is notably higher than its 52-week low of $7.80. Turnover reached 16.89%, indicating extremely active trading, while capital flow showed total inflows of $191 million against outflows of $196 million, pointing to continued short-term divergence. 🚀 Key Drivers Earnings Beat: Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.41 beat the consensus estimate of $0.31, while revenue of $73.41 million surged year-over-year from $28 million and topped expectations of $66 million. Profit-Taking Volatility: Following the strong re
📊 Market Recap As of November 4, 2026, 'SOFI' closed at $16.77, up +1.02% on the day. The stock remains in a strong post-earnings uptrend, consolidating above the $16.50 support zone after the late-October breakout. It now stands roughly 49% below its 52-week high of $32.73, while trading well above the 52-week low of $13.86, with the recent rally powered by better-than-expected Q3 results and raised full-year guidance. 🚀 Key Drivers Earnings Beat & Guidance Raise: Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.18 beat the $0.17 consensus, and revenue of approximately $1.37 billion topped the $1.256 billion estimate. Management raised full-year adjusted net revenue guidance to $5.04 billion and adjusted EPS to $0.61, with 2027 EPS projected around $0.90. Institutional Endorsement: Monness Crespi & Hardt in
📊 Market Recap As of November 4, 2026, 'DRAM' closed at $47.64, rising +2.85% from the previous close of $46.32. The ETF remains 41.4% below its 52-week high of $81.34 but has recovered sharply from its 52-week low of $26.14. Intraday range was $47.18 to $48.37, with after-hours trading at $47.70, suggesting persistent buying interest near the close. 🚀 Key Drivers Semiconductor Sentiment Shift: Renewed concerns over AI investment have pressured semiconductor stocks broadly, but memory-focused names like 'DRAM' are attracting value buyers on oversold signals. Capital Flow Reversal: Latest single-day flow shows total inflow of $399M versus outflow of $397M, with large-order net selling offset by strong small-order accumulation in the $47-$48 range. Technical Rebound Setup: The ETF has reboun
$Coherent (COHR) Jumps +3.77% to $207.49: Optical Giant Reclaims Pivot, $275 Resistance in Focus
📊 Market Recap As of November 4, 2026, 'COHR' closed at $207.49, up +3.77% with an intraday range of $201.25 to $213.99. The stock is rebounding from oversold levels but remains 52.8% below its 52-week high of $440.00, indicating a deep-value recovery phase is underway. 🚀 Key Drivers Technical Rebound: RSI(6) recovered from 25.38 to 33.82, signaling an early exit from oversold territory and attracting dip buyers. Institutional Backing: BlackRock holds 8.43% and Vanguard holds 7.04%, providing a stable long-term ownership base despite recent volatility. Valuation Reset: Forward P/E of 21.25 sits well below its historical average of 33.29, suggesting the market has priced in significant pessimism. 🎯 Price Outlook Short-Term Probability Direction Probability Price Range Change Upside 58% 212
$Bloom Energy(BE) Surged +9.05% to $214.01: Barclays Upgrade and California Low-Carbon Deal Ignit...
📊 Market Recap As of November 4, 2026, 'Bloom Energy Corp' (BE) closed at $214.01, surging +9.05% with an intraday range of $208.03 to $220.50. The stock is now approximately 39.1% below its 52-week high of $351.28 but has staged a powerful rebound from its 52-week low of $75.70. The breakout was driven by a strategic low-carbon partnership in California and a notable analyst upgrade, shifting momentum firmly into bullish territory. Short-term price action suggests a test of the $220-$251 resistance zone, with medium-term targets potentially extending toward the $280-$300 area if volume confirmation continues. 🚀 Key Drivers California Low-Carbon Partnership: Bloom Energy and California Resources announced a collaboration to advance low-carbon power projects in California, significantly boo
$Rocket Lab (RKLB) Jumps +4.53% to $54.43: Space Stock Reclaims Momentum, $70 Resistance In Sight
📊 Market Recap As of the latest close on November 4, 'RKLB' finished at $54.43, up +4.53% with an intraday range of $52.90–$54.94 on volume of 12.43 million shares. The stock is holding well above its 52-week low of $37.57 but remains roughly 64% below its 52-week high of $151.00, reflecting a recovery phase still working through a steep prior drawdown. 🚀 Key Drivers Earnings Catalyst: Investors are positioning ahead of Rocket Lab's third-quarter earnings report, with after-hours trading recently showing renewed buying interest. Institutional Support: ARK Investment Management added RKLB shares after the company announced a delay in the inaugural Neutron rocket launch to 2027, signaling long-term conviction despite near-term launch slippage. Launch Contract Momentum: A multi-year agreement
$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL) +4.36% Rebound Off Support: Stablecoin Giant Eyes $86 Resistance Bre...
📊 Market Recap As of November 4, 2026 (Eastern Time), 'CRCL' closed at $75.22, up +4.36% with an intraday range of $72.70 - $76.62. The stock rebounded sharply from near-term support and now trades roughly 46% below its 52-week high of $140.00, while holding well above the 52-week low of $49.90. 🚀 Key Drivers Stablecoin Regulatory Tailwind: 'CRCL' continues to benefit from improving U.S. stablecoin legislation momentum, positioning USDC as a core institutional settlement layer. Oversold Technical Rebound: After RSI dipped into deeply oversold territory near 23, bargain hunting and short covering fueled a sharp +4.36% recovery rally. Institutional Accumulation: Capital flow data shows a rare one-day net inflow of $2.84 million, with large-order buying outpacing selling during the session. 🎯
Palantir (PLTR) Drops -1.65% Below $176: Oversold Signals Flash as Analysts Hold $213 Target
📊 Market Recap As of the close on November 4, 2026, 'PLTR' settled at $175.40, down -1.65% from the previous session. The stock printed an intraday high of $176.54 and a low of $165.25, with amplitude reaching 6.33%. Notably, the closing price sits roughly 17.6% below its 52-week high of $212.94, while volume expanded to 51.455 million shares, well above its average turnover rate. 🚀 Key Drivers Profit-taking pressure: Five-day capital flow data shows a cumulative net outflow, with a single-day sell-off of approximately $93.94 million on November 2, indicating sustained institutional distribution near short-term highs. Elevated valuation sensitivity: With a trailing P/E near 150 and a P/S ratio above 68, 'PLTR' remains highly sensitive to any shift in AI-software growth sentiment, amplifyin