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48 minutes ago
[Wednesday This or That] Gold or Bitcoin — Which One Are You Betting On?
Gold and Bitcoin have both been on a strong run lately. Gold has pushed back toward recent highs, while Bitcoin has also climbed sharply, with both assets attracting more attention from investors. And interestingly, some of the reasons behind the rallies are similar. Markets are pricing in lower interest rates, a weaker U.S. dollar and sticky inflation. At the same time, concerns around U.S. debt, currency debasement and global uncertainty are pushing more investors to look for assets outside the dollar. But Gold and Bitcoin offer two very different trades. 🥇 Gold: The traditional safe haven-It has a long track record, tends to be less volatile, and is widely held by central banks and institutions. When uncertainty rises, gold often benefits. ₿ Bitcoin: The higher-risk “digital gold”-It is
TOPECLC: Pick A. Gold is traditional safe haven and less volatile. Enjoy the shine and touch of physical gold.
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11:17
SMCI - time to Strike or time to Wait ?
Internal Case Closed. $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ is moving past a major governance overhang after completing an independent investigation into an alleged $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ chip diversion scheme. On Thu, 20 Aug 2026, SMCI announced that the probe, led by independent directors Scott Angel & Tally Liu and conducted with Munger, Tolles & Olson and forensic consultant AlixPartners, found no evidence that current senior management knew about the alleged diversion scheme or any actual diversion of restricted products. (see below) The company also said it found no evidence that SMCI directly sold export-controlled products to known restricted parties or that its previously issued financial stateme
TOPOn Tuesday when US market attempted a recovery of sort, the surprise is actually on SMCI. It has risen by +9.35%, buoyant still by its quarterly earnings potential, heading into Q3 2026. (see attached) Are you tempted by the gains ?
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10:10
Macro Strategy Weekly: Treasury Buybacks, Jackson Hole, and the Key Trend Every Trader Must Watch
This Week’s Highlights 1. The U.S. Treasury will at least double the size of its liquidity-support buybacks for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap per operation from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. This measure may help stabilize the long-term bond market temporarily and suggests that the Treasury may be seeking to keep long-term yields near 5%. However, Treasury buybacks are not equivalent to the Federal Reserve purchasing bonds with newly created money through quantitative easing. They more closely resemble replacing long-term debt with short-term debt, and therefore cannot fundamentally eliminate the pressure from high deficits, elevated interest costs, and excessive long-term bond supply. If the market instead questions the government’s ability to
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09:26
U.S. Markets Navigate Late-August Lull: Wall Street Pauses as Investors Brace for Crucial Nvidia Earnings and Key Inflation Data
In this article, we would like to share how the U.S. Stock Index performance on 25 August 2026 is like, and whether the market is ready for a rally post Nvidia earnings and economic data comments. 1. Daily U.S. Stock Index Performance (August 25, 2026) Trading across major American exchanges on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, was characterized by light volume and tight intraday trading bands. Following weeks of solid gains that pushed broad indexes near historic highs, market participants largely declined to take aggressive directional bets ahead of critical catalyst events. Index Dynamics Analysis The S&P 500 oscillated between modest gains and minor losses throughout the session. Investors favored a balanced stance, offsetting pullbacks in cyclical sectors with steady accumulation in defen
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10:40
[Earnings Recap]Dick’s Crashes 31%, Intuit Drops 10% — Guidance Is Killing the Rally
Tuesday’s earnings reactions had a clear theme: beating the quarter wasn’t enough if the outlook disappointed. Dick’s Sporting Goods suffered its worst drop in decades after cutting forecasts, while Intuit and Zoom both sold off after earnings beats were overshadowed by softer guidance. $Dick's Sporting Goods(DKS)$ -30.7% Dick’s Sporting Goods is a major U.S. retailer selling athletic footwear, apparel and sporting equipment, and it now also owns Foot Locker. Q2 adjusted EPS came in at $3.53, below Wall Street’s roughly $3.76 estimate. Revenue reached $5.59 billion, also missing expectations near $5.64 billion. Comparable sales rose just 2.1%, while Foot Locker comps fell 3.6%. The bigger problem was the outlook. Dick’s cut full-year adjusted EPS g
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08-25 19:29
[Winning Trade] Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Surging — What’s the Best Way to Play It?
Crypto is hot again. Bitcoin has jumped more than 20% over the past week, while Ethereum has done even better, gaining roughly 30%. Congrats to @kkk88 who made $7,643 by selling IBIT puts. Congrats to @Yorktsui who held IBIT shares and made $8,876. Congrats to @Jason_LSE who held IBIT shares and made $10,920. Why is crypto rallying again? A few things are driving the latest move. First, investors are increasingly worried about the U.S. dollar and government debt. The Treasury recently stepped up long-term bond buybacks in an effort to calm yields, which helped revive the so-called “debasement trade.” When investors worry that f
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09:19
$SPY Bulls Defend $765, But $768 Gamma Wall Caps the Rally
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is holding above key support at $765, with the $762 double bottom still intact. The main level to watch now is the 766.69 Gamma Flip, which could determine whether today remains range-bound or shifts into a trend-driven session. There is roughly $1.64B in net positive stacked above $SPY. In a positive-gamma environment, dealers are net long gamma and typically hedge by selling into rallies and buying dips, which absorbs volatility and keeps price action contained. As long as $SPY remains above 766.69, the setup favors range trading, mean reversion, and fading short-term extremes rather than chasing breakouts. Below the Gamma Flip, however, the trading regime changes. Dealer hedging can begin to reinforce the direct
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09:14
$NVDA Tops 9 of 10 Institutional Portfolios, $230 Next?
10 days ago, the top 10 institutions shared what stocks they all bought. This stock is the ONLY ONE everyone owned: The total for all the top banks was $57 trillion for the 13F. This is the list of there top 3 holdings: BlackRock $13.9T: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Vanguard $12T: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Fidelity $7T: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Stat
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09:07
$NVDA and $MU Rebound as $SPX Remains Trapped Near Key Levels
U.S. stocks closed higher on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, driven by a rebound in semiconductor companies and a pullback in oil prices and Treasury yields. Investors largely downplayed escalating geopolitical and trade headlines, focusing instead on key events scheduled for later in the week. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ moved within the range of daily levels posted yesterday, with 210 serving as the Central Daily Level and 213 as the next level if the price stayed above it. There is still work to do to recover the central weekly level and completely flip momentum. However, a positive for the bulls, though it does not guarantee a bullish reaction to the earnings report is that the gaps analyzed in the Weekly Compass at 213 and 208.7 were cleared yesterday with the
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01:18
Nothing Matters More Than Triple Witching
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVIDIA's post-earnings data on Wednesday was good, but it had little impact on the stock price. The real driver is the September 18 Triple Witching open interest settlement: the top Calls and top Puts will be max-pained, pinning the stock in the $200–210 range. So it's hard to see a directional trend before Triple Witching. Take Pelosi buying the dip on INTC — before Triple Witching, INTC will struggle to break above 110, and it's also hard to break above 100. If you hold the underlying stock, consider selling the 100 call $INTC 20260918 100.0 CALL$ to just ride it out through early September. It's worth noting that large block trades can have reverse effects. Earli
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08-25 23:04
NVIDIA F2Q27 Earnings Strategy: Beat, But Upside Is Limited
I. Fundamentals Earnings expectations: Revenue and profit expected to double-beat, with strong guidance. Revenue is expected at $94–95 billion (guidance at $91 billion, beating by $3–4 billion), up 16% YoY. Next-quarter guidance is expected to be raised to $107–108 billion. Drivers: GB300 rack shipments ramping (total rack units up 15% QoQ to 17,000–18,000), initial Vera Rubin shipments + Vera CPU volume ramp, and solid cloud capex. Several key points to watch: China H200 is an upside lever: Approved but shipments are slow — every 100,000 units shipped generates approximately $3 billion in incremental revenue, making it an important variable for October guidance. Addressing competition: In response to the ASIC/AMD share-erosion narrative, management will emphasize platform flexibility + Ve
TOPThat 90% token cost claim matters more than the rack math. If management can't quantify the Vera Rubin mix on the call, the ASIC share-loss debate probably stays alive
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08-25 20:29
Semiconductor ETFs Tumble — Are They Still Worth Buying?
Semiconductor ETFs suffered a sharp sell-off overnight. The Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF fell 7.83%, the Roundhill Memory ETF dropped 5.89%, and the Direxion Daily MSCI South Korea Bull 3X ETF declined 7.86%.$三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily(SOXL)$$Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM)$$3倍做多韩国ETF-Direxion(KORU)$ So, what caused this sharp decline? I believe there were several contributing factors. Cooling enthusiasm for the AI trade Investor enthusiasm for the AI trade has started to cool. Combined with tighter regulatory measures aimed at curbing demand, this has resulted in nearly $1 billion of outflows this month from
TOPA selloff does not make semis unbuyable. SMH still has a 34% ten year annualized return, and chip cycles always look ugliest near the turn lol
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08-25 21:43
8/25 Pre-Market Thoughts: Big Money Loading Up
One-sentence theme: Smart money is buying — Pelosi is betting on AI power (BE/INTC), while Jack Ma and Joe Tsai are adding to Alibaba. At the same time, crude oil plunged 3% (Middle East easing). I. Sentiment Focus: Big Players Buying in Sync Pelosi family bets on "AI Power" On 7/24, purchased 10,000 shares of INTC + 15,000 shares of BE, along with long-term call options expiring in June 2027$BE 20270617 100.0 CALL$ $INTC 20270617 50.0 CALL$. BE (Bloom Energy) = solid oxide fuel cells, capable of providing on-site power directly to data centers and large commercial clients → a "power supply concept stock" tied to AI data center expansion. Jack Ma and Joe T
TOPI’m with the gold angle here: pullbacks make more sense for GLD sell puts than chasing this rip. The 420 put looks closer to the sweet spot if vol stays bid into September.
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08-25 21:15
🟡 Bitcoin ETFs Rise Together: Is Institutional Demand Returning to Crypto?
Bitcoin ETFs moved broadly higher, with major funds posting gains of around 2% as investor attention returned to the crypto market. The latest market data shows a strong sector-wide move: $Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund(FBTC)$ , $CoinShares Bitcoin ETF(BRRR)$ , $ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF(ARKB)$ , $Grayscale Bitcoin Trust(GBTC)$ , $Franklin Bitcoin ETF(EZBC)$ , $Bitwise Bitcoin ETF(BITB)$ , $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ , $Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF(BTCO)
TOPBitcoin's Next Move Is About Liquidity Bitcoin's latest rebound matters because major spot ETFs are rising together, pointing to broad market demand rather than one fund outperforming. The bigger driver is macro. Bitcoin increasingly trades like a liquidity-sensitive risk asset, reacting to Fed policy, Treasury yields, the US dollar and global liquidity. If rate-cut expectations strengthen and yields decline, risk appetite could improve and support crypto. Spot ETFs have also opened Bitcoin to institutional capital. Funds such as IBIT, FBTC and ARKB make exposure easier through traditional brokerage accounts. The key signal now is ETF flows. Rising prices are encouraging, but sustained inflows would provide stronger confirmation. My view: Bitcoin can extend its rally if liquidity improves and institutional demand remains strong. But rising yields, a stronger dollar or weakening ETF flows could quickly turn this rebound into a short-term rally. @WallStreet_Tiger [财迷]
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08-25 21:07
Lotus Tech Completed Acquisition of 100% Equity Interest of Lotus Advance Technologies, Integrating All Businesses and Operations Under One Lotus
Aug 25, 2026 Lotus Tech completed the acquisition of 100% equity interest in Lotus UK following the exercises of put options by Geely and Etika. Lotus becomes one integrated global business under One Lotus with legendary British heritage and next-generation electrified mobility technologies. The integration is expected to unify the brand globally, accelerate collaboration, streamline governance and support long-term growth. NEW YORK, Aug. 25, 2026 -Lotus Technology Inc. (Nasdaq: LOT) (“Lotus Tech” or the “Company”), a leading global intelligent and luxury mobility provider, today announced that it completed the acquisition of 100% of the equity interests in Lotus Advance Technologies Sdn Bhd (“Lotus UK”) on August 21, 2026. Based
TOPThe August 27 earnings release could provide more clarity on how this integration supports future growth and profitability
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08-25 21:00
EPS up 682%, 242%, 156% — This Earnings Season Is Printing Real Money
While Wall Street continues to debate whether an “AI bubble” exists, the real winners have already crushed short‑sellers with their earnings reports. The July‑August 2026 earnings season is no ordinary set of “better‑than‑expected” results — it is a dominant capital bonanza. A cohort of large‑cap US stocks delivered staggering non‑GAAP earnings‑per‑share (EPS) performances: 50%, 100%, even 600%‑plus year‑over‑year growth. The market responded in the most direct fashion: surging share prices, short‑squeeze events, and analysts lifting price targets overnight. This is not modest growth. This is the sound of money‑printing machines running at full throttle. I. Semiconductors: “Lucrative Windfalls” for AI Infrastructure $Micron Technology(MU)$ : EPS up
TOPI think the most important signal of this earnings season is not that "the AI bubble does not exist", but that the market is pricing companies that can really realize profits separately from those that only rely on stories to support their valuation. For companies like MU, AVGO, PLTR, what is really convincing is not how exaggerated the percentage EPS growth is, but the simultaneous improvement in revenue, gross margin, free cash flow, orders, and customer demand. This shows that AI is no longer just a capital expenditure story, and some companies have indeed entered the profit realization stage. But I wouldn't conclude that "all AI high valuations are reasonable" from this. If the valuation of a high-growth company has reflected the growth in the next few years in advance, once the growth rate slows down, the stock price may still kill the valuation. The same is true of energy and finance. CVX is affected by the oil price cycle, and GS/MS is affected by the activity of the capital market. The current high profit cannot be simply extrapolated linearly. I would prefer to summarize this season as follows: the first stage of AI competes with who has the story, the second stage competes with who has the order, and the third stage starts with who can turn the order into free cash flow. Bottom line: Instead of choosing between "bubble or bull market", profits begin to screen the real winner for the market.
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08-25 20:32
$W Rallies After Q2 Beat as Bernstein Raises Target to $125
$Wayfair(W)$ $Wayfair (W) +1.64% to $103.19: Recovery Momentum Builds, Bulls Eye $107.72 Breakout Zone 📈 Latest Close Data: W closed at $103.19 (+1.64%) on Aug 25, 2026, with intraday range $100.52–$103.91. Price sits ~14% below 52-week high of $119.98 and ~86% above 52-week low of $55.60. Core Market Drivers: Bernstein upgraded W to Outperform with target raised from $100 to $125, citing home goods recovery and market share gains. Q2 earnings (reported Aug 4) beat on both EPS ($0.95 vs $0.90 est.) and revenue ($35.19B vs $34.65B est.), reinforcing the turnaround narrative. Technical Analysis: Volume at 1.661M shares with Volume Ratio 0.68 — below-average participation. RSI(6) at 52.47, RSI(12) at 55.12, RSI(24) at 56.25 — all neutral-to-bullish, no
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08-25 19:33
$CHWY Holds $24.50 as Bulls Target $27 and Beyond
$Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$ $Chewy, Inc.(CHWY) +2.00%: Pet E-Commerce Giant Reclaims $24.50, Bulls Eye $27 Resistance as Momentum Builds 🐾 Latest Close Data: CHWY closed at $24.50 on 2026-08-25, up +2.00% (+$0.48). The stock traded in a range of $23.72–$24.78, finishing just -43.7% below its 52-week high of $43.50 and +40.8% above its 52-week low of $17.40. Pre-market showed $23.66, while after-hours firmed to $24.70. Core Market Drivers: Chewy continues to ride the resilient pet-spend narrative, with institutional flows staying net positive over 5 days. Float remains tight at just 54.38M shares (~13.3% of total), amplifying moves. No major company-specific news today, but sector sympathy from specialty retail strength supported the bid. T
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08-25 19:43
$TRIP Holds the Line at $10 as Bulls Eye a Move Toward $12
$TripAdvisor(TRIP)$ $TripAdvisor(TRIP) +1.90%: Oversold Rebound Gains Traction, $10 Pivot Holds as Bulls Eye $12.22 Breakout Latest Close Data: TRIP closed at $10.19 on Aug 25, up +1.90% (+$0.19), off the session low of $10.02 and near the day's high of $10.34. Still trading 49.5% below the 52-week high of $20.16, but 13.1% above the 52-week low of $9.01. Core Market Drivers: TripAdvisor continues to recover from the Aug 6 post-earnings crash (-20.12%) triggered by weaker Q2 revenue ($441.9M vs. $506.3M expected) and declining non-GAAP EPS. BTIG downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral on Jul 21, adding pressure. Institutional holders (BlackRock 14.88%, Columbia 9.00%) have maintained positions, suggesting long-term conviction remains intact. Tech
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08-25 16:43
Why I Think Going Long U.S. Stocks and Gold Ahead of Jackson Hole Isn't a Good Idea
I believe most market participants currently recognize that U.S. equities are at an extremely delicate point of equilibrium. Technically, the S&P 500 has already fallen below its 20-day moving average, and bearish sentiment has intensified sharply. At the fundamental level, however, the fragile balance among U.S. Treasuries, U.S. equities, confidence in the U.S. dollar, and inflation expectations remains unchanged. The Treasury’s expansion of its long-term Treasury buyback program may appear to stabilize the market, but in the face of rapidly rising debt and elevated interest costs, the measure looks more like an attempt to buy time than to solve the underlying problem. $标普500(.SPX)$
TOPWeekly RSI divergence matters more here, not just the 20dma. If that confirms after Jackson Hole, first week of September probably gets uglier fast