To The Moon

I. Valuation Is Cheap Q2 total revenue is expected to decline 3% YoY, while non-GAAP net profit is expected to grow 18% YoY — results are likely in line with or slightly above consensus. Delivery loss visibility has improved: expected to drop significantly from the 2025 peak of RMB 13 billion to below RMB 6 billion in Q2 2026. JoyBuy is expanding modestly into Italy, Spain, and Greece; the acquisition of Germany's Ceconomy (€2.2 billion) has received approval from the German Ministry of Economic Affairs. Earnings recovery is solid + valuation is not demanding. Current 2026/27 P/E is only 9.6/7.7x — valuation is reasonable. Core tension: Revenue pressure (high base, -3%) but strong profit growth (+18%, delivery loss narrowing), combined with extremely low valuation (8–9x P/E) → long-term va

One-sentence theme: CPI came in as expected, focus shifts to compute — demand-side continues to validate (CRWV/NBIS capacity sold out, Temasek eyeing Korean storage, CME launching compute futures). Strategic tone: Pullbacks are opportunities for Sell Put positioning, not reasons to chase highs. I. Macro: CPI in Line, No Surprises CPI came in at +3.4% YoY, core at +2.5% — both in line with expectations. The probability of a September rate hike remains unchanged at 45%. → No change to the rate-cut trade rhythm; neutral impact on the broader market. II. Compute Theme: Strong Demand-Side Validation ✅ CRWV: Backlog orders at $104 billion, EPS -1.14 beat the -1.41 consensus. NBIS stated that all 2027 capacity is already sold out. → Compute demand remains very strong and shows no signs of slowing

$Hyatt(H)$ $Hyatt Hotels (H) +1.51% Rebound Attempt: $172.64 Holds as Earnings Dip Finds Support, $187.86 Resistance Eyed 📈 Latest Close Data: Closed at $172.64, up +1.51% (+$2.56). Still trading -16.5% below its 52-week high of $206.86, the stock is attempting to stabilize after the post-earnings sell-off. Core Market Drivers: The slight recovery comes after a brutal sell-off despite a massive Q2 beat (EPS $1.12 vs $0.91 est). The decline was driven by a "sell the news" event and a lowered 2026 net room growth forecast (~6% vs 6-7% guidance). However, strong institutional backing remains, with Morgan Stanley recently hiking its target to $218. Technical Analysis: The RSI (6) is climbing out of the deep oversold territory at 36.13, suggesting the imm

$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ $Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) Steady Climb +1.54%: Fintech Momentum Holds Near $77, Eyes on $81 Breakout Latest Close Data: $$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM$$ closed at $76.71 (+1.54%) on Aug 12. The stock is trading firmly above its recent support levels but remains -23.29% below its 52-week high of $100.00. Core Market Drivers: Bullish sentiment is fueled by Bernstein initiating coverage with an "Outperform" rating. Furthermore, the company's enhanced financial flexibility, including a credit facility boost to $675M and a renewed $1.7B loan purchase agreement with CPP Investments, underpins strong growth expectations. Technical Analysis: Volume came in at 2.11M shares, slightly below average (Volume Ratio: 0.78). The MA

$TripAdvisor(TRIP)$ $Tripadvisor Inc.(TRIP) +1.58% Stabilizes Near $11, Risk Converges for Breakout Decision, Pivot $10.95 Latest Close Data: TRIP closed at $10.95, up +1.58% on August 12, 2026. The stock is rebounding from deep oversold levels, but remains significantly below its 52-week high of $20.16, with $11.10 acting as the immediate intraday ceiling. Core Market Drivers: The stock is attempting to stabilize following a massive >20% plunge on August 6th, triggered by dismal Q2 results where revenue missed estimates ($441.9M vs. $506.3M expected). Adding pressure, BTIG downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral in late July, dampening institutional sentiment amid a challenging travel tech landscape. Technical Analysis: Volume settled at 4.18

$General Motors(GM)$ $General Motors(GM) +1.58% Closes Near Highs, EV Momentum Fuels Breakout Attempt, $90-$92 Target Zone in Sight 🚀 Latest Close Data: Closed at $89.35 (+1.58%) on 2026-08-12. The stock is now just 2.72% away from its 52-week high of $91.85. Core Market Drivers: EV Sentiment Boost: GM's stock momentum aligns with strong sector-wide enthusiasm for traditional automakers transitioning to electric vehicles, as rivals like Ford and Chinese EV makers recently surged on new model rollouts. 🔋 Institutional Backing: Heavyweight institutional support remains solid, with major holders like BlackRock (8.81%) and Vanguard (7.27%) anchoring the float, signaling confidence in GM's long-term strategy. 🐋 Technical Analysis: Volume: 479.21万 shares

$Unity Software Inc.(U)$ $Unity Software Inc.(U) +1.79% Surge: Momentum Fully Charged, $45 Breakout Imminent, Next Stop $50-$55 Zone Latest Close Data: $U closed at $43.87 (+1.79%), extending its winning streak and sitting just -15.9% from its 52-week high of $52.15. The pre-market high was $43.62, and the day's range was $42.10 - $43.89, showing strong intraday support. Core Market Drivers: 🍏 Analyst Upgrades: BofA Global Research upgraded U to "Buy" with a target raised to $50, reflecting strong post-earnings sentiment. 📊 Q2 Momentum: The market continues to digest the blowout Q2 report (Revenue $5.46B vs. Est. $5.15B; Adj. EPS $0.28 vs. Est. -$0.09) and robust Q3 guidance. 📈 Institutional Flow: Heavy net outflow (-$915.29M) seen on Aug 10 suggests

$Herbalife(HLF)$ $Herbalife (HLF) +1.91%: Herbalife Bounces Off Lows, Recovery Momentum Builds Towards $13.77 Resistance Latest Close Data: HLF closed at $11.74 on Aug 12, posting a solid +1.91% gain. The stock is currently trading -42.4% below its 52-week high of $20.40, but has successfully rebounded from its yearly low of $7.56. Core Market Drivers: The stock is showing signs of bottoming as bargain hunting emerges. While the consumer staples sector faces macro headwinds, HLF is attracting attention due to its extremely compressed valuation. Notably, institutional holders like The Baupost Group and BlackRock maintain significant positions, signaling long-term confidence. Technical Analysis: Volume came in at 1.79M shares, slightly below average

$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$ $Intuitive Surgical, Inc.(ISRG) Rallies +2.00% to $401.23: Robotic Surgery Leader Recovers with Momentum Building, $468 Resistance in Sight 🔥 Latest Close Data: ISRG closed at $401.23 on Aug 12, gaining +2.00%. The stock is rebounding from its 52-week low of $328.57 but remains significantly below its 52-week high of $603.88. 📊 Core Market Drivers: The medical device sector is rallying broadly, lifting ISRG with strong sector linkage. The stock extends its recovery from an oversold condition following a post-earnings sell-off, despite stellar Q2 results (EPS of $2.80 beat by 12%). Recent upgrades, including UBS raising to Buy with a $500 target, are fueling positive sentiment. 🏥 Technical Analysis: Volume surged to 4.12M

$Gilead Sciences(GILD)$ $Gilead Sciences(GILD) Rebounds +2.04%: Bio-Tech Giant Tests Resistance, Momentum Converges in $132-$143 Zone 🔬 Latest Close Data: $GILD closed at $135.77, up +2.04% today. The stock is bouncing from recent lows, narrowing its distance to the 52-week high of $157.29 by 13.7%. Core Market Drivers: Short-term momentum is stabilizing following a recent Leerink Partners downgrade to "Market Perform" (PT $127) and a Barclays PT cut to $145. The stock is recovering from a bio-tech sector-wide sell-off, with increasing attention on upcoming pipeline catalysts. Institutional flow remains mixed, with notable BlackRock position additions countering short-term capital outflows. Technical Analysis: A bullish MACD golden cross just form

$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ $C3.ai, Inc. (AI) +2.21% Gains, Bulls Eye $11 Resistance Amid Overbought Signals 🚀 Latest Close Data: Closed at $10.63 (+2.21%). The rebound from the 52W low of $7.67 shows strength, but price remains -47% below the 52W high of $20.22. Core Market Drivers: Enterprise AI sentiment saw a modest lift today. The rally is likely driven by dip-buying after recent lows and positive momentum in the broader tech sector, despite lingering concerns over profitability highlighted in recent earnings. Technical Analysis: Volume surged to 6.08M shares (volume ratio 1.82x), confirming strong buying pressure. MACD shows a bullish expansion with DIF (0.30) crossing above DEA (0.08), while the histogram prints positive. RSI(6) hit 86.35, flashing an

$EVgo Inc​.(EVGO)$  When will this ever recover?

$Expedia(EXPE)$ $Expedia (EXPE) +2.25% Breaks Out: Travel Giant Eyes $331 High as Summer Momentum Builds, Q2 Earnings Beat Fuels Rally Latest Close Data: $EXPE closed at $321.07 on August 12, 2026, surging +2.25% with a session high of $325.82. The stock is now just -3.1% away from its 52-week high of $331.31, signaling a powerful breakout attempt after digesting stellar Q2 results. Core Market Drivers: The rally is fueled by Expedia's recent Q2 earnings beat (EPS $5.76 vs. $5.23 est.) and a raised full-year guidance for both total bookings ($129.5B-$130.8B) and revenue. Macro tailwinds from robust summer travel demand and cooling inflation are supporting risk-on sentiment in the consumer discretionary sector. Technical Analysis: Volume was relati

$Snap Inc(SNAP)$ $SNAP Inc. (SNAP) Gains +2.99%: Momentum Building as Bulls Eye $5.90 Resistance, Reversal in Play 🚀📈 Latest Close Data: SNAP closed at $5.51 on Aug 12, up +2.99% (+$0.16). The stock is reclaiming ground but remains -40.6% below its 52-week high of $9.28. 📊💹 Core Market Drivers: Sentiment is buoyed by the recent Q2 earnings beat, where revenue soared 19% YoY to $16B, smashing estimates. The strong Q3 guidance continues to fuel optimism, while broader market chop sees capital rotating into beaten-down social media names. 🗞️💡 Technical Analysis: With volume at 33.8M (Volume Ratio 0.63), the rally is steady but not explosive. The MACD histogram is firmly positive at 0.199, confirming a bullish crossover is active. Momentum is healthy

$3D Systems(DDD)$ $3D Systems (DDD) +3.53%: CEO Transition Sparks Momentum, $3.87 Resistance in Sight for Turnaround Play 📊 Latest Close Data $DDD closed at $3.81 on Aug 12, 2026, up +3.53%. The stock is now trading just -7.5% below its 52-week high of $4.12, signaling a strong recovery from the $1.70 low. 📰 Core Market Drivers The recent surge is fueled by the CEO transition announced on Aug 4, with Jeffrey Graves stepping down, which triggered a +15.85% single-day spike. The search for a new leader is seen as a potential catalyst for strategic revitalization. Despite a negative EPS of -$0.40, institutional support remains solid with BlackRock and State Street recently increasing their stakes. 📈 Technical Analysis The rally is backed by robust mom

$Blackstone Group LP(BX)$ $Blackstone Group LP (BX) +3.89% Rally: Blackstone Surges Past $147 Resistance, Momentum Ignites for $154 Re-Test 🚀 Latest Close Data: BX closed at $147.17, up +3.89% (+$5.51) with a strong intraday amplitude of 4.60%. The stock is now just 22.6% away from its 52-week high of $190.09. 📈 Core Market Drivers: Blackstone surged on high volume driven by a major M&A catalyst. Portfolio company Safe Harbor Marinas agreed to acquire MarineMax for $53/share in a ~$1.5B deal. 🛥️ Additionally, Jefferies boosted its price target on BX to $166 from $145, maintaining a Buy rating. 🎯 Technical Analysis: Volume exploded to 737.37M shares (Volume Ratio 1.62x), confirming strong institutional participation. The MACD shows a powerful bul

Citigroup Research believes the upward trend in precious metals is not yet over, with silver continuing to follow gold's direction and exhibiting a more aggressive upward movement due to its higher volatility. If the situation in the Strait of Hormuz eventually de-escalates, coupled with a less hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, investment demand for precious metals will continue to recover. Citigroup believes that short-term pullbacks do not change silver's position as a high-beta asset compared to gold. If easing geopolitical risks drive funds back into precious metals, silver could potentially rise to $95/oz by 2027. However, Citigroup also maintains a risk scenario. The bank believes there is still approximately a 20% probability that silver will fall to $50/oz, indicating that c

Ahead of the US CPI release, a potentially overlooked technical risk is escalating in the bond market. A recent report from Bank of America Securities points out that trend-following CTAs are maintaining significant short positions in US Treasury futures despite unexpectedly weak US non-farm payroll data. US Treasury futures approached short-covering levels last week, but as yields rebounded from their lows, models indicate these short positions have not yet been forced to close. CTAs typically refer to systematic trend-following funds. These funds do not primarily focus on inflation, fiscal policy, or Federal Reserve policy itself, but rather trade assets such as stock indices, US Treasuries, foreign exchange, gold, and crude oil based on price trends, volatility, and stop-loss thresholds