To The Moon

Some trading lessons that only became clear after I learned them the hard way. 💡 When you catch yourself watching the news or obsessing over your positions more than the actual price action on the chart, it’s almost always because your size is too big. 📊 If you’re more focused on locking in quick profits while refusing to cut your losers, it’s usually because you’ve already taken too much damage — and you’re terrified of realizing even more loss. Oversized again. ⚠️ And if deep down you’re hoping a single tweet from Trump (or any headline) will magically rescue your account… you might be better off working at a casino. Either way, your position sizing has left the building. 🃏 Buffett’s old line about people preferring to get poor fast rather than rich slow gets mocked by some. But it’s bru

Alex Karp had a pretty spicy segment on CNBC last week talking about a lot of things (many of which took shots at the large AI labs). The part I want to focus on today was the concept he talked about of “owning your weights.” In summary: should enterprises “own” their models or rent them (ie buy from a large lab). Should you own your weights to give yourself more control, better cost management, maybe even better performance with with RL’s models, and ultimately remove a single point of failure (or reliance). This could come in the form of developing your own models, or RL’ing open weights models on your specific workflows / data. There’s a future version of this post that will focus more on “owning your harness” vs “renting a harness” from the large labs, but I’ll save that one for anothe

$Oracle(ORCL)$ $Oracle Corp(ORCL) Rebounds +2.65%: Tech Giant Bounces from Key Support, Eyes $155-$175 Range 📈 Latest Close Data Price: $144.22 (as of 2026-07-10 ET) 🆙 Change: +$3.73 (+2.65%) From 52-Week High: Currently down ~58.3% from the high of $345.72. 💡 Core Market Drivers The stock rebounded from a key support level, likely driven by a combination of oversold technical conditions and broader market sentiment. Recent news highlights a mix of analyst caution (Wedbush downgraded target to $240 due to debt financing plans) and the company's ongoing strategic focus on heavy investment in AI, creating a narrative of long-term potential versus near-term financial pressure. 📊 Technical Analysis Volume: Trading volume was 35.22M sha

$Zoom(ZM)$ $Zoom (ZM) Surges +2.84%: AI-Driven Momentum Reaches Key Resistance, $90 Breakout in Sight 🚀 Latest Close Data 📊 Closed at $89.88 on 2026-07-10, up +2.84%. The stock is now 21.7% below its 52-week high of $114.74. Core Market Drivers ⚙️ The stock's momentum is fueled by its tiered AI strategy, which is seen as a key growth driver for customer spending. Recent launches of AI collaboration tools like ZoomMate and new virtual agent features are solidifying its AI narrative, driving positive sentiment. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume was 3.11M shares (Volume Ratio: 0.93), indicating average participation. The MACD has turned positive (+0.95), signaling a bullish crossover and strengthening upward momentum. The 6-day RSI at 60.73 i

$Expedia(EXPE)$ $Expedia(EXPE) Surged +2.87%: Travel Giant Reclaims Pivot, Eyes $270 Resistance 📈 Latest Close Data Closed at $267.78 on 2026-07-10, up +2.87% (+$7.47). The stock is now within ~11.8% of its 52-week high of $303.80. 🚀 Core Market Drivers The travel sector continues to benefit from resilient consumer demand. Expedia's strong positioning in online travel booking is likely driving positive sentiment, supported by solid capital inflow data over the past week, indicating institutional interest. 🔍 Technical Analysis Volume: Trading volume surged to 2.32M shares, with a Volume Ratio of 1.79, confirming strong buying interest behind the move. MACD: The latest DIF (9.52) remains above DEA (8.28), with a positive histogram (2

$Blackstone Group LP(BX)$ Blackstone (BX) Jumps +2.98%: Giant Reclaims $122 Amid Record Credit Deal Momentum Latest Close Data 📈 Closed at $122.15 on July 10, up +2.98% ($3.53). This brings it within ~35.7% of its 52-week high of $190.09. Core Market Drivers 🏗️ Positive sentiment fueled by news of a historic $35 billion private credit deal (arranged with Apollo), with ~$15B expected to trade in secondary markets soon. This activity helps counterbalance recent negative headlines, including a major data center project termination and analyst price target downgrades. Technical Analysis 📊 Volume: Trading volume of 4.33M shares shows active participation (Volume Ratio: 1.12). RSI (6-period): At 58.43, it's in neutral territory, moving up

$American Express(AXP)$ $American Express (AXP) Rises +3.07%: Strong Volume Breakout Eyes $350 Pivot 🚀 Latest Close Data 📊 Closed at $346.72 on July 10, 2026, up +3.07% (+$10.33). The stock is now ~10.5% below its 52-week high of $387.49. Core Market Drivers 🏛️ Strong institutional confidence, with Berkshire Hathaway holding a 22.22% stake. Robust capital flow data shows significant net inflow of $285M for the day, indicating strong buying interest. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume: Trading volume of 3.47M shares with a Volume Ratio of 1.13, confirming the breakout with above-average participation. RSI (6): Jumped to 54.77 from oversold territory (38.37), signaling a strong bullish momentum shift. MACD: The DIF line at 7.24 remains above

$Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ $Affirm Holdings(AFRM) Rallied +3.08%: BNPL Leader Clears $83.7 Hurdle, Eyes $87 Target 🚀 Latest Close Data 📅 Closed at $83.78 on 2026-07-10, up +3.08%. The stock is now 16.22% below its 52-week high of $100.00. Core Market Drivers 📰 Strong liquidity boost: The company recently increased its credit facility to $675M, extending maturity to June 2029. Robust Q4 earnings beat with revenue of $1.04B and EPS of $0.30, fueling investor confidence. Strategic partnerships with Google, Stripe, and Intuit continue to expand its market reach. Technical Analysis 📊 Volume: Trading volume of 3.07M shares, with a volume ratio of 0.77, indicating consolidation. MACD: DIF at 4.36 remains above DEA at 3.95, but the MACD

$Illumina(ILMN)$ $Illumina (ILMN) Soars +3.17%: Genomics Leader Nears 52-Week High, Momentum Intact 📈 Latest Close Data (2026-07-10) Closed at $193.76, up +3.17% (+$5.95). Trading just $2.90 below its 52-week high of $196.66. 🚀 Core Market Drivers Positive momentum is fueled by the recent launch of its high-sensitivity, distributed whole-genome sequencing solution for MRD research, showcasing continued innovation. Sector-wide strength in life sciences tools also provides a supportive tailwind. 📊 Technical Analysis Volume: Trading volume of 1.73M shares, with a volume ratio of 0.69, indicating a consolidation day. RSI: The 6-day RSI at 70.57 is in bullish territory but not overbought, suggesting room for further upside. MACD: MACD l

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Tesla, Inc.(TSLA) Rebounds +3.17%: Regains $400 Pivot, Eyes $420 Resistance 📈 Latest Close Data TSLA closed at $406.55 on July 10, surging +3.17% (up $12.49). The stock is trading -18.5% below its 52-week high of $498.83. 🚀 Core Market Drivers Positive momentum continued from a July 6th report highlighting its return above the key $400 psychological level. Investor anticipation builds for potential "exciting news" related to its AI, Robotaxi, or Cybercab programs, which could be a catalyst. 🔍 Technical Analysis Volume was 37.84M shares (Volume Ratio: 0.79), indicating average participation. The 6-day RSI at 52.3 shows a neutral momentum shift from oversold conditions. The MACD histogram at 2.16 suggests bullis

$Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Broadcom Inc.(AVGO) Surges +3.20%: Tech Titan Reclaims $400, AI Momentum Builds 🚀 Latest Close (2026-07-10): Closed at $401.11, up +3.20% (+$12.42). The stock is trading ~19% below its 52-week high of $495.00. Core Market Drivers: The broader semiconductor sector showed strength, with sector ETFs seeing active trading. Positive sentiment around AI infrastructure continues to support leading chip designers like Broadcom. Technical Analysis: Volume was solid at 28.07M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.07). The MACD histogram has turned positive (+4.90), signaling strengthening upward momentum. The 6-day RSI at 67.74 indicates bullish momentum but is approaching overbought territory. Key Price Levels: Primary Support: $343.36

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ $Sea Ltd (SE) Soars +3.61%: AI Chatbot Launch Ignites Momentum, $110 Pivot in Focus 📈 Latest Close Data: 🕐 SE surged to $109.11 on July 10th, up 3.61%. The stock is trading 45.2% below its 52-week high of $199.30. Core Market Drivers: 🚀 The rally is fueled by its strategic launch of the AI companion chatbot "Migoo" in the U.S., marking a new growth initiative. Strong Q1 fundamentals (revenue +46.6% YoY) and a positive sector sentiment provide a solid backdrop. Technical Analysis: 📊 Volume was 3.84M shares (Volume Ratio 0.71), indicating modest participation. The MACD (4.70, 2.94, 3.53) shows a strong bullish momentum with the DIF rising above the DEA. The 6-day RSI at 85.99 is in overbought territory, signaling potentia

$Zillow(Z)$ $Zillow (Z) Jumps +3.63%: Testing Crucial Resistance, Bullish Divergence Emerges Near $33.44 Latest Close Data 📊 Closed at $33.44 on 2026-07-10, up +3.63%. The stock is trading -64.4% below its 52-week high of $93.88. Core Market Drivers 📈 The stock is rebounding from recent lows amidst a volatile real estate tech sector. Recent price action suggests potential short covering, as short volume has been elevated in prior sessions. The company continues to execute its core strategy in a challenging housing market. Technical Analysis 🔍 Volume of 3.94M shares is near average (Volume Ratio 0.91). The MACD shows a bullish signal: the DIF line at -0.833 is converging towards the DEA line at -1.330, with the histogram turning positi

$Cisco(CSCO)$ $Cisco Systems(CSCO) Surges +3.94%: Tech Giant Reclaims $118, Eyes $120 Breakout 🚀 Latest Close (2026-07-10): $118.31 (+$4.49, +3.94%). The stock is now 9.3% below its 52-week high of $130.37. 📈 Core Market Drivers: The rally is fueled by a broader tech sector rebound and positive sentiment following recent analyst upgrades (e.g., HSBC's target raise to $137). The company's strong enterprise networking positioning continues to attract steady institutional interest. 🏢 Technical Analysis: 📊 Volume: 21.3M shares, with a volume ratio of 0.93, indicating average participation. RSI (6): At 58.95, moving out of neutral towards overbought territory, signaling building bullish momentum. ⬆️ MACD: The DIF line is improving (-0.0

$Everpure(P)$ $Everpure(P) Surges +4.16%: Data Storage Leader Breaks Key Level, $83.5 Resistance in Sight 📈 Latest Close Data Closed at $80.96 (+4.16% / +$3.23). Now 19.5% below its 52-week high of $100.59. Core Market Drivers The stock follows the broader storage sector's rebound, with peers like Western Digital and Seagate showing strength. Activist investor Jana Partners disclosed a new >1 million share position in Q1, fueling expectations for strategic changes. Strong enterprise demand and market share gains are noted by analysts as key revenue drivers. Technical Analysis Volume of 2.68M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.10) confirms the breakout move. The MACD histogram has turned positive at 1.69, with DIF crossing above DEA, signaling