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03-11
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗙𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗟𝗮𝘆𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗔𝗜 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗼𝗹𝘂𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 By Jensen Huang
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗙𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗟𝗮𝘆𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗔𝗜 𝗥𝗲𝘃𝗼𝗹𝘂𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 Layer 1: Energy $Uranium(UEC)$ $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ $GE Vernova Inc.(GEV)$ $Quanta(PWR)$ $Amprius Technologies Operating Inc(AMPX)$ $Vicor(VICR)$ $Vistra Energy Corp.(VST)$ $Navitas Semiconductor Corp(NVTS)$ $BWX Technologies Inc(BWXT)$ $Centrus(LEU)$ $Constellation Energy Corp(CEG)$ Layer 2: C
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03-14 10:41
Logistics Moat: McKesson Moves Drugs, Unlocks High-Margin Services
Some thoughts on $McKesson(MCK)$ Most patients never encounter McKesson. Doctors prescribe drugs, pharmacies dispense them, and manufacturers produce them. But McKesson actually moves the medicine through the system. They function less like a healthcare company and more like infrastructure. They operate a massive logistics network that moves pharmaceuticals from manufacturers to hospitals, pharmacies, and clinics across the US. Once something becomes embedded this deeply into a system, it stops looking like a business and starts looking like plumbing. From the outside the economics appear unusual. McKesson generates hundreds of billions in annual revenue, but operates on thin margins. Enormous volumes are moved, but with only small margins attached
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03-14 10:09
Technical Warning: Nasdaq Signals 77% Probability of Bearish Shift
$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ ⚡ Key Takeaway The NASDAQ remains in the Bullish Zone, but a 77% probability of Bearish zone entry within 3 days signals severe structural stress requiring immediate defensive action. Risk Level-2 conditions are active, with buying pressure collapsing and a descending rectangle pattern projecting continued downside over the next 10 days. The tactical re-entry window is identified at 21,891.0 (Mar 17–18), with a sell target of 22,150.4 (Mar 24–25), defining the structured re-engagement framework post-correction. ────────────────────────────────────────── Section 1. Comprehensive Price A
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03-14 10:39
Mapping Market Power: Key Monopolies, Duopolies, and Oligopolies
This overview categorizes major companies by market power: monopolies dominate niche sectors, duopolies share control between two leaders, and oligopolies consist of a few key players shaping entire industries. It highlights how market structure drives pricing, retention, and competitive advantage. 🏰 Monopolies $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ - advance semi fab $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ – EUV lithography $VeriSign(VRSN)$ - domain name registry $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ – credit scores $Intuit(INTU)$ – tax preparation software $Thermo Fisher
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03-14 10:21
AI Labs Profit Thesis: OpenAI & Anthropic Set Path to Sustainable Margins and High Retention
There seems to be endless debate around AI companies, and whether they have “upside down P&Ls” that will forever lose money, or if they will turn into cash cows in the future. Whether this sentiment is pointed at the large labs like OpenAI and Anthropic, or upstarts like Cursor, I hear it all the time! And I can’t tell if the bears just want to confirm their priors on AI negativity, if the bulls just have blind naive optimism, or if anyone really has a pov grounded in real analysis. As an early stage VC I certainly fall into the “perpetually optimistic” camp, so you can apply the appropriate filter to this post :) But for this post I wanted to focus on the profitability debate centered around the large labs, and why I think they’ll turn into wildly profitable business. There’s three ma
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03-14 10:12
SPY Break Above $670 Could Trigger Upside Move
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ broke this DOWNTREND (bullish if we can stay above it towards $672) I give my technical analysis at BELOW for you to read. PCE came in flat, giving the market no clear macro signal. Direction now depends on 5 catalysts: 1. US–Iran war duration conflict extending past 1 month raises energy risk and volatility. 2. AI sector momentum currently peaking while supply chains face disruption from the conflict. 3. Labour market cooling continued downward revisions suggest slowing growth. 4. FOMC (March 18) policy tone will be critical for rate expectations. 5. March inflation risk oil trading above $100/bbl could push CPI higher next month. Technically, SPY remains in a short-term downtrend and is consolidating near key lev
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03-14 09:59
Rebound or Breakdown? MSTR, RIVN, NIO & QQQ at Critical Levels
Several key momentum names are approaching critical technical levels, with rebounds, support tests, and potential breakdowns shaping the near-term outlook. Investors are closely watching whether these levels hold to determine the next market move. 1. $Strategy(MSTR)$ MSTR +5% today and the $190 → $200 rebound is on the table. Monthly BX is still dark red, so the long term model is not bullish yet. In bear cycles most relief bounces are traps, so I’ll stay patient and wait for confirmation. 2. $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ Volatile week for $RIVN, but my bull case is still on the table. Fair Value support is being tested and I expect a bounce into April / May if it holds. 3.
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03-14 09:48
PLTR - Bullish Pennant Hovering Beneath 50-MA
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ - Bullish Pennant Hovering Beneath 50-MA Came across $PLTR from Markadiusz45 portfolio update post. The relative strength here looks promising relative to not just the market, sector, but also its own industry group $iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$ that's currently showing leadership. Price has been riding above the 10 vs 20-MA since beginning of march, well ahead of $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ and $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ . While price resisted right beneath declining 50-MA for 6th session, way ahead of $IGV distance to 50-MA. The recent rejection at the 50-MA afte
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03-14 09:41
SPX Falls Below Central Monthly Level as Volatility Drives Repeated Reversals
Losing the Central Monthly level for a short period like in November happens a couple of times per year, however, few weeks ago I highlighted that staying below this level for long is a concerning condition from corrections and bear markets. Currently the price for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and most of the securities from our watchlist is below this level. The second chart is a zoom in of the Central Weekly Level for the same period, see the price breaching the “C” marked in green in some weeks as part of the normal price action of a bull market. Since February, the dotted area shows how volatile has been the price printing multiple invalidations or reversals during the same week. The zoomed chart includes the Central Weekly Level AND the support an
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03-14 09:15
The market's biggest winners are playing a different game entirely
Finding 10x investments isn’t about running the best DCF model or guessing next quarter’s earnings better than the next guy. History shows that the market’s biggest winners have gotten their strategy right early and simply ridden massive waves to incredible heights. Maybe they didn’t know what they were doing at the time (ex. Google’s founders didn’t know what they had on their hands early on, whereas $Uber(UBER)$ founder Travis Kalanick did), but we can learn from the last two decades of investing to project out the next 10x (100x?) stocks. Today, I’m going to dive into how we should understand changes in discovery and distribution should be understood by investors and why, sometimes, going for scale above all else is the best strategy. Pre-Inter
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03-14 09:20
Oil Shock & Volatility Hit SPX as NDX Slides While Bitcoin Rebounds
U.S. equities endured extreme volatility this week, recording a third consecutive weekly decline and establishing new closing lows for 2026. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is now down -3.1% YTD, converging with the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ , while the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ trails closely with a -2.8% loss for the year. Escalating conflict in the Middle East remained the main driver of market pressure. An Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz sent energy costs soaring. Oil futures $WTI Crude Oil - main 2604(CLmain)$ closed at $99. Rising fuel costs combined with unexpected labor market weakness to stoke fears of slowing growth and rising
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03-13 21:04
$AMTX Surges 25% Amid Biofuel Momentum, Eyes $2.00 Resistance
$Aemetis(AMTX)$ Aemetis Inc (AMTX) Soared +24.68%: Biofuel Stock Surges on High Volume, Breaks $1.90 Latest Close Data: Closed at $1.92 on March 12, up 24.68% from the previous close. The stock is now trading ~47.5% below its 52-week high of $3.66. Core Market Drivers: The surge was driven by a significant breakout in trading volume (5.52x the average, 5.71% turnover), indicating strong buying interest. The company, a renewable fuels producer, likely benefited from positive sentiment in the alternative energy sector. There were no major news releases, suggesting the move was technically driven. Technical Analysis: The volume surge is a key bullish signal. The RSI (6-day) is at 88.2, indicating extreme overbought conditions, while the RSI (12-day)
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03-13 20:42
$SDOT Still 93% Below 52-Week High, Momentum Breakout in Play
$Sadot(SDOT)$ Sadot (SDOT) Soars +13.23%: High-Volume Rebound Tests $2.14, Eyes on $3.27 Resistance Latest Close: $2.14 (+13.23%), trading significantly below its 52-week high of $33.00 (-93.5%). Core Market Drivers: The surge was driven by extremely high retail participation, with small retail orders constituting the bulk of daily volume. The company's micro-cap status and low P/S ratio may be attracting speculative interest amidst a lack of major corporate or macro news. Technical Analysis: The move was accompanied by massive volume (264.9K shares, 7.32x average, 14.33% turnover). The 6-day RSI jumped from oversold levels at 24.17 to 53.50, indicating a strong momentum shift. The MACD histogram turned positive (-0.0039), suggesting a potential b
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03-13 19:26
Copper Profits Surpass Iron Ore for the First Time: BHP’s Earnings Send a Major Signal
👋 Hi Tigers, A notable shift has just emerged in the mining industry. The latest earnings report from BHP, the world’s largest mining company, shows that copper has surpassed iron ore as the company’s biggest profit contributor for the first time in history. At first glance, this may seem like just a small change in the earnings report. However, many commodity analysts believe it could signal a structural shift in global resource demand. Today, let’s quickly break down the key takeaways from this report. 📊 Key Earnings Today: $BHP Billiton(BHP)$ Core figures at a glance: Net profit (first half): +30% year-over-year Total revenue: $27.9 billion, +11% YoY Copper segment: Became the largest profit contributor for the first time Iron ore segment: Reve
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03-13 19:31
🛢️ Oil Above $100, U.S. Stocks Tumble — 5 Things Investors Must Know Today 📅 March 12, 2026
If you opened your trading app today and saw a sea of red, you’re definitely not alone. March 12 turned into one of those classic macro-driven trading days: oil surged past $100, the U.S. dollar strengthened sharply, and U.S. stocks recorded their biggest drop of the year. When geopolitics, commodities, and monetary policy collide, markets tend to move fast—and today was a perfect example. But before reacting emotionally to a volatile session, it’s worth stepping back and understanding what actually drove the market today. Here are the five developments every investor should know. 🛢️ 1️⃣ Oil Breaks $100 — Energy Risk Is Back The biggest story today is simple but powerful: oil is back above $100 per barrel. According to Reuters and Bloomberg market data, Brent crude surged more than 10% int
TOP自由與躺平: Oil rises → inflation fears increase → rate cuts become less likely → the dollar strengthens. And once the dollar strengthens, financial conditions tighten globally, which tends to pressure risk assets.
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03-13 19:33
The End of Hong Kong’s “Zero IPO Break” Myth: The IPO Market Is Starting to Diverge in 2026
👋 Hi Tigers, A noticeable change has recently appeared in the Hong Kong IPO market. The myth of “zero IPO break” has finally been broken. For a while, many investors followed a simple strategy: Subscribe to any IPO, and you would likely make money. However, a symbolic event occurred on March 11: Several Hong Kong IPOs experienced first-day price drops. This may signal that: Hong Kong IPO investing is entering a “selective era.” Today, let’s take a look at the latest IPO opportunities. 1. Today’s IPO Focus 1️⃣ Feisu Innovation ( $FS.COM(03355)$ ) Subscription period: March 13 — March 17 Entry fee: HKD 4,201.96 Business: Smart manufacturing software and industrial automation solutions Main services include: Factory digitalization Equipment manageme
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03-13 19:45
Oil Back Above $100: What Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan Are Saying
👋 Hi Tigers, One of the hottest topics in global markets right now is simple: Oil prices have surged back above $100 per barrel. This has raised two concerns among investors: 1️⃣ Could oil prices climb toward $120? 2️⃣ Will this affect the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut timeline? Today, let’s take a look at the latest views from major Wall Street institutions. 1. 🏦 Wall Street Institutional Views 1️⃣ Goldman Sachs Institution: Goldman Sachs Oil price forecast: Brent crude: $100 — $105 per barrel Logic: If shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz last more than 30 days, oil prices could potentially reach $120. Trading strategy: Overweight energy stocks Underweight technology stocks 2️⃣ Morgan Stanley Institution: Morgan Stanley Key view: The market is underestimating geopolitical risks. Cur
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03-13 20:42
Oil, Greed, and the Art of Waiting: Today’s Top Market Stories
In the market, numbers tell the story, but human nature writes the script. If you’re feeling a bit lost in the current market noise, let’s take a step back and look at three legendary tales that define exactly where we are today. Whether it’s the surging energy prices or the AI hype train, these three stories are the ultimate survival guide for your portfolio. Story 1: The Ghost of $147 Oil Flashback to 2008. Oil $WTI Crude Oil - main 2604(CLmain)$ prices were vertical, hitting an eye-watering $147 per barrel. Analysts were calling for $200, and everyone was piling into energy stocks like there was no tomorrow. A few months later, the floor fell out. Oil crashed to $40. Those who chased the peak (FOMO) were left holding bags that took a decade
TOPRight now, the "Buffett Way" hits closest to the mark, as the legend himself is currently sitting on a record-shattering $381.7 billion cash pile. While the rest of the world is chasing the AI trade, Buffett has been a net seller, signaling that he’s waiting for a major valuation reset or a "blood in the streets" moment to finally deploy that capital. C: The Buffett Way (Blood in the Streets) The War Story: The Shiller CAPE ratio has hit 39.42, a level seen only once before during the dot-com bubble. The Strategy: Buffett has gradually increased Berkshire Hathaway’s cash position to nearly $400 billion, more than twice its previous peak. This is a "final warning" from the retiring legend: he would rather sit on his hands and earn yield on U.S. Treasuries than overpay in a frothy market. I shall monitor the market closely and when the time is ripe... I shall go "shopping" [Sly] [Sly] [Sly]
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03-13 18:32
Option Movers｜Ondas Sees 71% Call Options; USO's Volume Jumps 24%
Market Overview U.S. stocks fell on Thursday(Mar 12), as Iranian strikes on two oil tankers sent crude prices surging toward $100 per barrel, further exacerbating inflation fears and sending investors fleeing equity markets. Regarding the options market, a total volume of 60,027,371 contracts was traded. Top 10 Option Volumes $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ , a provider of private wireless, drone, and automated data solutions, closed Thursday at $10.33, up 5.09%. The stock moved higher after news of a partnership that will combine its autonomous robot technology with Palantir‘s AI platforms and World View’s balloon intelligence. There are 481.04K $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ option contracts traded on Th
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03-13 20:16
$PM Rallies $5.16 as Momentum Builds Toward $180
$Philip Morris(PM)$ Philip Morris (PM) Rallies +3.09%: Bullish Momentum Confirmed, Eyeing $178 Latest Close Data Closed at $172.00 on 2026-03-12, up +3.09% (+$5.16). The stock is now ~$19.30 (10.1%) below its 52-week high of $191.30. Core Market Drivers Strong net capital inflow of $36 million on the day, with significant buying from small and medium-sized orders, indicating broad retail and institutional interest. The company's transition to smoke-free products continues to be a core long-term growth narrative, supporting stable earnings expectations. Technical Analysis Volume was solid at 6.56M shares (Volume Ratio 1.06). The MACD histogram remains negative (-4.26), but the DIF line is attempting to turn upwards from a deeply oversold level, hinti