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04-11 14:54
3 Reasons Behind the $MSFT Pre-Earnings Accumulation
Josh Gottheimer buying LARGE AMOUNT of $Microsoft(MSFT)$ shares before earnings on April 29. 3 Reasons why: 1. Bullish on AI/cloud growth: MSFT's strong financials (16.4% revenue growth, 19 years of dividends) and analyst consensus ("Moderate Buy," $589 target) signal upside. 2. Past expertise: Gottheimer was Microsoft's General Manager of Advertising & Strategy, giving him deep insight into its potential. 3. Strategic bets like TikTok: He's pushed TikTok bans/sales, positioning MSFT (in acquisition talks) for gains. Disclosure filed 4/8/26 (trade 3/25/26); net buying aligns with his $84M annual trading volume.
3.16K
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04-11 15:13
$AMZN Is Noise Until It Expands
Here comes the real test for $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Rooting for the bulls to break through this level 🤝 I’m still sitting this one out for now I’m not trying to make money on the next trade. I’m trying to follow my system. The edge comes from consistency, not one setup. Sticking to the system matters more than what happens next. Nothing bad happens from missing a trade. With AMZN, I don’t lose money by sitting this out. I’ve got ~50 positions on and there’s always another opportunity. Worst case, it rips and I miss it. Best case, it pulls back and I get a better entry. Win win for me. Any stock with heavy compression is usually going to underperform with my system MBX doesn’t do well in sideways, low movement environments, and AMZN has been stuck in t
2.48K
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04-11 15:10
Profits Taken on $AMD, $NBIS Delivers, $SPY Flashes Trap Signals
Strong week, profits secured. $AMD targets hit, $NBIS extended higher — but $SPY is now at a bearish zone with macro risk ahead. Focus shifts to protecting gains, not chasing upside. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $AMD target hit 🎯 Locking in profits on calls and shares here. No reason to get greedy into the weekend in case we see a rejection. 2. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ $NBIS +40% since our Combined Signal System buy We called this setup last week. Congrats if you took it I passed since I haven’t profited on prior moves this cycle That said, last 2 callouts in 2 months have printed 60%+ 🔥 3. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $SPY at a bearish smart money zone into the wee
1.85K
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04-11 14:49
Long Live the Harness
In the early days of AI, we saw the rise of “GPT Wrappers.” Companies that created a product that resembled a thin layer on top of a model. People loved to mock these products, saying all the value was in the model with everything around it commoditized. “Why would I use your app when I can just use ChatGPT directly?” Years later, we have a new name for “wrapper” which is now “harness.” OK that’s a crude analogy and not exactly apples to apples... a harness is really the code that determines what information a model sees at each step, what to store, what to retrieve, and what context to present. It’s the scaffolding around the model. But the spirit of the comparison is directionally right: there’s an enormous amount of value in what sits around the model, not just the model itself. And we
2.60K
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04-11 14:46
8 Setups, 8 Targets Hit: $AMD $META $AVGO $SPY Lead a Precision Week
Two weeks ago this publication anticipated the high probabilities for a reversal given extreme oversold conditions. Back then, the price action was extremely oversold and sentiment was at lows not seen since the previous crash in April 2025. When the market began its bounce on March 31, essential levels were reclaimed. First, the Central Daily Level (our “Bullish Above / Bearish Below” indicator) sat at 6,362. The price opened above this level, providing an immediate bullish signal to subscribers who use our levels for validation. Subsequently, our Central Weekly Level (CWL) of $6,458 “sealed the deal,” confirming the weekly reversal and validating the bullish setups for the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $S
1.95K
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04-11 14:42
$NDX Breaks High Alone While $SPX $DJI Lag
The bearish reversal has been building. Just one piece was missing... Today we got it. Bearish Monthly SMT Divergence with $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ . NDX is the ONLY index to cross the March High. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ didn't. $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ didn't. If this divergence persists — this Monthly candle gets ERASED. The setup just got a lot more complete. This is what SMT divergence looks like on the micro. SMT at the high of day with $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(NQmain)$ . Reversal to London Low. 20 straight points — on a choppy range day. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ is down -33%. NDX just rip
1.76K
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04-11 12:16
Memory Just Doubled. Is Optical (Up 143%YTD) Market's Next Target?
$Lumentum(LITE)$ surged 8% this week, is up +143% YTD. $COHERENT(COHR)$ added +19% this week and continues to build momentum. J.P. Morgan just raised LITE's target from $565 → $950. COHR from $245 → $300. Both: Overweight. Why optical is back in the spotlight this week? JPM, Goldman, the OFC data: The AI infrastructure buildout is accelerating, not slowing. CPO and OCS are no longer 2028 stories — they're 2H 2026 revenue. The market is still pricing these companies like boring legacy optical hardware companies. That's the mispricing. Memory started repricing six months ago. Optical is repricing now. Memory prices just confirmed the AI hardware supercycle is real. Samsung reported Q1 earnings that demolish
TOPTimothyX: Data centers have the same problem. Millions of AI calculations are happening every second — and all that data needs to travel between chips, between servers, and between buildings at insane speeds.
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04-11 00:56
Do You Know that you can set your cost method of how the platform display your stock P&L? (Avg Cost/FIFO/Diluted Cost)
Keep wondering why my realized profit/loss is not calculated by my average cost of stock holdings (both yellow underlined prices) : This realized P&L displayed was calculated by FIFO method (ie. when my 500 sell CALL shares at 4.50 strike was being called away, the 500 shares called away (sold) were those I bought earliest at price 5.50! ) I had to seek out from the ever helpful customer service. That's the icon to look out for if you wish to change method (Avg cost/FIFO/Diluted cost) under your Portfolio Scroll down the page to find this section If I had chosen diluted cos
TOPI would prefer lot method. where i buy first lot of 10 shares. then I buy second lot of 20 shares. then I sell first lot of 10 shares, it should calculate based on first lot of 10 shares. not take average of all shares.
4.56K
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04-10 22:53
AI Boom or AI Bubble? Why Software Is Being Unfairly Punished
Now everyone’s asking the same question: why did software stocks get hammered so badly yesterday, even when the broader market was rebounding? And why is money flowing into hardware but avoiding software? My take is simple — the market is reacting to fear. xAI just dropped a very powerful model, and suddenly it’s like Thanos snapped his fingers on software stocks. The narrative becomes: if AI can do everything, what’s the point of traditional software? So people sell first, think later. This fear isn’t new. It’s always been there. The recent optimism was just a pause — now we’re back to doubting software again. But let’s be clear: this selloff is not rational. Look at the data: $iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$ Software ETF IG
TOPGood data to support your claims! Love it 😍 I've been DCA into Oracle, Coreweave and NVIDIA. 5 a week and been slowly declining over the last month's so it's reassuring to read this. Its a long game 🎯
3.66K
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04-10 10:44
VICOM 2026: Balancing Dividend Yield with Industrial Growth Catalysts
Technical Analysis (TA) The chart shows a strong bullish momentum that has accelerated over the last quarter. $VICOM LTD(V01.SI)$ $VICOM Ltd(WJP.SI)$ Moving Averages (MA): The short-term MA (pink/blue lines) is well above the 200-day long-term MA (green line), which is currently trending up at $1.637. This indicates a sustained long-term uptrend. Price Action: The stock is trading at $1.82, a multi-year high. It has successfully cleared previous resistance levels at $1.50 and $1.65. Support & Resistance: * Resistance: Immediate psychological resistance at $1.90 - $1.92 (marked by horizontal line). Support: Immediate support lies at $1.78 (50-day MA area). A strong historical floo
25.92K
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04-10 22:11
TOP 15 GROWTH NAMES WITH THE CLEANEST SETUPS RIGHT NOW
1. $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ - AI Infrastructure 2. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ - AI Infrastructure 3. $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ - AI Compute 4. $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ - AI Compute 5. $Hewlett Packard Enterprise(HPE)$ - AI Servers 6. $Vertiv Holdings LLC(VRT)$ - Data Center Cooling 7. $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ - Photonics 8. $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ - Photonics 9. $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ - Semis 10. $
TOPis mara, hood,coin, lunr,oscr are growth....looks they are in dd
2.76K
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04-10 21:26
You’re more likely to see a 20% gain in a year than a negative return. (Data since 1980)
The Wildest Stat in the Market Since 1980, there have actually been more years where the market gained over 20% than years where it lost money at all. Let that sink in. We see an average drop of 14% at some point during every single year. Pullbacks are just part of the deal，some are small, some are scary. But most of the time, the market still ends the year in the green. Embracing those down years is exactly how you earn your long term returns. JPMorgan just dropped their Q2 Markets Guide, and here are the biggest takeaways. Valuations are cooling down US stocks are cheaper than they were, though I wouldn't call them "cheap" yet. We started the year with a forward P/E of 22x, and now we’re sitting around 19.7x. Simply put, you're paying less for every dollar of expected earnings than you w
2.39K
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04-09 10:46
Breakout or Bull Trap? $SPY Reclaims 200DMA but Faces 20W MA
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 may have closed above its 200-day MA, but one hurdle remains: The 20-week moving average with the $SPY currently on track for a 6th consecutive close below it 🚨📉 S&P 500 $SPY posts first close above the 200-day moving average in 14 trading days 📈🥳🫂 More than 82% of S&P 500 stocks are now trading above their 5-day moving average, the strongest short-term market breadth since November 📈🥳🫂 Investors have been rotating to cash at one of the fastest paces in history 🚨🚨 Stock Market says goodbye to Extreme Fear for the first time in over a month 🥳📈🫂
1.72K
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04-10 19:40
Q2 Strategy: After 7 straight green days, are you adding or cutting?
We just had 7 straight green days. $VIX broke below 20 for the first time since the Iran escalation. Friday pre-market is green again. On the surface, things look pretty good. But here's the thing – Wall Street is not agreeing on what comes next. Citadel says we're in an "asymmetric upside" setup. They think net positioning is light enough that any good news will hit harder than usual. Goldman is warning that everyone expecting 11% earnings growth in Q2 is being too optimistic – they see margins getting crushed and growth slowing to 7% in the second half of the year. And Morningstar says growth stocks are 21% below fair value, which is rare, but also says Q2 rallies stay capped unless Iran publicly signals they want to negotiate. So who's right? I put together a full breakdown of the Q2 ou
TOPsame old earnings. some companies will go up, some will go down
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04-10 20:15
$MU Iron Fly — Cost $115, Max Earn $385 in 7 Days
$MU Options Iron Fly: Credit $3.85, Max Profit $385 on 2026-04-17 📊 Contracts 🎯 Sell to Open: 1x $MU 2026-04-17 $420 Call @ $17.80 (Bid) Sell to Open: 1x $MU 2026-04-17 $420 Put @ $15.65 (Bid) Buy to Open: 1x $MU 2026-04-17 $425 Call @ $15.75 (Ask) Buy to Open: 1x $MU 2026-04-17 $415 Put @ $13.85 (Ask) Financials 💰 Net Credit: $3.85 ($385 per spread) Max Profit: $385 (achieved at $420 at expiration) Max Loss: $115 (wing width $5 − credit $3.85 = $1.15 → $115 per spread) Breakevens: $416.15 and $423.85 Thesis 🧠 Neutral to slightly bullish on $MU as it trades with elevated IV (IV Percentile ~72.8%). Selling short-term premium with defined risk. Targeting rapid time decay into 1-week expiration. Happy to harvest the $385 credit if $MU stays between $416.15 and $423.85. Ready to exit if breake
1.05K
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04-10 20:15
$NFLX Bull Call Spread: $136 Cost, Max Profit $164 (Apr 17, 102/105)
📊 Contracts 🔵 Buy to Open: 1x $102 Call (2026-04-17) — Ask: $3.70 🔴 Sell to Open: 1x $105 Call (2026-04-17) — Bid: $2.34 💰 Financials Net Debit: $136 ($1.36 × 100) Max Profit: $164 → ($3 wide strike spread − $1.36 net debit) × 100 Max Loss: $136 → Net Debit × 100 📈 Thesis Neutral to moderately bullish on $NFLX into next week. Stock broke above $100 with strong call/put ratio (2.90) and momentum. Elevated IV (70.4%) suggests potential IV crush, so we cap vega risk by selling the $105 call. Happy to gain directional exposure with defined risk—ready to pocket max profit if $NFLX stays above $105 by expiration! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk and may result in loss of capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do y
TOPSolid spread setup! Bullish on NFLX breaking $100, max profit looks tasty.[开心]
403
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04-10 20:14
$META Options Strategy: Bull Call Spread 📊
Credit: N/A (Net Debit $645) | Max Profit: $355 | Exp: 2026-04-13 🚀 Strategy: Bull Call Spread Market View: Cautiously bullish after META's sharp rebound. Elevated IV (IV Percentile ~87.6%) favors defined-risk, short-dated strategies with controlled theta and vega exposure. 📜 Contracts: Buy to Open: 1x $META 2026-04-13 $620 Call @ $13.50 (Ask) Sell to Open: 1x $META 2026-04-13 $630 Call @ $7.05 (Bid) 💰 Financial Breakdown: Net Debit: $13.50 - $7.05 = $6.45 per share (x100 = $645 total) Max Profit: ($10.00 strike spread - $6.45 net debit) × 100 = $355 Max Loss: $6.45 × 100 = $645 Breakeven at Expiration: $620 + $6.45 = $626.45/share 🧠 Thesis: Cautiously bullish on $META into April 13 expiration. This defined-risk debit spread profits if META trades above $626.45, with max profit achieved at
TOPSolid bull call spread on META! Max profit looks juicy.[看涨]
360
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04-10 20:13
$COIN Bear Put Spread — Cost $430, Max Profit $570 by Apr 17, 2026
📊 Strategy Overview Type: Bear Put Spread (debit spread) Market View: Moderately bearish with elevated volatility risk 📃 Contracts Buy to Open 1x $170 Put (2026-04-17 expiration) @ $7.60 Sell to Open 1x $160 Put (2026-04-17 expiration) @ $3.30 💰 Financials Net Debit: $4.30/share ($430 per spread) Max Profit: $570 (Spread Width $10 − Debit $4.30) × 100 Max Loss: $430 (equal to net debit) Break-even Price: $165.70 ($170 − Net Debit $4.30) 🧠 Thesis Bearish on $COIN into April 17 expiration, expecting a move toward mid-$160s. Elevated IV (88.8th percentile) makes defined-risk spreads attractive for balancing directional delta and controlled Vega exposure. Happy to profit if $COIN closes below $165.70, while keeping risk capped at $430 if the stock rebounds. 📌 Execution Notes Greeks Considerati
TOPSolid bear put spread on Coinbase! Volatility risk is real, but max profit looks tempting.[强]
495
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04-10 20:11
$TXN Options Iron Condor: Credit $177, Max Profit $177 on 2026-04-17 📊
📑 Contracts Sell to Open 1× $210 Put (Bid $2.14, Ask $2.45) Buy to Open 1× $205 Put (Bid $1.11, Ask $1.30) Sell to Open 1× $220 Call (Bid $2.01, Ask $2.46) Buy to Open 1× $225 Call (Bid $0.86, Ask $1.08) 💰 Financials Net Credit: $1.77/share ($177 per lot) Max Profit: $177 (credit received) Max Loss: $323 [(width $5 − credit $1.77) × 100] Break-Evens: $208.23 and $221.77 🎯 Thesis Neutral on $TXN into 2026-04-17 expiration. Stock at $214.98 looks range-bound after a sharp run-up. High IV (92% percentile) offers rich premiums—ideal to sell volatility with defined risk. Risk Mgmt: Exit at 50–65% max profit ($90-$115) or roll tested strikes if breached near DTE. Plan: Monetize positive Theta and IV contraction while defending wings if price moves past $210 or $220. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not fi
TOPBrilliant iron condor setup! Hoping for smooth theta decay.[开心]
690
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04-10 20:09
$NKE Bull Call Spread: $46 Cost, Up to $54 Max Profit (Apr 17, 2026 expiry)
📊 Strategy Overview Type: Bull Call Spread (Debit Spread) Structure: Buy-to-Open $44 Call, Sell-to-Open $45 Call (2026-04-17 expiry) Net Debit: $0.46/share (×100 = $46 total cost per spread) 📊 Contracts 🔹 *Buy*: 2026-04-17 $44 Call @ $0.91 (Ask) 🔹 *Sell*: 2026-04-17 $45 Call @ $0.45 (Bid) 📊 Financials Max Profit: $(45 − 44 − 0.46) × 100 = $54 Max Loss: $0.46 × 100 = $46 Break-even: $44.46 at expiry 📊 Thesis Neutral to moderately bullish on $NKE into mid-April, anticipating oversold rebound after stabilization above $42–44 range. IV at ~36% with IV Percentile ~37.6% suggests options are relatively cheap, favoring debit spreads over short-vol structures. Targeting defined risk and balanced Delta exposure. 📊 Risk Management If $NKE closes < $43.50 mid-week, consider cutting/rolling to redu
TOPSolid spread setup! Rooting for that rebound in NKE.[看涨]