1.59K
·
07-17 17:22
IBM’s 25% Collapse: A Broken AI Story…or the Start of a Major Market Rotation?
A 25% fall in a company like IBM is not an ordinary earnings reaction. It is the market suddenly questioning an entire investment story. IBM’s preliminary second-quarter revenue came in at approximately $17.2 billion, up only 1% year over year and below expectations of around $17.86 billion. Adjusted earnings of $2.93 per share also fell slightly short of forecasts. But the numbers alone do not fully explain such a violent sell-off. The greater concern was the message behind them. IBM said customers had prioritised spending on servers, storage and memory amid supply constraints and anticipated price increases. That redirected technology budgets away from some software and infrastructure purchases. Management also acknowledged execution failures. Several significant deals did not close as e
2.14K
·
07-17 22:03
🎓 Macquarie Warrants 101 – What I Learned After Receiving a S$20 Seminar Voucher TigerTrade
🎓 Macquarie Warrants 101 – What I Learned After Receiving a S$20 Seminar Voucher Congratulations on receiving the S$20 Macquarie Stock Cash Voucher after attending the seminar! It is a nice way to encourage participants to learn about structured warrants before trading. ⸻ 🌟 Some Popular Macquarie Warrants Macquarie issues warrants on many well-known stocks and indices. Popular examples include: * Alibaba – Call and Put Warrants (e.g. JCJW Put) * BYD – Call and Put Warrants (e.g. OPCW Call) * Hang Seng Index (HSI) – Call and Put Warrants * Nasdaq-100 – Call Warrants (e.g. EFKW) * Nikkei 225 – Call and Put Warrants (e.g. YHSW) * Meituan * Tencent * Xiaomi * Bilibili These are among the more actively followed Macquarie warrants on SGX. ⸻ 📈 How Do Call Warrants Work? A Call Warrant is generall
1.26K
·
07-17 22:15
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 7/17/2026
$DECU$ $QQQY$ $XDTE$ By Lawrence G. McMillan Buying the dip has been working on an intraday basis recently, but the larger picture is that there are dips to buy almost every day. That means that $SPX is not making much progress. Despite breaking out on the upside from the triangle formation that had existed, it has run into resistance at 7580 and has failed to challenge the all-time highs at 7600-7620. This keeps the $SPX chart from being upgraded to "bullish." Rather, it is range-bound at best. There is support at 7420 the lows of early July. Then below that the lower side of the triangle is still in place, and a breakdown below 7300 would be neg
1.62K
·
07-18 07:57
$GOOG Cash Flow Surge, $DUOL AI Challenge & $NFLX Buy Zone Watch
The key question for all three: can earnings growth drive future upside while valuations expand? $GOOG, $DUOL, and $NFLX offer three different answers. 1. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Analysts are expecting Alphabet's operating cash flow to nearly double over the next 2.5 years. 2. $Duolingo, Inc.(DUOL)$ Everyone has to learn Chinese if Kimi takes over or what? 3. $Netflix(NFLX)$ $NFLX was $86 when I posted this. Getting closer to a buy after this drop. At some point, Netflix will be an amazing buy. But at 38x FCF, I don't think a company growing revenue in the mid-teens is in "no-brainer" territory yet. PS： Investing Over-Simplified If you can explain how the stocks you own
1.83K
·
07-18 08:50
Trading Discipline Check: $ADBE, $BBY & $XLF Follow Rules While $NASA Breaks Down
Trading discipline matters most when markets get volatile. These setups show why following a simple rule-based approach can help avoid emotional decisions — from 10-MA exits on $ADBE, $BBY, and $XLF to breakdown risks in $NASA and patience lessons from $DELL. 1. $Adobe(ADBE)$ Sticking to a simple 10-MA sell rule, not allowing market wide weakness to influence the sell decision. 2. $Best Buy(BBY)$ Following a simple 10-MA sell rule 3. $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ Follow the 10-MA sell rule instead of reacting to the market's broader selloff. 4. $Tema Space Innovators ETF(NASA)$ Continues Lower After Neckline Bre
1.33K
·
07-18 08:45
Smart Money Is Watching $META, $QQQ, $CDNA & $RDW
Watching four names where market structure and smart money positioning are creating potential opportunities: $META remains on watch for an institutional buy zone, $QQQ must defend $700 to keep the bull cycle alive, $CDNA shows how discount pricing can fuel massive rallies, and $RDW is entering a key decision zone. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ If $META can pull back into Institutional Buy Zone one more time I'm prepared to take a position Patience in the meantime 2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $QQQ Bull Cycle still in play and most of these pull backs usually lead to higher highsThat said, $QQQ must hold $700 Scary gap below that on the Volume Profile As long as $700 holds, I remain bullish 3.
TOPjaffer: Nice, how about adbe Peter..Any thoughts pls share.
1.08K
·
07-18 08:42
$RKLB Finds Support, $CRWV Holds Bullish Structure, $ASTS Faces Critical Monthly Test
Three high-beta names are sitting at critical technical levels. $RKLB is testing a potential cycle bottom, $CRWV remains bullish after a liquidity sweep, while $ASTS must defend its monthly structure to keep the long-term uptrend intact. The next few weeks could determine whether these setups resume higher or enter deeper corrections. 1. $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ $RKLB $1.8M in Aug 21, 2026 $75C just hit. Smart money still being tested. I stand by my analysis from last night’s video: • Higher-than-normal odds this bull cycle is ending • If we’re going to bounce, it’s from right here RVR is off the charts. 2. $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ 📈Price is running liquidity and tagging out anyone with tight stops. St
919
·
07-18 08:36
$SPX Holds the Line: Bullish SMT Divergence Signals Potential Breakout
$SPX defended the W4 triangle low while $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2609(NQmain)$ swept its June low, creating a bullish SMT divergence. The key trigger now is a breakout above the bearish FVG resistance — a daily close above that level could confirm a new move toward all-time highs. Meanwhile, $MSFT’s Elliott Wave setup hit the 402 target, validating the bullish thesis. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Do or die for $SPX. Price held the W4 triangle low. $NQ swept its June low. SPX didn't. Bullish SMT — DIVERGENCE PRINTED. A new bearish FVG is now the last thing standing between us and new all-time highs. Daily close above the FVG resistance = BUY SIGNAL. Lean stays bullish. Below the triangle → local top warning
606
·
07-18 08:32
Open Weights, Closed Prices?
There’s a new open weights model out this week many are talking about - Kimi K3. It’s not technically open weights YET, but on their launch blog, they said" “The full model weights will be released by July 27, 2026.” At first pass, what stood out initially is the size of the model. K3 is a 2.8 trillion parameter MoE (16 of 896 experts active per token), which makes it the largest open model ever released (I think this is true, but haven’t fully fact checked everywhere). It’s ahead of DeepSeek V4-Pro at 1.6T (which I believe was the largest before K3). It has a 1M token context window, native multimodality, and seems to be built for agentic work. A lot of the launch materials / demos focused more on things like long-horizon coding, demos where it navigated massive repos, multi-hour autonomo
790
·
07-18 08:29
$NVDA’s Real Moat Goes Beyond GPUs
AI can't run without 3 things: compute, memory, energy. One stock sits at the center of all 3: Its actually $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and 3 reasons here: 1. Compute — it is the compute. When the world says "AI compute," it means NVIDIA. GPUs are the industry standard for training and inference, with an estimated 80–90%+ share of AI accelerators. Everyone else is building around their stack (CUDA, NVLink, the rack). 2. Memory — $NVDA is why HBM is a bottleneck. They don't fab a single DRAM die, yet every HBM stack $SK hynix(SKHY)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$ and Samsung can produce is effectively pre-sold to feed their roadmap. $NVDA doesn't supply the memory it sets the demand cu
963
·
07-18 08:25
Earnings Battle: $GOOGL & $GEV Bullish, $INTC Faces Pressure
President Trump said to buy $Intel(INTC)$ at $20. This year it hit $140+ Now it reports earnings Thursday down to ~$97. Here's the full earnings analysis: $Intel(INTC)$ — Thurs, after close Guidance: ~$13.8–14.8B rev, 39% margin, $0.20 EPS all sequential declines. Trades ~147x fwd. Street PT: $96. 31 of 48 analysts on Hold. Govt + $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ($5B) + SoftBank ($2B) = a floor, not a launchpad. 🔴 Bearish into the print. Priced for perfection after a 278% run; Foundry losses are the swing factor. $GE Vernova Inc.(GEV)$ — Wed, before open The clean Wednesday-daytime story (no mega-cap noise til the close). AI-datacenter po
284
·
07-18 08:18
$SPX Loses 20D & 50D Support, Bearish Momentum Builds
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The tech selloff has pushed the index below its 20 and 50 daily moving averages. Considering the bearish crossover in the oscillator, this suggests further declines ahead. The previous two bounces occurred with a more reset oscillator, which is not the case today. The 20 daily moving average was breached and the oscillator is falling from overbought conditions, with a lot of space before getting oversold. Losing this moving average is usually concerning.
512
·
07-18 08:14
Tech Broke a Major Support Level
Wall Street endured a volatile week as a deeper pullback in major technology stocks snapped recent winning streaks in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . For that reason, we closely tracked the $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ in our daily market analysis this week. Semiconductors remain under pressure. This week alone, the market darlings continued to be punished: $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ lost -11%, $Micron Technology(MU)$ -13%, $Broadcom(AVGO)$ -7%, and $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ -4%. The semiconductor ETF
511
·
07-18 07:50
Uber’s Big Buy
$Uber(UBER)$ is expanding its business again, this time into more markets for delivery with the acquisition of Delivery Hero. From Uber: Uber Technologies, Inc. (NYSE: UBER) has entered into a business combination agreement with Delivery Hero, extending the world’s largest mobility and delivery platform to a total of 99 markets, with combined pro-forma Gross Bookings of $236 billion in 2025. Under the terms of the voluntary takeover offer, Uber will offer Delivery Hero shareholders cash consideration of €41.50 per share (the “Offer Price”), representing an Equity Value1 of $14.8 billion (implied for 100% of the company), or $13.7 billion adjusted for Uber’s prior stake purchases. Delivery Hero has entered into a separate agreement with SSW Partner
2.25K
·
07-18 00:37
Storage Sector Crash Explained: How Far Has the Short Sellers' Attack Gone?
Part 1: Market Recap July 16: S&P 500 closed at 7,533.77, up only +0.46% month-to-date in July. But during the same period, Micron (MU) plunged 26% in July, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) crashed 17.21%. The root of this semiconductor crash lies in the Korean stock market — as of today, the KOSPI index has plunged 19.53% in July. Part 2: The Three Early Warning Signs of the Crash 1️⃣ Option Warning Signs (Smart Money Was Already Moving) June 18 | DRAM saw a large bearish trade: buying the 8/21 expiry 60 Put$DRAM 20260821 60.0 PUT$ , with 50,000 contracts traded, notional value $21.75 million, still open. Same day | MU also saw a large bearish trade: buying the 6/18 expiry 990 Put
1.78K
·
07-17 22:44
$PEP Looks Ready for a Bigger Rebound
$Pepsi(PEP)$ $PepsiCo, Inc.(PEP) Rebounds +2.98%: Dividend Giant Defends Support, $140 Level in Focus 📈 Latest Close Data Closed at $139.43 on 2026-07-17, up +2.98% (+$4.03). Currently 18.8% below its 52-week high of $171.48. 📅 Core Market Drivers The stock gained alongside a strong day for the broader soft drinks sector. 🥤 Persistent inflation concerns and a recent downgrade by Citi (to Neutral, target $145) continue to weigh on the near-term sentiment, capping upside momentum. 📉 Technical Analysis Volume of 7.8M shares was below average (Volume Ratio: 0.76), suggesting the rally lacked strong conviction. The 6-day RSI jumped to 52.0 from oversold levels, showing a sharp rebound. However, the MACD remains in negative territory (DIF
1.78K
·
07-17 22:41
$KO Defensive Strength Pushes Shares Higher
$Coca-Cola(KO)$ $The Coca-Cola Company (KO) Soared +3.00%: Defensive Giant Breaks $84, $98 Target in Sight Latest Close Data 📈 Closed at $84.92 on 2026-07-17, up +3.00% (+$2.47). Now just $0.76 shy of its 52-week high of $85.68. Core Market Drivers 💡 Multiple Wall Street banks, including UBS and Citi, have raised their price targets (up to $98), citing confidence in the company's growth strategy. The company recently announced a maintained quarterly dividend of $0.53/share, reinforcing its income appeal. Its Indian bottling subsidiary's planned IPO signals aggressive expansion in a key growth market. Technical Analysis 🔍 Volume was elevated at 1.26x the average, confirming the breakout move. The 6-day RSI jumped to 64.8, indicating s
1.88K
·
07-17 22:37
$MA Could Be the Next Financial Leader to Run
$MasterCard(MA)$ $Mastercard (MA) Surges +3.05%: Bullish Momentum Reclaims $550 Zone 🚀 Latest Close Data 📊 MA closed at $551.54 (+3.05% | +$16.33) on July 17, 2026. The stock is now 8.35% below its 52-week high of $601.77. Core Market Drivers ⚙️ The rally was fueled by strong capital inflows, with a net inflow of $16.14 million on the day. The stock is also rebounding from a recent dip, with the broader tech sector showing mixed signals. Technical Analysis 📈 Volume was 2.93M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.06), indicating healthy participation. Key indicators are bullish: RSI(6) at 78.4 suggests overbought conditions, signaling strong short-term momentum. MACD shows DIF (12.18) > DEA (9.33) with a positive histogram (5.69), confirming the
2.14K
·
07-17 22:35
$LOW Recovery Picks Up Steam
$Lowe's(LOW)$ $Lowe's Companies, Inc.(LOW) Rebounds +3.10%: Strong Buy Momentum, Key Resistance at $242.56 🛠️📈 📊 Latest Close Data As of July 17, 2026, LOW closed at $216.16, up +3.10% (+$6.50). The stock is trading -26.2% below its 52-week high of $293.06, showing significant recovery room. Volume was robust at 4.23M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.49). 💡 Core Market Drivers The home improvement sector is showing resilience amid stable consumer spending on housing. Recent market volatility in broader tech has driven some rotation into value/retail names like LOW. The company maintains a strong operational and financial outlook. 📈 Technical Analysis The surge was backed by above-average volume, confirming buying interest. RSI(6) jumped shar
1.23K
·
07-17 22:31
$SBUX Nears New High on AI Cost-Cut Strategy
$Starbucks(SBUX)$ $Starbucks Corp.(SBUX) Surges +3.10%: AI-Driven Cost Cuts & Bullish Upgrades Fuel Rally, $108.88 High in Sight ☕📈 Latest Close Data 📊 Closed at $108.37 on 2026-07-17, up +3.10% (+$3.26). The stock is now just $0.51 away from its 52-week high of $108.88. Core Market Drivers 🚀 AI Cost Savings: The company announced plans to use internal AI tools to replace some Microsoft/IBM applications, targeting ~$400M in annual IT savings. Analyst Optimism: Multiple banks, including Morgan Stanley (target: $111) and Citi (target: $108), have recently raised their price targets, citing improved fundamentals. Technical Analysis 📉 Volume: Trading volume was 6.23M shares (Volume Ratio: 1.12), indicating healthy participation in