To The Moon

1.Interesting observation from GMO: Since 1957, the 10 largest stocks in the $.SPX(.SPX)$ have underperformed an equal-weighted index of the remaining 490 stocks by 2.4% per year. But the last decade has been a very notable departure from that trend, with the largest 10 outperforming by a massive 4.9% per year on average. It’s rare and bubbly for the top stocks to outperform like this!Image2."Reacceleration" did *not* happen in 2024, which goes to show sometimes it takes a while for leading indicators to work (and sometimes not at all)Image3.This chart was warning of recession (too early) last year, was it just a case of too early vs wrong?(is there even a difference?)Still an interesting chart, with 3-way confirmation of signal despite being wron

1. No ReaccelerationEarly in the year a number of leading indicators began to shift to the upside, pointing to the prospect of reacceleration (and I called it that term as there wasn’t really a recession, rather a softening, so it would be reacceleration instead of recovery). As far as the manufacturing PMIs go this is still a work in progress; mixed macro.“reacceleration risk – basically that we get the opposite of recession, instead we get a reacceleration in growth as the shocks and headwinds of 2022/23 fade. And, looking at the chart below we can start to sling some data at the idea – with the pivot from shock tightening to pockets of rate cuts suggesting we get precisely that happen” (9 Feb 2024)2. No RecessionOn the flipside, the turn in some of the key cycle indicators like the yiel

In the 2nd half of 2024, the R2K Tech Index outperformed Mega Caps.I am looking for this trend to continue in 2025 with EPS growth rates expected to narrow between Mega Caps and the field. $.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)

$TSLA 20250117 385.0 PUT$ quick put order!

The first trading day of the year is always eventful as markets react to fresh news, economic data, and trends set by institutional repositioning. Here are the key movements and trading opportunities to focus on: 1. Market Overview: Key Indices Start the Year Mixed Dow Jones: Up 0.45% to 42,801, fueled by strong industrial sector performance. S&P 500( $.SPX(.SPX)$ ): Flat at 5,910 as tech stocks face selling pressure. Nasdaq Composite: Down 0.62% to 19,362, weighed by profit-taking in high-growth stocks. 2. Stocks Making Headlines Today 09 December 2024, Brandenburg, Grünheide: Car transporters are loaded with new Tesla Model Y electric vehicles at the Tesla Gigafactory Berlin-Brandenburg site. Photo: Patrick Pleul/dpa (Photo by Patrick Pleul/

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The bearish expectations for the market are rather exaggerated. The volume of new positions opened is quite high. We can't use the excuse that all professional investors are on vacation. Although there is an electronics consumer show next week, it seems insufficient to support the overall market. It won't reach 557, but it's likely to touch 580. The short selling of call options is very intense, but the overall market is so weak that it lacks the strength to rise through forced buying. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Considering closing out the 140 sell put on Friday, the positive impact of the CES Consumer Electronics Show seems limited. This week, a considerable number of call options w

Hello traders and investors! In this technical article, we’re going to take a quick look at the Elliott Wave charts of the Nasdaq ETF QQQ, published in the members area of the website. As our members know, QQQ is showing impulsive bullish sequences in the cycle from the August 420.16 low. As a result, we are favoring long side at this stage. However, we believe the H4 pullback is still incomplete and could provide another leg down. We will explain the reasons behind this Elliott Wave forecast and how to trade it further in this article. QQQ H1 Update 12.24.2024 The ETF shows 5 waves down from the 539.15 peak, suggesting we have ended only a first leg of potential Zig Zag pattern. QQQ is currently doing 3 waves recovery against the 539.15 high, labeled as (B) blue.  Structure of the bo

Singapore Market 2025 Outlook: 3 Investment Themes to Ride the Volatility STI Hits Record High, Boosted by the Big Three Bank Stocks As we approach 2025, it's the perfect moment to look back at how the Singapore stock market performed in 2024. The year was a strong one for Singapore's equities, with the $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$   surging by 16.9% up to December 31, 2024, hitting its highest level since 2007. The STI, being a market-capitalization-weighted index that tracks the top 30 companies listed on the Singapore Exchange (SGX), saw its gains largely driven by the performance of Singapore's Big Three banks: $DBS Group Holdings(D05.SI)$