AI Demand Boom: Will TSM Keep Rising After Its New High?
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM), one of the world’s largest and most advanced semiconductor manufacturers, closed at $207.12 yesterday, reflecting a 2.03% decline from the previous trading day. With a 52-week range of $99.98 to $222.20, TSM’s stock has experienced significant fluctuations, underscoring the market’s sensitivity to changes in investor sentiment and broader economic conditions. Despite the recent dip, TSM continues to show impressive financial strength, boasting positive net income, earnings per share (EPS), and consistent dividend payouts. However, as the stock nears its 52-week high, investors may wonder whether TSM’s momentum can continue, or if the stock’s price is too inflated due to external factors such as the current tech and AI boom. Taiwan Semicondu
US Stocks Overvalued? What Are the Two Trading Directions for This Year?
Below is an analysis and perspective on U.S. equities from Tiger Brokers' analysts.For U.S. equities, with their high valuations, lofty expectations, and heightened uncertainties, what level of expected return could justify holding stocks?Historically, the S&P 500 has delivered an average annual return of about 7–8%, with a standard deviation of 15–20%. This implies a 41.6% probability of annual returns falling below 4.2% of $US12M(US12M.BOND)$. Given today’s high valuations and uncertainties, 2025 is unlikely to be an “average year.” Expected returns may fall short of 8%, accompanied by greater volatility.That said, this doesn’t mean there are no investment opportunities in U.S. equities this year. Here are two ideas:Buy on a Potential
Go Long on Short-Term Treasuries, Consider Bottom-Fishing 10Y Treasuries Above 5%
Below is an analysis and perspective on U.S. Treasury bonds from Tiger Brokers' analysts.Short- and long-term U.S. Treasuries should be analyzed separately. Currently, the 1-year Treasury yield stands at 4.2%, offering a risk-free return. $US12M(US12M.BOND)$ For the short end, as shown in the chart below, the current expectation in the interest rate futures market is that the Federal Reserve will cut rates only 1.5 times throughout the year. Tiger analysts believe this expectation is overly hawkish, making a case for going long on short-term Treasuries. The base case Tiger analyst assumes three rate cuts. Since the likelihood of further rate hikes is minimal, the worst-case scenario would be no rate cuts. However, if the economy and inflatio
2025 Top Predictions: Will Trump and Musk 'Break Up'?
Welcome to Thursday Special![LOL]2025 Top Predictions: Will Trump and Musk 'Break Up'? If So, When? What’s next for Tesla?"People are buzzing: Is Musk helping Trump secure his win? Some say they’re a power duo who need each other. Others argue Musk is more of a disruptor than a builder.With all the influence and buffs—America’s richest man and the soon-to-be president—how long can their honeymoon last?What’s your bold prediction? Will their partnership thrive or crumble? And if they do part ways, how might that shake up Tesla’s future?Let’s hear your wildest takes and stories! 🚀✨🎁PrizesComment Rewards:All valid comments on the following post will receive Tiger Coins, but don’t copy others’ homework hahaha.We strongly recommend selecting the "Also repost" button when posting a comment to re
$Intel(INTC)$ Let's discuss Intel's announcement at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES). Today I will covered Intel, on the day of their announcement, Intel's stock dropped about 3.3%. However, as of this recording, the stock is relatively flat, up around 1%, despite a weak overall market and semiconductor sector, driven by job report data, which we'll cover shortly. Intel has faced a challenging stock performance over the past year—actually, the past few years. Currently, the company has a market cap of $85.7 billion and a forward P/E ratio of 28.5. Regarding the labor market, November saw job openings rise more than expected, though other metrics—like hiring and quits rates—indicate cooling. For example, hiring and quits rates are at their lowes
Nvidia's GB300 Might Set for Q4 Release? Morgan Stanley Sees AI Supply Chain Revolution
Nvidia's upcoming GB300 may introduce key changes in hardware design, potentially setting new standards for AI hardware.According to a research report released by Morgan Stanley analysts Sharon Shih and Howard Kao on January 6th, Nvidia's next-generation AI GPU, the GB300, is expected to feature significant hardware specification changes and is set to begin shipping in 2025 Q4.Blackwell Supply Chain —— Redesigned for GB300With the introduction of the GB300, there will be significant changes in the supply chain and components provided by Nvidia. For the GB200, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ provided the entire Bianca board (including the Blackwell GPU, Grace CPU, 512GB LPDDR5X, VRM components, all integrated on a single PCB), as well as the switch tray and copper
$Nike(NKE)$ 🔴🔵⚪ Nike’s Marathon of Market Misery: A Rare Swoosh Slump ⚪🔵🔴 $NKE Nike is navigating one of the most challenging terrains in its storied history, a staggering 58% drawdown from its peak, marking the worst correction in more than 20 years for this iconic sportswear giant. Historically, only two periods have witnessed such catastrophic declines: • 1984: -74%, driven by brand crises and economic headwinds. • 2000: -65%, during the dot-com bubble’s implosion. 📊 Key Technical Insights: • Current Price: $71.29 • Trading well below major moving averages, reinforcing a bearish trend. • Oscillators indicate oversold conditions, could this be a contrarian entry point? 🔍 Market Context: This dramatic sell-off reflects a combination of macroeconom
Options Market Statistics: IonQ Stock Plunges After Nvidia CEO Sees 'Useful' Quantum Is Decades Away; Options Pop $AT&T Inc(T)$ stock was flat, down 0.09%, in Wednesday's trading. The most traded calls are contracts of $20 strike price that expire on Jan 17 and the total volume reaching 306,011 with the open interest of 54,088. Telecom giant AT&T on Wednesday announced that it will offer bill credits to customers who are affected by network outages as part of an initiative to attract customers in the wake of the industry experiencing several significant disruptions last year. 2. The shares of $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ tumbl
U.S. President Joe Biden is also like before leaving office to make some things, his administration plans to leave office a few days before $NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$$Broadcom(AVGO)$$Intel(INTC)$ and other companies of AI chip exportsImplement a new round of restrictions, including China, Russia and other targets.The U.S. wants to curb the sale of artificial intelligence chips for data centers at the national and corporate levels, people familiar with the matter said, with the aim of focusing AI development in so-called "friendly countries" and aligning global companies with U.S. standards.The rules, w
1. Market Overview The global markets are witnessing key developments today, with several sectors showing significant movement: Major Indices Dow Jones( $.DJI(.DJI)$ ): -0.18% to 42,650.43 S&P 500: +0.22% to 5,988.40 Nasdaq Composite: +0.98% to 19,960.33 Key Movers: Technology: Nvidia (+2.5%), AMD (+3.1%) Energy: Chevron (-1.2%) due to declining oil prices 2. Stocks Making Headlines 1. Tesla ( $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ) Movement: Tesla climbed +3.8% after announcing expanded EV production in Asia. Opportunity: Short-term traders may target the $450 resistance level. 2. Nvidia ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ) Movement: Nvidia rose +2.5% following new AI chip orders. Opportunity
From Thunder storm to Sunshine: Why the Market May Be Ready to Stabilize
Positive sentiment is fragile but building—could this be the turning point? This article is written by Shernice, if you like my article please hit the like button or do a repost. It looks like we might be seeing a bit of a weather whiplash, with thunderstorms turning to sunshine and sunshine turning to thunderstorms—just like how Trump’s tweets on X could shake up the market vibes! The Dow Jones Index took a tiny dip yesterday, while the S&P 500 saw a modest rise. Yesterday, pre-market, the ADP private payroll report came in softer than expected, calming some of the market’s nerves. U.S. December payrolls grew by 122,000—falling short of the expected 140,000 and the previous 146,000. Following the data release, U.S. stock futures perked up slightly. But just as things were
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 🔷🔶💻 Nvidia’s AI Renaissance: Shattering the Limits of Moore’s Law 💻🔶🔷 Nvidia, $NVDA, spearheaded by the groundbreaking vision of CEO Jensen Huang, is not merely advancing technology—it is redefining the trajectory of innovation itself. During his electrifying keynote at CES in Las Vegas, Huang declared, “Our systems are progressing way faster than Moore’s Law,” underscoring Nvidia’s unmatched ability to accelerate artificial intelligence (AI) evolution. 📜 What is Moore’s Law? First conceptualised by Intel co-founder Gordon Moore in 1965, Moore’s Law posited that the number of transistors on a chip and thus computational power would double roughly every two years. This principle catalysed decades of exponential growth in computing pe
Xiaomi is Back? At What Price Would You Buy the Dip?
1. Xiaomi’s Recent Volatility On Monday, Xiaomi( $XIAOMI-W(01810)$) reached a new high of HKD 36.85, only to fall by 9% in the following sessions. This sudden pullback raises the question: Is this dip a buying opportunity? At what price would you add Xiaomi to your portfolio? 2. Xiaomi’s Key Growth Drivers Performance in 2024 YTD Growth: Xiaomi surged over 120% in 2024, driven by strong smartphone sales, smart home devices, and its budding EV segment. EV Success: Xiaomi’s electric vehicle lineup, launched in 2023, has received positive reviews, contributing to revenue growth. Challenges Ahead Market Sentiment: The recent pullback reflects profit-taking and macroeconomic concerns. Competitive Pressures: Companies like Apple and Tesla continue to d
$黑石(BX)$Blackstone's infrastructure Fund for individuals Raises More Than $1 Billion. GP&LP on the boat, eliminate conflict of interest and generate wealth for the fund. I would say own $黑石(BX)$ surely would mitigate your overall portfolio risk.
Delta Airlines Earnings Report Approaching! How to Play Options Strategies?
$Delta Air Lines(DAL)$ is set to release its Q4 earnings report on January 10. Wall Street analysts expect the company’s earnings per share (EPS) for the fourth quarter to be $1.76, reflecting a 37.5% year-over-year increase. Meanwhile, revenue is projected to grow 3% year-over-year, reaching $14.65 billion.Building on this, Delta Airlines’ stock price has risen approximately 48.5% this year, fueled by increasing travel demand, strategic initiatives like expanding premium seating, and positive analyst expectations. Additionally, the airline’s focus on operational efficiency, improved profit margins, and robust free cash flow has further strengthened its financial position.Analysts Maintain Optimism for Delta’s Q4 EarningsAhead of the company’s Q4 r
Is Roblox Still A Buy In 2025? Why Roblox Loss Billion!
$Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$ With nearly 90 million daily active users, Roblox stands as one of the largest video game platforms worldwide. Over the past year, the platform generated over $3 billion in revenue. What sets Roblox apart from other video game companies is its unique approach: the company doesn't develop any games itself. Instead, all games on Roblox are created by third-party developers. These developers receive 25% of in-game revenue, while Roblox keeps the remaining 75%. At first glance, Roblox's business model appears highly profitable. The company primarily operates the platform while retaining the lion's share of revenue, offering relatively small payouts to developers who create the games. However, despite this seemingly lucrative
Reality check for quantum computing despite its beauty Quantum Computing's Reality Check During CES 2025, NVIDIA ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ )CEO Jensen Huang tempered expectations around quantum computing, stating that we're "5 or 6 orders of magnitude away from being truly useful." While he envisions practical quantum computing within 15-20 years, the timeline may not align with current market enthusiasm. The question arises: Is it time to short quantum computing stocks? 1. Quantum Hype vs. Reality Current State of Quantum Computing Number of Qubits: Quantum systems remain far from scalability, lacking the stability and error correction needed for practical applications. Timeline Expectations: A realistic 20-year horizon clashes with the inflated valuation