The Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 0.25%, bringing them to the highest level in 17 years. While a similar move in August 2024 triggered a sharp market selloff due to traders covering massive yen short positions, this time the impact is expected to be muted. CFTC data shows the yen short float peaked in July, with traders already deleveraging in anticipation of a hike. Additionally, the strong U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), near 2022 levels, could benefit from this, as higher rates abroad may help balance currency strength, improving the U.S. trade deficit. The USD/JPY remains largely unchanged in response.
$WOLF 20250131 8.5 CALL$ WOLF: collect 2.9% premium from this covered calls with strike at $8.5 which is 35% higher than last close. Contract expires in 2 weeks on 31st Jan. WOLF had been seeing bearish momentum and continued to slide. These shares were accumulated last week when cash secured put expired in the money so now is time to sell covered call with intention to dispose them off when price recovers.
$RCL 20250131 230.0 PUT$ RCL: collect 1.35% premium from this cash secured put with strike at $230 which is 5% lower than last close. Contract expires in 2 weeks on 31st Jan. Been trying to buy back from RCL to reduce my shorts and these are some of the attempts. RCL remained bullish and might even go higher. Will bide for my time on when I will nett this trade off.
$MARA 20250214 16.0 PUT$ Selling fresh cash secured put on few of my regular counters at the start of the trading week to replaced those expired last Friday. MARA is hovering around support line so let's hope this can hold. Usually sell them at around 0.2 to 0.3 delta and between 2 to 6 weeks duration depending on the volatility and the premium I intend to collect.
$TCH.HK 20250227 370.00 PUT$ I closed $TCH.HK 20250227 370.00 PUT$ , TP For CSP and switching it out to a $430 sell call to supplement the premium for $400 strike buy call. Max loss capped at $1.88 per contract. Maximum gains: $28.12/contract if price goes above $430
Big Tech’s High-Stakes Gamble: Can Microsoft’s Massive CAPEX Fuel AI Domination?
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) will be releasing its earnings for the six months ending December 31, 2024, on January 29, 2025 after market closes. Let’s analyse Microsoft's guidance and analysts' forecasts to gauge its anticipated performance. A pivotal factor in this analysis is Microsoft's planned $80 billion capital expenditure (CAPEX) for AI-enabled data centres in fiscal year 2025. We will delve into the potential impacts of this substantial investment, balancing the opportunities against the inherent risks, and two trading ideas. Microsoft's Guidance vs. Analysts' Forecasts In its recent communications, Microsoft projected revenue for the December 2024 quarter to be between $68.1 billion and $69.1 billion, with an implied operating margin of approximately 44% at the midpoint. This gui
Market Reaches New Heights Amid Tariff Talks and Earnings Momentum
1. Market Overview: New Records Amid Optimism ATH The $.SPX(.SPX)$ closed at a new all-time high, rising 0.5%, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbing 0.9% and the $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ up 0.2%. This marks the S&P 500’s first record close since December, fueled by strong earnings and tempered policy remarks from President Donald Trump. 2. Key Drivers Trump’s Davos Address: Tariffs: Spoke broadly about plans but hinted at potential tariff adjustments, particularly regarding oil and aluminum imports. Trump Davos Oil Prices: Urged Saudi Arabia and allies to assist in lowering oil prices. Interest Rates: Called for immediate cuts, maintaining pressure on the Federal Reserve. Earnings Highlights: GE Aeros
Trump's Crypto Policy Shift: A Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in Sight?
In a bold move to reform America's approach to digital currencies, President Donald Trump has signed an executive order establishing a cryptocurrency task force aimed at proposing new regulations for digital assets and exploring the possibility of creating a national cryptocurrency reserve. Among the highlights of the order, it mandates the creation of a "Crypto Working Group" to draft supportive legislation and calls for a study on the operational aspects of a Bitcoin reserve. Trump, in his remarks, stated, "We're going to make America the leader in cryptocurrency. We're going to innovate, not regulate innovation out of existence," emphasizing his vision to position the U.S. at the forefront of the digital economy. The task force will be led by David Sacks, Trump's appointed AI and Crypto
The Big Leader Is Back! Will GameStop Surge Again?
On January 23, Keith Gill, the meme stock “leader” famously known as “Roaring Kitty,” posted his second tweet of the year late Wednesday night, Eastern Time. Sharing a clip from the classic sci-fi animation Futurama featuring the iconic "Jurassic Bark" scene, his post sparked a frenzy of speculation about its potential hidden meaning.The tweet, which garnered over 5.7 million views, immediately lit up the market.The investor community Stocktwits quickly tweeted, "He’s back!!!" Some market participants speculated that this might signal Gill’s unwavering support for GameStop, despite the game retailer grappling with significant store closure pressures.Following the buzz, GameStop’s stock price rose 2.5% on Thursday. However, the true intent behind Gill’s post remains shrouded in mystery.Earl
$Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ Remember the CEO of an oil company that Trump has put in charge or energy? Yeah that guy is a board member in OKLO with Sam Altman. Notice the stock.[Lovely][Lovely][Lovely]This is where I say, confidence in a stock no matter the market is paramount. I was so confident of OKLO because Data centre will so much rely on energy to run. Also looking at the future of SMC. I bought 50 OKLO at $18 last year 2024[Sly][Sly][Sly]
$NFU.HK 20250227 31.00 PUT$ Averaged in more Nong fu spring at 31 strike. May have more volatility as trump have yet to set clear decision on treatment towards China. Will add gradually when it falls
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Gains On Stargate, Microsoft Tops Apple After Earnings?
Big-Tech’s PerformanceTrump's inauguration this week captured the world's attention and entered the 2.0 era, with a considerable number of policy announcements made as soon as he took office, but so far there has been no major surprises in relation to his previous announcements, and the market has come to expect them.In addition to the obvious changes to sectors such as immigration, energy, and digital currencies, there was also a call for the Federal Reserve to "lower interest rates" (although this is unlikely to be successful, as the Fed is an independent private institution).But the point is, through the president's influence shouting, will be a certain degree of distortion of the market on the current expectations of rate cuts, and even some members of the Federal Reserve will also hav
$Micron Technology(MU)$ Micron Technology (MU) is a leading innovator in the semiconductor industry, specializing in memory and storage solutions like DRAM and NAND, which are essential for AI, cloud computing, and 5G. The increasing demand for data centers, automotive electronics, and AI applications provides strong long-term growth potential. Micron’s focus on advanced technologies, such as high-bandwidth memory for AI workloads, positions it to benefit from emerging trends. Despite short-term cyclical challenges in the semiconductor industry, its solid balance sheet and strategic investments offer resilience. Additionally, as memory pricing recovers, Micron’s profitability is likely to improve, presenting an attractive opportunity for long-t
$Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ Bought nvo shares as it is very oversold. Multiple bullish divergences on the daily rsi and price is finding support at the 200 week simple moving average. This is a high quality business at a great value
$NVDA 20250131 140.0 PUT$ NVDA: collect 0.85% premium on this cash secured put with strike at $140. Contract will expire next Fri on 31st Jan. NVDA had a good bump up after Trump announce funding into AI. This should provide even stronger tail wind to the sector. Short term trade so as long as the sentiments holda, then the trade will be good.
$FSLY 20250214 8.0 PUT$ sold new put on FSLY at $8 strike. Seems to found it's temporary support around $8.8 and is trading above its major moving averages that will act as support.