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2025-06-14
It's definitely not clear blue sky out there... In fact, it is raining smoke and bombs 💣. As I am typing away in my cold but comfy home, the other end of the 🌎 is feeling the impact of raining missiles. 🙏🏻 Yes, Iran has started its retaliation effort, as expected. Obviously, this is the beginning of the new war front, because Israel is far from finished with its own missiles launching as well. What I did yesterday and the day before was to sell off some of my many holdings, including some long term positions. I am going to a bit more cash. I have been a relatively big precious metals buyer over the years, if not decade, so I can take some comfort there. I had also took two new leveraged shorts positions yesterday (see pictures below). They are not ideal, especially when the 3x instruments
TOPKristina_: Totally get where you’re coming from—markets have been riding high like nothing’s wrong, but geopolitics and insider selling are real red flags. Good move staying cautious. I’m watching closely too, especially how tech holds up if things escalate.[Thinking]
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2025-06-15
#TBI2025[23]: PANW, CRWD, NET
Hi everyone! Disclaimer: The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended
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2025-06-15
🌟🌟🌟In times of global uncertainty, strategic investing becomes more critical than ever. With the escating Israel Iran conflict shaking the markets, should we sell in panic or seize the opportunity to buy the dip? As for me, I would continue to stay invested by dollar cost averaging into SPLG and IAU ETFs. $SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF(SPLG)$ tracks the S&P500 Index, offering broad exposure to the best and strongest US Large Cap stocks. It has a low expense ratio of just 0.02% and has shown steady long term growth. $iShares Gold Trust(IAU)$ is a Gold backed ETF which serves as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks. Given the current Israel Iran conflict, Go
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2025-06-15
[Buy or Sell?!] With the sudden changes in the landscape with Israel attacking Iran, and escalating tensions in the Middle East, the$S&P 500(.SPX)$
TOPFocus on Oil & AI Stocks: Up by about 26,000% over the past decade (as of this writing), Nvidia (NVDA -2.20%) has been a monster stock for investors. Its market capitalization has grown to about $3.5 trillion, making it one of the two most valuable companies in the world, neck-and-neck with Microsoft. The stock's performance, meanwhile, has been well justified. The company's sales and earnings have grown explosively over that decade -- and particularly in the past few years as its graphics processing units (GPUs) have become the backbone of the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure build-out. The company's ongoing spectacular growth could be seen in its fiscal Q1 results: The $39.1 billion in data center revenue it booked was more than 9 times the $4.3 billion in data center revenue it generated in its Q1 just two years prior.
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2025-06-16
$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$ $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ 🚨📉🛢️ Volatility Awakens: Oil Tensions, Dealer Traps, and the VIX That Roared 🛢️📉🚨 Market movements are often less about the headlines that dominate news cycles and more about the subtle shifts in liquidity that underpin them. The recent surge in the $VIX to 20.82, jumping +15.54%, reflects this dynamic vividly. Triggered by Israel’s airstrike on Iran, the spike marked the highest close since May, coinciding with a broad equity selloff. Yet, the Fear & Greed Index lingers at 60, still signaling “greed” amid the turmoil. This divergence between realised volatility and
TOP⭐️🌟✨Crazy how everyone’s still stuck on oil like it’s 2008 when the whole move’s been VIX and structure. That 60.02 level you called out gave me chills, I’ve been watching $SPY closely but hadn’t connected the dealer gamma exposure that way. Gold’s starting to make a lot more sense too. Appreciate the clarity BC, needed that. 😻
967
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2025-06-16
Market Mayhem Unleashed: Dip Buying Opportunity or Cash-Out Moment?
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Israel’s airstrikes on Iran have sent ripples through the financial world, with the S&P 500 teetering near the pivotal 6000 mark. Could this geopolitical flare-up finally spark the market pullback everyone’s been whispering about? Investors are on edge, debating whether to short, sell, or dive into leveraged short ETFs. Let’s unpack the chaos and explore your next move. The Market’s Pulse: Turbulence Incoming? Geopolitical shocks often jolt markets, and this is no exception. Oil prices have surged 6% as tensions threaten supply lines, boosting energy giants like ExxonMobil (XOM). Meanwhile, the VIX, Wall Street’s “fear index,” has jumped 18%, signaling heightened uncertainty. Tech stocks might take a hit as risk-averse trad
TOPIt’s going to be a one-sided attack. I am afraid there are lots of fund got blindsided from the recent rip which got left behind will buy in if the market dips. So I will buy the dip.
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2025-06-15
FOMC interest rate decision - Economic Calendar for 16Jun25
Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, or Hong Kong. America is closed on 19 June 2025 for the Juneteenth holiday. Economic Calendar (16Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched event in the coming week will be the Fed’s interest rate decision. The market is expecting the interest rate to remain. Any changes to this rate can bring some volatility to the market. A FOMC statement will be made alongside the economic projections. These are important bearings for the market. Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales updates will be released in the coming week. The forecast shows an increase in retail sales. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index has last reported a -4.0 figure, suggesting contraction in the manufacturing sector. The
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2025-06-15
Is Kroger worthy of your portfolio - Earnings calendar 16Jun25
Earnings Calendar (16Jun25) I am interested in the earnings of Jabil, Kroger, and Accenture. Let us look at Kroger in detail. The stock price has risen 32.9% from a year ago. The technical analysis has a “Strong Sell” recommendation. The analysts’ analysis has a “Buy” rating. With a target price of $70.69, there is an upside of 7.82%. Let us review the performance of the business from the last 10 years: Gross Profit and Margin: Gross profit grew from $24.334 billion in 2016 to $33.403 billion in 2025, with the 10-year average gross margin at 22.2%, a reflection of stable profitability. Revenue has grown from $109.8B (2016) to $147.1B (2025). Operating profit has grown from $3.576B (2016) to $3.849B (2025). Earnings per share (EPS) have seen steady growth from $2.06 (2016) to $3.67 (2025).
TOPInteresting indeed
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2025-06-15
S&P500 technical and candlestick analysis (16Jun25) - what 20+ indicators tell us?
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 16Jun25 S&P 500 chart on 15Jun25 Technical observations: MACD - a top crossover is completed, and this suggests a downtrend is coming. Ranging sideways can be a possible scenario, too. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. However, the 3 lines are converging, and a trend reversal is coming. Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term. The CMF is positive at 0.18, indicating more buying pressure over the past 20 periods. The daily interval is showing a “Strong Buy" for the S&P 500 index. 16 indicators are showing a “Buy” rating, and 4 indicators show a “Sell” rating. Here are the recent candlestick patterns. Outlook and Implications Short-Ter
TOPYour analysis is thorough
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2025-06-15
Layoffs, oil price, re-shoring news, debts & delinquency - My Investing Muse (16Jun25)
My Investing Muse (16Jun25) Layoffs & Closure news VA signs a $726K agreement with OPM to help lay off 80,000+ employees. - House Veterans’ Affairs Democrats This is the prequel to market consumption and production demand. Supply chain is the blood of the economy. Without which, goods & services do not reach consumers and users. Layoffs in the supply chain precede layoffs in other sectors. US job postings continue to fall: Job postings on Indeed dropped to the lowest in 4 YEARS at the end of May. Moreover, new job postings hit near the lowest level since December 2020. Both metrics have declined for 3 consecutive years. US job gains were likely OVERSTATED by ~900,000 in 2024: US private payrolls rose 0.6% Y/Y in 2024, according to the BLS's QCEW data covering 97% of employers. This
TOPSmart decisions
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2025-06-15
Quantum Leap Forward: Are These Stocks the Next Market Movers?
The stock market is buzzing with energy, and it’s not just the usual suspects stealing the spotlight. While trade tensions keep investors on edge, a new wave of innovation is shaking things up—quantum computing, green energy breakthroughs, and biotech moonshots are driving a surge of excitement. Companies like IonQ, Tesla, and Moderna are pushing boundaries, and fresh IPOs like QuantumScape are lighting up the boards. Buckle up—here’s why these stocks could be your ticket to the next big rally. Quantum Computing: The New Frontier Quantum computing isn’t sci-fi anymore—it’s here, and it’s rewriting the rules. Forget traditional chips; quantum processors promise to crack problems that would take today’s supercomputers millennia. And the market’s taking notice. IonQ (IONQ): This quantum trail
TOPThis is the kind of innovation I live for! ⚡ Quantum + EV + biotech? Count me in. IonQ and QuantumScape are def on my radar, but I’m still all in on Tesla’s energy play. Future’s looking electric (and a little quantum 😎)!
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2025-06-14
Donald Trump's USD 40 Million Birthday Bash - Tanks, Tokens and Tumult!
Nothing says "Happy Birthday Mr President" quite like a USD 40 Million military parade rolling through Washington DC. The US Army's 250th anniversary celebration conveniently lands on Donald Trump's 79th birthday. While officials insist it is purely coincidental, critics are calling it a tax payer funded spectacle fit for a king. The parade features 6,700 troops, 38 tanks, helicopters, vintage war planes. President Trump says that this will be a military parade like no other. While Trump will preside over the festivities from a specially built reviewing stand, some lawmakers are less than thrilled. Senator Paul Rand compared the event to North Korea's military display while others questioned whether the funds could be better spent elsewhere. Meanwhile Trump's
TOPWhat a spectacle! Can't believe this! 😲👏
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2025-06-14
🎖️ $40M Parade + Trump Turns 79: Will His Stocks MAGA-fy or Flatline?,
$Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ 🔍 Setting the Stage: The MAGA Market Narrative Donald Trump is more than a politician — he's a market-moving brand. From Truth Social launches to SPAC drama, his name alone fuels $DJT (Trump Media & Technology Group) with meme-level volatility. But what does the data suggest when spectacle meets ticker? --- 📈 What Could Happen to $DJT? Short-Term Setup: ⚡ Birthday headlines + MAGA crowd = likely pop in $DJT ⚡ Retail volume expected to spike Friday into Monday 🔁 Algo-fueled volatility around Trump-linked hashtags and weekend media coverage Medium-Term Risk: 🔥 If the parade is seen as excessive or sparks backlas
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2025-06-16
MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025 : BABA, META, TEM, PDD, VRTX
Updated on June 10th 2025.These stocks are up +32.4% on average YTD vs +3.0% of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 1) $Alibaba(BABA)$ The biggest ecommerce in the world with >$1T GMV and the biggest cloud services provider in China at 12x Fwd PE. Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+34%)Image2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ Stock is up 2X YTD after the unjustified hard sell-off. The company is innovating the transplants market and they plan to achieve 10k transplants in 2028. Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+13%)Image3) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Meta is my favorite big tech at current prices trading at 27X Fwd PE. The social networks giant i
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2025-06-16
Axioma ROOF™ Score Highlights: Week of June 16, 2025
Insights from last week's changes in investor sentiment: Investor sentiment remained relatively stable compared to the previous week as investors evaluated the implications of the onset of direct hostilities between Israel and Iran on global markets. The recent positive-to-bullish mood and the favorable supply-and-demand balance for risk assets at the time have contributed to the subdued market reaction so far (as of this writing the Nikkei has already recovered all of the initial dip). However, if the conflict escalates into a broader Middle East war, potentially impacting regional oil facilities or transport through the Strait of Hormuz, investor sentiment is likely to shift, leading to a downturn in the markets. Trade War: With only one out of 90 trade deals signed so far, there wa
TOPIncredible insights! Love the analysis! [Great]
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2025-06-15
Tech IPOs and AI Powerhouses: The Stocks Making Waves Right Now
The stock market is buzzing with excitement, and it’s not just the usual suspects stealing the show. From fresh IPOs making massive debuts to tech giants flexing their AI muscles, there’s a lot to unpack. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just dipping your toes into the market, these are the stocks you need to keep an eye on right now. Let’s dive into the biggest movers, the trends driving them, and what might be next. IPO Fever: Circle and CoreWeave Steal the Spotlight If you’ve been watching the IPO scene, you’ve probably noticed the jaw-dropping performances of two tech-related newcomers: Circle ( $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ ) and CoreWeave ( $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ ). Both have ties to the boomi
TOPCoreWeave and Circle are on fire! 🔥 Love seeing fresh tech shaking things up—Circle’s crypto edge and CoreWeave’s AI power combo is next level. Still riding with Nvidia and eyeing that Tesla Robotaxi launch too. Feels like a sci-fi future coming to life! 🚗💻🚀
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2025-06-16
Diversified S-REITs’ operating performance remain resilient amid market uncertainties
Diversified real estate investment trusts (REITs) hold a mixture of assets across multiple sub-sectors such as industrial, retail, office, and hospitality, offering investors the prospect of portfolio stability and flexibility. The larger diversified S-REITs in the Singapore market include $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ counters such as $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ (CICT), $Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr(N2IU.SI)$ (MPACT), $Frasers L&C Tr(BUOU.SI)$ (FLCT), as well as $Suntec Reit(T82U.SI)$ , which is currently on the STI Reserve list. Recent business updates
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2025-06-16
Weekly Buybacks: Q & M Dental, CosmoSteel, APTT & Anchun Intl Professional directors raise stake
The five trading sessions spanning June 6 through to June 12 saw more than 80 director interests and substantial shareholdings filed for close to 30 primary-listed stocks. Directors or CEOs again filed 13 acquisitions, and no disposals, while substantial shareholders filed 12 acquisitions and one disposal. 1. $Q&M Dental(QC7.SI)$ Between June 10 and June 11, Q & M Dental Group (Singapore) non-independent executive director and group chief executive officer Ng Chin Siau increased his total interest from 54.25% to 54.92%. The 6,427,900 shares were acquired by Quan Min Holdings Pte Ltd at an average price of S$0.395 apiece. Since the end of April, Dr Ng has increased his total interest from 53.02%.The recent spate of acquisitions has also c
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2025-06-13
After "Liberation Day," U.S. inflation data for May remained mild, fueling expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September.
U.S. May Consumer Price Index (CPI) Rises Below Expectations for the Fourth Consecutive Month The May CPI data came in below expectations across the board. The annual CPI rose by 2.4%, lower than the market forecast of 2.5%; core CPI increased by 2.8% year-on-year, also below the expected 2.9%; and the monthly core CPI rose by just 0.1%, under the forecasted 0.3%. These figures have further eased market concerns about runaway inflation and reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates in September. However, while overall price pressures remain manageable, the Trump administration's tariff policies could still exert upward pressure on inflation, allowing the Fed to maintain a relatively hawkish stance in the short term. Energy Prices Continue to Decline,