To The Moon

Earnings Calendar (23Jun25) I am interested in the earnings announcements from Nike, Micron, FactSet and FedEx. Let us look at the performance of FedEx. The stock price has fallen 9.0% from a year ago. The Technical Analysis has recommended a “Strong Buy”. From the Analysts’ sentiment, there is a “Buy” recommendation. The price target of $272.16 suggests an upside of 20.41%. Observations of FedEx’s performance: The revenue of FedEx has grown from $47.5 billion (2015) to $87.6 billion (2024). The 10-year median margin of gross profit is at 21.3%. The 10-year median margin of FCF is 2.0%, but there is a strong 15.7% 10-year CAGR. Operating profit has grown from $2.1 billion (2015) to $6.2 billion (2024). Earnings per share grew from $3.65 (2015) to $17.21 (2024). Dividends per share gre

Market Outlook of S&P500 (23Jun25) Technical observations: MACD - a top crossover is completed, and this suggests a downtrend is coming. Ranging sideways can be a possible scenario, too. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. However, the 3 lines are converging, and a reversal to the downtrend is coming. Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term. The CMF is positive at 0.07, indicating more buying pressure over the past 20 periods. The daily interval is showing a “Buy" rating for the S&P 500 index. 12 indicators show a “Buy” rating, and 5 indicators show a “Sell” rating. Here are the recent candlestick patterns. Outlook and Implications (from Grok) Short-Term Outlook: Th

My Investing Muse (23Jun25) Layoffs & Closure news Government jobs are falling: 22,000 federal government jobs were lost in May, the most in at least 4 years. This marks the 4th consecutive monthly decline. Year-to-date, federal government jobs have declined by 59,000, to 2.96 million, the lowest since November 2024. By comparison, the 2015-2019 average was ~2.80 million. According to Reuters estimates, over 260,000 federal workers have been fired, taken buyouts, or retired early this year. The federal workforce is shrinking. - X user The Kobeissi Letter US job numbers have been revised down by a massive 219,000 so far in 2025. April -30,000 March -108,000 February -49,000 January -32,000 22 out of the last 28 months have been revised down since the beginning of 2023. - X user Global M

The crypto market just got a jolt. Following President Trump’s confirmation of U.S. airstrikes on Iranian military installations, Bitcoin took a dive below $100K, only to claw its way back above $101K within a day. This wild swing has traders buzzing: is this a golden dip-buying opportunity, or a warning sign of more turbulence ahead? With geopolitical tensions simmering and crypto stocks in the spotlight, let’s dive into the chaos and figure out what’s worth your money. The Drop and Bounce: What Happened? Bitcoin’s price action was a textbook response to global uncertainty. The airstrikes sent shockwaves through risk assets, dragging Bitcoin down 4% to $98,615 in a matter of hours. Stocks and crypto weren’t alone—panic selling hit hard, with over $700 million in liquidations across the ma

Is there such a thing? My dumbest move is my smartest move and vice verse? [Facepalm]  [LOL]  [Tongue]  It's somehow true. I wrote about it in another topic.  Why is the move dumb? I simply follow what ARK does, just the opposite direction. It's a no-brainer. Whenever aunt Cathie sells, I positioned myself to buy. She buys, I plan to sell. It obviously works for$Archer Aviation Inc.(ACHR)$  when I made close to 200% in a day. It works not as effectively for Tesla though. It should have worked too but my Call option was too short dated and ran out of time to benefit from the subsequent price explosion 💥 that my charts had foretold.  Ahhh... that brings me to the smartest part of the whole sche

As I had shared yesterday, US or Donald Trump has made his move. All eyes are now on Iranian 🇮🇷 response... what would Iran do? Oh, what could Iranian even do? That would be the expected thought process of Donald Trump's government. Like China in a tariff war, Donald Trump expects Iran to do nothing and just surrender. As mentioned in my previous post, I don't have military visibility into Iranian military capabilities. However desperate people take desperate measures. I am obviously not hoping for a 9-11 or equivalent event. Besides conventional warfare, US has to be prepared for some unconventional responses from the Iranian government. The market's current response is relatively subdued if I may. Yes, there's the initial drop in indices future and some spikes in oil and gas pr

$VXX 20250620 50.0 PUT$ VXX: collected premiums in full when these cash secured puts expired worthless on 20thJune.VXX runs a tight range between $50.84 to $55.22 and was still priced for bullish market with lower volatility premiums. Unsure how this will turn up with the weekend US bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities. These sold puts with strike at $50 were sold when VXX is low and sold calls were setup when volatility was high too but at $75, it was comfortably out of the way all these time. On the down side, volatility had been dropped for weeks now only to raise slightly on the recent tension. Had both sold calls at $75 and sold put at $50 and both sides of the premiums were collected since VXX stays wit

$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ SoFI: sold 4300 shares of SoFi for 9.37% actualised loss of capital. This is part of covered call expired on 20th June in the money when it close at $15.20. Decided to not to roll the call to a higher strike and further out as I think SoFI might have hit a temporary resistance level that will take some weeks to clear and I also think that I can accumulate SoFI at lower levels. Another reason was that I am heavily exposed on this single company holding taking up significant capital allocation and I'm looking to reduce exposure to more risk adjusted levels. Still long term bullish on SoFi and I'll continue to trade on SoFI in the meanwhile. 

$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ SoFI: sold 500 shares of SoFi at breakeven cost of $15. This is part of covered call expired on 20th June in the money when it close at $15.20. Decided to not to roll the call to a higher strike and further out as I think SoFI might have hit a temporary resistance level that will take some weeks to clear and I also think that I can accumulate SoFI at lower levels. Another reason was that I am heavily exposed on this single company holding taking up significant capital allocation and I'm looking to reduce exposure to more risk adjusted levels. Still long term bullish on SoFi and I'll continue to trade on SoFI in the meanwhile. In total, I had sold 4300 shares at $14.50 and 500 share at $15 to recover ca

$DBS(D05.SI)$ DBS Bank - As expected, price is down due to war but I think the dividend may likley support the price at current price of 43.40 with an yield of 6.91 percent! Dbs is the only local bank that is paying out quarterly dividend. Expecting another interim dividend of 0.60 + 0.15 special dividend. Not a call to buy or sell! Pls dyodd. 6th May 2025: DBS bank - 1st quarter results is out. Net profit is down 2 percent to 2.9b due to 15 percent global minimum tax. ROE 17.3 percent. I think results beat market expectations of 2.82b. Interim dividend of 60 cents plus special dividend of 15 cents! I think results is quite good! First Quarter net profit is up 10% qoq. Total Revenue increased 6% to 5.905b. Due to trade Tarrifs, FY2025 net profi

As global uncertainty persists and investors search for safe havens, Singapore’s financial markets continue to absorb waves of capital. One clear indicator? The 3-month Singapore Overnight Rate Average (SORA), a key benchmark of short-term borrowing costs has been sliding steadily. Recently, it hovers around just 2.10%, far below what some might have anticipated. For savers and investors, this raises a pressing question: Should we still bother with fixed deposits, or are there better alternatives out there? Why I Don’t Use Fixed Deposits Personally, I don’t park my money in fixed deposits and I don’t have a favorite bank for them either. My reasons are simple: Low interest rates Lack of flexibility: Money locked in for 6 to 12 months might earn a bit of interest, but what if I suddenly nee