To The Moon

We have seen Silicon Valley’s vision of the future of social media, and there’s nothing “social” about it. Meta’s Vibes is fantastical AI-generated videos in snackable form, with the notable absence of any real people.OpenAI’s new Sora app leans into deepfakes, which currently means a lot of jokes about Sam Altman until others (for some reason) give the company the right to create videos based on their likeness.What’s missing is any semblance of humanity in these new apps.The reason this is relevant for Asymmetric Investing is that I believe decisions about how aggressively to adjust the AI dial will be crucial for many companies.Do people want a drink made by an AI robot, or is there value in being served by a human?Do you want articles written by an AI prompt or a human’s thoughts?Busine

This week on Clouded Judgement: The New RL Training Grounds- Median software multiple: 5.1x- High Growth software median: 27.0x- Mid Growth software median: 7.8x- Low Growth software median: 3.9x- 10Y: 4.1%ImageMore on this from Clouded Judgement today:The earliest days of reinforcement learning were fun to watch. Algorithms trained on Atari games, Starcraft, Go. The appeal was obvious: constrained digital sandboxes with clear rules, infinite repeatability, and instant feedback. You could run agents a million times through Pong and see them get better.But those environments were toys. Beating Pong doesn’t teach you how to navigate a hospital system. A high score in Breakout doesn’t tell you much about running a logistics network. The truth is, if agents are ever going to matter in the ente

Here's my linearity analysis of the S&P 500 constituents. $AutoZone(AZO)$ $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ $Ameriprise(AMP)$ $Motorola Solutions(MSI)$ $WR Berkley(WRB)$ $Marriott(MAR)$ $Costco(COST)$ $Cintas(CTAS)$ $Republic(RSG)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Automatic Data Processing Inc(ADP)$ $Linde PLC(LIN)$

$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$ I opened 200.0 share(s) $ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$  , Opening a position to accumulate for the longer-term as I see a correction coming in the future. Will be averaging down along the way.

$Trane Technologies PLC(TT)$ Again, favourite stock. Underrated af.  Actually just took profit 😅but seeing how safe the trajectory and support is I'm buying another batch ^-^

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Just Finish a round of wheel of SPY. This lot of SPY was assigned a week back when the share price dipped Below my CSP strike. Sold a couple of Covered Call along the way, and the share price jump a couple of dollars up yesterday and went above my CC strike, thus the underlying is now called away. I closed $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ ,Honestly, this wheel is not at all 'good', yah make a bit of money along the way but the IV for the option now is really low, while the market are still on a big swing. Thus selling option in this situation is totally not rewarding. With the market in euphoria mood, every things seems too high to enter. Got to stay cautious. Good luck out there. I closed $SPDR S&P 500 E

$HOOD 20251017 115.0 PUT$ Am a little late to the HOOD's party.  While was trying to get into a piece of the action here, there's just not many opportunities with the share price making high on a daily basis. In any case decided to take that leap of faith and just bought some CSP during day's dip. Let's see how this play out In 3 weeks time. 

$APP 20251010 800.0 CALL$ Been scalping APP of some months now. This ticker after breaking the $500 level, it has been on a tear. Was waiting for the share to have some sort of pull back, which never came. Sightseeing that the share price is making daily highs just decided to trade it as suppose to buying and holding which of course would have been very very profitable by now. Anyway, while making much lesser by scaling, the in and out kept my capital fluid, and allows me to enter other trades.  Never know when the music is gonna suddenly stop.  

$Stellantis NV(STLA)$ 汽车制造商斯泰兰蒂斯集团（Stellantis）与法国人工智能公司 Mistral AI 于周三在联合新闻稿中宣布，将扩大双方现有合作关系，以在斯泰兰蒂斯集团的各项业务运营中进一步推动人工智能应用

$TSLA 20251121 400.0 PUT$ Sell put due to Q3’s strong delivery report—497,099 vehicles delivered, beating estimates 7.4% YoY. The upside surprise boosts sentiment, inflates option premiums, and lowers downside risk for a bullish short-put play.

$Micron Technology(MU)$ 食住先，放紙鷂，多謝🙏 投資涉及風險，價格可升可跌，做好風險管理。

$ADBE VERTICAL 251031 CALL 420.0/CALL 400.0$ Lowering my strike price on same expiration date to earn additional premium [Miser]  

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Strengths 1. AI / GPU Leadership NVIDIA dominates in AI accelerators (GPUs) and has a full hardware + software ecosystem (including CUDA) that many in the industry depend on.  2. Strong Revenue Growth & Financials Recent years have seen huge jumps in revenue, especially from the data center business. Profit margins have been good, cash flow strong, allowing NVIDIA to invest in R&D and scale.  3. Robust Software Ecosystem & Developer Lock-In The CUDA platform and other software tools give NVIDIA a moat — once customers build around NVIDIA’s tools and infrastructure, it’s harder (costly) to switch.  4. Innovation & New Architecture Roll-outs NVIDIA keeps pushing with new architectures (e.g., Blackwell series) a

$NVDA 20251031 225.0 CALL$ Sold a put at $165 and call for Nvda at $225 with same expiration date (Strangle Option) as i expect the price to be within this range over the next 1 month. Why did i do this? Premium income: I collect premiums from both the put and the call. Profit range: As long as Nvda stays between $165 and $225 on expiration date,  both options expire worthless, and I keep the entire premium. Lower margin vs. separate naked positions: Less margin for strangle than for selling a naked put and a naked call individually, since the risks partially offset. If price drops below $165, 1 am glad to be assigned If price rockets above $225, i can choose to roll or let my Nvda be called away (i do own few

$Blackstone Secured Lending Fund(BXSL)$ Added more BSXL when price is low. This is for dividend play. I am considering wheel strategy for BXSL. 

$ALAB 20251003 195.0 PUT$ ALAB: take profit for this short put with 94% of max profit collected.  Expiring this Fri 3rd Oct at strike $195.  Was down on Wed to below strike at in the money monetary. Which meant support wasn't holding up as strong as thought.  Today Thursday 2nd Oct the stock is back up and above strike price.  So took the chance to secure the profit and get to live another day. 

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Nibbling MSFT, price is in tight range during the past weeks. Could be heading for breakout. Its a fundamentally strong stock and in the forefront of AI theme. TAking advantage of the dip, buying while on sale.

$INTC 20251017 28.0 CALL$ Taking one on the chin for Intel. Loss as strike crossed and I don't expect drop by expiry

$Sony(SONY)$ I opened $Sony(SONY)$  , Bought like half n hour ago bc i ONLY JUST realised did they Kpop Demon Hunters💀 then it suddenly went up what a coincidence.  Now not sure whether to sell this as a $70 scalp or hold for a medium length swing🤔 Any suggestions..?