To The Moon

AMD Clears $213 Resistance — Is the MI300X Finally Breaking Nvidia’s Shadow? AMD just flashed a major technical breakout, closing up nearly 3.5% at $217.50 and decisively slicing through the stubborn $213 resistance zone. For months, retail traders have treated AMD as merely a "sympathy play" to Nvidia's massive runs, but the ongoing AI compute demand narrative is starting to justify AMD's own premium valuation. Here is why this breakout matters, how the fundamental story is shifting, and what traders need to watch as we approach the critical $220 test. 1️⃣ The MI300X Reality Check: Inference is the Real Battleground Everyone knows the AI training market belongs to Nvidia, but AMD is aggressively carving out a highly lucrative niche in the inference market. Demand for MI300X orders remains

Tesla’s Q1 Shock: 358K Deliveries Miss the Mark — Where is the Real Bottom? The numbers are in, and they are undeniably ugly. Tesla just reported Q1 global deliveries of 358,000 vehicles, severely whiffing the Bloomberg consensus estimate of 372,000. This isn’t just a minor rounding error; it marks one of the weakest quarters in recent memory and signals a drastic shift in the EV momentum trade. With the stock facing heavy institutional distribution, the entire market is asking the million-dollar question: is the growth story fundamentally broken, or is this peak pessimism? Here is why this miss is structurally significant, and what the smart money is watching before attempting to catch this falling knife. 1️⃣ The "Price Cut" Strategy Has Lost Its Magic For the past year, the retail bull t

Q1 Left Us Bruised — Will Q2 Bring a Breakout or a Breakdown? Q1 2026 was a brutal masterclass in market chop. Between unexpected geopolitical shocks, sticky inflation data, and vicious sector rotations whipping portfolios back and forth, many traders are just happy to have survived. But with the S&P 500 stubbornly holding its ground near 6,580 and the Nasdaq digesting its gains around 21,800, the board is officially resetting. The question now isn't about what happened in Q1—it’s about how you are positioning for the Q2 catalyst. Here is what active traders need to know as we transition into the new quarter, and where the smart money is quietly hunting for alpha. 1️⃣ The Q1 Digestion Phase Was Necessary Let’s be honest: the market came into 2026 running way too hot. Q1 acted as a nece

$SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$   $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$  Gold hit its former support level turned resistance. Look at the chart it is all technical, it hit its 200 moving average and bounced and not hitting resistance. In the short term it will be heading downwards but in a mid to longer time frame I remain bullish for gold given US will lower interest rates and loosen monetary policy, Trump is request USD 1.5 trillion dollars for their defense budget it is a 40% increase, where do you think that money will come from? It will come in the expense of devaluation of the dollar. In the short term I expect it hitting his 200 day moving average about 4150 - 4200 range before bouncing up again. the

Nothing screams “forward-looking markets” like building earnings models in a calm, pre-war fantasy… right before the U.S. decides to take a swing at Iran and set the oil market on fire. We’ve seen this play out before. The Gulf War, the Iraq War—same pattern every time. Initial shrug, then oil spikes, then inflation creeps in, margins get squeezed, and suddenly everyone rediscovers the concept of “second-order effects.” Even smaller shocks like the 2019 Abqaiq–Khurais attack were enough to remind the world how fragile energy supply really is. And now we’re playing games around the Strait of Hormuz—that tiny little artery carrying roughly 20% of global oil. Disrupt that, and it’s not just crude prices. It’s shipping delays, insurance spikes, fertilizer costs, airline margins, food inflation

$CapLand Ascott T(HMN.SI)$    SI) All the gains returning back! She is back to 89.5 cents! Yield is about 6.81%. Annual dividend of 6.1 cents. Total Assets 8.9b. 103 properties in 16 countries! Solid! This year they sent 1 big booklet plus another letter, wasting so much paper and money on printing! AGM is on 23rd April 2PM at Sands Expo and Convention Centre. Likely snacks plus drinks provided!Do take note! Hosey! She is back to 99 cents, looks rather bullish! Likely to test 1.01 soon! Next 1.05 than 1.10. Pls dyodd. CapitaLand Ascott Trust (CLAS) achieved an 11% year-on- year (y-o-y) increase in income available for distribution to S$256.7 million for the financial year ended 31 December 2025 (FY 2025), as it marks its 20th anniversa

Warren Buffett's Empty Hook:  Is He Waiting for Big Discounts? 🌟🌟🌟If you are staring at the S&P500 and wondering why Warren Buffett has not pulled the trigger yet, you are not alone.  While the rest of us are buying the dip in April he is saying no to "bottom fishing". Despite sitting on a monstrous, record breaking cash pile of USD 380 billion, Warren Buffett is choosing to wait.  For the Oracle of Omaha, a Big Decline isn't just a red day.  It is a fundamental restructuring of the market. What a Big Decline Actually Means for Me When the market drops another 10% to 20% it is more than just shrinking numbers.  It is a valuation reset that cleans out the expensive AI hype froth. The Yield Boost:  As prices fall, dividend yields instantly rise.  The de

SpaceX's Secret IPO Filing Ignites Space Materials Boom: Who Wins Big? Advanced materials are the cornerstone of space technology development. The space technology field has extremely high requirements for material properties such as strength, hardness, high-temperature resistance, and corrosion resistance. Materials in space technology and aerospace can be categorized into specialty metals, specialty polymers, ceramics, special coatings, power semiconductor materials, energy materials, and other types. Recent geopolitical disruptions have made supply chain security issues increasingly severe, giving related companies more scarcity value. Taking SpaceX as an example, its essential materials include niobium metal, titanium alloys, and coatings. While Starship eliminated carbon fiber, it rem

Now, China has its own oil majors, just like the Americans. But we’d argue the Chinese names offer a better value proposition for investors. Why? Higher dividend yields. Oil prices have stayed elevated since the Iran War started. And for upstream oil & gas companies, this is great news — the oil they pump out of the ground is suddenly worth a lot more. Sell at higher prices, profit margins widen. Simple. But it’s less fortunate for downstream players — refineries and petrol retailers — because their cost of fuel has gone up. So no, it’s not the entire oil and gas industry that benefits from high oil prices. The distinction matters. Take ExxonMobil. The dividend yield is just 2.4%. And after a 30% dividend withholding tax, investors are left with roughly 1.7%. Compare that to China’s oi

Latest SpaceX is looking to IPO this year and it is shaping up to be the largest IPO in history. Reports suggest a valuation of up to $1.75 trillion—eclipsing even Saudi Aramco’s record debut in 2019. The company could raise as much as $75 billion in the process. Naturally, investors are scrambling for exposure. But since SpaceX is still private, you can’t just buy the stock. So the next best thing? SpaceX proxies—stocks, ETFs, and funds that have a stake in SpaceX or are in business with the company. Besides SpaceX, Other like DXYZ stock also holds other marquee names like Databricks, xAI, Revolut, and OpenAI. So if you want broader exposure to high-growth private ventures beyond just SpaceX, this may interest you. This means investors are paying significantly more to own the underlying p

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

Market Outlook of S&P500 (06Apr2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has completed a bottom cross-over, and this can be the start of an uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at -0.27, indicating there is more selling momentum than buying pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has moved below the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bearish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, the MA50 line has begun to slope downward for the first time in recent months, raising the possibility of a “death cross” forming—a bearish techn

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies AMAZON JUST EXECUTED 16,000 WORKERS WHILE BURNING $200 BILLION ON AI INFRASTRUCTURE We are expecting more layoff news to come. Let us monitor and hedge accordingly. Private Credit - a canary in the Financial coalmine? The Private Credit sector continues to leak confidence with withdrawal limits and default news. Will this trip up the market? Probably. Data Centre updates Half of US data centers planned for 2026 are expected to be delayed or canceled. One big reason is shortage of electrical equipment, such as transformers, switchgear and batteries. US doesn’t have manufacturing capacity, forcing it to rely on imports. - Bloomberg Outdated electricity grids are now a “national security risk,” JPMorgan has said. The promised AI of a multi

AMD's Renaissance: Record Revenue Meets AI Supercycle  🌟🌟🌟$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  is no longer just playing catch-up.  It is establishing a dominant, independent narrative in the global AI race.  Following an excellent Q4 25 earnings report where revenue hit a record USD 10.3 billion, up 34% YoY, AMD recently surged 3.4% to a high of USD 217.50. This momentum is anchored by the explosive ramp of the Instinct MI300X and MI350 series, with CEO Lisa Su confirming that 8 of the top 10 AI companies are now using Instinct GPUs for production workloads. The Technical Frontier: USD 215 is the New Floor Support Level:  The recent breakout has established USD 215 as a critical new support level. Next

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

As a regular Singaporean middle-class investor  Ive been nodding along to Warren Buffett’s recent vibes. The Oracle of Omaha (or his successors at Berkshire) has been sitting on a mountain of cash—hundreds of billions—while being a net seller of stocks for quarters on end. Valuations look stretched, the Buffett Indicator is screaming high, and he’s basically saying: “Not much compelling out there right now. Patience is the name of the game.” It makes sense. With the S&P 500 and tech names trading at lofty multiples amid AI hype, chasing growth stocks feels like paying full price for a crowded kopitiam during peak lunch hour. Safe Singapore options? Fixed deposits are hovering around 1.3–1.5% p.a. at best, T-bills barely cracking 1.4%, and even USD deposits top out around 3.5–3.6%.

The S&P 500 Broke Its 200-Day MA. What Its Chart Says Now The $S&P 500(.SPX)$   has been rebounding recently after the key index broke its 200-day Simple Moving Average and hit a nearly seven-month low in recent days. Let's see what its chart says might happen next. The S&P 500's Fundamental Analysis The entire ball game for U.S. equities has changed rather quickly as hopes have risen somewhat for an end to both the Iran War and Big Tech's recent sell-off. First, The Wall Street Journal reported last week that U.S. President Donald Trump had told those around him he'd be willing to end America's Iran operation even if the key Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Trump also publicly said the U.S. mil