Option Witch | Trade Super Micro's Strong Outlook, Delayed Annual Report Using Spread Strategies

Option Witch
02-12

$Super Micro Computer(SMCI)$ stock is back to insight as shares had climbed more than 35% as of Tuesday and rose 6% in overnight trading on Wednesday. The rally was primarily driven by two pieces of good news.

Super Micro Computer Inc. gave an aggressive long-term revenue outlook late Tuesday. The company also expects to submit its delayed annual filing by the Feb. 25 deadline.

Sales will be $40 billion in the fiscal year ending in June 2026, the company said Tuesday in a statement, which also provided preliminary fiscal second-quarter results. Analysts, on average, estimated $30.7 billion for fiscal 2026, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Last week, the company said it had reached full production availability for products containing Nvidia Corp.’s new Blackwell B200 chips.

However, the delay in submitting its 10-Q report to the SEC can still create uncertainty and concern among investors about the company's financial health, which may lead to sudden movements in its stock price.

For the fiscal second quarter, Super Micro said preliminary results show sales of $5.6 billion to $5.7 billion. Analysts, on average, estimated $5.81 billion. Profit, excluding some items, was about 59 cents per share in the period ended Dec. 31, the company said. Wall Street expected 64 cents.

Super Micro Computer Inc. has been highly volatile lately, which makes it a good candidate for options spread strategies that can help hedge risk or capitalize on momentum. Here are a few spread strategies you might consider, depending on your market outlook:

1. Bull Call Spread (Bullish)

  • Best for: Profiting from a moderate price increase while limiting risk.

  • Setup: $SMCI Vertical 250314 40.0C/50.0C$

    • Buy a $40 call (e.g., March expiration)

    • Sell a $50 call (same expiration)

  • Max Profit: $715

  • Max Loss: -$285

  • Breakeven: $42.85

2. Bear Put Spread (Bearish)

3. Calendar Spread (Volatility Skew Play)

Which Strategy Should You Use?

  • Bullish? → Bull Call Spread

  • Bearish? → Bear Put Spread

  • Playing volatility decay? → Calendar Spread

Would you like help tweaking these strategies for your risk tolerance or expected market conditions?

$(SMCI)$
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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