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Option Witch
Magic option strategies for extra income.
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04-01 09:41

Two Options Strategies for Tesla Before Tariff Announcement, Delivery Numbers

President Donald Trump will announce his reciprocal tariff push on Wednesday during an event in the White House Rose Garden. Trump’s tariffs target imported vehicles/parts. While Tesla produces domestically, CEO Elon Musk warns of “significant impact” due to reliance on foreign components.Tesla’s implied volatility is at 96.3% for April 4 puts, favoring sellers. Post-announcement IV collapse (if tariffs are benign) could reduce premium attractiveness but lower assignment risk. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies.US Automakers Make Mad Dash to Persuade Trump to Temper Tariffs$Ford Motor Co.(F)$, $General Motors Co.(GM)$ and Stellantis NV are lobbying the administration to exc
Two Options Strategies for Tesla Before Tariff Announcement, Delivery Numbers

Option Witch | Strategies for Alphabet, Meta and Oracle After Microsoft's Data Center Pullback

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ has abandoned data center projects set to use 2 gigawatts of electricity in the U.S. and Europe in the last six months due to an oversupply relative to its current demand forecast, TD Cowen analysts said on Wednesday.The tech giant's withdrawal from new capacity leasing was largely led by the decision not to support additional training workloads from ChatGPT maker OpenAI, the analysts led by Michael Elias said in a note.Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies.1. Microsoft's Pullback Creates Opportunities for Alphabet and MetaTD Cowen's supply chain checks indicate that $Microsoft(MSFT)$'s pullback has led to $Alphabe
Option Witch | Strategies for Alphabet, Meta and Oracle After Microsoft's Data Center Pullback

Option Witch | AMD Stock Jumps on Tariff Relief While Still Faces Uncertainty, 3 Options Strategies to Ride the Wave

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ stock gained 7% to $113.85 on Monday. News that tariffs on chips coming into the U.S. could be off the table, at least in the short term, was helping to provide a boost to shares. While Trump's whirlwind tariff offensive since his January inauguration has been marked by threats, reversals and delays, sometimes within hours of imposition deadlines. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with AMD stock.1. Moderately BullishTariff Optimism Boosts AMD StockThe market reaction indicated that investors took that as a sign the economic impact of the tariffs, particularly on inflation and growth, might not be as bad as they initially feared. That's a bit of a relief, which likely gave businesse
Option Witch | AMD Stock Jumps on Tariff Relief While Still Faces Uncertainty, 3 Options Strategies to Ride the Wave

Option Witch | PDD at Risk of Margin Shortfall, Quarterly Revenue Likely Increases 30%

$PDD Holdings(PDD)$ is drawing attention as the Chinese multinational online commerce group and retailer prepares to announce its fourth-quarter results before the U.S. market opens on Thursday, Mar 20. So far, PDD stock has gained 12% this year.Three Things to Watch Before Earnings ReportPDD at Risk of Margin ShortfallPDD's 4Q adjusted operating margin is expected to be 25.94%, a 6.19% decline compared with the same period of 2023. That's if, like Alibaba's international digital commerce unit (AIDC), Temu incurred more costs than expected to entice both merchants and shoppers in newer overseas markets to transact on its platform. This resulted in larger-than-expected October-December losses for AIDC, including a 36% shortfall in Cainiao's profit v
Option Witch | PDD at Risk of Margin Shortfall, Quarterly Revenue Likely Increases 30%

Option Witch | NIO's Q4 Losses Likely Widened, Will Cost Control Drives Profitability This Year?

$NIO(NIO)$ stock is drawing attention as the EV maker prepares to announce its fourth-quarter results before the U.S. market opens on Friday, Mar 21. So far, NIO stock has gained 12% this year.Three Things to Watch Before Earnings ReportNIO’s Q4 Losses Likely WidenedAccording to Bloomberg’s unanimous expectations, NIO to post revenue of 20.13 billion yuan for 2024Q4; Adjusted EPS is estimated to be -2.60 yuan. Nio's 4Q operating loss could have widened vs. 3Q's 5.2 billion yuan. Vehicle deliveries were up 18% sequentially, yet average selling prices maybe 5-10% lower, as the cheaper Onvo brand accounted for 27% of unit sales. A less favorable product mix likely curbed gross margin gains despite narrower retail discounts and higher plant utilization
Option Witch | NIO's Q4 Losses Likely Widened, Will Cost Control Drives Profitability This Year?

Option Witch | Will Nvidia Stock Dip to $100 or Signal a Buying Opportunity ahead of GTC Conference? Five Options Strategies to Consider

Nvidia stock has fallen about 13% this month, with its stock price closing at $108.76 as of Mar 11. On the one hand, investors may worry that the selling pressure would accelerate. On the other hand, they don’t want to miss the opportunity to buy the dip. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with Nvidia stock.1. Moderately BearishTariff Anxiety Has Fueled Volatility in Global MarketsInvestors worried about a potential recession down the road. That exacerbated various fears in the tech sector, including around tariff threats and whether the ever-rising spending budgets pledged toward artificial-intelligence projects are sustainable.Trump’s move to widen his trade offensive comes at a hazardous juncture seven weeks into his second term. His rapid effort to
Option Witch | Will Nvidia Stock Dip to $100 or Signal a Buying Opportunity ahead of GTC Conference? Five Options Strategies to Consider

Option Witch | Tesla Stock Gets a Boost From Trump's Car Loan Interest Deduction, While "Buyers Strike" Is Still a Problem

Tesla stock dropped in recent trading days as investors considered tariffs, weak Chinese sales data, and the impact of a "buyers strike" on the electric-vehicle maker. However, it’s not all bad news for Tesla as Trump says he wants to make interest payments on car loans tax deductible if the cars are made in America. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with Tesla stock.1. Bullish OutlookTrump to Make Interest Payments on Car Loans Tax DeductiblePresident Donald Trump delivered the biggest speech of his presidency yet, he stopped short of saying if he would claw back some of this week’s levies on Canada and Mexico, though Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick has suggested a partial reprieve from the duties could be coming.On taxation, Trump proposed sweeping
Option Witch | Tesla Stock Gets a Boost From Trump's Car Loan Interest Deduction, While "Buyers Strike" Is Still a Problem

Option Witch | Sea Ltd's Q4 Revenue Expected to Rise 29% YoY; Strong E-Commerce Performance, Games' Recovery Persist

$Sea Limited(SE)$ stock is drawing attention as the Singapore-based internet services company is scheduled to report fourth-quarter 2024 results before the US market opens on Tuesday, March 4. Shares have gained about 20% as of Mar 2 this year. Key Factors to Note Ahead of Q4 ResultsQ4 Revenue is Expected to Increase 29% YoYAccording to Bloomberg’s unanimous expectations, Sea Ltd to post to report a 29% increase in revenue to $4.66 billion from $3.62 billion a year ago; Adjusted EPS is estimated to be $0.72, swings to profit YoY.Sea Limited is expected to have benefited from a strong e-commerce performance despite a highly competitive environment, maintaining its mid-20% GMV growth guidance for the year. The holiday season, a key online shopping dem
Option Witch | Sea Ltd's Q4 Revenue Expected to Rise 29% YoY; Strong E-Commerce Performance, Games' Recovery Persist

Option Witch | Nuclear Stocks Roll up and Down on AI Revolution. Smart Options Play With Modest Investment

Nuclear energy stocks rolled up and down this week. $Oklo(OKLO)$, $NANO Nuclear Energy(NNE)$, and $NRG Energy(NRG)$ all saw their shares jump around 10% on Wednesday. However, stocks tumbled in previous trading sessions on news that the demand for power from one big tech player may not be as high as expected.Since these stocks are volatile and speculative, they might be a smart place to park a modest investment to play options related to them.1. Bullish OutlookInvestors are excited about the nuclear energy outlook. Energy demand is on the rise, partly due to the rapid buildout of AI data centers. These technology campuses can use as much electricity as small cities
Option Witch | Nuclear Stocks Roll up and Down on AI Revolution. Smart Options Play With Modest Investment

Option Witch | Is Microsoft’s Stock Drop a Misread? Here's What We Could Do Amid Data Center Concerns

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ stock dropped in three consective trading days. On the one hand, investors may worry that the selling pressure would accelerate as it cancelled leases for AI data centers. On the other hand, falling stock price may just be a “misread” story. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with Microsoft stock.1. Moderately BearishMicrosoft stock is trading between $397.9 and $418.98 this month. A bear put spread strategy may be less risky if you are not optimistic about Microsoft’s near-future performance.Microsoft Cancels Leases for AI Data CentersMicrosoft Corp. has begun canceling leases for a substantial amount of datacenter capacity in the US, a move that may reflect concerns about whether it’s buildi
Option Witch | Is Microsoft’s Stock Drop a Misread? Here's What We Could Do Amid Data Center Concerns

Option Witch | Will Tesla Stock Dip Below $300 or Just Signal a Prime Buying Opportunity?

Tesla stock has fallen 18.3% this month, with its stock price closing at $330.53 as of Feb 24. On the one hand, investors may worry that the selling pressure would accelerate. On the other hand, they don’t want to miss the opportunity to buy the dip. Let’s dive into the potential sscenarios and related options strategies with Tesla stock.1. Moderately BearishWhile Tesla’s technicals and sentiment skew bearish on weak sales, a sharp drop below $300 within a month (requiring 9% decline) would need a catalyst. The options market just assigns a 21% probability to this scenario. A bear put spread strategy may be less risky if you are not optimistic about Tesla’s future performance.Tesla Sales Fall 45% in Europe as Rivals’ EV Registrations SoarTesla Inc.’s sales plunged 45% last month across Eur
Option Witch | Will Tesla Stock Dip Below $300 or Just Signal a Prime Buying Opportunity?

Option Witch | Grab's Q4 Revenue Expected to Rise 16% YoY; Corporate Tax Rebate Adds Momentum

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ stock is drawing attention as the Southeast Asian ride-hailing and food delivery company prepares to announce its fourth-quarter results after the U.S. market closes on Wednesday, February 19. So far, Grab stock has gained 16% in February.Three Things to Watch Before Earnings Report:Q4 Revenue is Expected to Increase 16% YoYAccording to Bloomberg’s unanimous expectations, Grab to post revenue of $757.8 million for 2024Q4, up around 16% YoY; EPS is estimated to be USD-<0.01, swings to loss YoY.Grab's upgraded 2024 guidance calls for a 2-8% sequential increase in group adjusted Ebitda in 4Q, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of sustained growth, anchored by low-to mid-single-digit revenue gains. The mobility segment coul
Option Witch | Grab's Q4 Revenue Expected to Rise 16% YoY; Corporate Tax Rebate Adds Momentum

Option Witch | Could BigBear.ai be Next Palantir? Don't Miss This Rising AI Star!

$BigBear.ai(BBAI)$ stock has gained nearly 120% this year. This round of rally was not purely driven by speculation as the gain primarily stemmed from the company’s recent contract awards from the Department of Defense (DoD). On the other hand, optimism around Palantir’s strong 2025 outlook also lift the AI stock.Like Palantir, BigBear.ai is in the field of data analytics and AI. More specifically, the company provides different forms of predictive analytic technology. This can be used for Defense applications, but also within the Enterprise segment to optimize operations.BBAI is similar to Palantir but lacks profitability and a compelling product portfolio, making it a risky investment.Since BigBear.ai has had a strong rally this year, it’s reaso
Option Witch | Could BigBear.ai be Next Palantir? Don't Miss This Rising AI Star!

Option Witch | Trade Super Micro's Strong Outlook, Delayed Annual Report Using Spread Strategies

$Super Micro Computer(SMCI)$ stock is back to insight as shares had climbed more than 35% as of Tuesday and rose 6% in overnight trading on Wednesday. The rally was primarily driven by two pieces of good news.Super Micro Computer Inc. gave an aggressive long-term revenue outlook late Tuesday. The company also expects to submit its delayed annual filing by the Feb. 25 deadline.Sales will be $40 billion in the fiscal year ending in June 2026, the company said Tuesday in a statement, which also provided preliminary fiscal second-quarter results. Analysts, on average, estimated $30.7 billion for fiscal 2026, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.Last week, the company said it had reached full production availability for products containing Nvidia Co
Option Witch | Trade Super Micro's Strong Outlook, Delayed Annual Report Using Spread Strategies

Option Witch | Will Alibaba Surpass October Highs? Bull & Bearish Spreads to Consider

Alibaba stock surged 29% in two months, closing at $111.32 on Monday. It is now nearing its previous high of $117.52 on October 7 last year, from which it sharply pulled back.This round of rally was majorly driven by DeepSeek. The success of Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) start-up DeepSeek is prompting investors to reassess the nation’s technology companies that trade at half of the valuation of the “Magnificent Seven” US tech giants.The consensus among analysts remains bullish for Alibaba, with many citing bullish technical signals and ongoing AI advancements enhancing its competitive stance in the market.But since the price approached the resistance level, indicating key challenges for further upward movement. Here are some options strategies you can consider based on different mar
Option Witch | Will Alibaba Surpass October Highs? Bull & Bearish Spreads to Consider

Option Witch | Netflix Analyst Predicts Q4 Subscriber Beat. How to Trade it Before Earnings Report?

$Netflix(NFLX)$ ended 2024 on a high note with two NFL football games, a halftime show by Beyonce, and the return of hit series "Squid Game." But Netflix stock was tackled for a loss to start 2025. Investors are hoping the streaming video leader can get back on track with its quarterly earnings report next week.The Los Gatos, Calif.-based company will report its fourth-quarter results late Tuesday.Earnings Estimates & Analysts OpinionsAnalysts polled by FactSet expect Netflix to earn $4.20 a share on sales of $10.12 billion in the quarter ended Dec. 31. In the year-earlier period, Netflix earned $2.11 a share on sales of $8.83 billion.Wall Street is looking for Netflix to add 8.2 million new subscribers worldwide in the fourth quarter, for a t
Option Witch | Netflix Analyst Predicts Q4 Subscriber Beat. How to Trade it Before Earnings Report?

Option Witch | Trump Media Stock Back in Sight as Inauguration Nears! 4 Strategies in Focus

$Trump Media & Technology Group(DJT)$ stock is back in sight as Trump's inauguration date approached, whose shares were up about 21% on Monday while slid 8% in the following session.The Truth Social operator's shares, which sometimes move on traders' viewpoints regarding Trump's political fortunes, have more or less treaded water since early December. Now, with Trump set to be inaugurated for a second time next Monday, those traders may once again be looking to buy ahead of a big event. The upward move in "DJT" shares is the latest in a wild recent run for the stock. In the pre-election fall, the shares dropped below $12, weighed down by fears that Trump and other insiders might dump their shares once they became eligible to do so. Since t
Option Witch | Trump Media Stock Back in Sight as Inauguration Nears! 4 Strategies in Focus

Hedge Your Nvidia Positions as Export Curbs, Earnings Uncertainties Linger

Nvidia stock fails to reach new highs recently, combined with recent bearish price action, suggests a potential significant trend change could be afoot. The top changes are the latest earnings projections for its FY Q4, the potential for tighter chip export restrictions.Despite the fundamental uncertainties just mentioned, NVDA's IV is currently at 38.47%, a relatively low level. Thus, it’s reasonable for investors to hedge their positions with low cost or gain exposure with limited total capital exposure ahead of FY Q4 earnings.Source: Tiger Trade AppWhite House Unveils New CurbThe White House unveiled sweeping new limits on the sale of advanced AI chips by Nvidia Corp. and its peers, leaving the Trump administration to decide how and whether to implement curbs that have encountered fierc
Hedge Your Nvidia Positions as Export Curbs, Earnings Uncertainties Linger

Quantum Stocks Under a Cloud? 3 Option Strategies to Navigate the Turbulence

Quantum computing stocks saw sharp declines last week after Huang’s comments, with $IonQ Inc.(IONQ)$ falling 32%, $Quantum Computing Inc.(QUBT)$ dropping 49%, and $Rigetti Computing Inc.(RGTI)$ tumbling 53%.$Meta Platforms Inc.(META)$ CEO Mark Zuckerberg agreed with $Nvidia Corp.(NVDA)$ CEO Jensen Huang‘s cautious outlook on quantum computing, saying that the technology remains years away from practical implementation.“I’m not really an expert on quantum computing, but my understanding is that it’s still quite a ways off from being a truly practical paradigm,” Zuckerberg said.Hi
Quantum Stocks Under a Cloud? 3 Option Strategies to Navigate the Turbulence

Options Strategies for Trading Nvidia's New Chips and Record-High Rally

Nvidia Corp. Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang announced a raft of new chips, software and services, aiming to stay at the forefront of artificial intelligence computing.Shares fell 0.46% in overnight trading though Jensen unveiled more powerful graphics cards. Nvidia stock notched a new record closing high on Tuesday, closing at $149.43, up 3.43%.At CES 2025, a major annual tech conference in Las Vegas, CEO Jensen Huang laid out how the world's second-most valuable firm is bringing technology that powers its lucrative data center AI chips to consumer PCs and laptops.He also introduced what Nvidia calls Cosmos foundation models that generate photo-realistic video which can be used to train robots and self-driving cars at a much lower cost than using conventional data.Huang also unveiled
Options Strategies for Trading Nvidia's New Chips and Record-High Rally

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