$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : The "First-Day Trap" thesis posted yesterday is playing out.
The price held its 100DMA, with the $6,818 support level acting as a bouncer.
Bulls still have work to do: the primary task is to maintain price action above $6,866, followed by a necessary reclaim of $6,910.
Cboe index $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ hedge readings on February 2026:
Feb 10 → 53.8%
Feb 13 → 51.9%
Feb 17 → 54.9% ← peak
Feb 20 → 42.7%
Feb 23 → 45.6%
Above 50% = elevated institutional hedging. Markets were under pressure during that stretch.
Heading into Tuesday's open, reading is declining. Worth monitoring.
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