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08-01 17:56

The 3.3% QQQ rebound catalyzed by strong Microsoft earnings and cooling June core PCE at 3.3% demonstrates that resilient fundamental AI revenue and solid tech balance sheets can snap losing streaks and provide a strong market floor. However, with market skepticism toward Fed policy remaining high until concrete rate cuts materialize, and August historically bringing seasonal light volume volatility, this rally is unlikely to be a smooth upward march. Investors should view this as an earnings driven relief bounce rather than a full structural regime shift, using short term strength to stay selective and keep dry powder ready for potential late summer pullbacks.

QQQ Gains 3.3% — Did Cooling PCE and Earnings Together Switch Off the Fear?
QQQ surged 3.30% Thursday and SPY 1.68%, the Nasdaq 100's best day since May 2025 and the end of a six-session losing streak. Twin catalysts: Microsoft's earnings pulling AI names higher, and June core PCE at 3.3% year-on-year — a modest cooling from May that keeps rate-cut hopes alive. Skepticism toward the Warsh Fed persists, with commentary bluntly demanding "action, not guidance." With this rebound earnings-driven rather than liquidity-driven, do August's seasonal headwinds still land?
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