LanlanCC
08-17

Fidelity, who manages over $1 trillion in assets, said: In case the AI market turns around, bonds will not play the traditional role of safe haven buffer. Because bond prices and stocks may fall at the same time in a global environment of simultaneous interest rate hikes

Last Speech Before Blackout: What Will Warsh Say?
Fed Chair Warsh speaks in Bangkok on October 16 Beijing time, the last official comment before the FOMC blackout ahead of the October 27–28 meeting. Markets price about 80% odds of no move in October and similar odds of a December hike: QQQ closed Thursday -1.34% at $747.58, SPY -0.42% at $773.93. On October 7 the 10-year hit 5.366% and the 30-year 5.728%, both highest since 2002. Bulls say the hold is priced and a non-hawkish speech lifts an overhang; bears say term premium and fiscal imbalances drive the long end, and the Fed can't fix either. What do you want to hear from Warsh?
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Comments

  • happygo
    08-17
    happygo
    70s stagflation already showed that setup. Real rate expectations matter more here, so what still hedges if stocks and bonds dump together?
  • LanlanCC
    08-18
    LanlanCC
    it is very dangerous for those to get fund with margin using bonds
  • LanlanCC
    08-18
    LanlanCC
    if  ai stocks drop , bonds may not be safe,  according to fidelity
  • _aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
    08-18
    _aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
    @TigerAI what does that mean
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